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FEATURE RACE PREVIEW: DONCASTER MILE

DONCASTER MILE

Track: Randwick | Distance: 1600m | Condition: Hcp | Rail Position: True | Condition: Soft 7 | Prizemoney: $4,000,000

Rain forecast through the week and on Saturday.

A time-honoured major mile won in recent years by the likes of Winx, Sacred Falls, More Joyous, Kermadec, Happy Clapper & Brutal.

 

Historical Profiling (last 11 years)

• 2nd up (1), 3rd up (5), 4th up (4), 5th up (1)
• 14-day break (9), 21-day break (2)
• Leader (2), Settled 3rd-6th (2), Settled 10th-20th (6)
• 3yo (3), 4yo (3), 5yo (1), 6yo (3), 7yo (1)
• Colts (3), Geldings (4), Mares (3), Entires (1)
• 49kg-53kg (6), 55kg-57.5kg (5)
• Is a good form horse’s race. Last 11 winners have all finished 1st-4th at their last start, and 10 out of 11 finished in the first 5 at their 2nd and 3rd last starts.

SPEED MAP

Plenty of speed here with Gentleman Roy, Alligator Blood & Pride Of Jenni pushing forward.

Bandersnatch, Zougotcha, Protagonist, Lindermann, Mr Brightside likely handy.

Nugget, Kirwan’s Lane, Communist, Cepheus midfield.

Converge, Diamil, Hope In Your Heart, Golden Mile back of midfield.

Bankers Choice, Lions Roar, Fangirl, Mustang Valley, Duke De Sessa, Going Global tend to get back.

KEY RUNNERS

1. Alligator Blood – 5-time G1 winner who won the G1 Champions Mile for us in the Spring. Won the G1 Futurity first up and then 4th beaten 1.5L in the All Star Mile. Class runner with a big weight.

2. Mr Brightside – Won this race last year. Charged home for 5th and 2nd both beaten 1L in 1400m G1 races this prep before winning the All Star Mile for us last start. Zac Purton aboard here and rates highly.

5. Fangirl – Top class mare who has been racing in great form this prep. Wet tracks cruels her chances.

7. Converge – Dual G1 winner who beat Anamoe this track/distance as a 3yo. Ran a close 3rd in the George Ryder last start and drops sharply in weight here.

15. Hope In Your Heart – Strong win first up in the G2 Guy Walter Stakes then finished solidly for 4th in the G1 Coolmore Classic. Racing consistently.

16. Zougotcha – Won 3 in a row last prep culminating in the G1 Flight Stakes by 2.1L this track/distance. Won the G2 Phar Lap Stakes by 1L last start. Rates well here.

17. Protagonist – Won the G3 Sky High first up. Drops sharply in weight here and trainer has an amazing record here.

18. Cepheus – Jumps in class but is getting better each prep in Aus and was a strong winner last start at G2 level leading all the way.

20. Lindermann – 2nd in the G1 Randwick Guineas then won the Rosehill Guineas. Back to a mile suits here down in the weights.

21. Osipenko – Ran 3rd beaten 0.6L at 4th career start in the G1 Caulfield Guineas. Won the G2 Hobartville two starts ago then had a setback but solid when 7th beaten 1.5L in the George Ryder. Can win this.

SUMMARY

C Waller has a strong hand in this race and all of his 3yps, Osipneko, Zougotcha & Lindermann can win.
Mr Brightside just keeps improving. Won this last year and can easily do so again.
Protagonist & Converge weighted to give this a big shake.

DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS

21 – Osipenko
16 – Zougotcha
20 – Lindermann
2 – Mr Brightside
17 – Protagonist
7 – Converge

BETTING STRATEGY

BACK: #21 Osipenko (WIN) for 0.6 units

BACK: #16 Zougotcha (WIN) for 0.6 units

BACK: #2 Mr Brightside (WIN) for 0.6 units

BACK: #17 Protagonist (WIN) for 0.3 units

BACK: #7 Converge (WIN) for 0.3 units

RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 391.9
Units Returned: 410.1
Profit On Turnover: 4.7%

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