Greyhound Racing Tips: Expert Previews

Welcome to our Greyhound Racing Tips page. Our Greyhound Analysts will be previewing the biggest group races across the racing calendar, also giving their best selections for the race with a preview on every single runner.

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Thursday – May 24th

Distance: 515m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 28.951 seconds (17/3/2016)


Field and Stats

Mepunga Frankie Best 29.62 (2/5/19). Runner up in heat in 29.73 with a 1st split of 5.17. 3 wins and 2 placings from 7 starts over this trip. 1 start for 1 win this draw. Least experienced chaser in field (12 starts). First Group race final.

Her heat run was very good and she hit the line really well but at this stage of her career she is making a few mistakes in the early part of races. In her heat run she never seemed comfortable being on the inside and looked to spear off at the first turn. She was lucky she didn’t find a stack of bother. I can’t see her winning.

Poise Best 29.57 (14/2/19). Runner up in heat with a time of 29.69, 1st split of 5.10. 1 win from 5 starts here but has never missed a placing. Been in the money in 29 of 39 career starts. Has had 9 starts from this box for 1 win and 4 placings.

She could run a cheeky little race here as she looks to map really well. She is gutsy and has the ability to shake off her opponents when she finds the front and this distance range is no problem at all. She looks a great knock out chance here and could hit $20+ on the exchange. A small saver is a must.

Militant Spirit  Best 29.66. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.07. 3 wins and 3 placings from 8 starts from this draw. 1 win from 3 starts over this track and trip. Has won her past three starts.

She has been a real surprise packed in recent starts and seems to be getting better. I don’t think she has the ability to run the time required to win this but she could make or break the race at the first turn. She courses very wide in her races so she could wreak havoc at the first turn if she spears off and takes a few of her opponents out.

Crimson Vixen Best 29.54 (14/3/19). Led all the way in heat in 29.68. Ran 5.05 1st split in heat (second quickest). Only 1 start from this draw for 1 win. Been in the money in her past 10 starts.

She is very reliable chaser and still has a stack of upside. She may very well be leading clearly at the first turn and if there was any trouble behind her she could be in it for a long way. At this stage of her career I doubt she has the strength required to win it. I am confident that if any of Poise, Neo Cleo or Zipping Bailey landed any closer than 5 lengths behind her at the staying boxes I am very confident they would run her down. I will be laying.

Go Seek Heidi Best 29.51 (4/2/18). Runner up in heat in  29.45. 1st split of 5.09. 2 wins and 2 placings from 10 starts this draw. Has had 71 career starts for 14 wins but has not won since late January.

This draw looks very awkward for her with Neo Cleo railing and Crimson Vixen going straight and with pace. It is very hard to recommend her from this draw.

Neo Cleo Best 29.23. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.00 (quickest).  3 wins and 4 unplaced runs from this draw. Has amassed 32 career wins (most in field). 7 wins and 3 placings from 16 starts track and trip. 2018 Sale Cup winner.

Her first split and overall performance in her heat run was breathtaking. If she can nail the start again this week she will be very hard to beat. Crimson Vixen and Militant Spirit may be her undoing if she doesn’t begin as quickly and may cause her grief at the first turn. For that reason I won’t be on her but there would be no shock if she saluted the judge here. She will very likely start favorite on the exchange but I am not prepared to lay her.

Zipping Bailey Best 29.53. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.26 (slowest). 2 wins and 1 placing from 3 starts this draw. Been in the money in 29 of 35 career starts. 2019 Group 1 Golden Easter Egg winner at Wentworth Park.

Even though she didn’t run scintillating time it was as professional as they come and she was closer to the lead at the first turn than anticipated. She may be even more comfortable around the circuit this week as last week was her first start here. The draw does look tricky on paper but she may end up being aided by missing the start and crossing over to the rail. She can then click through the gears and power home to victory.

Miss Innings Best 29.92 (14/6/18). Runner up in heat in 29.99 with a 1st split of 5.09. Only 1 win from 12 starts from this draw. Oldest chaser in field. Most experienced chaser in field with 103 career starts.

She is still racing really well but at this stage of her career this race is beyond her.

Dam Slippery 1st emergency. No best time. 3rd in heat with a time of 29.68. 1st split of 5.14. Been in the money in her past 5 starts. Has won from every box except Box 6.

She is a real competitor and uses her early speed to full advantage. The box draw probably wouldn’t matter as she would get forward anyway but she doesn’t have the strength to win this.

Rixy Ya Pest 2nd emergency. Best 29.47 (28/3/19). 3rd in heat with a time of 29.77. 1st split of 5.14. 4 wins and a third from 11 starts over this trip. Has won from every box.

I thought she had every chance in her heat run. If she gains a start she would be better suited to an inside draw but it’s a no from me.


Top Selections

1st – Sennachie (6)
2nd – King Cratos (2)
3rd – Broken Loose (1)


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN: Zipping Bailey (7) > $3.30 (2 units)

 BACK- WIN: Poise (2) > $20.00 (0.5 units)

 LAY- WIN: Crimson Vixen (4) < $6.00 (2 units)

Thursday – May 24th

Distance: 515m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 28.951 seconds (17/3/2016)


Field and Stats

Southern Ripple Best 29.19 (28/2/19).Won his heat in 29.50 with a 1st split of 5.11. This is the only box he has yet to win from but only had this draw once in 29 starts. 2 wins and a third from 5 starts over this trip.

He really caught the eye in his heat win but the cherry draw is not ideal for this chaser. He needs some early room to accelerate and wants to run to the crown of the track. This could be a recipe for trouble here. If he was $6 or skinnier you would consider laying but if he is closer to double figures at the jump I am happy to not be involved.

Go Seek Fernando Best 29.43 (8/4/18). Won heat in 29.81. 1st split of 5.19. 5 wins and 6 placings over this track and trip. Second most experienced chaser over this course and distance (16 starts). Only missed a placing once from this draw (4 starts).

Even though he has an inside draw, this draw looks very tricky. Orson Allen will be zooming across and Southern Ripple tends to take a right hand turn at box rise and doesn’t like to be pressured. This could lead to some trouble here and I am looking elsewhere.

Spearhead Best 29.45 (3/3/19). Runner up in heat in 29.63, 1st split of 5.16. Has never raced from this draw. 5 wins and 2 placings from 10 starts over this track and trip. First Group race final. Recent runner up in Speed Star Consolation event.

He can be moderate away and he cannot afford to make any mistakes here. He is the category of being a dog to follow but at this stage of his career I don’t think he has the class to win this.

Orson Allen Best 29.14. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.01 (quickest). 8 wins and 4 placings from 15 starts here . 2 wins and 3 unplaced runs from this draw. 2019 Cranbourne, Perth & Horsham Cup winner. Multiple Group race finalist.

He is a brilliant beginner and is definitely more hit than miss at box rise. His heat win was simply sensational and the three dogs drawn underneath him aren’t blessed with high speed early. In theory, he just needs to begin as he normally does and he should be able to find the rail and prove too good.

Slingshot Hammer Best 29.32. Ran this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.12.  3 wins and 1 placing from 8 starts from this draw. Only missed a placing 4 times from 15 start over this track and trip. Runner up in 2019 Mount Gambier Cup.

He is one of the most consistent chasers in the country. He is very reliable early and he will give himself every chance by finding a forward position. He hasn’t been finishing his races as strongly as he was several months ago so he may need some trouble behind him in order to hold on and win.

Dyna Unther No best winning time. Runner up in heat in 29.42. 1st split of 5.10. Least experienced chaser in field with 8 career starts. Has never raced from this draw previously. 0 wins in 4 starts track and distance.

Another with a tricky draw. Although he seems to race well from wide draws at The Meadows, he has yet to replicate those efforts at Sandown Park. He has the Dailly factor going for him and he will be trained to the minute but I prefer others here.

Flynn Best 29.08 (5/5/17). Runner up in heat in 29.16 with 1st split of 5.06. 2 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts here. Undefeated from this draw in 3 starts. Recent Bill Collins Speed Star winner over this distance.

He looks primed to run a big race here and has the most upside of any chaser in this field. The draw is of slight concern, Dyna Unther and Slingshot Hammer could cause him some grief off the mat. If he can get a clear run to the first turn he is right in this.

Blackjack Neo Best 29.74 (22/10/17). Runner up in heat in 29.41. 1st split of 5.26. The veteran of the field with 67 starts and most experienced over this trip. Been in the money 9 times from 14 starts this draw. Only missed a placing once in 20 starts here.

He has an uncanny knack of landing in a great spot and he seems immune to getting checked. If he hits the lead too early he tends to have a real think about but in a field of this quality he will be chasing hard and should not be forgotten about. He could find his way into the placings.

Crackerjack Skip 1st emergency. Best 29.61 (26/8/18). Ran 3rd in heat in time of 29.54. 1st split of 5.12. 5 wins and 4 thirds from 14 starts over this track and trip.

He would need a rails draw if he gains a start here to be any chance of figuring in the finish. He can be a little inconsistent in recent runs and hasn’t won a race since December. Not for me.

Pants On Fire  2nd emergency. Best 29.49 (18/10/18). Ran third in heat with a time of 29.66. 1st split of 5.21. 3 wins and 3 placings from 11 starts this trip.

He can show consistent early pace but has never quite had the goods at distances over 500 metres. He would need a miracle to win this.


Top Selections

1st – Orson Allen (4)
2nd – Flynn (7)
3rd – Blackjack Neo (8)


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN: Orson Allen (4) > $2.00 (3 units)

 BACK – PLACE: Blackjack Neo (8) > $4 (0.5 units)


Betfair is a low margin exchange, just like Airbnb. We create markets for punters to take on punters. And we want winners.


Previous Meetings

Thursday – May 9th

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Mepunga Blazer 29.41 (28/6/2018)


Field and Stats

Broken Loose Best 30.17. Ran this time in heat  with a 1st split of 5.63. 6 wins and 3 placings from 16 career starts. 3 wins and 1 placing from this draw from 4 starts.

He was the beneficiary of Bad Benny and Sennachie constantly bumping during the heat run and he made the most of it by roaring home down the outside to win by a lip. He has the same draw here and I could see a similar thing happening. He does tend to run wide on the turns so he was lucky not to find any trouble at the first turn last week. I cannot rule him out here.

King Cratos Best 29.92. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.65. 8 wins and 3 placings from 13 career starts. Only 1 start this draw for a second at Wentworth Park.

He was only average away in his heat but showed great courage at the first turn to push through strongly. He had hit the lead by the 600 metre boxes to power away from his rivals. He looks to have the best draw in the race and if he can avoid the red at the first turn there should be no excuses here.

Galway Johann Best 30.19 (13/12/18). Ran second in heat in 30.21, 1st split of 5.70. 10 wins and 7 placings from 28 career starts. 4 runs from this draw for 1 win and 3 unplaced runs.

He met plenty of traffic issues early in his heat and his last 300 metres was excellent. He really caught the eye and could be a blowout chance at huge odds but would need to begin more cleanly here.

Onions O’Reilly Best 30.13. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.73. Most experienced chaser in field with 42 career starts for 10 wins and 18 placings. Been in the money in his last 8 starts. Only 1 placing and 3 unplaced 4 starts this draw.

He stormed home to win his heat along the fence, it was a great win. Again the box draw has done him no favours. His experience could take him a long way here and I think he could be right in the finish if he does everything right.

Painted Picture Best 30.00 (20/12/18). Ran second in heat in 30.17, 1st split of 5.60. 9 wins and 9 placings from 20 career starts. Only one start from this draw for a third.

He can be pacy early but was no match for King Cratos in his heat. Obviously this is now a deeper race and from a tricky draw I can’t see him winning this.

Sennachie No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.18 with a 1st split of 5.53. Only missed a placing twice in 14 career starts. Only had the 1 start at this track. Has never had a race start from Box 6. Best winning form Boxes 1-4.

There is no doubt he is the class runner of the field and by process of elimination I am going with him to win here as I believe he still has upside. He looked a little lost throughout last week and was inches away from finding the rail at the first turn but couldn’t quite get there. He finally got going late and just missed the win. I am hoping there is a higher likelihood he can find the rail here and show his true class.

Bad Benny Best 30.02 (25/4/19). Ran third in heat in 30.31 with a 1st split of 5.53 (PB). 5 wins and 9 placings from 17 starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from 2 starts from this draw.

He was an absolute menace to Sennachie in his heat run, wherever Sennachie went this chaser was right there. They ended up being each other’s undoing. This time he is on the outside of Sennachie so  the early stages of this race will be fascinating. This will be a tough ask from the wide draw and place hopes look best.

Defy Best 30.41 (3/10/18). Ran third in heat in 30.27 with a 1st split of 5.86 (slowest). 9 wins and 5 placings from 16 career starts. 2 career starts from Box 8 for 1 win and 1 placing.

He walked out in his heat and cannot afford to do that here, especially from the outside draw. The only way I can him winning was if there was a stack of trouble at the first turn and he railed through.

Copy Workshop 1st emergency. Best 30.24 (25/4/19). Ran 3rd in heat in 30.36. 1st split of 5.61. 7 wins and 10 placings from 26 career starts.

He can show early pace and would be better suited to an inside draw if he gains a start. He would probably need some trouble behind in order to win this.

Wildash Jakey 2nd emergency. Best 30.31 (10/1/19). Ran 3rd in heat in 30.36. 1st split of 5.53.  2 wins and 5 placings from 14 career starts.

He showed great early pace in his heat and got very tired in the closing stages. He tries hard but I couldn’t see him winning.


Top Selections

1st – Sennachie (6)
2nd – King Cratos (2)
3rd – Broken Loose (1)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Sennachie (6) > $2.60 (3 units)

The Racecallers Speed Star Matches 1-4, 595 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. Apex Within (Box 1)
He has a massive engine and he was only 4.5 lengths off Dyna Chancer at the Meadows last start. He may not lead early but I expect a powerful finishing burst to get the win here.
2. Ask Me Now (Box 3)

He was superb in winning over this distance at Geelong recently but he would be better suited off the inside draw here and although he is a quality chaser, his opponent is better suited to the format.

 BACK – Apex Within (2 units) at > $1.50

MATCH UP 2

3. Annie Lava (Box 1)
Although I am only having a throw at the stumps here, she is suited by the inside draw and has 700 metre race form so she will keep coming late. She had no luck here over this trip last start and can improve.
4. Neo Cleo (Box 3)
She might be getting to a silly price here to have a small set against her for minimal risk. If she gets to $1.18 or less a small lay bet otherwise I am happy to stay out of this match. She really should go straight to the front and win but her opponent may have a small fitness edge late in the match.

LAY – Neo Cleo (2 units) at < $1.18

MATCH UP 3

5. Blue Striker (Box 1)

He has been going really well in recent starts. He was unlucky in the Group 1 Golden Easter Egg last month and he is really suited to this format. He shows a great will to win and this 595 metre distance is perfect for him. He should be able to lead this but is versatile enough to also come from behind.

6. Blue Shadows (Box 3)

I didn’t like his run at Bendigo over 660 metres last start. He was headed down the back straight and it all seemed too much for him. He can scout wide early in his races which will give his opponent an easy passage through at the first turn.

 BACK – BLUE STRIKER (4 units) at > $1.55

MATCH UP 4

7. ELLA ENCHANTED (Box 1)

She hit the running rail in her last race over 600 metres at The Meadows. It was questionable whether she was going well enough in the early stages anyway. She cannot afford any mistakes here and represents no value but not game enough to lay because at her best she is an absolute star.

8. SHE WILL BLOOM (Box 3)

I would have preferred her to draw the rail here but she has a huge motor. She trialled here last Sunday in order to qualify for this and ran 34.04 overall and a very notable run home time of a sizzling 10.71, she will be flying home along the paint and is worth a small play.

 BACK – She Will Bloom (1 unit) at > $2.75

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK  Apex Within (0.5 units) at > $9.00
 BACK  She Will Bloom (0.5 units) at > $10


Consolation #1, Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. GWYDION (Box 1)

Her 29.34 trial here last Sunday was excellent. She hasn’t raced at the track previously so the trial was a big tick. Unfortunately, she is up against a high quality opponent. She can use a bit of the track in the run and she could get pressured early. She probably has the most upside of any chasers in this event, just the wrong opponent- so no bet.

2. FLYNN Box 3)

He was a recent finalist in the Group 2 Launching Pad over this track and distance but missed the kick slightly. He is very strong and this format is to his liking but this match up looks too tricky to play and Flynn will be too short for mine.

NO BET

MATCH UP 2

3. SHOWGIRL QUEEN (Box 1)

There can be two of her so it is hard to predict which one will turn up. In full fields she can be exposed with her hit and miss habits out of the boxes so this format is suitable for her but can go around without me.

4. COURTING (Box 3)

One of the few chasers who probably isn’t suited by the format. In a full field she can show her explosive early pace and be out in front running time and breaking their hearts, especially when there is any trouble behind her. In this format she could be found wanting late so I am happy to stay out.
NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. BUY ME DIAMONDS (Box 1)

He is well suited to the inside draw however he has been far from his best in recent starts. He has finished down the track in his last four starts so I am happy to go against him here.

6. WESTERN ENVOY (Box 3)

He has a stack of talent and has only missed a placing once in 7 starts. He can be a little awkward at box rise so this format will enable him to balance up very early and accelerate. Seeing his opponent has his preferred draw I can only entertain a small bet.

 BACK – Western Envoy (1 unit) at > $1.50

MATCH UP 4

7. FABWIK (Box 1)

Her 29.40 trial here last Sunday was just ok. She flew early (5.03) and I expect her to find the early lead here. She has been fairly weak late in runs at Wentworth Park and her opponent is very strong and she may get run down late.

8. GREY GHOST (Box 3)

He was enormous in winning last start at The Meadows where he ran a sensational 29.68. He also scouts wide in his races and really gets going when he is 4 or 5 from the fence, so the outside draw suits. He is strong late and if he can avoid any traffic issues he is capable of a 29.20’s run here.

 BACK – Grey Ghost (6 units) at > $1.50

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK –  Grey Ghost (1.5 units) at > $3.25


Bill Collins Speed Star- Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. VITAL FORCE (Box 1)

He was super impressive in leading all the way over this trip last month and then had no luck from a poor draw last start. He is suited by the inside draw but this is a tricky match up and I prefer other match ups.

2. BELT UP BUBBS (Box 3)

He has been down on his best form lately but he has the ability to run sizzling mid race sectionals, the way the map plays here there could be some bumping mid race.
NO BET

MATCH UP 2

3. SOUTHERN RIPPLE (Box 1)

This format should suit him down to the ground, he needs some space early in his races before he really kicks into gear and whilst this format should ease any congestion issues, I would prefer him drawn the outside box and I am happy to just watch.

4. LUCY’S MILO (Box 3)

He may be a doubtful starter as at publishing time due to marring in the Warrnambool Cup. He has previously excelled at this track and trip but this match looks too close to call.

NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. FERAL FRANKY (Box 1)

I really loved his trial here last Sunday where he ran time at both ends, he ran 29.27 overall with a very slick run home of 10.49. It is unfortunate he has found the toughest match up possible here but I wouldn’t be shocked if he found a way to win.

6. MIDNIGHT DARE (Box 3)

She looks a superstar in the making and ran a mind boggling 29.17 in her first look at the track. In theory should actually be able to improve on that run with a second look around the circuit. Based on her runs at Wentworth Park she is versatile enough to handle being on the outside of dogs which adds to my confidence.

 BACK – Midnight Dare (4 units) at > $1.32

MATCH UP 4

7. LAGOON RHETT (Box 1)

He has been down on his best form, albeit in very tough races through the Easter Egg series at Wentworth Park. When he has things go his way, he is one of the fastest dogs in the country. The experience factor could play a huge part here, especially with the inside draw and I think he is value.

8. EIGHT BALL (Box 3)

I don’t think his 29.24 win in a full field last Sunday was any fluke but he will need to replicate something similar here. He is giving away a lot in experience and I can see some bumping happening at the first turn and if that’s the case I want to be on the more experienced chaser.

 BACK – Lagoon Rhett (1.5 units) at > $1.95

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK – Midnight Dare (3 units) at > $2.65


Consolation #2, Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. RIDDLES (Box 1)

He can be hit or miss at box rise so I really like him in this format, and he is suited to the inside draw. But, he meets some stiff competition here against Miriam. I expect this to be close with him getting run down late.

2. MIRIAM (Box 3)

She has slowly been getting back to her best and this was shown with her gutsy win in a $10k race here on Anzac Eve. It was a very handy field and she began much more speedily than her last campaign. She may be able to lead all the way but she has also shown that coming off the pace is no problem. She should finish with a flurry.

 BACK – Miriam (2 units) at > $1.35

MATCH UP 2

3. SUSTAIN THE RAGE (Box 1)

I think she can run a cheeky race here and she should not be under estimated. Her two wins at The Meadows in 29.88 and 29.84 respectively show she is in career best form. The box draw makes me lean to her opponent.

4. RED ROCK (Box 3)

Last Sunday he trialled not long after Sustain The Rage and ran a length slower. However, he trialled third in line so the track was in worse condition than when Sustain The Range trialled. So, I believe he is capable of making up the difference here. He scouts wide in his races so the outside draw is perfect. There isn’t much value in the price on offer but I am happy to take it.

 BACK – Red Rock (2 units) at > $1.48

MATCH UP 3

5. SPEARHEAD (Box 1)

This chaser seems to do his best racing over this track and trip. He has had 5 wins from 8 starts here and has come up trumps with the inside draw. Whilst I don’t expect him to be the fastest overall, I do expect a workman like performance where he should stay on the rail, click through the gears and win in 29.40’s.

6. ALBERTO (Box 3)

He can be very hard to catch, his best is very good but he can put in some bad runs. He does do his best racing over this track and trip and the outside draw is what he needs. He is definitely not out of this and could lead for a long way but I am betting on reliability in this match up.

LAY Alberto (2 units) at < $1.95

MATCH UP 4

7. KEEPER OF KEYS (Box 1)

He is showing tons of ability but he is still very raw and he will know he is alive taking on a Group 1 winner here. He has only had 1 career win and its unlikely he can add to that here.

8. DELIVER (Box 3)

The only question here is how fit he is and what is the injury he has had. He hasn’t raced since March 21 so fitness could be a small issue. It is unlikely the Thompson kennel would run him if he wasn’t raring to go. The outside draw suits him perfectly. BACK WIN Deliver (5 units) at > $1.20

OVERALL MARKET

 BACK – PLACE Red Rock (2 units) at > $1.90


The Lizrene Speed Star, Matches 1-4- 715m

MATCH UP 1

1. SODA FLAKES (Box 1)

Her last win was over this course and distance and that was back in January. She has only raced 6 times since for 3 placings and 3 unplaced runs. Personally, I have found her very unreliable to bet on and she has come up way too short in markets. I am happy to take her on.

2. ZIPPING GALON (Box 3)

There would be no greyhound in Australia who finds more trouble in races than this guy. He is capable of roaring home in his races he just rarely gets the chance to show it as he is so far off the pace. I wouldn’t put it past him to still find trouble in a 2 dog race but he can run all day and I think he can win this at big odds but laying Soda Flakes looks the play here.

LAY Soda Flakes (3 units) at < $1.80

MATCH UP 2

3. DYNA CHANCER (Box 1)

He is a superstar and just a genuine competitor. He will go straight to the front here and he should establish a big lead. Due to the fact he will be going very hard I do think he could be very vulnerable late but he may just hold on and win.

4. BOOM DOWN (Box 3)

He has been walking out of the boxes in his most recent starts and I expect more of the same here. He can take a while to warm up and in normal size fields he often becomes unstuck because other greyhounds are tiring and getting in his way. That shouldn’t happen here and I think this could be a lot closer than people expect.

NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. SWEET BOURBSKI (Box 1)

She is a long way off her best form of late and her last win came back in January. She hasn’t quite been seeing out the 715 metres either and she could be very vulnerable over the last 100 metres.

6. MIDNIGHT MYSTERY (Box 3)

There are two ticks here, the match race format and the outside draw. He likes to course wide in his runs and he should be able to sprout wings late and win this.

 BACK – Midnight Mystery (4 units) at > $1.40

MATCH UP 4

7. PEPPERTIDE (Box 1)

I expect him to ping the lids and establish a lead mid race, there is a just a question of whether he can hold on and win. There are too many variables in this match up for mine.

8. RAJASTHAN (Box 3)

He is currently in career best form since joining the Camilleri kennel. He can really explode mid race and he can be great to watch. This match up is simply a case of being too hard to predict.
NO BET

OVERALL MARKET

 BACK – PLACE Boom Down (3 units) at > $1.90

Thursday – May 2nd

Distance: 450m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 24.719 seconds (27/4/2016)


Field and Stats

Ripple Rumble – Best 30.07 (11/4/19). Ran 4th in heat in 30.64 with a 1st split of 5.67. Has a 5.57 1st split PB. Only missed a placing 3 times in 18 career starts. Starting price has never been double figure odds in her career.

She is consistent as they come but this is by far her toughest test to date. She can be a little hit or miss at box rise and she looks a place chance at best here.

Dynamite Lucy – No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 30.58, 1st split of 5.58. Has only had 6 career starts. Yet to have a race start from this Box but 1 career win was from Box 1.

It is very hard to have her in a field of this class. With only 1 career win in only moderate time she looks no chance in this.

Blue Diva – Best 30.00 (14/6/18). Ran second in heat in 30.00, 1st split of 5.57. Only 1 run from this draw and ran last. 4 wins and 3 placings from 10 career starts.

She was only 6 lengths off Circle of Dreams in her heat run, even though she won’t be able to match the two top chances here, it would not surprise me if she held on for a placing.

Farmor Image – Best 30.44 (6/12/18). Ran 4th in heat in 30.80 with a 1st split of 5.73. Has only won once in past 15 starts. Has had 35 career starts for 7 wins and 8 placings.

She has not been going well enough in recent months to be considered a winning chance here. She will likely get no room early and I can’t have her.

Dam Slippery – Best 29.93 (21/3/19). Led all the way in heat in 30.01 with a 1st split of 5.50. Been in the money in 9 of her past 10 starts. 2019 Group 2 Richmond Oaks winner.

She is probably the best and most reliable beginner in Australia at the minute. She just flies along and shows great fight to keep going if she gets headed. Last week she did benefit from some trouble behind her which flattered the winning margin. I expect her to be right in this again with Circle of Dreams to show too much class in the latter stages.

Agame – No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.54with a 1st split of 5.50. Only missed a placing twice in 12 career starts. Has ran second in 3 of her past 4 starts over this trip.

She looks to have a tricky draw here with plenty of early pace either side of her and she would need a stack of early luck to win this.

What About It Best – 30.13 (3/12/18). Ran third in heat in 30.62 with a 1st split of 5.72. Has a 5.60 1st split PB. Least experienced chaser in field with only 4 career starts. 1 win and 2 placings to date. Never raced from Box 7 previously.

She is hard to recommend in a field of this quality. Not tonight.

Circle of Dreams – Best 29.82. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.55. 9 wins and a second in 13 career starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from Box 8. Group 2 Laurels winner at Sandown Park.

This chaser is a potential superstar in the making. She went straight to the front and gave nothing else a chance in her heat and she may be able to go even better here now that she has had another look at the track. The draw also looks suitable as the outside draw should allow her to hum across in the early stages and accelerate to the front. I am very keen on her chances.

Alpha Styx 1st emergency – Best 30.36 (7/2/19). Ran 5th in heat in 30.68. 5 wins and 4 placings from 16 career starts.

I cannot have her against these rivals. Pass.

Isnt She Special 2nd emergency – Best 30.28 (14/3/19). Ran 5th in heat in 30.80. 3 wins and 11 placings from 20 career starts.

Her best form has come from inside draws but this looks way too tough.


Top Selections

1st – Circle of Dreams (8)
2nd – Dam Slippery (5)
3rd – Ripple Rumble (1)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Circle of Dreams (8) > $1.90 (5 units)

Wednesday – May 1st

Distance: 450m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 24.719 seconds (27/4/2016)


Field and Stats

Lucy’s Milo – Best 25.05. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 6.69 (slowest). 2 wins and 1 second from 3 starts this draw. Been in the money in his past 5 starts. Recent runner up in the Group 2 Launching Pad at Sandown Park.

He is the strongest chaser in this race and he came from a very unlikely winning position in his heat that had to be seen to be believed. He is the huge run on hope for mine. There is so much early pace I envision the race being set up for a backmarker and he will be roaring home along the fence.

Crimson Vixen – Best 25.34 (1/11/18). Runner up in heat in 25.13, 1st split of 6.43 (quickest). Has had the most starts in field over track and trip, 7 starts for 4 wins and 2 seconds. 1 win and 2 placings from 4 starts this draw. Trained locally.

If she can explode out of the boxes then she is right in this. She is a reliable beginner so she might be able to find the early lead. If there was any trouble behind it is possible she could hold on and win. She is trained on the track and she may bring the house down if she was to salute.

Whiskey Riot – Best 25.10. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 6.61. Only missed a placing twice in 15 career starts. 2 wins and a second from 3 starts this draw. Never beaten here in 3 starts.

He really caught the eye in his come from behind heat win. He was pestered mid race and lost some momentum but showed great track and race sense by coursing wide and then powering home to win. He is also capable of railing if need be. He will be fantastic value and I am keen to have something on him.

Dyna Patty – Best 25.04. Ran this time in heat, 1st split of 6.65. Group 1 winner at The Meadows. 2 wins from 5 starts this draw. Equal second most experienced chaser in field.

Another who has come up with a tricky draw, she does her best racing when she can get rolling 4 or 5 off the fence and there is too much pressure on her outside for that to happen. I can only see her winning if there was some sort of scrimmage mid race that she benefited from.

Myrniong and All – No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 25.17 with a 1st split of 6.47. This box the only draw he has yet to win from. Only missed a placing twice in 24 career starts.

He ran a fantastic race in his heat and he held on really well, I expected him to puncture sooner. I have always pegged him as a real short courser and 400 metres usually sees him out. Here, over 450 metres there will simply be too much late pressure for him to win this, although he could cause some havoc mid race if he explodes out.

Eye Got It – Best 25.49. Recorded this time in heat win, 1st split of 6.53. Has won his past 7 starts. 3 wins and 1 placing from 4 starts this draw. 25 wins from 30 career starts but 16 of these wins up the straight at Healesville.

He has a fantastic winning record but a lot of these wins have been up the straight at Healesville in much lower grades. This is a very high pressure race and from a tricky draw I cannot see him winning.

Dyna Hunter – Best 25.09. Recorded this time in heat win, 1st split of 6.55. Has won his past four starts. 2019 Warragul Cup winner. Has never won from this draw in 4 starts.

He was all heart in his heat win where he looked gone halfway down the straight and then he kicked nicely to hold on and win. He does his best racing from wide draws but I am not really a fan of his map, he will likely struggle to cross Myrniong and All and Eye Got It. They look to be a real hindrance to his chances of winning.

Orson Allen – Best 24.94. Led all the way in heat, 1st split of 6.50. 3 wins from 6 starts this draw. 2 from 2 this trip. Has won 5 of his past 7 starts. Eligible for Cups Bonus after already winning Cranbourne and Horsham Cups.

He is a superstar chaser and he set the track alight in his heat. However, he did find one of the weaker heats and had the benefit of an inside draw with moderate beginners drawn outside him. I am not sure he gets those favours here as he could get posted wide and seeing he will certainly start favourite, I simply have to take him on.

Flynn 1st emergency – No best time. 2nd in heat in time of 23.70, 1st split a flying 6.46. Never won her in 3 attempts. Best performed Boxes are 4 & 5.

If he is to gain a start here he would be best suited to an inside draw. He can be a little risky at box rise and he cannot afford to make any mistakes in a field of this class. He cannot be ruled out.

Kinloch Moss 2nd emergency – Best 23.65. Ran 2nd in heat in 23.79, 1st split of 6.55. 4 of 6 career wins from Boxes 1-4. Never worse than 2nd in 3 starts here.

He does his best racing when he can find the early lead and I can’t see any chance of that happening here and would be making up the numbers if he gained a start.


Top Selections

1st – Lucy’s Milo (1)
2nd – Whiskey Riot (3)
3rd – Crimson Vixen (2)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Lucy’s Milo (1) more than $5.50 for 1.5 units

 BACK- WIN – Whiskey Riot (3) more than $9.00 for 1 unit

 BACK- WIN- Crimson Vixen (2) more than $7.00 for 0.5 units

 LAY –WIN- Orson Allen (8) less than $3.10 for 2 units

Association Cup Final | Wentworth Park | Saturday 20th April

Distance: 720m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.38 seconds (13/4/19)


Field and Stats

Poco Dorado: Best 41.68. (20/10/18).

Ran second in heat in time of 41.85 with a 1st split of 16.20 (second quickest). 2 wins from 10 starts from this draw. Has not won in her past three starts over this trip but in 2018 was 10 wins from 10 starts over track and trip.

She is still going very well but she isn’t as reliable as last year over this track and trip. She doesn’t like to get crowded early in her races so the inside draw is not ideal. Last month, when she had the red, Little Digger crowded her early and she got shuffled back. I can see that happening again here so I am happy to take her on.


Little Digger: Best 42.27 (17/11/18).

Ran third in heat in 42.35, 1st split of 16.35. Only 1 win from 8 starts over this trip. 3 wins and 1 placing from 5 starts this draw. Ran third in his last four starts.

He is well drawn close to the rails but he would need a lot of luck to be in the finish. I am looking elsewhere.


Veloce Nero: Best 41.80 (20/10/18.)

Ran third in heat in 42.05, 1st split of 16.26. Only missed a placing twice over this trip in 18 starts. This is his best performed box with 4 wins and 5 placings from 12 starts. Has won 7 starts over this trip.

She has been going really well lately and she tried her heart out but was no match for Dyna Chancer last start. She is well drawn here and could find a position close to the lead. She could run a cheeky race here at huge odds on the exchange.


Book of Luck: Best 42.23 (12/1/19).

Ran a PB in running 4th in 42.13 with a 1st split of 16.51. 9 wins from 27 career starts. Never missed a placing from this draw (4 starts). Least experienced chaser in field (27 starts).

This looks to be an enormous task for this chaser. The squeeze draw is no help as she is surrounded by superstars. I don’t think she is any chance of winning this.


Blue Moon Rising: Best 41.90 (8/12/18).

Ran 41.99 when second in heat, 1st split of 16.36. Been in the money in 54 of his 73 career starts. 3 wins and 3 placings in 8 starts this draw. Group 1 Super Stayers winner at The Meadows.

I thought he was enormous in his heat run where he overcame a tricky draw and was powering home late. The box draw has again done him no favors and would probably need some trouble upfront to feature in the finish but I wouldn’t dismiss him.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.38 (record).

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 16.10 (quickest). Has never won from this box in 2 starts. 23 career wins from 34 starts. Multiple Group race winner.

Amazingly, this champion chaser has never won from this draw. He was breathtaking in smashing the track record here in his heat but pulled up with an issue with his feet/pads and throughout the week was in some doubt to start. The map also looks tricky here with Dyna Chancer likely to ping the lids and there could be a traffic jam at the first bend. There are probably enough questions to entertain a small lay bet for minimal risk.


Dyna Chancer  Best 41.94. (13/4/19).  Ran this time in heat (his first start over track and trip) with a 1st split of 16.22. Been in the money in 47 of 64 career starts. 2 wins and 4 placings from 8 starts this draw.

He may be able to improve even further now that he has had a look over the track and trip. He was fantastic in holding off Veloce Nero and Blue Moon Rising and with the right amount of early luck he is right in this.


Kanzan Best 42.08 (10/11/18). Ran 4th in heat in time of 42.36. 1st split of 16.65. Has never won from this draw in 5 starts. Has only had 5 starts this year. 3 wins from 19 starts over this track and distance.

He may be a run or two short of showing his best form. He could get some early room to move and click through the gears and looks a place chance at best here.


Bago Bye Bye: 1st emergency.

No best winning time. Ran 42.37 running 5th in heat with a 1st split of 16.44. 15 career wins from 25 starts. Has won from every box but 11 of 15 wins from Boxes 1-4.

He has a few tricks but he is a very fast dog on his day. He would be best suited to an inside draw if he gains a start and he would probably need a soft lead to win. I can’t see him coming from behind to win.


Boom Down  2nd emergency. (Scratched).


Selections

1st – Tornado Tears (6)

2nd – Blue Moon Rising (5)

3rd – Dyna Chancer (7)

Betting Strategy

 LAY – Poco Dorado (1) < $6.00 (2 units)

 LAY – Tornado Tears (6) < $1.28 (1 unit)

Golden Easter Egg Final | Wentworth Park | Saturday 20th April

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Shakey Jakey 29.07 seconds (6/4/14)


Field and Stats

Black Opium: Best 29.84. (6/4/19).

Ran this time in heat win and followed up with winning semi final in 30.03. Ran 5.51 1st split in heat and 5.52 1st split in semi final. Has only had 20 career starts (equal least). Only 2 starts from Box 1for 1 win. Runner up in 2018 Melbourne Cup.

I reluctantly layed her in her heat and semi-final as she had Box 8 in both starts. She has encountered traffic issues in both races but has still found a way to win. She was forced wide throughout in her semi so she should really appreciate the inside draw here. She should get a stack of room with Irinka Lizzy going right out of the boxes. I am hoping she can lead all the way.


Irinka Lizzy: Best 30.18 (6/6/18).

Runner up in heat and semi final in times of 30.02 and 29.85. Has a 1st split PB of 5.47. 7 of 8 career wins have come from Boxes 6-8. Equal least experienced chaser in field (20 starts).

Most of her wins have come from wide draws and she tends to move right out of the boxes. With a stack of early pace to her outside she will be met with a stack of pressure and I can’t see her finishing anywhere near the finish.


Black Forge: Best 29.74 (6/6/18).

Runner up in heat and semi final with best time this series of 29.90. Has a 5.44 1st split PB. Only missed placing 6 times in 39 career starts. 4 wins from 5 starts from this draw.

He has a few tricks but he is a star talent on his night. This looks a tough draw and he could get squeezed not long after box rise. He is capable of running into the placings.


Banjo Tifia: Best 30.02. (8/12/18)

Third in heat and runner up in semi final in 29.86. Recorded 1st split of 5.59 in semi final. 1 win and 3 placings from this draw. Been in the top three in 6 of 10 starts over this circuit.

Another chaser who looks outclassed here, her rivals have far more credentials and I would be shocked if she could finish in the top three in this event.


Federal Lilly: Best 29.45 (6/4/19).

Has led all the way in her heat and semi final in 29.45 and 29.65 respectively. Ran 5,34 PB in heat (quickest through series). 6 wins from 8 starts over this trip. 3 wins and 4 placings from 9 starts this draw.

 She is probably the best beginner in the country at present. She has been given the perfect preparation and her heat and semi wins have been as easy as you could get. The Lagogiane kennel has been flying of late so it is very hard for me to not tip her, I just think against these rivals she may be pressured earlier and this could take a toll late. I am not willing to lay her in the event she flies out and there is trouble behind.


Zipping Bailey: Best 29.74 (6/2/19).

Ran third in heat and won her semi final in 29.81 with a 1st split of 5.79. Has a 5.64 PB 1st split. Only missed a placing 6 times in 30 starts. 4 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won from every box.

She is probably the wildcard of the field and could be flying home late. If there is any trouble upfront then she could be right in this. If she got to silly odds on the exchange ($18+) then she would be worth a small flutter.


Blue Striker: Best 29.58 (13/4/19).

Ran best time in semi final in come from behind win. 1st split of 5.48. Has never missed a placing in 5 starts from Box 7. Been in the money in 31 of 38 career starts.

This chaser is a real competitor, he does his best racing when he has something out in front to chase, which was the case in his semi win. He definitely gets that scenario here as there is no way he could lead, but if he found a forward position a few lengths off the leaders he will be right in the finish. I am keen to have a small saver on him.


Miss Splendamiro: Best 29.46 (22/9/18).

Won her heat in 29.54 and led for a long way in semi in 29.58.Has ran 5.42 1st split in heat and semi (PB). Has won from every box but 20 of her 33 career wins from Boxes 1-4. Has won 5 from 11 from Box 8.

If she had an inside draw I would be quite confident she would go very close here. I just don’t think she will be able to cross the field cleanly and I can see her finding trouble at the first turn. She is a superstar at her best so she can never be ruled out.


Sunburnt Highway: 1st emergency. Best 29.87 (1/12/18).

Ran third in semi final in 29.90. 1st split PB of 5.53. Been in the money in 19 of 32 starts over this trip. Has won from every box.

He is as honest as they come and rarely runs a bad race but if he were to gain a start here he looks outclassed. I cannot see him leading or running on strongly enough to win this.


Fabwik: 2nd emergency.

No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 29.93. 1st split of 5.47. 15 of 22 career wins have come from Boxes 1-4. Been in money past 10 of 11 starts.

She has raced well this series without winning. She is an absolute star when at her best but there are several other chasers in this field that have had her measure throughout this series.


Selections

1st – Black Opium (1)

2nd – Blue Striker (7)

3rd – Federal Lilly (5)

Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Black Opium (1) > $3.00 (2 units)

 BACK – WIN – Blue Striker (7) > $7.50 (0.5 units)

Launching Pad Final | Sandown Park | Thursday April 18th

Distance: 515m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 28.95 (17/3/2016)


Field and Stats

Flynn: Best 29.38 (11/4/19)

Ran this time in semi-final with a 1st split of 5.14. Only missed a placing once from 10 starts. Having his first ever start from Box 1. Undefeated from Boxes 2 & 3. Equal least experienced chaser in this field.

He has come up trumps with the cherry draw here. He was the all in favourite at the beginning of this series and he looks to have the benefit of a superb draw. He has been racing like he wants the rails and in addition Jaro Bale has been using plenty of the track early. He should be able to get a great run through at the first turn and hopefully prove too good.


Jaro Bale Best 29.76 (3/3/19).

Won his semi-final in 29.80 with a 1st split of 5.19. Least experienced chaser in field with just 6 career starts. Never missed a placing. 2 starts from Box 2 for a win and placing.

He might end up being the best greyhound to come out of this series going forward. He looks to have freakish ability and still races like he is still learning what it’s all about. He has been looking to scout wide early in his races so the inside draw might be against him here. Having said that he did rail underneath dogs in his semi-final win but it’s the first few metres of the race that worries me here.


Lucy’s Milo: Best 29.17 (11/4/19).

Ran this time in semi-final win with a 1st split of 5.07. 3 wins from 3 starts this draw. 8 career wins (most in field) from 18 career starts. Has won his past three starts.

He was absolutely brilliant in leading all the way in his semi-final in sizzling time. The draw looks fine here but I think Flynn has the better draw of the two and that is enough to sway me away from this chaser. He has the quickest time on the board and the Dailly factor and could still win the race. I would have no interest in laying.


Curt Lee: Best 29.50 (4/4/19).

Led all the way in semi-final in 29.93 with a 1st split of 5.06 (quickest). Has a PB 5.05 1st split here. 8 career wins from 10 starts. 1 start for 1 win this draw. Has led to first marker in all but one of his 10 starts.

He fell in last week in moderate time, however he is right up there with being the most reliable beginner in the country and although he is getting stronger I don’t think he can hold on to win here. Even if he was still in front at the home turn I would expect him to get swallowed up here.


 Federal Impact Best 29.47 (1/4/18).

Runner up in semi-final in 29.74 with a 1st split of 5.25 (equal slowest). 1 start for 1 win this draw. 2 wins and 3 seconds from 6 starts over this trip.

He has had the benefit of two inside draws throughout this series and it looks like his luck has run out. He is not a quick beginner and can take a few strides to click into gear. With the squeeze draw here I don’t think he can win the race.


Olson Bale: Best 29.57 (4/4/19).

Ran second in semi-final in 29.94, 1st split of 5.25 (equal slowest). Has only won 1 career race which is the least in the field. Runner up in heat and semi-final.

This chaser has plenty of upside but will find the going tough from this draw. I can’t see him getting a clear run here and is probably a place chance at best.


Tauwitchere: Best 29.42 (4/4/18).

Runner up in semi-final in 29.84 with a 1st split of 5.08. Has a 5.03 1st split PB. 2 wins and a placing from 3 starts Box 7. Only missed a placing once in 11 career starts.

She can be risky at box rise but to her credit she has nailed the jump in this series. She was very unlucky in her semi-final last week as she was dragged down from behind which stopped her momentum. She was cruelly ran down late. She is right in this with a clean getaway but the problem will be Curt Lee, he will likely post her wide in the run and this could take a toll late.


Chiquita Lass: No best winning time.

Runner up in heat and semi final. Ran 29.64 overall with a 1st split of 5.12 in heat. Has yet to start from Box 8. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from Box 7.

She looks to be outclassed here. Even with an inside draw she would only be a miniscule chance of winning but now from the extreme draw I just can’t see her winning.


Red Rock: 1st emergency. Best 29.58 (4/4/19). Ran third in semi final in 29.75, 1st split of 5.23. Never missed a placing in 10 career starts. 5 of 6 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

He could be a wildcard if he was to make his way into the field. He could finish with a powerful burst and must be given thought.


Lightning Blast: 2nd emergency.

No best winning time. Ran 30.07 in semi final. Been in the money in his past 7 starts. Only 1 career win from 14 starts and 0 wins from 10 starts here.

He looks unlikely to be in the finish here. If he were to gain a start he would be best suited to an inside draw.


Selections

1st – Flynn (1)
2nd – Lucy’s Milo (3)
3rd – Jaro Bale (2)

Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Flynn (1) < $2.50 (2 units)

LAY- Curt Lee (4) > $7.50 (2 units)

Race 6 720m – Association Cup Heats 2

 BACK – #1 Veloce Nero 2 units at > $2.80

I have really liked how this chaser has been going lately. He is in career best form. Last week he began speedily from Box 5 and never left the paint to lead all the way. He ran great time (41.81) so Dyna Chancer will need to be at his absolute best to win. Given that Dyna Chancer has yet to race over the 720 metres at Wentworth Park, I am happy to stick with the experience of Veloce Nero here.

 LAY – #7 Blue Moon Rising for 1 unit at < $3.80

I do prefer backing him from inside draws but he has been going well and I am reluctantly against him here. I am just banking on the fact that Veloce Nero and Dyna Chancer have much better draws and should be out in front. With their early pace and a 7 dog field, they will likely prove too hard to reel in.

Race 1 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 1

 BACK – #3 Fernando Blaster 3 units at > $2.00

He pinged the lids and led very easily in his heat. In addition, this was from a tricky draw which is statistically speaking one of the worst boxes in the country. He gets a more favorable draw here and whilst there is some early pace either side of him, I believe he is classes above. If he can find the rails early it could be all eyes on the clock.

 LAY – #8 Black Opium for 1 unit at < $3.10

I thought she was a take on last week but unfortunately she managed to fly home along the fence and get up right on the line. She has the outside draw again here and there looks to be more pace underneath her. Last week all the dogs underneath her seemed to all miss the kick which allowed her a stack of early room to scoot down the outside, I doubt she gets the room this time around.


Race 2 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 2

 BACK – #8 Lagoon Rhett 2 units at > $1.50 to Place

He has shown a liking for wide draws of late where he can run wide on the first turn and not find any trouble. He looks to map well here with Dyna Oscar and Springcreek Bill risky and/or slow away. Slingshot Hammer usually begins well and will be zooming over to the rail which should give this chaser a great run to the first turn. He is a very fast conveyance when given galloping room and he should be able to hold on for a placing.


Race 3 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 3

 BACK – #7 Federal Lilly 1.5 units at > $2.15

She is simply beginning to speedily to be on anything else. She ran sizzling sectionals in her heat and ran 29.45 overall which is humming. The Lagogiane kennel is flying at present and I am happy to be on her, but at the right price. I do think she needs to lead to win so if she gets close to red figures on the exchange I would be inclined to let her go around.

 LAY – #2 Nangar Kash for 1.5 units at < $6.50

I thought she was a take on last week but unfortunately she managed to fly home along the fence and get up right on the line. She has the outside draw again here and there looks to be more pace underneath her. Last week all the dogs underneath her seemed to all miss the kick which allowed her a stack of early room to scoot down the outside, I doubt she gets the room this time around.

The Launching Pad is a 3 week series that has the hottest young greyhounds that meet the criterion of 1-6 wins only and under 30 career starts.

Below is analysis for the Semi Finals for the 11th of April.


Race 5 – Launching Pad Semi Final 1

 BACK – #2 Flynn 3 units at > $2.60

He was first up from a six week break in his heat last week. He really caught the eye and finished powerfully despite being forced wide at two crucial moments in the run. He has a better draw close to the fence here with Federal Impact only a mediocre beginner and Red Rock a wide runner. He would be my strongest selection amongst these semi-finals.

 LAY – #8 Seal the Deal for 1 unit at < $5.00

He has had no luck with box draws in recent starts and he overcame a tricky draw here superbly in his heat last week. He is going to find it extremely difficult to cross the field from the extreme draw here. Premier Sticka and Dyna Unther can use plenty of the track and spear off at the first turn. Even if he somehow crossed the field he would likely burn too much gas early and set it up for Flynn or Federal Impact to run over the top of him late.


Race 7 – Launching Pad Semi Final 3

 BACK – #6 Rockstar Prince 1.5 units at > $3.70

I am giving him another chance here. He looked very green last week and he made several mistakes, mainly with coursing wide at the first turn. Now that he has had a race start he may be able to rail more efficiently from the cherry draw. He hit the line really well last week and has a stack of upside.

 LAY – #7 Lucy’s Milo 1.5 units at < $4.50

He was brilliant in jumping much better than expected to basically lead all the way in his heat and saluting for Betfair Insider followers. He looks to have another suitable draw here where he can find the paint early and click through his gears. He is very strong and should be in the finish.

Race 4- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 3

 #1 Poke The Bear BACK (4 units at > $1.75)

This champion chaser has found one of the weaker heats here. He has an exceptional record from Box 1 with 10 wins from 12 starts. He is experienced at the track where he has won 3 times and even though I don’t believe he is going as well as he was a few months ago, he should still prove too good here.

#8 Good Odds Buddy LAY (1.5 units at < $6.00)

He was impressive in winning over this trip last week, where he ran straight past star chaser Blue Striker down the back straight and ran an impressive 29.55 overall. However, the track seemed to be overly on fire with plenty of hot times being run which needs to be taken into account. He has to battle another wide draw here and I can see Federal Lilly, Bad Neighbour and Maurice Minor causing him some traffic problems at the first turn. I can see him finding trouble.


Race 5- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 4

 #1 Miss Splendamiro – LAY (2 units at < $2.90)

 She returns to her home track here and combined with the inside alley this should ensure she starts favourite. I am potting her here as I just don’t believe she is going as well as she was last year. She got hammered at box rise in a heat of the Perth Cup and then didn’t run out the distance over 600m the following week, also at Cannington. Hardly the ideal preparation. She has not won her past four starts and has averaged a starting price of $2.72.

#2 Blue Striker – BACK PLACE (2 units at > $1.60)

Having his first look at the track here last Saturday, he hit the front at the first turn and I thought it would be a case of “times and margins”, but he was reeled in down the back straight but came again at the finish. I am inclined to forgive him and from a draw close to the fence he should be able to avoid any early trouble and run into the placings.


Race 6- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 5

#5 Orson Allen – BACK (3 units at > $1.30)

Impossible to go past this superstar chaser. He is probably the most in form dog in the country and I am happy to jump on the bandwagon here. He has been faultless early and explodes the lids. With the scratching of Jebrynah there doesn’t appear to be that much early speed on paper and he could lead all the way here.


Race 7- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 6

 #2 Crimson Vixen- BACK (1.5 units at > $3)

 In what looks a tricky race to map, this young star has a form guide full of picket fences. She is a fantastic beginner and from the inside draw she could get the ‘McFly’ here and pinch an early break and hold on to win. She will just need to avoid Rostered On early to be in the thick of the finish.

 #5 Pindari Express- LAY(2.5 units at < $7.00)

 He has been making plenty of mistakes in recent starts. It is plain to see he has an enormous amount of ability. There were some huge money offers for him that were rejected and he is probably the most fascinating runner in the whole series. I just can’t have him from Box 5, he is likely to miss the start and have no room to move. Compounding this Campini is a fence crasher and from Box 7 he could wipe out half the field.


Race 8- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 7

#8 Black Opium – LAY (2 units at < $2.70)

 I would much prefer her from an inside draw against these rivals. I am not certain she can cross cleanly, if she does she may have to burn a lot of energy in doing so. Dyna Oscar, Notorious Mac and Aston Duke are all wildcards that will all be close to double figure odds who could get a better run through at the first turn. She has ran second in her last two starts deep into odds on and she represents plenty of risk here for mine.


Race 9- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 8

#6 Mystic Riot – BACK (1.5 units at > $3.00)

 The Million Dollar Chase winner has been raced sparingly of late. However, the Lagogiane kennel has been airborne. It would be a brave person to go against the kennel at present. She wouldn’t have been entered for this series if she wasn’t ready to go. The tricky draw is neutralized somewhat by her explosive early pace. Betfair Insider followers may know their fate early as she will likely need to lead early in order to win.

#3 Fabwik  – LAY (1.5 units at < $2.80 )

 She has trialled here in preparation for this series going 29.91 on March 23. I would have preferred her to have had a race start here prior so I am going to take her on. Her best wins at Angle Park have shown that she races best when she can use plenty of the track and from wide draws. She gets neither here with the inside draw and Wentworth Park not being suited to wide runners.


Race 10- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 9

 #8 Black Forge – LAY (2 units at < $3.00)

 He does have a great record from wide draws overall, but from wide draws on city tracks at Wentworth Park and The Meadows he has been hit and miss. He recently won the Group 2 Maitland Cup but in my opinion he was a little iffy down the home straight and he didn’t quite have his mind on the job. He was given the benefit of the doubt by stewards by reason of injury but he cannot afford to make any mistakes here.

#6 Set To Storm  – BACK PLACE (2 units at > $1.80 )

Another from the in form Lagogiane kennel, her win here first up from a spell last month was all heart and she has been improving with every start since. She is reliable early and she should find a forward position. In a race devoid of much early speed she should be able to hold on for a placing.

The Launching Pad is a 3 week series that has the hottest young greyhounds that meet the criterion of 1-6 wins only and under 30 career starts.


Race 1 – Launching Pad Heat 1

 LAY – #7 Tauwitchere for 2 units at < $4.80

For the third time in a row she has come up with Box 7, a draw that doesn’t seem to be suiting her. She has been getting pushed wide and in races that have been easier than this. With Vivatar and Courting showing some early zip I can see her being posted wide again. Her average starting price in her last 4 starts has been $2.58 and she has not saluted the judge in any of them.


Race 2- Launching Pad Heat 2

 BACK – #3 Embossed 2 units at > $4.00

 In recent months it has been very tough for any greyhound to win from wide draws. Although it was in an easier race last week he showed massive upside and won very well from Box 8. He showed great acceleration early and late in the race when it seemed he was tiring he kicked clear again. He may be able to better his 29.52 PB having his second look at the track here.

 LAY – #7 Aston Vanquish 1 unit at < $5.00

He has been very risky at box rise in recent starts. He cannot afford to make any mistakes here. Although he does like to use plenty of the track in his races, if he was to begin poorly he will likely encounter a wall of dogs to his inside at the first turn. He wasn’t able to win a very winnable race at Sale last Sunday night and I am happy to take him on here.


Race 3- Launching Pad Heat 3

 BACK – #6 Zipping Norton 1.5 units at > $5

If he can replicate his 5.12 early and 29.63 overall all the way win here last month then he is right in this. I thought he was a touch disappointing over this trip last Sunday in what looked a winnable race. I still believe he has plenty of upside and if Ma’s Plum Jam and Ask Me Now can begin and hunt over to the fence, then he could get plenty of room to accelerate across.

 BACK – #2 Lucy’s Milo 1.5 units at > $4.50

He looks to map well here with Premier Sticka likely to spear off at the first turn. He was airborne at The Meadows over 600m on March 6 and hasn’t raced since so he should be very fresh for this. His best form has come from inside draws and he looks to be the best of the backmarkers at enticing odds.


Race 4- Launching Pad Heat 4

 BACK – #2 Double Back 3 units at > $4.50

He has only missed a placing once in 8 starts and he looks to have superstar potential. I loved his win here on March 21 where he pushed through strongly at the first turn and powered away from his rivals. The Lagogiane kennel has been on fire of late and I am happy to stick with them. I am confident he can go quicker than his 29.67 run last start.

 LAY – #3 Premium Share 2 units at < $11

Although his form at Cannington has been great, this is a huge step up in class. He meets some very talented chasers and I don’t like the fact he hasn’t had a race start at the track. He is likely to have trialled here in the lead up seeing his last race start was 2 weeks ago but I can’t be backing him in an event of this class.


Race 10- Launching Pad Heat 7 

 BACK – #1 There’s A Catch 1 unit at > $4.00

 He has really caught the eye in recent times with superb wins at Ballarat and Bendigo. Even though he is having his first start in town he looks to have a great draw here and I am hoping he can lead all the way. Aston Peregrine and Red Rock both have tricky draws which only adds to my confidence.


Race 11- Launching Pad Heat 8

 BACK – #3 Rockstar Prince 1.5 units at > $3.50

Some of his wins in New South Wales had to be seen to be believed, especially his 30.52 win at Richmond last month. He has now been transferred to the powerful Dailly kennel and it appears he will be doing his future racing in Victoria. He has trialled 29.54 in preparation for this event and if he can replicate that time that should go close to winning this.

 LAY – #7 Max Tractor 1.5 units at > $8.00

He has won his last three starts in fine fashion leading all the way. Although that may appear to be a risky lay proposition these wins were in much easier races. Additionally, the wide draw will be hard to conquer with plenty of early pace underneath and I am happy to lay.

Perth Cup | Cannington | Saturday 23rd March

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Quick Jagger 29.29 (6/5/17)


Field and Stats

Hecton Bale: Best 29.70 (14/4/18).

Won his heat in 29.75 with a 1st split of 5.50. 4 wins and 2 placings from 7 starts this draw. 3 wins and 2 placings from 9 starts over this trip. 2018 Australia Cup winner at The Meadows. Most experienced chaser in field.

He returned to form last start with an eye catching all the way win. There is a ton more early speed in this event. He doesn’t like to be pressured from the outside as his racing pattern sees him mid tracking. He could get hammered from the outside brigade here. I would be keen to lay but he will be well into double figures come race time so I am happy to stay out.


Kiss Me Linda: Best 29.93 (16/2/19).

Runner up in heat  in 29.97 with a 1st split of 5.51 Been in the money of 12 of 15 career starts. Has never raced from Box 2 before. Second least experienced and youngest chaser in field.

She amazingly has yet to have a career start from Box 1 or 2. She has found the right time to finally land an inside draw but unfortunately this is the toughest race of her career. I can’t see her winning this.


Eighty Eight: Best 29.86 (22/12/18).

Runner up in heat in 29.91 with a 1st split of 5.57. Yet to win from this draw in 4 attempts. Been in the money in 20 of 26 starts over track and trip. Has not win in his past 9 starts.

I really liked his run here last week, he stuck on well against quality opposition but this is a very tough task. He would need plenty of luck to feature in the finish here.


Hasten Slowly Best 29.79.

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 5.48 (second quickest). Group1 Brisbane Cup winner and multiple Group race finalist. Been in the money in 42 of 54 career starts. Only 1 win from this draw in 7 starts.

This chaser is of very high quality. He always finds a way to be in the finish. I couldn’t rule him out winning the race but I just can’t see him avoiding any early trouble. He began better than expected last start which could create his undoing here. He would almost have more benefit bombing the start and railing through on the first turn and power home along the paint late.


Dyna Patty: Best 29.56 (9/3/19).

Won her heat in 29.87. 1st split of 5.56. 18 career wins from 45 career starts. 2 from 2 over this track and trip. Dual Group 1 winner at The Meadows over 525m. 2 wins and 2 placings from 6 starts this draw.

Her heat win was tough going if you took the short odds where she needed every bit of the 520m to get up and win. She has a horror draw here drawn underneath Campini and Orson Allen. I can see her getting squeezed out early and it will be an uphill battle from there. I am happy to be against her.


Campini: Best 29.43 (16/2/19).

Won his heat in 29.62. 1st split of 5.56. 9 wins and no placings from 14 career starts. 3 unplaced runs from  this draw. Least experienced chaser in field.

He will be crashing over to the fence here. He caused chaos in his heat wiping out three competitors not long after box rise and he is every chance to do so again here. He is a freak on his night if he gets his own way up front but I doubt he gets that here. He may even end up double figure odds on the exchange such is the depth of this race.


Orson Allen: Best 29.32.

Ran this time in heat win, 1st split of 5.38 (quickest). Only 3 starts from this draw for 1 win and 1 placing. 24 wins from 48 career starts. Recent Horsham Cup winner.

He is absolutely flying at present and went within half a length of the track record here at his first look at the track. An incredible feat. I would be close to declaring him from an inside draw but Box 7 opens up the race. If he begins as well as last week and with Campini crashing over he probably wins, but from the wide draw he is a touch of unders for mine.


West on Augie: Best 29.40 (17/3/18).

Led all the way in heat in 29.72, 1st split of 5.51. Most experienced over this circuit with an amazing 23 wins from 35 starts. 4 wins from 8 starts this draw. Been in the money 8 of his past 10 starts.

He has a fantastic map here. Hasten Slowly, Campini and Orson Allen should all begin speedily and be crashing over to the fence. This should give Augie a stack of room to move. Hopefully he can get around the first turn unscathed and he looks a great place bet. I would not be surprised one iota if he were to win the race.


Love Me Tinder: 1st emergency. Best 29.73 (16/2/19).

Runner up in heat in time of 29.98. Never missed a placings over this trip (5 starts). Yet to miss a placing in career.

Hard to fault his form and is still learning the caper. He is a chaser to follow going forward but this would be beyond him at this stage of his career.


Petria Monelli: 2nd emergency. Best 29.89 (30/6/18).

Ran 2nd in heat in time of 30.03. Has a PB 1st split 0f 5.40. Been in the placings in her past 3 starts.

Her best form and sectional times have come from inside draws but she would be well and truly outclassed here.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Dyna Patty (5) < $7.00 (2 units)

 BACK – PLACE- West on Augie (8) > $1.45 (3 units)

Sky Racing Galaxy | Cannington | Saturday 23rd March

Distance: 715m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.25 (16/3/2019)


Field and Stats

Bee Dee No best time. Runner up in heat in 42.62 with a 1st section of 5.76. Only having his third start over this trip. 2 starts from this draw for 1 placing. Youngest chaser in field.

He stuck on better than expected in his heat run. He is the sort of chaser who needs plenty of galloping room and he most certainly is not going to get that here. The map looks awful for him and looks to be making up the numbers.


Reidy’s Runner: Best 41.97 (1/12/18).

Won his heat in 42.01 with a 1st section of 5.73. Only missed a placing once in 4 starts from this draw. 5 of 13 career wins from Boxes 1 & 2. Competing in his first Group final.

He keeps improving and his heat win was excellent but the quality of opposition here is extremely high. He may be outpaced early and I could see him getting shuffled back. He is a dog to follow in WA over the coming months but I would be very surprised if he could win here.


Barcali: No best time.

Runner up in heat in time of 42.53, 1st section of 5.74. 5 of 15 career wins have come from this draw and only missed a placing once in 8 starts. Second most overall wins in field.

He caught my eye in his heat run where he had no luck early and lost plenty of momentum. He kept clicking through the gears nicely and hit the line very well. Similar to Tornado Tears his early speed map is a little tricky but I am hoping he can begin more cleanly and stick on well for a placing.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.25 (track record in heat run).

1st split of 5.68. 4 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won 17 of his past 20 starts. Multiple Group race winner. Incredibly is the equal least experienced chaser in field.

This freakish chaser obliterated the track record he last start and may end up being the greatest stayer the sport has seen. However, I am not thrilled with this draw, it looks sticky for mine with only a length separating half the field early. This could make for heart in the mouth stuff early doors. Even if he were to find some early trouble he probably still finds the rails and roars home late and wins. The question Betfair Insider followers need to ask- Is it worth the risk at $1.20? Probably not. If he got to ridiculous odds on the exchange, $1.12 or shorter, you might consider laying for minimal risk and high returns in case he finds bother early.


Outshined: Best 42.13 (18/8/18).

Won heat in 42.39 with 1st section of 5.67 (quickest). 1 win and 1 placing from 2 starts this draw. Equal least experienced chaser in field. Races best when can lead clearly early.

He really impressed me in his heat win, he found the front, kept kicking and scored a gutsy win and he looks to have a bright staying future in WA. If he exploded out of the lids and there was trouble behind he could run a cheeky race here.


Rockstar Patriot: No best time.

Ran third in heat in 42.62 with 1st section of 5.87. Yet to win over this track and trip in 5 starts. 1 win and 5 unplaced runs from this draw. Second most experienced chaser in field.

Another chaser who looks poorly draw here, I can’t see him getting any room to get going early and is likely to get shuffled back here. He looks to be making up the numbers and is only a very small chance of finding a placing.


Equilibrium: No best time.

Ran third in heat in 42.55, 1st section of 5.92 (slowest). 1 win and 2 placings from 10 starts this draw but courses wide in races so draw is suitable. Been placed in 19 of 35 career starts.

He took forever with a capital ‘F’ to get going in his heat run. Even though Tornado Tears was a mile in front I still thought he should have ran better than he did and should have finished second. He does his best racing when he can use plenty of the track and this draw suits but it’s a no from me.


Back On Lava: Best 42.33 (25/8/18).

Ran 2nd in heat in 42.51, 1st section of 5.78. Only 1 win from 12 starts from this draw. Most experienced and oldest chaser in field. Placed in a Sandown Cup heat in 2018 over same distance.

This veteran chaser is still racing with great heart but at this stage of her career I would only look at backing here off Box 1 or 2, let alone in the Galaxy Final. She couldn’t win off the outside draw.


Allen Mike: 1st emergency. Best 42.40 (2/3/19).

Ran 3rd In heat in 42.69. 1st split PB of 5.59. Only missed a placing once here in 4 starts. 16 of 22 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

He would need an inside draw if he were to gain a start but even then there are too many quality dogs in the field for him to figure in the finish.


Moment To Jive: 2nd emergency. Best 41.73 (12/1/19).

Ran 4th in heat running 42.65 with a 1st split of 5.69. Most experienced chaser over track and trip with 19 wins from 33 starts.

She was in career best from prior to her heat run and had no luck last week. She was bumped heavily and if she were to gain a start could run into the placings.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – PLACE – Barcali (3) > $1.80 (3 units)

Race 2- Perth Cup Heat 2

#5 Dyna Patty 

The Group 1 Australian Cup winner is flying at the moment. I love the fact she had her first look at the circuit last Saturday and ran a sizzling 29.56. Earlier in her career, she didn’t cope with pressure on her outside but she railed beautifully here. I am not concerned by the squeeze draw as it should allow her to accelerate to the crown of the track and prove too good.

 BACK – 4 Dyna Patty units at $1.40


Race 3 – Perth Cup Heat 3

#2 Miss Splendamiro 

In what looks a tricky race, she goes into this race without a start at the track and failing and running second at $1.10 last Sunday at Sandown Park. She is well drawn close to the rails which will ensure she stays red figures, so at the price point I am happy to have a set against her. Garbrandt, Benali and Campini should all begin well and will be hunting for the fence so I am hoping this could cause her to find some trouble.

 LAY – Miss Splendamiro 2 units at $1.90

#1 Dyna Orenthal 

He has been racing really well over the 600 metres of late and from the gun alley the drop back in distance is not a worry. Seeing a couple of the other fancies including Campini have tricky draws I am confident he can click through the gears nicely and finish strongly for a placing.

 BACK – Dyna Orenthal the PLACE 2 units at $3.60


Race 4- Perth Cup Heat 4

 #4 West on Augie – BACK (3 units at > $1.50)

Initially I was surprised Dyna Patty went straight past him down the back straight last Saturday, but it was a very hot race and he held on ok. Even though this is a Cup heat, it is a weaker race than his last start. There also shouldn’t be much pressure on his outside as he likes to hunt down the middle of the track. I am happy to take the shorts here.

 BACK – West on Augie 3 units at $1.50


Race 6- Perth Cup Heat 6

#4 Nangar Jill 

She often explodes out of the boxes and does her best racing when out in front. I am not sure she can do that here against Perth Cup quality dogs. Even if she found herself several lengths in front I am confident she can get reeled in. If Hasten Slowly can begin off the mat on terms he could crash straight into her which would cruel her chances.

 LAY  Nangar Jill 2 units at $8.50

Race 7 – Galaxy Heat 1

#7 Tornado Tears 

He astonishingly broke the track record in a solo trial over 600 metres in what was his first look at the track in 34.47. He looks back to his best after finding trouble and having an awkward action in Group 1 Superstayers at The Meadows. I would prefer him from an inside draw but this is compensated by the smaller 6 dog field. He should hit the lead by the back straight and power away from these rivals at “20% interest”.

 BACK – Tornado Tears for 6 units at $1.20

#2 Equilibrium 

Keep in mind there is no third dividend here, I am still confident he can run second. Apart from Tornado Tears he is the strongest dog in the race. He is a very wide runner so I am hoping he can get to the outside safely by the winning post the first time around and roar into second placing at the finish.

 BACK – Equilibrium the PLACE for 2 units at $2.50


 Race 8- Galaxy Heat 2

#1 West on Hawkeye

Looking for some value here seeing Moment to Jive is very short and has a tricky draw but not willing to lay her. West on Hawkeye was bumped and lost plenty of momentum on the first turn here last Saturday and I believe he could have finished a lot closer. He may be able to settle closer here off the cherry draw and could run a really cheeky race at nice odds. 7 of his 17 career wins have come from Boxes 1 and 2.

 BACK – West on Hawkeye for 2 units at $5.50

Australian Cup Final | The Meadows | Saturday 2nd March

Distance: 525m

Track Record: Allen Deed 29.376 seconds (3/1/15)


Field and Stats

Dyna Patty: Best 29.67.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.11. 4 wins and a placing from 6 starts this draw. 6 wins from 14 starts this trip. Group 1 Maturity Classic winner over this trip.

Returned to sizzling form in her heat win. Even though her record from box 1 is very good, I have always felt she is better drawn off the track as it allows her to accelerate more easily.

I was tempted to make her the lay bet as she is very short in the market, however My Redeemer and Dyna Oscar are likely not to be railing either. If she was to explode out she may be able to get the gun run on the first turn and lead all the way.


My Redeemer: Best 29.71 (22/12/18).

Won his heat in 29.71 with a 1st split of 5.12. Has only missed a placing twice in 8 starts this trip. 4 wins and 3 seconds from 8 starts this draw. 2018 Melbourne Cup winner.

Going for the elusive Melbourne Cup/ Australian Cup double. He is a proven star at Group 1 level. However, I did feel he found one of the weaker heats and has been using plenty of the track in recent runs.

With a stack of speed thundering down from the outside and Bago Bye Bye beginning well and hunting for the rails and possibly Dyna Patty railing under, I’m not sure he will be able to obtain clear running. He will start close to favourite here I am happy to take him on at the price point.


Dyna Oscar: Best 29.94.

Recorded this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.22. 3 wins from 6 starts from this draw. Most experienced chaser over this trip with 26 starts.

Was a surprise heat winner for mine. He would need to jump better than he ever has before and is probably the only greyhound in the race that I would say cannot win.


Bago Bye: Bye Best 29.54.

Ran this time in heat, quickest of heats with a 1st split of 5.10. Has won 14 of his past 16 starts. 3 wins from 7 starts this draw. Has been doing his recent racing in New Zealand.

Is a greyhound I have followed closely throughout his highly successful stint in New Zealand. I have always rated him as a ‘mad railer’ so I let him go around last week seeing he had Box 8. He then ran a staggering 29.54 at his first race start at the track and from an unfavorable draw. So he is better suited here closer to the rails and he will keep coming. He just needs that initial luck early and find the rail. He is my pick to win but without much confidence.


Deliver: Best 29.69 (22/12/18).

Won his heat in 29.70 with a 1st split of 5.07. Undefeated from this draw (2 starts). Has won his past four races including the Group 1 Rookie Rebel over 600 metres at this track.

Handled the drop back in distance with aplomb last week in his heat. He has a good record from middle draws and he would not surprise me at all if he were to win the race but the map at the first turn looks sticky on paper.


Black Opium: Best 29.91.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.05 (second quickest). 1 start for 1 win from this draw. Has won 11 of 15 career starts. Least experienced chaser in field.

Has been a little hard to catch of late but the powerful Thompson kennel will have her cherry ripe for this. She used Box 1 to the max in her heat and could find it tough going out wide. Prior to last year’s Melbourne Cup she was exploding the lids no matter where she was drawn and if she could do that here she is right in the finish.


Miss Splendamiro: Best 29.73.

Recorded this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.02 (quickest). 5 wins and 2 placings from 10 starts this draw. Never missed a placing in 3 starts over this trip. Hasn’t missed a placing in her past 15 starts.

Ran an incredible first two sections here in her heat (5.02 17.53) and trainer Dave Geall was quoted after the race saying she was a run short in her preparation which bodes well for this race. If she had an inside draw I would be very confident but Box 8 in Group 1 races is a very tough ask. She will need to make no mistakes and looks a little unders in the betting.


Shima Breeze: Bet 29.89.

2nd in heat in a time of 29.78, 1st split of 5.05. Has won from every box except Box 7. Has led all the way in 3 of her past four starts.

Shima adds to the brigade of speed dogs who will be charging down from the outside, even if she were to explode out she would need some trouble behind to hold on and win against these rivals.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Bago Bye Bye (4) >$6.00 (1 unit)

 LAY – WIN- My Redeemer (2) <$4.00 (1 unit)

Fanta Bale Super Stayers Final | The Meadows | Saturday 2nd March

Distance: 725m

Track Record: Space Star 41.933 seconds (28/2/15)


Field and Stats

Double Gee: Best 42.30 (29/12/18)

Runner up in heat in 42.48, 1st split of 5.14. Group 2 winner over 720 metres at Wentworth Park. First start from Box 1 in 31 career starts.

Took a while to find the rail and balance up from an unfriendly draw in his heat, but his run from the winning post the first time around was excellent. He has a much better draw here and I am confident he can run into the placings.


Poco Dorado: No best winning time.

Ran third in heat in time of 42.72, 1st split of 5.04. Only had two starts from this draw for a win and a second. Dual Group 3 winner and Group 1 placed.

Has been very disappointing in her two recent runs over this trip. She doesn’t seem to be bringing her sensational NSW form to Victoria. We probably have missed the boat to lay her when she failed at even money odds here last start and will be much bigger odds here.


Boom Down: No best winning time.

Ran third in heat in 42.52, 1st split of 5.20. Only one start from Box 3 for a third. Hasn’t missed a placing in his last 6 starts. Second least experienced chaser in field (25 starts).

Kept coming in his heat despite some traffic issues throughout and he hit the line really well. He has a better draw here and should be able to land on the paint more easily.

He is my smokey in this event and will be huge each way odds on the exchange and looks to be a place play for Betfair Insider followers.


Black Impala: No best winning time.

Runner up in heat in time of 42.58. 1st split of 4.83 (quickest). Has never won from this draw in 6 starts. 2 seconds from 3 starts over this trip.

Has been flying along early in his races running sizzling sectionals and seems to be getting stronger. He could set up an early lead again but this is a high quality field and I can see him getting swamped late.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.96.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 4.95. Won 21 of 30 career starts and has won 8 races in a row. Multiple Group race winner. Last start here was half a length off 4 year old track record.

Is a champion chaser who will be extremely hard to beat. His last two wins here have been breathtaking but he doesn’t represent any value here. He is desperate for the fence so Box 5 is no help here. There is no way I would lay him but happy just to watch him go around.


Blue Moon Rising: Best 42.73.

Ran this time in heat win with 1st split of 5.00. Has yet to win from this draw in 9 starts. Has not missed a placing in his last 14 starts. Has placed in Group 1, 2 and 3 races.

Has really caught the eye as of late and was gutsy in winning his heat. He has had the benefit of two handy inside draws and has to contend with a wide draw in this event. I don’t think he can win.


Ebby Ripper: Best 42.48 (6/11/17 and last week).

Won her heat coming from a long way back in 42.48. 1st split of 5.13. 2 wins from 15 starts from this draw. Most experienced chaser in field lining up for her 103rd start.

Is the veteran chaser of the field who is still racing well. Strangely, her Victorian form in hot races seems to be better than her NSW form in weaker races. The draw is no help to her but could flash home late.


Peppertide: (likely to start from Box 6) No best winning time.

3rd in heat in 43.02 with a 1st split of 5.04. 6 wins from 13 career starts but yet to win here in 2 attempts. Least experienced and youngest chaser in field.

Comes into the field with the scratching of Hot Tip. He has been performing much better at Sandown Park than he has at The Meadows. Over this trip he seems to miss the kick and course wide. He won’t be able to make those mistakes in this event.


Taken King: 2nd emergency

No best winning time. 4th in heat in 42.57 with a 1st split of 4.94 (second quickest of heats). Been in the money in 26 of his 33 career starts.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – PLACE – Boom Down  (3) > $5.00 (2 units)

 BACK – PLACE – Double Gee (1) >$1.90 (2 units)

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