EXPERT GREYHOUND TIPS: ALBION PARK
Best Bets
Jaycin Campbell
LAY: 4. Uncle Dave (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $10.00)
Happy to take on Uncle Dave here. He’s untried over this distance and does like to cut aggressively to the rails. Box four isn’t ideal for this trait and he’s unlikely to have trialled over this distance let alone at Albion Park. His price doesn’t reflect his true winning chance tonight and he’s merely a victim of his great record.
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Jaycin Campbell
BACK: 6. Lost Signal (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)
Happy to be forgiving of Lost Signal’s last start effort where he was checked out of proceedings. Prior to this, he finished second to subsequent winner Hilde over this track and trip in 30.07. Despite box six appearing tricky on paper, he’s drawn to get clean air early with a noted railer underneath and a wide runner outside.
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ALBION PARK PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 12TH 2024
Albion Park is set to host a 10 race program on Thursday evening with the first to commence at 6:42PM local time. The meeting is headlined by four heats of the Publicans Cup featuring the likes of
Best Bets
Jaycin Campbell
LAY: 4. Uncle Dave (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $10.00)
Happy to take on Uncle Dave here. He’s untried over this distance and does like to cut aggressively to the rails. Box four isn’t ideal for this trait and he’s unlikely to have trialled over this distance let alone at Albion Park. His price doesn’t reflect his true winning chance tonight and he’s merely a victim of his great record.
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Jaycin Campbell
BACK: 6. Lost Signal (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)
Happy to be forgiving of Lost Signal’s last start effort where he was checked out of proceedings. Prior to this, he finished second to subsequent winner Hilde over this track and trip in 30.07. Despite box six appearing tricky on paper, he’s drawn to get clean air early with a noted railer underneath and a wide runner outside.
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8. Red Dirt Road
7. Valpolicella
4. First Picked
2. Venice Bale
Betting Strategy
Red Dirt Road has won seven of his past eight starts over this track and trip. He is the current benchmark in the QLD staying ranks and will be extremely hard to run down.
Valpolicella returns to QLD after competing in the G1 National Distance final in SA where she finished last. Despite winning her past few races at Albion Park, she has raced well below her best.
First Picked has finished in the top three at her past seven starts. Will get back and run on.
8. Villante
2. Jeremiah Fire
1. Gattlin Glass
3. Mystical Beck
Betting Strategy
Villante has hit a purple patch of form scoring three on the bounce. He is yet to place in four starts over the middle distance; however, is drawn well and has found a winnable race.
Jeremiah Fire was exceptional last fortnight but failed to repeat the dose last week finishing unplaced as an odds on favourite. Extremely hit and miss which makes his races hard to bet into.
Gattlin Glass fails to win; however, is always good for a place due to his strong run home.
1. I’m Old School
8. Amendola
5. Springtime Rose
4. Jewel Bee
Betting Strategy
I’m Old School won this fixture last week defeating all three of his rivals. Arguably he’d prefer a wider alley; however, he’s got two vacant boxes outside. His biggest danger is being tarty out which would allow Springtime Rose and Amendola to cross him. For this reason, I’m staying out of the race.
6. More Than Money
3. Mr. Springtime
1. Modern Swinger
4. Hilde
Betting Strategy
More Than Money has dominated this fixture over the past fortnight scoring by a combined 10 lengths breaking 30 seconds on both occasions.
Despite the positives, this is a different race shape tonight with Speed Zone drawn outside capable of matching him early and he’s desperate for the fence.
This is his toughest task to date and you’re forced to take a shorter quote off the back of his past two wins. Pass.
8. Saanvi
7. Speedy Scrub
5. Mrs. Musgrave
4. Serene Equity
Betting Strategy
BACK: 8. Saanvi (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)
Unsure how well Saanvi has returned from a break considering she’s unplaced in all three runs; however, in her defence, she has been shipped around quite a bit. All the same, this is the best set up she’s had for quite some time. This race is devoid of early speed which should allow Speedy Scrub to burst across the pack which will in turn, bring Saanvi into the race. Given she gets to the OSL position, she’s simply stronger and classier than the leader.
6. Bootin’ Boodie
1. Mumma’s Brew
5. Beach Bourbski
4. Uncle Dave
Betting Strategy
LAY: 4. Uncle Dave (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $10.00)
Happy to take on Uncle Dave here. He’s untried over this distance and does like to cut aggressively to the rails. Box four isn’t ideal for this trait and he’s unlikely to have trialled over this distance let alone at Albion Park. His price doesn’t reflect his true winning chance tonight and he’s merely a victim of his great record.
2. Autumn Storm
4. Duffman
1. Mean Girl
3. Pale Rider
Betting Strategy
Not a fan of this race at all.
Autumn Storm produced a career peak three starts ago, breaking the 30 second barrier for the first time. Has more upside than most.
Duffman has enormous ability but he doesn’t begin at Albion Park and races considerably better at Ipswich. Add in the squeeze box with a quick beginner underneath, it’s not ideal.
Mean Girl races well here but doesn’t win out of turn. Even if she was to lead this race, the Tzouvelis/Cutlack pair could still run her down.
2. Kia Kaha
1. Simpy Express
4. Extreme Tension
3. Shimmering Light
Betting Strategy
Plenty of speed in this contest which makes it tricky to map. Kia Kaha is clearly the class runner; however, if she doesn’t find a solo lead she can be vulnerable. Might not get that scenario tonight. Simply Express could get the drop on rivals and finish over the top but he isn’t trustworthy enough at Albion Park for my liking.
6. Lost Signal
5. Springtime Jet
7. Samurai Mind
4. Scintillate
Betting Strategy
BACK: 6. Lost Signal (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.00)
Happy to be forgiving of Lost Signal’s last start effort where he was checked out of proceedings. Prior to this, he finished second to subsequent winner Hilde over this track and trip in 30.07. Despite box six appearing tricky on paper, he’s drawn to get clean air early with a noted railer underneath and a wide runner outside.
8. Showpiece
2. Contract
4. Jupiter
1. Georgie Choo
Betting Strategy
Showpiece has been racing in superb order and was brilliant last week over the 600m where she ripped out some impressive early sections. A similar beginning would see her hard to hold out late.
Contract steps up to the 520m and has the speed to find the front from box two.
Jupiter is racing in fine fashion over the 431m at Ipswich. This distance is suitable and he can make it three on the bounce.
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