Racing Tips: Your Prediction Model

Betfair’s Data Science team have created a new quantitative model that provides exclusive horse racing tips for every meeting, every day.

The new predictive model uses stacked machine learning to predict the odds of each horse, relative to the field. These odds are then ranked from 1-5. The racing tips are shared below.

What Features Does The Model Use?

The new model uses a number of features which capture the “true” ability of the horse, jockey and trainer. It also uses the horse’s historical sectionals times to the 600m and from the 600m, compared to the benchmark. This rich data is exclusively sourced from Punting Form, one of the most complete horse racing sources you’ll ever find.

All of these features are compared to the next best horse’s statistics in the race, and an optimal weighting is assigned to each feature. The data also relies on historical BSP data from the Betfair Exchange.

How Should You Use It?

The top five outputs are a great comparison tool for your existing system. We’ll be re-iterating the model, sharing full field ratings and reporting on historic results by the end of 2019. Stay tuned.

Until then, please enjoy these racing tips and gamble responsibly.

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