FEATURE PREVIEWS: EMPIRE ROSE STAKES
EMPIRE ROSE STAKES
Track: Flemington | Distance: 1600m | Type: G1, Weight for Age | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 (Predicted Good 4) | Prizemoney: $1,000,000
G1 mile won in recent years by some A grade mares including Pride of Jenni, Melody Belle, Red Tracer, Appearance, Shout The Bar, Colette and 3yos Shoals and I Am A Star.
EMPIRE ROSE HISTORY (PAST 13 YEARS)
- 2nd up (0/7), 3rd up (4/45), 4th up (5/77), 5th up (1/44), 6th up+ (3/22)
- 7-day break (2/20), 14-day break (4/83), 17-day break (1/28), 21-day break (5/42), 23+day break (1/19)
- Age 3yo (2/13), 4yo (2/78), 5yo (4/61), 6yo (4/34), 7yo (1/9)
- SP $3.80-$8.50 (5), SP $11-$41 (8)
- Barriers 1-7 (1/91), Barriers 8-16 (12/104)
- 11 of 13 winners have been between barriers 8 and 13. Outside gates a big advantage, whether an on pacer or backmarker. Only 5 out of the last 13 quinellas (26 horses) have featured a horse drawn inside barrier 7.
- Last Start Favourite (5/24)
- API1 (5/13)
- D1-5 (8/65)
- Gear Changes (4/37)
- Career Starts 4-8 (4/20), 9-17 (0/86), 18+ (9/89)
EMPIRE ROSE SPEED MAP
Above average speed expected here. Grinzinger Belle should lead. Revolutionary Miss, Socks Nation & Kimochi handy. See You In Heaven, Plenty Of Ammo, Lady In Pink forward of midfield. Amelia’s Jewel, Alsephina, Zardozi back of midfield. Barbie’s Fox, Foxy Frida, More Secrets should be back of midfield. Orchestral, Atishu & Lekvarte out the back.
EMPIRE ROSE KEY RUNNERS
1. Atishu – Ran 2nd to Pride Of Jenni in this race last year, and 5th beaten 2L the year before. Ran hom strongly for 3rd in the G1 Caulfield Stakes last start. Some query whether she is going as well this year, and next week over 2000m on the backup may suit better.
2. Amelia’s Jewel – Had been on in first two runs this prep finishing 2nd, then did finish well for 5th in the G1 King Charles last start beaten 3.8L in a strong field
3. Orchestral – Superstar kiwi mare who won the Karaka Millions, G1 NZ Derby and G1 Storm Queen Stakes as a 3yo. Had no luck when 6th in the G1 Toorak last start. Likely would have run a place with clear running.
4. Revolutionary Miss – Has been racing consistently well this prep for new Maher stable. Maps to get a nice run on speed.
5. Zardozi – Distance short of best and having a barrier trial for the Melbourne Cup, but loves Flemington and could swoop late if enough speed on up front.
7. Alsephina – Classy WA mare from a stable that always measures up here. Won G2 at Moonee Valley 2 starts ago then a good 3rd in the G1 Toorak last start.
8. Lekvarte – Last 3 starts she has run over a mile have all resulted in G3 wins.
10. Socks Nation – G1 QLD Oaks winner. Never saw daylight in the straight first up.
11. Grinzinger Belle – Leads and gives a good kick. Has won twice this track over 1400m. 1600m is her limit.
13. Plenty Of Ammo – 7 starts for 5 wins and 1 second. Won the G2 Waterford Crystal mile last start.
EMPIRE ROSE TOP 4 CHANCES
3. Orchestral
1. Atishu
7. Alsephina
5. Zardozi
SUMMARY
Orchestral looks the one to beat here. Atishu, Alsephina & Zardozi are key dangers.
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. Orchestral (WIN) for 2 units
BACK: 1. Atishu (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: 7. Alsephina (WIN) for 0.5 units
BACK: 5. Zardozi (WIN) for 0.5 units
DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS
Big Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
2020 Melbourne Cup:Twilight Payment ($28.26)
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23)
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18)
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15)
Empire Rose Tips & Analysis
The Empire Rose Stakes is one of the premier Group 1 races for fillies and mares in the Australian racing calendar. Held annually at Flemington Racecourse during the Melbourne Cup Carnival, this 1600m weight-for-age event attracts top-class female thoroughbreds from across the country. With a rich history and a substantial prize pool, the Empire Rose Stakes offers a thrilling spectacle for racing enthusiasts and punters alike.
For those looking to gain an edge in this prestigious race, Empire Rose Stakes tips are invaluable. Expert analysis delves into various factors, including recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends, to provide comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.
Predictions for the Empire Rose Stakes often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 1600m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Empire Rose Stakes. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.
When it comes to making informed betting decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse’s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner’s prospects and identify potential value bets.
Betting on the Empire Rose Stakes requires a strategic approach. While it’s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It’s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.
For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.
In summary, the Empire Rose Stakes is a race that rewards thorough research and strategic betting. By leveraging expert predictions, understanding historical trends, and staying informed, punters can enhance their chances of success. Remember, while betting adds excitement to the race, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and within your means.
