EMPIRE ROSE STAKES
Track: Flemington | Distance: 1600m | Type: G1, Weight for Age | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4 (Predicted Good 4) | Prizemoney: $1,000,000
No rain forecast so the track should be in perfect order over the carnival.
G1 mile won in recent years by some A grade mares including Melody Belle, Red Tracer, Appearance, Shout The Bar, Colette and 3yos Shoals and I Am A Star.
EMPIRE ROSE HISTORY (PAST 12 YEARS)
- 3rd up (4), 4th up (4), 5th up (1), 6th up (3)
- 7-day break (2), 14-day break (5), 21-day break (4), 28-day break (1)
- Age 3yo (2), 4yo (2), 5yo (4), 6yo (3), 7yo (1)
- SP $3.80-$8.50 (5), SP $11-$41 (7)
- Barriers 1-7 (1/84), Barriers 8-13 (11/95)
EMPIRE ROSE SPEED MAP
Plenty of speed expected here.
Pride Of Jenni & Wishlor Lass likely push across to lead.
Wrote To Arataki, Ausbred Flirt, Alcohol Free, Deny Knowledge & Princess Grace all settle handy.
Life Lessons, Jennilala & Hinged map midfield.
Barbie’s Fox, Foxy Frida, More Secrets should be back of midfield.
Renaissance Woman, Atishu, Hope In Your Heart & Shuffle Dancer out the back.
EMPIRE ROSE KEY RUNNERS
1. Alcohol Free – 3-time G1 winner in the UK. Ran a good 4th in the Invitation last start only beaten 0.9L when on a strong speed.
2. Princess Grace – Has raced consistently well this prep but last run was below par.
3. Hope In Your Heart – Has been going well this prep, only beaten 2L in the Epsom Handicap, then ran good late sectionals in the King Charles. Inside draw not ideal for her.
4. Atishu – Ran 5th in this race last year beaten 2L. Going better now. Ran 2nd to Espiona in the Golden Pendant running similar late sectionals, then wide no cover in the King Charles but ran better than form reads. The one to beat.
5. Hinged – Has been solid this prep. Not flying but has the trainer, jockey, draw, map to figure. Blinkers off here.
7. Renaissance Woman – Flying this prep. Won the Angst Stakes two starts back then 2nd beaten a nose in the Craven Plate. Can figure here.
8. Barbie’s Fox – Another who is flying. 4th beaten 1.3L in the Epsom Handicap then 2nd beaten a head in the Ladies Vase after racing wide no cover. Trainer/jockey combo strong. Flemington record not good.
12. Life Lessons – Consistent type who held off Princess Grance to win G2 here last start. 2nd to Amelia’s Jewel the start before. Rates well.
13. Shuffle Dancer – Keeps improving each run this prep. Big track over a mile should suit. Inside draw a shame.
14. Wishlor Lass – Has led past two starts at Caulfield & Moonee Valley to win at G3 level both times. Should be in it a long way.
15. Ausbred Flirt – 2nd in the Angst then 5th beaten 1.6L in The Invitiation.
16. More Secrets – Ran 3rd in the Queen Of The Turf G1 last prep. Ran the quickest late sectionals in the Angst last start when 3rd. Wish she had drawn wider but can win.
EMPIRE ROSE TOP 6 CHANCES
4 – Atishu
5 – Hinged
16 – More Secrets
12 – Life Lessons
7 – Renaissance Woman
8 – Barbie’s Fox
BETTING STRATEGY
Atishu looks the one to beat here.
Hinged, More Secrets, Life Lessons and Renaissance Woman all profile well enough to win at odds.
BACK 4 – Atishu 1.0u win
BACK 5 – Hinged 0.5u win
BACK 16 – More Secrets 0.5u win
BACK 12 – Life Lessons 0.5u win
BACK 7 – Renaissance Woman 0.5u win
BACK 8 – Barbie’s Fox 0.5u win
DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS
Big Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar ($32.60)
2020 Melbourne Cup:Twilight Payment ($28.26)
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier ($23)
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run ($19.50)
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar ($18.95)
2021 Autumn Stakes: Poland ($18)
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone ($15)