JLT One Day Cup 2018: Expert Previews

The JLT Cup is the one day competition for all state sides in Australia and the start of the Summer of Cricket. The Analysts will be previewing select games throughout the tournament, giving their best selection for the match as well.

The Betfair Hub has plenty of Cricket Strategies regarding the best ways to approach all forms of cricket when it comes to betting. Go where the value is and get great odds for cricket on the Betfair Exchange.

Wednesday October 10, 10:30am AEDT, Junction Oval

Tasmania will be looking to claim a fifth domestic one-day title when they travel to Melbourne to take on Victoria in the final of the 2018 JLT One-Day Cup at Junction Oval on Wednesday.

After finishing second on the ladder the Tigers steamrolled into the decider with a comprehensive six-wicket win over Queensland in their semi-final on Saturday at Drummoyne Oval. After winning the toss and electing to field first, Tassie made light work of the Bulls’ batting line-up, routing them for just 177 with new recruit Gurinder Sandhu (2/14 off nine overs) enjoying his best performance since moving across from New South Wales.

Although the Tasmanians made a shaky start to the chase, slumping to 3/39, they were steadied by an unbeaten stand of 128 between evergreen skipper George Bailey (70 not out off 97 balls) and all-rounder Simon Milenko (57 not out off 68 balls) which allowed them to breeze home in the 38th over.

Victoria secured their place in the finale by upsetting the previously unbeaten Western Australia, thanks largely to a dominant performance with the bat in which they racked up 332 off the back of half-centuries from captain Peter Handscomb (80 off 73 balls), opener Marcus Harris (73 off 49 balls) and talented left-hander Nic Maddinson (58 off 63 balls).

Although the Warriors threatened to run down the sizeable target, reaching 1/121 in the 18th over, they collapsed to be all out for 269 with Maddinson claiming a shock 4/29 with his part-time spin. The market is finding it hard to split the two sides, however with a superior number of match-winners in their side, I favour the Bushrangers to take out the big one.

Key Stats

  • Tasmania have lost their last two domestic one-day finals.
  • The Victorian squad contains six players with international one-day experience.
  • The Tasmanian squad contains just three players with international one-day experience.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Back Victoria at 1.90 or better for 1 unit.

Western Australia v Victoria

Sunday October 7, 10:30am AEST, Junction Oval

Western Australia will be looking to take another step towards regaining their crown when they clash with Victoria in the second semi-final at the Junction Oval on Sunday.

The Warriors completed the group stages undefeated after they breezed past Tasmania by five wickets at Hurstville Oval last Monday. After winning the toss and electing to field the defending champions were indebted to leg-spinner Usman Qadir whose tight spell of 2/40 off ten overs kept the Tigers to a respectable total of 8/290.

Half-centuries at the top of the order to Josh Phillipe (50 off 33 balls) and Darcy Short (63 off 61 balls) kick-started Western Australia’s chase, before Marcus Stoinis rammed home the advantage with a brutal 93 not out off just 49 deliveries, allowing the Warriors to reach the target with a whopping 57 balls remaining.

Victoria’s spot in the last four was secured after their qualifying final with New South Wales was abandoned due to inclement weather. Leading run-scorer Cameron White was ruled out of that match with a groin strain and with the veteran having carved out 244 runs at an average of 48.80 in this year’s tournament they will be sweating on his inclusion for this must-win encounter.

However the biggest disparity here is between the bowling units with the Warriors boasting a near-international strength attack, while Victoria have chopped and changed between several options which is why I give the Warriors the edge in this one.

Key Stats

  • Western Australia have won their last seven domestic one-day matches.
  • Victoria have lost both matches they have played at Junction Oval in this year’s tournament.
  • Western Australia have conceded 4.81 runs an over this tournament whereas Victoria have conceded 5.58 runs an over.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Western Australia at 1.62 or better for 2 units.

Tasmania v Queensland

Saturday October 6, 2:00pm AEST, Drummoyne Oval

The first semi-final of this season’s JLT One-Day Cup sees surprise packets Tasmania up against a resurgent Queensland at Drummoyne Oval on Saturday.

Tasmania secured a top-two finish despite a last-start loss to defending champions Western Australia at Hurstville Oval. After being sent in to bat the Tigers made a promising start via an opening stand of 71 to Matthew Wade (33 off 30 balls) and the in-form Ben McDermott (76 off 77 balls), however the their middle-order failed to build on that platform, with the exception of skipper George Bailey (79 off 88 balls) as they reached 290/8 from their 50 overs.

That score was no match for the Warriors on the friendly Hurstville surface as they strolled home in the 41st over with new Tasmanian recruit Gurinder Sandhu conceding an alarming 83 off nine overs.

Queensland qualified for the last four after knocking out South Australia courtesy of an explosive performance with the bat as Sam Heazlett (83 off 59 balls), Joe Burns (80 not out off 77 balls) and captain Jimmy Peirson (70 off 49 balls) elevated them to an impressive 5/363 at North Sydney Oval on Wednesday.

In a high-scoring affair the Redbacks threatened to run down the immense target, at one stage reaching 3/258, however a tight spell from young spinner Matthew Kuhnemann (3/60 off 10 overs) helped the Bulls get over the line by 24 runs.

With both sides featuring exciting batting units and questionable bowling attacks, I’d expect to see plenty of runs again in this one, especially in the opening ten overs.

Key Stats

  • Tasmania have scored an average of 62 in the first 10 overs in this tournament.
  • Queensland have scored 60 runs or more in the first 10 overs in five out of six matches in this tournament.
  • Tasmania have conceded an average of 61 in the first 10 overs in this tournament.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – 1st Innings 10 Over Total 60 Runs or more at 2.00 or better for 1 unit.

Victoria v New South Wales

Thursday October 4, 2:00pm AEST, Drummoyne Oval

A semi-final against an unbeaten Western Australia side awaits the winner of Thursday’s clash between fourth-placed Victoria and fifth-placed New South Wales at Drummoyne Oval.

Victoria missed the chance to secure a top-two spot when they went down to South Australia at Junction Oval on Sunday. A handy spell from returning leg-spinner Fawad Ahmed helped restrict the Redbacks to 7/265 from their 50 overs, although the Bushrangers let them off the hook somewhat after reducing the RedBacks to 2/30 in the ninth over.

Victoria’s chase looked very comfortable when experienced pair Cameron White (81 off 102 balls) and Peter Handscomb (64 off 73 balls) moved them to 2/178, however the remainder of the innings fell away as they were bowled out for 257.

Meanwhile New South Wales managed to drag themselves of the bottom of the ladder with five wickets to off-spinner Chris Green (5/53 off 10 overs) curbing Queensland’s aggressive batting unit and keeping them to 296 at Drummoyne on Monday.

A 2/17 in reply, the outlook was bleak for the Blues, however the match was turned on its head by an incredible 237-run stand between rookie opener Jack Edwards (116 off 112 balls) and former captain Moises Henriques (134 not out off 134 balls) which allowed the home side to cruise home in the 46th over with six wickets in hand.

With plenty of rain forecast in Sydney on Thursday, it’s hard to take a view on match odds before seeing who wins the toss and the real value may lie in there not being a match at all.

Key Stats

  • Two of the past three matches between Victoria and New South Wales have been shortened with the side batting second winning both.
  • Victoria have lost their last three matches when batting second.
  • New South Wales have won only one of their past four matches when batting first.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Whichever team wins the toss at 1.80 or better for 1 unit.

 LAY – Completed Match Yes at 1.20 or shorter for 1 unit.

South Australia v Queensland

Wedneday October 3, 12:00pm AEST, North Sydney Oval

The finals stage of the JLT One-Day Cup gets underway on Wednesday when South Australia take on Queensland at North Sydney Oval.

South Australia claimed third spot on the ladder with a courageous comeback against Victoria at the Junction Oval. Batting first a wonderful century from veteran Callum Ferguson (133 off 125 balls) lifted the Redbacks to a competitive 7/265 from their 50 overs. However the Croweaters looked to be heading for a fourth defeat with the Bushrangers cruising at 2/178 in reply before an incisive spell from Joe Mennie (3/38 off 10 overs) dragged South Australia back into the contest and they eventually claimed a tense eight-run win.

Queensland were not so lucky as they went down to New South Wales at Drummoyne Oval on Monday despite a second century in the tournament to Chris Lynn (135 off 113 balls) which elevated them to a strong total of 296. When the Blues slumped to 2/17 it seemed that the Bulls would drag themselves off the bottom of the ladder however a third-wicket partnership of 237 drove the hosts to victory and consigned Queensland to sixth place. Although they completed the regular rounds with only one win, the Bulls contain an aggressive batting line-up which makes them an attractive proposition on this ground and at this price.

Key Stats

  • Queensland’s top three batsmen all boast strike rates in excess of 100 in this year’s tournament.
  • None of South Australia’s top-order batsmen have a strike rate over 100 in this year’s tournament.
  • South Australia are yet to win consecutive matches in this year’s tournament.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Back Queensland at 2.20 or better for 1 unit.

Victoria v South Australia

Sunday September 30, 10:00am AEST, Junction Oval

After both suffering last start defeats, Victoria and South Australia will be looking to bounce back and keep their top-two hopes alive when they clash at Junction Oval on Sunday.

The Bushrangers crashed to defeat against tournament favourites Western Australia here on Wednesday, going down by six wickets. After winning the toss and electing to bat, the hosts slumped to 2/11 before captain Peter Handscomb continued his renaissance with a fighting 57, although his dismissal triggered a collapse of 5/52 as Victoria were bowled out for 200. A Warriors opening partnership of 90 snuffed out any chance of an unlikely Bushrangers win, with the visitors breezing home in the 29th over after meting out plenty of punishment on paceman Wes Agar (0/62 off 6.3 overs).

South Australia suffered their second consecutive loss when they could only muster 7/236 batting first against Tasmania off the back of a punchy 79 to opener Jake Weatherald. At one point the Tigers appeared to be coasting to victory at 2/156 but a late Redbacks fightback led by Kane Richardson (2/46 off 10 overs and a run out) pushed the match all the way to the penultimate over where Tasmania prevailed with three wickets in hand. Although the market fancies Victoria, I believe the Redbacks’ superior bowling attack will give them the edge in this one.

Key Stats

  • South Australia have three batsmen averaging over 50 in this tournament, whilst Victoria have none.
  • Victoria’s bowlers have a combined 14 ODI caps.
  • South Australia’s bowlers have a combined 51 ODI caps.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – South Australia at 2.15 or better for 2 units.

Victoria v Western Australia

Wedneday September 26, 10:00am AEST, Junction Oval

Two of the hottest sides in the JLT One-Day Cup will face off when Victoria host Western Australia at the Junction Oval on Wednesday.

Victoria claimed their second win of the tournament by comfortably accounting for New South Wales by 66 runs at North Sydney Oval on Sunday. After being sent in to bat Bushrangers stalwart Cameron White continued his love affair with North Sydney, belting 123 off 139 balls, while captain Peter Handscomb also made a welcome return to form with 89 off just 79 deliveries as the Victorians racked up an impressive 327.

A clever spell from rookie left-arm quick Jackson Coleman (5/39 off seven overs) sealed the victory for the visitors, as they dismissed the Blues for 261 in 42 overs. Western Australia remained unbeaten by taking care of South Australia at the WACA last Saturday, thanks largely to three wickets to returning quick Nathan Coulter-Nile (3/49 off ten overs) which helped restrict the Redbacks to 9/237.

A half-century to ‘keeper Josh Inglis (50 off 63 balls), complemented by 47 to captain Ashton Turner and an unbeaten 43 from pocket-rocket Jono Wells ensured the Warriors strolled home with five wickets in hand in the 46th over. Although the Victorians are on home soil, Western Australia have more pedigree across the board so I fancy them to get the job done here and maintain that undefeated record.

Key Stats

  • Victoria have five players in their squad who have played limited overs cricket for Australia.
  • However Western Australia have eight players in their squad who have played limited overs cricket for Australia.
  • Of the nine Western Australians to have batted in this year’s tournament, six have a strike-rate above 90.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Western Australia at 1.85 or better for 2 units.

New South Wales v Tasmania

Tuesday September 25, 2:00pm AEST, North Sydney Oval

After dropping their first three matches, New South Wales face a tough task to get their tournament back on track when they take on the unbeaten Tasmanians at North Sydney Oval on Tuesday.

Despite the competition moving to home soil, the Blues still couldn’t find a win as they were overrun by Victoria to the tune of 66 runs at this ground on Sunday. After winning the toss and electing to field first the hosts struggled to contain the Bushrangers as they steamrolled to 2/245 after 41 overs before some late wickets to Sean Abbott (5/70 off 10 overs) restricted Victoria to a still imposing 327.

A belligerent 77 off 67 balls from former captain Moses Henriques steered the Blues to 3/147 in reply, however they proceeded to lose their remaining seven wickets for just 114 to slump to 261 all out.Meanwhile Tasmania made it two from two despite conceding a sizeable 6/316 against Queensland, with youngster Riley Meredith picking up an impressive 3/62 off ten overs.

Opener Ben McDermott showcased his class and power with 117 at the top of the order, supported ably by Jordan Silk’s 85, before an unbeaten 50 off just 29 balls from all-rounder Simon Milenko saw the Tigers home with an over to spare and four wickets in hand. Although question marks remain over the effectiveness of Tasmania’s attack, their superior form make them impossible to ignore at this price.

Key Stats

  • New South Wales have yet to bat out their 50 overs in this year’s tournament.
  • No New South Wales bowler is averaging under 30 in this year’s tournament.
  • Tasmania have five batsmen averaging 40 or better in this year’s tournament.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Back Tasmania at 1.90 or better for 1 unit.

Western Australia v South Australia

Saturday 22nd September, 4:00pm AEST, WACA

After both registering wins to kick off the competition, last year’s finalists Western Australia and South Australia will do battle at the WACA on Saturday.

Western Australia’s title defence got off to strong start with an ultimately comfortable win over New South Wales at the WACA on Tuesday. The Warriors’ highly credentialed bowling attack showed their wares by restricting the Blues to just 204 with canny Australian international Andrew Tye and promising 19-year-old Cameron Green claiming three wickets apiece.

Although WA experienced some early jitters in reply, slumping to 2-9, they were steadied by a half-century to debutant opener Josh Phillipe (59 off 59 balls) before captain Ashton Turner saw them home in brutal fashion, murdering 70 off just 55 deliveries to ensure the hosts claimed a bonus point by reaching the target in the 33rd over.

South Australia matched their opponents efforts by also registering a bonus point win over New South Wales at the WACA on Thursday. Bowling first the Redbacks took wickets at regular intervals to eventually dismiss the Blues for 241 with discarded Australian leg-spinner Adam Zampa picking up the impressive figures of 3/37 off ten overs.

Last season’s runners-up also lost a couple of early wickets, however a magnificent knock of 106 not out from opener Jake Weatherald, complemented by a steady 87 to new captain Jake Lehmann wiped out any hopes the Blues had of an unlikely victory as the South Australians cruised home with seven wickets in hand and 70 balls remaining.

Although the Warriors will start favourites, I like the balance and experience of the South Australians and will be backing them to overcome the home side in this one.

Key Stats

  • Western Australia have won seven of their past eight domestic one-day matches.
  • South Australia have won six of their past eight domestic one-day matches.
  • South Australia have won five of their past sixes matches when batting first.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – South Australia at $2.25 or better for 1 unit.

New South Wales v Victoria

Saturday 23rd September, 9:30am AEST, North Sydney Oval

Following two bonus point defeats to start the tournament, New South Wales will be desperate to get their campaign back on track when they take on Victoria at North Sydney Oval on Sunday.

In their opening two games the Blues have been found wanting, particularly with the bat as they have failed to complete their 50 overs in both matches, being dismissed for 204 and 245. Opener Daniel Hughes showed some promising form with an elegant 79 against South Australia, while all-rounders Jack Edwards and Daniel Sams have exhibited an ability to find the boundary but need their top-order to contribute more.

Sams has also been New South Wales’ best with the ball, highlighted by figures of 3/46 against Western Australia and the Blues’ attack has been bolstered by the inclusion of Chris Green and Ben Dwarshuis to the squad.

Victoria have split their first two matches, firstly edging out Queensland by 13 runs off the back of a thumping 80 from Glenn Maxwell and five wickets to emerging quick Will Sutherland. However on Wednesday they went down to Tasmania by 65 runs despite a crisp 69 off 73 balls at the top of the order from Marcus Harris as their attack leaked an alarming 8/321.

Both bowling units have shown some susceptibility in the opening stages of the competition, however it is Victoria’s more explosive batting line-up that should be able to better exploit the generous boundaries at North Sydney Oval so I’ll be backing the Bushrangers in this one.

Key Stats

  • Western Australia have won seven of their past eight domestic one-day matches.
  • South Australia have won six of their past eight domestic one-day matches.
  • South Australia have won five of their past sixes matches when batting first.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Back Victoria at 1.60 or better for 2 units.

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