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FEATURE PREVIEWS: VICTORIA DERBY

2023 VICTORIA DERBY OVERVIEW

Track: Flemington | Distance: 2500m | Type: G1 3YO SW | Rail Position: True | Track Condition: Good 4 | Predicted Track Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $2,000,000

No rain forecast so the track should be in perfect order over the carnival.

3yo staying classic won by the likes of Hitotsu, Warning, Ace High, Prized Icon, Tarzino, Preferment and Sangster.

2023 VICTORIA DERBY HISTORY (LAST 12 YEARS)

  • 3rd up (1/3), 4th up (1/42), 5th up (4/68), 6th up (5/48), 7th up (1/18)
  • 7-day break (5/52), 10-day break (1/51), 14-day break (4/59), 21-day break (1/13), 28-day break (1/5)
  • Career Starts 5-6 (7/72), 7-10 (2/70), 11-14 (3/7)
  • Career Wins 0-1 (5/112), 2-3 (7/67)
  • Barriers 1-7 (9 winners), Barriers 10-13 (3 winners)
  • Average prizemoney per start $10k+ (10 winners)
  • Total Prizemoney $60k+ (11/112), Under $60k (1/77)

2023 VICTORIA DERBY SPEED MAP

Speed here will come from Air Assault, Tokyo Run and Verdad.

Sacred Eagle, Gold Bullion & Sunsets can all race on-pace.

Riff Rocket, Bulawayo, To Be Frank, Mercante worse than midfield.

Roguery, Make A Call, Gates, Apulia, Warialda Warrior & Kosgei out the back.

2023 VICTORIA DERBY KEY RUNNERS

Apulia – Got back in the Norman Robinson but hit the line well for 4th, then strong winning the Vase by 1.9L last week. Racing 3 weeks in a row here.

Air Assault – Won the Hill Stakes by 3.4L then led the Vase and stuck on well for 3rd. Can win here.

Riff Rocket – Impressed winning the Super Impose by 5.4L then 2nd beaten a nose in the sprint home off a slow speed in the Norman Robinson. Rates highly.

Sunsets – Hit the line strongly for 4th in the Super Impose then led and won the Norman Robinson in sprint home. Drawn wide here.

Gold Bullion – Won over 1800m at Flemington then flopped in the Norman Robinson but was vetted pre race. Could bounce back without surprising.

TOP 5 SELECTIONS

4 – Riff Rocket

1 – Apulia

3 – Air Assault

7 – Gold Bullion

5 – Sunsets

BETTING STRATEGIES

Riff Rocket the one to beat but can’t be taking 5/4 in a VRC Derby.

Apulia rates well but races 3 weeks in a row here.

The value lies with Air Assault, Gold Bullion & Sunsets.

BACK: #3 Air Assault (WIN) for 0.5 units

BACK: #7 Gold Bullion (WIN) for 0.3 units

BACK: #5 Sunsets (WIN) for 0.3 units

DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS (BETFAIR SP)

BIG WINNERS

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

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