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EXPERT RACING TIPS: GOULBURN

GOULBURN PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | TUESDAY FEBRUARY 11TH 2024

RAIL: True TRACK: Heavy 8

Generally a fair playing track due to nice long run ins to start majority of the races. The rail remains in the TRUE as it was in the previous meeting. One thing of note here is the expected heavy track, it is likely that runners may look to come away from the inside lanes in the straight towards the middle of the track.

7. Adventure Seeker
4. Cammi
1. Beograd Boy
3. Brannum

Betting Strategy

ADVENTURE SEEKER looks to have a strong hold on this race, she has had some good race experience and resumes here for her 2nd prep so looks well suited, but feels a fair bit too short to play in these conditions. CAMMI is another runner with the race experience which you feel is one of the bigger advantages in a race like this, as the same for BEOGRAD BOY who has race experience on wet tracks and BRANNUM looks the best of the debutants.

2. Sweet Patriot
3. Sculptor
1. Ischyros
10. Castaway Coral

Betting Strategy

BACK: 2. Sweet Patriot (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $3.00)

SWEET PATRIOT has had 3x starts on heavy tracks and has run 2nd in 2 of those, so conditions here shouldn’t be a huge concern for her. She has also drawn well here in the low barrier, so that should see her settle up on speed without doing a lot of work and over this sprint trip, that appears as if it will set her up well here.

2. Augipan
1. Love The Cube
6. Tjaka
3. Ditterich

Betting Strategy

AUGIPAN has found good recent form this prep including a last start win here at this track to break his maiden. This race is a slight step up in grade now, but he is drawn well to be prominent and could go again. LOVE THE CUBE had a successful 1st prep in his career and resumes here today. He has had 2x solid trials in the lead up and looks every chance to be here in good order. TJAKA was a 1st up winner in her last prep and she is fresh for this today. DITTERICH is the runner that maps to be the leader and will be the one to catch, he has form on heavy tracks as well which could be his advantage. This is a very competitive race and hard to have a confident opinion for a bet.

4. Plaza
3. Miss Emma
8. Soho Sushi
5. Princeston

Betting Strategy

BACK: 4. Plaza (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $2.25)

This race looks as if it should set up well for PLAZA who was a winner 2x starts back and her recent form has been in races up in grade than what she faces today. The small field here today looks as if it should land her in a prominent position in the run and she has her best for on wet tracks so suggest the conditions should suit her here.

2. Bobotov
3. Flashy Icon
6. It Is To Be
10. Great Week

Betting Strategy

BOBOTOV map to be prominent in the run and looks the likely leader from barrier 1, he has had 2 starts in these conditions and has produced a 2nd there so should be able to handle these conditions. FLASHY ICON is rising to the 1600m for the first time here, given his recent runs that should be something that brings him on nicely. IT IS TO BE broke through to win his maiden last time out and could go on with it now. GREAT WEEK has had a lot of starts now but the experience on heavy tracks could be his advantage. Another tough betting race here.

8. Spirits Burn Deep
3. Super Sunny Seeya
1. Dubai Centre
4. Airliner

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. Spirits Burn Deep (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.00)

SPIRITS BURN DEEP has had 2x recent runs in the city at highway level and while she ran 14th and 12th in those races, she really hasn’t been too far away from the winners and those runs appear better than the finishing positions. She drops back down in grade here now to a BM58 and the heavy track looks as if it shouldn’t prove to be an issue given her handy record on heavy rated tracks (2:1-0-1)

1. Hurtsville Zagreb
10. Darn Cute
6. Pierant
7. Headstream

Betting Strategy

This race has changed shape completely with the scratchings now and the key chances with race experience now coming out of the market. The runner who looks most likely now is HURTSVILLE ZAGREB who is on debut here, he has had strong trial form and looks progressive enough for this field, but cant take the price on him now with the deductions. DARN CUTE & PIERANT are the runners with race experience which could prove to be an advantage in these conditions and HEADSTREAM next best of the debutants. It is a tough betting race now given the 5x scratchings.

11. Can’t Touch This
2. Savoldi
5. Hellinda
12. Luna Jet

Betting Strategy

CAN’T TOUCH THIS has drawn well so gets a solid race map and her only career win so far has come on a heavy track so it would appear as if she is well suited in this now. SAVOLDI is dropping down slightly in grade from his last start, he looks to lead and given the scratchings out of the race, his barrier now looks much more favourable. HELLINDA is a last start winner and did so in good fashion, certainly could go on with it from here. LUNA JET won really nicely on debut and run well enough 2nd up to suggest she could possibly go close again here.

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