Greyhound Racing Tips: Expert Previews

Welcome to our Greyhound Racing Tips page. Our Greyhound Analysts will be previewing the biggest group races across the racing calendar, also giving their best selections for the race with a preview on every single runner.

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Geelong Cup Final – 460m – Friday, October 25th

Track Record: Black Magic Opal 25.106 seconds (18/10/13)


Field and Stats

Vivatar
Best: 25.57 (10/10/19)

Ran second in heat in 25.93 with a 1st split of 6.60. 3 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts this draw. Has had the most experience in field over track and trip, 3 wins and 3 seconds from 7 starts here.

Earlier in his career he looked like a dead set railer but in last five starts he has drawn Box 5 or Box 8. I am confident of a bold showing here with a return to a rails draw. Although he will need to improve on the clock he looks to be the best drawn greyhound in the race and these Country Cup finals are so competitive you do not always need to run a sizzling time in order to win. A great each way chance.

Snags McKenzie
Best: 25.58 (19/7/19).

Ran second in heat in 25.53 with a 1st split of 6.53. 2 wins and 3 placings from 6 starts from this draw. 2 wins and 1 second from 4 starts over this trip.

He tends to race best when he can get forward early. Although there are classier dogs in the race, from this draw he should get every chance to find a forward position and if there is any trouble behind then he could run a cheeky race here.

Hooked On Scotch
Best: 25.34 (6/9/19).

Won his heat in 25.94 with a 1st split of 6.82 (slowest). Has won his last 5 starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from 2 starts this draw. Yet to taste defeat over this trip (2 starts). 2019 Sandown Speed Star winner and Group 1 Adelaide Cup winner.

Even though he looks to be one of the next superstars of the track, I didn’t get too excited about his heat win. He began poorly by his standards and ran the slowest 1st sectional of any of these runners. He had an empty box to his outside and was one of the weaker heats. Then in the straight Mepunga Isla and Mighty Max Gone were bumping repeatedly which allowed him to swoop down the outside and win.

He faces an extremely competitive field here with 2 fast beginners on his inside and Slingshot Hammer who is a consistent beginner and will be pushing through hard. I can see him getting squeezed early here and he looks to be far too short in early markets and I am happy to have a small lay bet.

Slingshot Hammer
Best: 25.38 (19/10/18).

Won his heat in 25.64 with a 1st split of 6.60. Most experienced chaser in field with 65 career starts. 1 win and 1 third in 2 starts over this trip. 3 wins and 1 second from 5 starts this draw.

He is a very versatile and professional chaser. He has won in fast times from 400 to 600 metres. The early speed battle shouldn’t bother him and he will be pushing through hard. This distance range is perfect for him at this stage of his career and he can go very close in this event.

Peter Galo
Best: 25.87.

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split PB of 6.58. 32 wins and 6 placings from 54 career starts. Has won his past four starts. 5 wins from 7 starts this draw. 2019 Healesville Cup winner and Healesville track record holder.

He is one of the fastest dogs in the country but does need things to go his way in races. He tends to win or finish well down the track. The draw hasn’t done him many favours but on the flipside he has been racing in career best form over the last few months. It wouldn’t shock me if he won or ran last.

Last Hurrah
Best: 25.66 (12/4/19).

Won his heat in 25.85 with a 1st split of 6.66. 3 wins from 4 starts over this trip. 2 wins and a third from 3 starts this draw. 13 wins and 8 placings from 29 career starts.

He does his best racing over this track and trip but I don’t think he can win this unless there was some sort of scrimmage before the home turn.

Riley’s Paige
No best winning time.

Runner up in heat in 25.79 with a 1st split of 6.56. Has finished Top 3 in his last 7 starts. 1 win and 3 placings from 5 starts this draw. 10 wins and 23 placings from 48 career starts.

He has been jumping a lot quicker in recent starts then earlier in his career. His best form has come from inside draws and it looks a tricky map with so much speed underneath him. Place hopes look best.

Runnin’ Royalty
Best: 25.46 (2/8/19).

Won his heat in 25.48 (quickest) with a 1st split of 6.48 (quickest).4 wins and 3 placings from 9 starts this draw. 3 wins and a second from 4 starts this track and trip. Been in the money in his last 5 starts.

He ran the fastest 1st sectional and overall time last week and despite this I am against him here. He has been suited by Box 8 previously as he is a wide runner who excels with early room and accelerates. I am just not sure he will be able to clear these rivals and if he does it is still a very high-pressure race, if he runs too wide I can see him getting swamped late. Another small lay bet.

Blue Striker (1st Emergency)
No best winning time.

Runner up in heat in 26.02. 14 wins and 20 placings from 52 career starts.

He showed a return to form last start but I can’t see him winning this.

Wilbur Deeds (2nd Emergency)
Best 29.67 (17/3/18).

Runner up in heat in 26.08 1st split PB of 6.62. 14 wins and 32 placings from 83 career starts.

Even with a PB run here he wouldn’t be able to win this.


Selections

1st – Slingshot Hammer (4)
2nd – Hooked on Scotch (3)
3rd – Vivatar (1)

Betting Strategy

 LAY (WIN) – Hooked on Scotch (3) < $2.80 (1 unit)

 LAY (WIN) – Runnin’ Royalty (8) < $4.80 (1 unit)


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Previous Meetings

Million Dollar Chase Final – 520m – Friday, October 18th

Track Record: Shakey Jakey 29.07 seconds (6/4/14)


Get it Gizmo
Best: 29.45 (26/9/19)

Ran this time in semi final win. Has a 1st split PB of 5.52. Has yet to race from this draw and has been unplaced in 1 run from Box 2. 17 career starts for 8 wins and 7 placings.

He ran a sizzling time in his semi final win but he does seem to do his best racing from wide draws. He raced similarly well when he had Box 8 at The Meadows in July where he ran a hot 29.92. This is a high pressure race with stacks of early speed and I could see him spearing off at the first turn and causing some trouble. However, the inside alley can win big races so for this reason I wouldn’t be game to lay him either.

Good Odds Harada
Best: 29.57 (13/7/19).

Won his semi final in 29.66 leading all the way. Ran a 5.45 PB but has a 1st split PB of 5.42. Most experienced chaser in field with 40 starts. 1 win and 3 placings from 4 starts this draw. Most experienced chaser over this trip with 9 wins from 19 starts.

He would be the most professional dog in the race. He has big race and travel experience from The Nationals series at Cannington in August where he led for a long way. His runs at Bathurst to qualify for this series had to be seen to be believed.

He has reliable early speed and should be able to avoid Get It Gizmo when the lids open. Flying Bazza can take a few strides to get going to his outside.  These are all huge ticks for me and if he gets the McFly at the first turn it could be all over. He will be my main play here.

Flying Bazza
Best: 29.78

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 5.60. 1 start from this draw for 1 win. 7 wins and 5 placings from 14 career starts. Only missed a placing once over this trip in 5 starts. One of two Jason Mackay runners in the field (Get It Gizmo)

He is a very fast dog on his night. He is just one of those chasers who needs a few one percenters to go his way early on in races. He certainly benefited from a fantastic rails run where half the field fanned wide and he got a great run through. From where he landed mid race I thought he may have gone a little quicker. I am finding too many negatives here and I think his only chance to win it is if he misses the start and again gets a lucky run through.

Pindari Express
Best 29.41 (6/4/19).

Won his semi final in 29.85 with a 1st split of 5.57. Has a 1st split PB of 5.49. Has had 26 career starts but has never raced from this draw. 2 wins and 2 placings from 6 starts this draw. Has not finished worse than second in his past 7 starts.

Since his very first race start he has always had a huge boom associated with him. I have always preferred him on the horse shoe tracks but he is that good he can still get the job done over this circuit too. He is another who can begin a little awkwardly but he began better than I expected in the semi final.

Then he seems to hit a flat spot as he tries to work his way to the outside, this could prove costly but it wouldn’t surprise me if he could win. He will be the sentimental favourite for sure and the Wenty crowd may explode if he could win this. I am happy to have a small play on him here despite a tricky speed map.

Black Opium
Best: 29.46

Ran this time in semi final win with a 1st split PB of 5.38 (quickest). 19 wins and 7 placings from 36 career starts. 4 starts for 3 wins over this track and trip. Has amassed $396,000 in prizemoney.

Her recent runs prior to her last week’s semi final were out of character, she seemed to have been finding unnecessary trouble and if she couldn’t lead clearly early she was making too many mistakes. So last week’s win has made her an interesting proposition.

She has proven form from middle draws and if she explode out she would take a power of beating. However, can she cross Good Odds Harada early? The jury is out, stats say she can cross but she will still need to do everything right. The Thompson kennel will have her trained to the minute.

Shima Shine
Best 29.60 (22/5/19).

Ran this time in semi final with a 1st split of 5.48. Least experienced chaser in field with only 11 career starts. 9 wins and a third in career to date. Has yet to race from this draw but is 2 from 2 from Box 7.

He could be one of the next big things in greyhound racing. He can run sizzling sectionals first and middle and has taken to racing at this circuit with aplomb. Another thing in his favour is he is a proven winner here from wide draws and his early acceleration is incredible.

It could be a matter of how much early petrol he would need to use to get across this field and for that reason I have a slight leaning elsewhere. If you were keen on his chances I wouldn’t talk you out of it.

Jimmy Casey
Best: 29.73 (13/7/19)

Won his semi final in 30.02 with a 1st split of 5.66. Has a 1st split PB of 5.54. Has the second most experience over this track and trip with 7 wins from 17 starts. 1 win from 3 starts from this draw.

He would need a miracle to win this and with so much speed around him I just can’t see him getting a clear run and should be $80+ on the exchange close to the jump.

Curt Lee
Best: 29.83 (5/10/19)

Won his heat in 30.14 with a 1st split of 5.53. The week prior he ran 5.39 early when producing the 29.83 win. 17 wins and 4 placings from 26 career starts. 5 wins from 7 starts from Box 8 but mostly on horseshoe circuits.

He is one of the most reliable beginners in Australia and he will get plenty of room to move from the outside draw which he used beautifully 2 weeks ago.

This is a lot tougher here and he could make or break the race for a few others depending on if there is a scrimmage at the first turn. I don’t think he can win from the extreme draw but could hold on for a place.

Perfect Marshall (1st Emergency)
No best winning time.

Runner up in semi final in 29.73. 10 wins and 6 placings from 23 career starts.

Showed great early speed in his heat run but doesn’t have the class to win this.

 

Aston Duke (2nd Emergency)
Best 29.67 (17/3/18).

Runner up in heat in 29.78. 1st split PB of 5.41. Has had 27 wins and 33 placings from 78 career starts.

He is still racing really well but would need some luck and an inside draw to win here.


Selections

1st – Good Odds Harada (2)
2nd – Pindari Express (4)
3rd – Black Opium (5)

Betting Strategy

BACK – Good Odds Harada (2) > $4.80 (2 units)

BACK – Pindari Express (4) > $10 (0.5 units)

Adelaide Cup – 515m – Friday, October 11th

Track Record: Brett Lee – 28.88 (25/1/2001)

Hooked On Scotch
Best: 29.19 (26/9/19)

Ran this time in State of Origin Match Race Series with a 1st split of 4.43. Qualified for this race by winning that match race series. 1 win from 1 start this draw. Has won four of his last 4 starts.

Earlier in his career in runs at Warragul and The Meadows he raced very greenly and found some trouble. He looked to show a liking for the rails in these races. In starts since then he has obviously exploded and has real superstar ability. So there is no knock on the inside draw here and given his Match race event was his first race start at the track and there was bumping throughout, if conditions favour and if he pings the lids he should go quicker than 29.19 and win this.

Whiskey Riot
Best: 29.45.

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 4.41. 14 career wins and 8 placings from 29 career starts. 3 wins from 3 starts this draw.

I was against him in his heat run but he was heavily backed and never looked like losing. The rails draw suits him here and he could be the one finding the rail early if there’s any trouble upfront he looks a shot at winning. I won’t be backing him but a win wouldn’t shock.

Sennachie
Best: 29.21 (26/9/19)

Ran this time in recent Match Race Series. Ran a 4.42 1st split in that event but has a 4.36 PB. 4 wins from 5 starts at the track. 3 wins and 1 placing from 4 starts this draw. Dual Group 1 winner in 2019.

Trainer Steve White would be one of the best trainers in the country and he has a knack of peaking his dogs for big races. Sennachie exploded in both the Brisbane Cup final at Albion Park and the Maturity Classic at The Meadows so I would be expecting more of the same here. He is right in this and looks a very strong winning chance.

Fernando’s Riot
Best: 29.55

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 4.45. 12 wins and 8 placings from 27 career starts. 1 win and 2 placings from 4 starts this draw.

He is a good chaser but this is the toughest race of his career. This looks to be an awful draw with hot pace underneath him and I can see him finding early bother. Others have more appeal here.

Weblec King
Best: 29.70

Ran this time in heat win but also in a heat of the SA Derby last month. 1st split PB of 4.41 (equal best of heats). Only missed a placing once in 19 career starts. 2 wins and 2 placings from 4 starts over this trip.

He showed great courage in crossing from a wide draw at the first turn in his heat run and he eventually proved too good. This is a lot tougher here and even though he is all class I don’t think he can win here.

Cawbourne Terry
No best winning time

Ran second in heat in 29.64 with a 1st split of 4.52. Only dog in the race to not have a win over this circuit. Has yet to have a race start from Box 6.

This looks way too hard for him to win. Even though his run was excellent here last week I just have several others as better winning chances.

Spring Bridge
Best: 29.46 (12/7/18)

Won his heat in 29.61 with a 1st split of 4.55 (slowest). Most experienced chaser over this trip with 15 starts. Has yet to win from this draw in 4 starts.

Even though he didn’t run the time of some of his opponents in his heat run last week, the win had to be seen to be believed. He stormed to win along the rails and it was just a super run. He looks the blowout chance here, if there is a scrimmage up front he will make the most of it and will be roaring home late. He may go around at silly odds.

He’s For Me
Best: 29.72 (26/9/19)

Runner Up in heat in 29.78 with a 1st split of 4.44. 10 wins and 16 placings from 37 career starts. Yet to win from this draw in 4 starts.

This looks to be a tough ask from the extreme draw here. He would need to explode out and cross the field here in order to be a winning chance and I just can’t see that happening. Place hopes look best here.

Oakvale Beauty (1st emergency)
Best: 29.58 (19/9/19)

Runner up in heat in 29.83 with a 1st split of 4.59. Recent winner of the SA Oaks.

She is capable of running a cheeky race here if she gained a start but would be a place hope at best.

Seal The Deal (2nd emergency)
No best winning time

Ran second in heat in 29.92 with a 1st split of 4.46. 11 wins and 5 placings from 23 career starts.

He would likely need a rails draw to be any winning chance here but he rarely runs a bad race.

Selections

1st: Hooked On Scotch (1)
2nd: Sennachie (3)
3rd: Spring Bridge (7)

Betting Strategy

BACK – Hooked On Scotch for 3u at > $2.10

Angle Park – Best Backs and Lays – Thursday, October 3rd

Race 3 – 515m -Adelaide Cup Heat 1

Given Whiskey Riot’s shortish odds, I am not comfortable with the fact he hasn’t had a race start over this circuit. Experience at the track is extremely important and there are other chasers in this event that have plenty of experience and can run time. In addition, Fly For Fun and It’s A Riot will begin speedily and will be carving over from the wide draws so I can see him getting shuffled back at the first turn.

Betting Strategy

 LAY – Whiskey Riot for 2u at < $3.40


Race 4 – 515m – Adelaide Cup Heat 2

Sennachie looked back to his best in the State of Origin Match race series here last week where he ran a scorching 29.21 and won his match up with a leg in the air. He has found a very winnable heat here with his only concern being Fantastic Yankee drawn to his outside who can explode out, but he has excellent race sense so he should be able to shake him off and prove too good.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sennachie for 4u at > $1.40


Race 5 – 515m – Adelaide Cup Heat 3

Weblec King was very unlucky in the SA Derby final. He was held up and in traffic on a couple of occasions and still hit the line really well. If he can replicate that run of 29.62 then that could be good enough to win this. Given that this is his fourth look at the circuit, it looks a superb preparation to my eye and he could be ready to explode here.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Weblec King for 3u at > $3.50


Race 6 – 515m – Adelaide Cup Heat 4

Steinbrenner looks to have come up too short in early markets here. I would prefer him from an inside draw in general but the outside draw here also looks a negative. Given these two negatives I am happy to have a small lay bet here. He has been in excellent form so I don’t want to go too hard against him but with Oakvale Beauty drawn underneath him and Panhandle Slim showing similar race patterns, he may meet some early bother.

Betting Strategy

 LAY – Steinbrenner for 1u at < $2.60


Race 7 – 515m – Adelaide Cup Heat 5

Spring Bridge may have been a touch disappointing in the State of Origin Match race series last week. The format suited him to a tee and I expected him to go quicker than 29.58. However, if he can run a similar time here then that should be good enough to win this race. He has plenty of experience over this circuit and he could get a nice sit behind the leaders and finish with a powerful finishing burst.

This is probably Chief Fernando’s toughest test in his 23 start racing career. He was in a much easier race last week and even though he should be able to improve on the clock, given it was his first look at the track last week I am still not convinced he can lead all the way against some strong opposition here.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Spring Bridge for 2u at > $2.00

 LAY – Chief Fernando for 2u at < $3.00

Angle Park Race 3 – Thursday, September 26th

Match Up 1

Crash Bandicoot – SA – Box 1

Even though he is 74 starts into his career, he is racing in fantastic form at the moment. He managed to lead all the way from an unfavourable draw last start in a very credible 29.58. With this format and with the bonus of an inside draw he should be going 29.50 or better here and is every chance to run a very cheeky race. He has a fitness edge over Sennachie and will roar home late. I will be watching this one with interest.

Sennachie – VIC – Box 2

He just seems a little off his best at the moment. In a Speed Star match up last start at $1.15 he won by a lip in 29.54 which wasn’t anywhere close to the best time on the night (29.11). Then at The Meadows last Saturday he found plenty of trouble but I expected him to be more forward early. Prior to his stint in Victoria he did all his early racing over this circuit and he races briliantly here. I have no interest in laying him but I don’t want to back him either.

Betting Strategy

No Bet


Match Up 2

Steinbrenner – VIC – Box 3

He looks suited to the inside draw here, he is very professional and chases his heart out. He showed by winning the Speed Star Consolation at Sandown Park that he is very suited to the format and, even though he has yet to have a race start over this circuit, he is a chaser on the up and I am happy to have a small play here.

Alpha Aion – SA – Box 4

Even though he is past his best he is still racing very well. He can scout wide in his races but that is when he races at his best. From a punting point of view that is acceptable as he will be at full momentum in the run. However, he will need to do everything right in order to win this but I wouldn’t be blown away with shock if he did win.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Steinbrenner for 2u at < $1.25


Match Up 3

Fly For Fun – SA – Box 5

He can be his own worst enemy in full fields as he looks to head right out of the boxes and prefers to run four or five off the fence. Even though it’s a two-dog match up, that could be an issue here and Hooked On Scotch will likely clear him early. Even though he ran a very slick 29.59 last start he would need to break 29.50 here at the least to win this and not scout too wide.

Hooked On Scotch – VIC – Box 6

He was breathtaking winning the Sandown Park Speed Star series last start. On a wet and windy night, he ran an astonishing 29.11 over the 515 metres. On a dry night, he would have broken the glorious 29.00 mark. He should be going straight to the front here, the only causes for concern are his first race start at the track and avoiding an early hit when the lids rise.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Hooked On Scotch for 4u at < $1.18


Match Up 4

Chanya Chase – SA – Box 7

He is suited to the format as he can take a stride or two to balance up and then really click through the gears. He has a very respectful 29.63 PB here but even that wouldn’t be good enough to win this. He would need Spring Bridge to check off heels to be any chance to win this.

Spring Bridge – VIC – Box 8

Last start in the Sandown Speed Star over 595 metres he ran an incredible 33.95 in wet conditions. He would be one of the strongest chasers in Australia and would be the greyhound most suited to these match race conditions out of all eight competitors. Although I would prefer him drawn on the rails he still has the race smarts to avoid any trouble.

The Thompson kennel has really got him going and as an added bonus he actually began his career in South Australia so he has plenty of experience at this track including a fantastic 29.46 PB. He is a much better dog now than he was then. He should be winning this and would be my best bet out of the four match ups.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Spring Bridge for 6u at < $1.18


Emergencies

  • Panhandle Slim (SA)
  • Seal The Deal (VIC)

Overall Market

BACK (WIN) – Spring Bridge for 1u at < $4.00

Angle Park Race 6 – Thursday, September 19th

Distance: 515m
Track Record: Brett Lee 28.88 (25/1/2001)

Field and Stats

Coorong Lucy Best 29.92 (15/8/19). Won her heat in 30.21 with a 1st split of 4.43. Undefeated from inside draws (Boxes1-4). 3 wins and 2 placings from 5 career starts. Least experienced chaser in field.

It was a bit hard to get a read on her heat run as she was checked several times in the run but still hit the line really well. She has never missed a placing but I would be inclined to take her on against these rivals.

Oakvale Beauty Best 29.69 (6/6/19). Ran second in heat in 29.97 with a 1st split of 4.45. Never missed a placing in 16 career starts. 3 wins and 2 placings from 5 starts this draw. Has had 7 wins over this track and trip (most in field).

She looks to be the best of local hopes, she used to track wide in her races but has really sharpened up of late and has been railing underneath her opponents. She showed great heart in her heat run and with the right run early she could threaten.

Mepunga Maggie  Best 29.73 (5/9/19). Runner up in heat in 30.04 with a 1st split of 4.65. Ran a 1st split of 4.42 the week prior. 6 wins and 5 placings from 20 career starts. 2 wins and 1 placing from 6 starts this draw.

She flew the lids at her first start here and you were in the queue very early. Last week she bombed the start but peeled her way through the field nicely and ran a gallant second. It was an eye-catching run and if she can begin speedily she looks very hard to beat here.

Swift Timing Best 29.65 (6/5/19). Ran third in heat in 30.32 with a 1st split of 4.40 (quickest from last week). Only missed a placing 3 times in 23 career starts. 13 starts over this track and trip with 4 wins and 6 placings. 1 win and 2 placings from 3 starts this draw.

She is never far away in her races but these runs were in much easier races. She would be very unlikely to win this.

Dashing Mickey Best 29.99 (23/5/19). Ran third in heat in 30.23 with a 1st split of 4.81. Has never won from this draw in 3 starts. 1 win and 12 placings from 18 career starts.

She has a poor winning strike rate and looks to be way outclassed here.

Submission Best 29.70. Ran this time in heat, 1st split of 4.47. 1 win and 1 placing from 3 starts this draw. Has won her past three starts. 6 wins and 3 placings from 11 career starts.

She really caught the eye in her heat run and considering it was her first race start over this circuit she is certainly capable of improvement. The draw looks a little tricky but it wouldn’t shock seeing her win this.

Kisses for Cloda Best 29.92 (12/6/19). Runner up in heat in 30.32 with a 1st split of 4.43. 10 wins and 7 placings from 20 career starts. 1 win and 2 placings from 3 career starts. Only missed a placing here once in 8 starts.

She went around at well over the odds in her heat run and is a very underrated performer. She is as honest as they come but this is a really tough race and place hopes look best.

 Miss Bellawood Best 29.92. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 4.47. Has won her past three starts. 2 placings from 3 starts from this draw. 4 wins and 4 placings from 13 career starts.

She could be ready to peak here with two solid wins in 30.01 and then last week in 29.92. Being out of Worm Burner she is suited from wide draws and with a clean beginning, she should be right in the finish.

Aston Peregrine 1st emergency. No best winning time. 3rd in heat with a time of 30.33. 1st split of 4.59. 7 wins and 3 placings from 16 career starts.

She is a star chaser who has been mixing it in some very tough Victorian races recently. She would need a rails draw if she gains a start here.

Zipping Jamie 2nd emergency. No best winning time. 4th in heat with a time of 30.23. 1st split of 4.53. 6 wins from 10 career starts.

She has been down on her best form in recent starts and I can’t have her against these rivals.


Selections

1st – Mepunga Maggie (3)
2nd – Miss Bellawood (8)
3rd – Oakvale Beauty (2)


Betting Strategy

BACK- WIN – Mepunga Maggie (3) > $2.90 (1.5 units)

BACK- WIN – Miss Bellawood (9) < $6.50 (0.5 units)

Angle Park Race 8 – Thursday, September 19th

Distance: 515m
Track Record: Brett Lee 28.88 (25/1/2001)

Field and Stats

Mepunga Pegasus No best winning time. Second in heat in 30.32 with a 1st split of 4.57. Having his first start from Box 1. 4 wins and 3 placings from 11 career starts.

He had absolutely no luck from the wide draw here last week. He met a stack of bother at the first turn but once he found the rail and balanced up in the back straight he hit the line really well. From the inside draw, he should be able to settle a lot closer and is more than capable of running into the placings here.

Weblec King  Best 29.70, ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 4.51. Only missed a placing once in 17 career starts. Has never raced from Box 2 but is 3 wins from 4 starts from Boxes 1 and 3.

He didn’t have things all his own way in his heat run and he showed great track sense to power away and win. He looks well suited by this box and he really should find the rail easily and have every chance to win. It will more than likely just be a question of if he is capable of reeling in Curt Lee and I wouldn’t rule it out. The Britton/Langton camp can be very hard to beat in these restricted age group races.

Jasper The Jet  No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.47, 1st split of 4.41. 5 wins and 5 placings from 13 career starts. Never missed a placing from this draw (2 starts).

He had absolutely no luck when being pushed wide here on his heat run and chased with great heart throughout. Having said that this field is very strong and I think winning here is beyond him.

Curt Lee Best 29.50. Ran this time in his heat with a 1st split of 4.36 (quickest). 15 wins and 3 placings from 23 career starts. 3 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won his last three starts.

He exploded out of the boxes here in his heat run. Normally it can take greyhounds a few runs at Angle Park to become familiar with the circuit and race to their best, but there were no such worries here last week running an incredible 29.50. Having his second race start at the track and with his reliable early speed he may be able to go even quicker. I am hoping he can lead all the way.

American Man Best 29.93 (11/7/19). Ran second in heat in 30.09 with a 1st split of 4.57. Least experienced chaser in the field with 7 overall career starts but has only missed a placing once. Has never raced from this draw.

He has a very promising future but the dogs he has beaten over the past several weeks are nowhere the high class of chasers he meets here tonight. The squeeze draw won’t help him and I can’t see him winning this.

Mod Squad Best 30.12. Ran this time in heat, 1st split of 4.57. 13 career starts for 4 wins and 3 placings. 1 start for 1 win this draw. Has won 3 of his past 4 starts.

He was the beneficiary of a lucky run through at the first turn last week but he showed great courage in taking the run when the opportunity arose. He would need to make zero mistakes here and as he is a little risky at box rise I am looking elsewhere.

Weblec Eagle No best winning time. Runner up in heat in 30.35, 1st split of 4.77. 9 career starts for 2 career wins and 3 placings. Has yet to have a race start from Box 7.

He was an absolute mess in his heat run. He crashed left from the outside draw and then hit the running rail, but all things considered, he stuck to his task really well and hit the line strongly. The box draw has done him no favours here as he has again drawn wide and this will likely cruel his chances.

It’s A Riot  Best 29.80. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 4.57. All four career wins have come from Boxes 2-4. 1 placing from this draw (1 start).

He did benefit from some trouble at the first turn in his heat run but he still took the gap well and chased hard and won in a very respectable time. He looks to map well here with Weblec Eagle drawn under and heading left however It’s A Riot is also a keen railer so the positive map is cancelled out and I don’t think he can win.

Ultimate Speed 1st emergency. No best winning time. 3rd in heat with a time of 30.17. 1st split of 4.62. 3 wins and 4 career placings from 12 career starts.

Others look to have more appeal here and this looks beyond him.

Cappy Morgan 2nd emergency. No best winning time. Runner up in heat with a time of 30.40. 1st split of 4.48. 4 wins and 8 placings from 22 career starts.

He can be hit or miss at box rise but can show good acceleration mid race but I think this is too tough a task.


Selections

1st – Curt Lee (4)
2nd – Weblec King (2)
3rd – Mepunga Pegasus (1)


Betting Strategy

BACK- WIN – Curt Lee (4) > $1.90 (4 units)

BACK- WIN – Weblec King (2) > $4.00 (1 unit)

Cannington – Saturday 24th August – Race 4

Distance: 715m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.25 (16/3/2019)


Field and Stats

Bronelly Jacob: No best winning time. Represents Tasmania. 7 wins and 7 placings from 29 career starts. 2 wins and a placing from 4 starts this draw (second best performed box).

He has been improving with every run since he debuted over the 700 metre journey. The inside draw is another big plus. He loves to hug the rail in his races. He may be able to run into the placings here at huge odds and is worth a small place play.

Veloce Nero: No best winning time. Represents NSW. Most experienced chaser in field with 76 career starts with 20 wins and 33 placings. Only 1 win and 5 placings from this draw in 8 starts.

She would be one of the countries most consistent stayers this year and the inside draw here is certainly not a negative. If there was some trouble behind she could go close but I will be looking elsewhere as even though she has been racing consistently her best may be behind her.

Miss Gingin: No best winning time. Represents Queensland. 7 wins and 6 placings from 24 career starts. 1 win and 2 unplaced runs from 3 starts this draw. Trialled over the 600 metres in preparation in 34.73.

Her last two wins have been fantastic efforts. She isn’t suited to wide draws but still found a way to win from Box 8 in both of those starts, this is considerably harder here and I can’t see her getting close although her recent trial has plenty of merits.

Reidy’s Runner: Best 41.66 (20/4/19). Represents WA. 18 wins and 17 placings from 50 career starts, Only 1 win and 5 placings from 13 starts this draw. 9 wins and 5 placings from  17 starts over this trip. Ran third in 2019 Galaxy Final.

He is the big local hope here, he races superbly over this track and trip and is also versatile enough to be forward early, or come from a long way back. He looks right in this with even luck but has been well found in early markets and is probably a rock bottom price given the opposition.

 Tornado Tears: Best 41.25 (16/3/19). Represents Victoria. 27 wins from 43 career starts. 6 wins from 8 starts this draw. Multiple Group race winner, has amassed $706k in prizemoney. 2019 Group 1 Galaxy finalist over this track and trip. Trialled here over 600 metres in preparation in 34.46, which is .03 of a second under the current track record.

 He broke the track record in a recent trial here over 600 metres as noted above. This race is also easier than some of his recent starts. On times he looks a moral but the only issue here is the squeeze draw. If he bombs the start he has a habit of dropping right back until he gets “comfy” on the rail. Then he leaves himself a huge task to win. If he can begin more speedily then he should prove too good. He also has previous experience here when he contested The Galaxy heats and final earlier this year. I am with him but I won’t be going too hard on him at the short odds.

 Sale Graze Bindi: No best winning time. Represents SA. 8 wins and 23 placings from 61 career starts. 1 win and 2 placings from this draw. Her best form has come from Boxes 7 and 8.

She has been impressive in recent Angle Park runs, she can be very hit or miss overall. Her best is very good and her bad runs are awful. Place hopes look best here.

 Rajasthan: No best winning time. Represents Victoria. 24 wins and 18 placings from 60 career starts. 5 wins and 4 placings from 11 starts this draw. Group 1 2019 Sandown Cup winner over 715 metres.

He has had a huge year overall and he should figure in the finish here. The wide draw is no knock on him and should give him every chance to show his early acceleration and find a forward position. It would then be a case of if he can hold off the swoopers. If you were keen on him I wouldn’t talk you out of him. A great each way chance.

 Opawa Hilary: No best winning time. Represents NZ.  7 wins and 15 placings from 32 career starts. Only 2 placings from 5 starts this draw.

The market doesn’t seem to give her a chance. The depth of quality stayers in New Zealand is small but the topliners are very good. She could get out to ridiculous odds on the exchange and she could be worth a tiny play each way here considering she has been in great form.

 Back on Lava: 1st emergency. Best 42.30 (13/7/19). Represents WA. Ran 2nd In WA final in 42.45. Only missed a placing three times in 17 starts over this trip. Does her best racing from Boxes 1-4.

This veteran chaser has a stack of experience here and even though she is still racing with great heart, this looks beyond her.

Fantastic Ghost: 2nd emergency. Best 42.44 (27/7/19). Represents WA. Ran 3rd in WA final. Best runs have been from Boxes1 and 2. 1 win and 1 placing from 4 starts over this track and trip.

He would need something much easier than this to figure in the finish.


Selections

1st – TornadoTears (5)
2nd – Reidy’s Runner (4)
3rd – Bronelly Jacob (1)


Betting Strategy

BACK- WIN – Tornado Tears (4) > $1.60 (4 units)

BACK- PLACE- Bronelly Jacob (1) > $6.00 (0.5 units)

Cannington – Saturday 24th August – Race 6

Distance: 715m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.25 (16/3/2019)


Field and Stats

Hello Rhonda: No best winning time. Represents Tasmania. Has won her past three starts. 16 wins and 14 placings from 35 career starts. Having her first start here. Never missed a placing in 5 starts from this draw.

She seems to race at her best from wider draws in her recent Tasmanian wins. That’s not to say the red is a disadvantage to her as I would rather see her in the red than a squeeze draw. But I think she is really up against it here and I don’t see her having the class to win.

Dyna Dave:  No best winning time. Represents NZ. 30 wins and 19 placings from 61 career starts. Has amassed 161k in prize money (second most in field). 3 wins and 2 unplaced runs from 5 starts this draw. Trialled here in preparation- 5.50 13.80 18.43 29.64.

This star chaser represents New Zealand and is a big chance to take the trophy across the ditch. If he can replicate his trial run as noted above then he is right in this. The inside draw is an added bonus and he is a noted railer back home. If Hello Rhonda spears off at the first turn then he could get the gun run. He looks great value.

Good Odds Harada: No best winning time. Represents NSW. 14 wins and 17 placings from 35 career starts. 2 wins and 2 placings from 4 starts this draw. Box to Box trial in preparation- 5.37 13.52 18.13.

Another who has trialled brilliantly earlier this week where he went close to the first section record. He also looks well drawn here, right in line with the lure and he should be able to clear the Dogs drawn inside him. He is right in this and if he gets to $6+ I couldn’t steer you away from him.

Black Opium: No best winning time. Represents Victoria. Runner up in the Group 1 Melbourne and Brisbane Cups. 3 starts for 3 wins from this draw. Has won 384k in prizemoney (most in field). Box to Box trial in preparation- 5.53 13.87 18.52

She is a superstar on her night and this race would be easier than some of her most recent starts. The only issue here is she hates any pressure on her outside, she needs to be drawn out wide so she isn’t hassled early, it has become a bad habit for her but you couldn’t possible lay her either. She is still capable of pinging the lids and leading all the way but she isn’t any value here.

Premium Share: Best 29.56 (25/5/19). Represents WA. Won WA final in 29.66. 1st split of 5.43. 12 career wins from 22 career starts. 10 from 15 over this track and trip. 1 win and 1 placing from 4 starts this draw.

He ticks plenty of boxes here. He has good early acceleration, can run home strongly, box draws seem to be no issue and has a stack of experience over this track and trip. He would know every grain of sand over this circuit which is very important in this series. He should go real close here and I am happy to back him.

Silver Stunner: No best winning time. Represents Queensland.  13 wins and 17 placings from 48 career starts. 2 wins and 5 placings from 9 starts this draw. Oldest chaser in field.

This will be an almighty challenge for her. I can’t see her getting across at the first turn to be any sort of winning chance and I am looking elsewhere.

Starlight Yoyo: 1st emergency (Box TBD). Best 29.64 (27/4/19). Represents WA. 11 wins and 5 placings from 26 starts over this track and trip. 22 overall career wins with 16 of these wins coming from Boxes 1-4.

She has been racing consistently of late and she is never far away in her races. She probably is just shy of having the class to win this, but with the important experience at this track and trip she cannot be ruled out.

Campini:  2nd emergency (Box TBD).  Best 29.43 (16/2/19). Ran third in WA final in 30.02. Won here last week in 29.67. 8 of 13 career wins have come from Boxes 1-4.

He gains a start here but either way he will be starting from a wide draw which is not that suitable. He has won from wide draws previously but in a field of this quality he would need an inside draw to show his best. Importantly his box draw will still be a huge factor in the race overall as he takes a hard left turn out of the boxes and he could cause some chaos. He has too many negatives here for mine.


Selections

1st –  Premium Share (5)

2nd – Dyna Dave (2)

3rd –  Black Opium (4)


Betting Strategy

BACK- WIN – Premium Share (5) < $4.20 (3 units)

BACK- WIN- Dyna Dave (2) > $8.00 (1 unit)

The Meadows – Saturday 27th July

Distance: 525m
Track Record: Allen Deed 29.376 seconds (3/1/15)


Field and Stats

Feral Franky: Best 29.98.

Ran this time in the heat with a 1st split of 5.19 (slowest). 4 wins and a second from 5 starts this draw. 15 wins and 10 placings from 27 career starts. Group 1 Vic Peters Classic winner at Wentworth Park.

He has been winning despite some tricky draws in recent starts, he still somehow finds a way to win. He has finally landed an inside draw here, he could get a brilliant run at the first turn if Get It Gizmo spears off and gives him a ton of room.

If this situation arises he will be extremely hard to beat. If he begins poorly then he should still hug the rail, click through his gears and storm home. So overall there are two contrasting variables that are in his favour which is enough for me to have a crack at him here.

Get It Gizmo Best 29.92.

Ran this time in the heat with a 1st split of 5.10. Least experienced chaser in the field with only 8 starts, 5 career wins and 2 placings overall. Never raced from this draw.

He used Box 8 to perfection in his heat run, he stayed wide early and avoided any early trouble and then showed great track nous to rail underneath the leader down the back straight. I am not sure he can get the same favours here, there is a chance he could spear off under pressure here. It would not shock me if he won but I am looking elsewhere.

Western Envoy Best 29.93 (13/3/19).

Won heat in 30.04, 1st split of 5.17. Has never missed a placing here in 4 starts. Undefeated from this draw (2 starts). A recent finalist in Group 1 Vic Peters Classic.

The Britton/Langton kennel have a knack of winning these Group age-restricted races so I can’t rule him out entirely. He is very strong and this distance range is what he needs, but the draw is tricky and he could get squeezed out at the first bend.

Tauwitchere Best 29.97 (13/7/19).

Won his heat in 29.99 with a 1st split of 5.05. Never raced from this draw but 7 of 9 career wins have come from Boxes 6-8. Only missed a placing once in 15 career starts. Group 2 Launching Pad winner at Sandown Park.

She has won her past two starts over this track and trip by leading all the way. She will find this much tougher with Jebrynah drawn to her inside so I can’t see her leading. She may still be able to find a forward position as she is versatile enough to use plenty of the track. She cannot be dismissed here.

Rockstar Prince Best 29.90.

Ran this time in the heat with a 1st split of 5.14. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from this draw. 7 wins and 5 placings from 16 career starts.

He was the beneficiary of a lucky run through at the first turn last week if I am nitpicking. On the flip side, he did win the strongest heat and ran a great time. He is also in the all-powerful Dailly kennel so they can never be discounted but I prefer others in this event.

Sennachie Best 29.73.

Recorded this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.05. 21 career runs for 13 wins and 5 placings. Has not won from this box in 3 starts. Group 1 Brisbane Cup winner. Second most experienced over track and trip (7 starts).

There is no doubt he is the best dog in the race and the one to beat. However, in these Group race finals, it is extremely difficult to win from the outside draw. It will be the charge of the light brigade to the first turn and there is every chance he won’t be able to cross cleanly. I just couldn’t possibly take the $3 to $4 that’s on offer to back him but he is that good I have no interest in laying either.

Whiskey Riot 1st emergency. Best 29.86 (18/5/19).

2nd in the heat in a time of 29.83, 1st split of 5.09. 8 of 11 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

He ran an improved race last start as he had been out of form prior but would need a stack of luck to win this.

Good Odds Buddy 2nd emergency.

No best winning time. 2nd in the heat with a time of 30.05. 1st split of 5.09. 11 career wins from 28 career starts,

He was having his first race start at the track last week so he could run into the placings if he gained a start here.


Selections

1st – Feral Franky (1)
2nd – Tauwitchere (5)
3rd – Jebrynah (3)


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Feral Franky (1) > $3.30 (4 units)

The Meadows – Saturday 20th July


Race 3- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 1

 BACK – #7 Tauwitchere (2 units at > $2.50)

She resumed from a break very impressively last week and she may be able to go even quicker on the clock here if she gets a clear run off the mat. Curt Lee and Welsly Bale should begin speedily and head over to the rails, I am hoping this will give her a great cart into the race and win.

 LAY – #4 Curt Lee (2 units at < $5.00)

It was a rarity last start in the Bendigo Cup final that he bombed the start, he relies on his lightning speed early to break the hearts of his rivals and lead all the way in his races. It may seem harsh potting the dog after one poor run, but the facts are he has raced 3 times in the past two months which is not ideal preparation for this series.

Market HERE


Race 5- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 3

 LAY – #5 Say Hi (1.5 units at < $3.15)

He is an impeccable beginner and he does his best racing over this track and trip which should ensure he stays short on the exchange. I just don’t believe he runs a strong 525 metres in top company. It is risky laying an obvious leader but I am confident if any of Start a Riot, Aston Peregrine or He’s for Me land behind it down the back straight I’m confident they can reel him in.

 LAY – #7 Max Tractor (1.5 units at < $8.00)

He bombed the start in a heat of the Vic Peters Classic at Wentworth Park recently which was unlike him. He cannot afford to make any mistakes here but he does race well at this track. He is another that I question running the distance in this class of race. It is also possible that he pests Say Hi early and they create the undoing of each other.

Market HERE


Race 6- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 4

 BACK – #4 Saint Destructor (1 unit at > $21)

In a race where Feral Franky looks very hard to beat but with a tricky draw and no race starts on the track I am happy to look for some value. This chaser has been going very well and hasn’t had much luck in recent starts. I am hoping if he can find a forward position at the first turn and if there’s trouble behind he could be right in the finish.

Market HERE


Race 8- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 6

 BACK – #3 Sennachie (4 units at > $1.50)

In a race devoid of a ton of early speed he looks well drawn to get forward and prove too strong for his rivals in this event. There’s A Catch is normally a slow beginner and should allow Sennachie some early breathing room. The only concern for mine is Sweet As Emm landing right behind him down the back straight but he should still prove too zippy.

Market HERE


Race 9- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 7

 BACK – #1 Mister Harlewood (2 units at > $2.30)

Incredibly he has had wide draws in his past 6 starts but he has still managed to win 5 of them with his only loss being in the Group 1 Vic Peters Classic at Wentworth Park, where he had a shocking draw. Despite his good form from wide draws there is nothing negative about him being drawn on the inside either. I am happy to back him here.

 LAY – #4 Seal The Deal (2 units at < $6.00)

He does not seem to be going as well as he was several months ago, he had been making a ton of mistakes in his races and finds one of the toughest heats. This looks a tricky draw with plenty of early zip drawn underneath him and I can’t see him winning.

Market HERE


Race 10- 525m – Maturity Classic Heat 8

 BACK – #4 Weblec Jack (2 units at > $3.70)

He has done his best racing over this trip with 3 wins from 4 starts including an excellent PB of 29.83. If he can replicate that effort it should be good enough to win this heat.

 BACK – #8 Rockstar Beav (0.5 units at > $12.00)

This chaser looks great value here. Ashwood has a tendency to crash over to the rails so he could gain plenty of clear running room early, if there’s an upset in this race this could be it and I am happy to look for some big overs here in the final event of the evening.

Market HERE

Peter Mosman Opal Final

Wentworth Park Race 7      

Saturday 13th July

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Shakey Jakey 29.07 seconds (6/4/14)


Field and Stats

Miley Nismo: Best 29.67. Ran this time in heat win. Has a 1st split PB of 5.46.1 win and 1 placing from 2 starts this draw. 11 wins from 20 career starts

She looks very hard to beat from the inside draw. She sticks closely to the rail in her races and has run superb time in recent runs at Gosford and Wentworth Park. Box draws are very important in Group 1 races and I feel this is one of those events where the best draw wins the race. Zipping Truvy can be moderately away so she should get every chance to hug the rail at the first turn and put herself in the right spot and prove too good.

Zipping Truvy: Best 29.99 (19/6/19). Won his heat in 30.24 coming from a long way back. Ran a 5.61 PB but has a 1st split PB of 5.54. Has yet to be beaten in career to date (3 starts)

She is incredibly in a Group 1 race at only her fourth race start. I don’t think she is up to winning this despite not being beaten in her career so far. Miley Nismo will be railing underneath her and there is a stack of pace to her outside so she may be left with nowhere to go. I can see her finding some trouble here.

Start A Riot: No best winning time. Runner up in heat in 29.96. Has a 1st split PB of 5.59. 12 wins and 3 placings from 26 career starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from this draw.

Her early pace is the key to the race, she would be the most reliable beginner in this event but the 520 metres is right on her limit.  From this box draw she should get every chance to get a clean run to the first bend, its just a matter of her being strong enough in the latter stages. It wouldn’t shock me if she won but I am looking elsewhere.

Flossing: Best 30.04. Ran this time in heat run leading all the way, 1st split of 5.47. Only 1 win from this draw in 6 starts. Has won 3 of her last 4 starts.

Another reliable beginner who looks every chance to be near the lead at the first turn. Her best hopes of winning are if she can gain a clear lead and have some trouble behind her. The Britton/Langton kennel have an incredible strike rate in these age restricted group races so I wouldn’t dare take the kennel on here. She is another who falls into the category of if she was victorious here it wouldn’t surprise me.

Aston Peregrine: Best 29.77. Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split PB of 5.55. 6 wins and 2 placings from 10 career starts. Has won her last three starts since resuming from a spell.

She has been airborne in recent starts but this draw looks very sticky with all the speed underneath her. She didn’t begin that well in her heat and if I am being super picky she got a saloon run through at the first turn. I don’t think she can get the same luck here and would need everything to go right to win. She may end up being unders on the exchange and I am happy to have a small lay bet here.

Really Unreal: Best 29.92 (22/5/19). Runner up in heat with a 1st split of 5.57. All bar one of her career starts over this track and trip for 4 wins and 4 placings from 11 starts. Never missed a placing from this draw.

She may end up being the best greyhound to come out of the race if we were to look back on this race in a year’s time. She is also from the dominant Finn kennel so she cannot be ruled out winning here. I am just not comfortable with the box draw to play here even though she may represent some value on the exchange.

Mepunga Frankie: No best winning time. Runner up in heat in 30.29. 1st split of 5.65. 5 wins and 6 placings from 19 career starts. 1 win and 1 placing from 3 starts this draw.

I believe she represents outstanding value here at a huge price on the exchange. She is another from the Britton/Langton kennel and she has a sense of timing about her. In her last two starts over this track and trip she has not been at all suited to the inside draw. She needs galloping room early in her races so this wide draw is incredibly suitable. If she can have some luck at the first turn I can see her sailing around the field and being right in the finish. Each way all day.

Vouchers: Best 29.89 (4/5/19). Runner up in heat in 29.54 with a 1st split of 5.65. 1 win and 2 placings from 3 starts this draw. Most experienced chaser over this track and trip (16 starts).

The box draw seems to have been cruel to her chances of winning. I can’t see her gaining a clear run and would need a stack of luck to go her way in order to win.

Fancy Francene: 1st emergency. No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 30.10. 1st split PB of 5.44. Been in the money in 14 of 20 career starts.

She hasn’t had much luck with box draws lately and would be best suited to an inside draw if she were to gain a start.

Snazzy Ethics: 2nd emergency. Best 30.15 (26/6/19). Ran third in heat in 30.16. 1st split PB of 5.59. Never missed a placing here in all 3 of her starts.

She cannot afford to make any mistakes here for her to be a chance to win.


Selections

1st – Miley Nismo (1)

2nd – Mepunga Frankie (7)

3rd – Flossing (4)


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Miley Nismo (1) > $2.70 (2 units)

 BACK – WIN & PLACE- Mepunga Frankie (7) > $21 (0.75 units E/W)

 LAY – WIN- Zipping Truvy (2) < $5.50 (1 unit)

 LAY – WIN- Aston Peregrine (5) < $5.00 (1 unit)

Vic Peters Classic Final

Wentworth Park Race 5      

Saturday 13th July

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Shakey Jakey 29.07 seconds (6/4/14)


Field and Stats

Kid Candle: Best 29.91. (8/5/19). Runner up in heat in 29.86 (PB) with a 1st split of 5.48. 2 starts from this draw for 2 placings. 5 wins and 4 placings from 13 career starts.

He ran a cheeky race in his heat run and even with the inside alley he would need absolutely everything to go right in order to win this.

Cawbourne Marty: Best 29.78 (8/6/19). Runner up in heat in 30.03 with a 1st split of 5.61. 3 wins and 2 placings from 6 starts from this draw. Been in the money in his past 10 starts.

He has been in red hot form in recent starts and he looks the wildcard here for mine. He should represent good value on the exchange and if he could get a check free run through at the first turn he could be able to pinch an early break on his rivals and hold on and win.

Charlie Casey: Best 29.87 (9/1/19). Won his heat in 30.10, 1st split of 5.58. 6 wins and 5 placings from 20 career starts. Has yet to win from this draw in 6 starts.

This chaser would need to improve on the clock to feature in the finish. He is a place hope with the benefit of a decent draw but I am looking to others.

Snow Business: Best 30.00. Ran this time in heat. Recorded 1st split of 5.50. 2 wins and 1 placing in 4 starts from this draw. Only missed a placing 6 times in 29 career starts.

This greyhound has plenty of upside and he has really improved over the past two months. He is the second of two runners from the powerful Lord kennel and with a clean beginning he could be right in the finish here.

Feral Franky: Best 29.75 (10/4/19). Won his heat in 29.78 despite finding early trouble. Recorded 1st split of 5.57. Has won his last seven starts and has finished Top 3 in his last 15 starts. Never missed a placing from this draw (4 starts).

He is probably in the top three greyhounds in the country at the moment. His run here last week was incredible as he was dragged down at the first corner and lost all momentum. He chased his heart out and still managed to find a way to win. The draw looks tough for him here, he would actually benefit from bombing the start and dropping to the rails. Either way you just have to be with him and I am happy to take my chances on him.

Western Envoy: No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.28 with a 1st split of 5.58. Only missed a placing 4 times in 15 starts. Has never placed in 3 starts from this draw.

The box draw has done him no favours. He tends to be risky off the mat and I can’t see how he’s going to get clear running. He is very strong and I could see him roaring home into the placings.

Mister Harlewood: Best 29.87. Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 5.51. Has won his last 5 starts. 1 from 1 from this draw. Only missed a placing once in 9 starts.

He was setting the track alight in his runs at The Meadows last month. Being a son of Worm Burner who was a noted wide runner, this chaser has the same tendencies and he looks suited to the wide draw here. He will still need everything to go right as Box 7 has a horror strike rate at this track but I think he will be right in the finish.

Weblec Jack: No best winning time. Runner up in 30.12 with a 1st split of 5.51. Has yet to have a race start from Box 8 but has won from Boxes 6 and 7. 4 wins from 8 career starts.

This chaser has enormous upside and has handled wide draws previously. He maps similar to other dogs in this field which could mean he will have trouble getting across and for that reason I am looking elsewhere.

Spearhead: 1st emergency. No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 29.97. 1st split of 5.54. 4 of his 7 career wins have come from Boxes 1 and 2.

He is as honest as they come but I don’t think he has the class to win this.

Good Odds Harada: 2nd emergency. Best 29.58 (11/5/19). Ran third in heat in 30.05. 1st split PB of 5.47. 7 of 11 career wins from Boxes 6 to 8.

He is one of New South Wales up and coming stars and could run a cheeky race here.


Selections

1st – Feral Franky (5)

2nd – Cawbourne Marty (2)

3rd – Mister Harlewood (7)


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Feral Franky (5) > $2.80 (1.5 units)

 BACK – WIN- Cawbourne Marty (2) > $7.50 (0.5 units)

Back and Lay Prospects – Wentworth Park – Saturday 6th July


Race 1 – Peter Mosman Opal Heat 1

 BACK – #1 Front Page News (2 units at > $4.80)

She has steadily been improving in recent runs. Earlier in her career she was running wide in races and making a stack of mistakes. In recent runs she has really improved her racing manners and still has plenty of upside. I am hoping she can get plenty of room at the first turn as it is possible Mepunga Frankie could spear off at the first turn.

 LAY – #3 New Mexico Star (1 unit at < $3.80)

She does have a good record from this draw but she has been beaten at her past three starts. The box draw could play a huge factor here as Mepunga Frankie is every chance to take a right hand turn at box rise. If she isn’t impacted at box rise then she is every chance to find trouble at the first turn. These two key factors and the fact she will likely start favourite are enough for me to have a set against her.


Race 5- Peter Mosman Opal Heat 3

 BACK – #2 Aston Peregrine (2 units at > $2.80)

Since resuming from a spell she has been airborne in recent runs at Warragul and looks ready for the step up in distance here. The inside draw will be of benefit to her and she should be able to settle in a forward position. The only small negative is that she has not raced her previously but this would be factored in to the price as she would be much shorter if she had raced her previously.

 LAY – #7 Fran’s Bonus (1 unit at < $3.40)

She has had zero career starts from this draw and is yet to win from 5 attempts from Box 8. There is no doubt she is the class runner of the race and has the most runs on the board over track and trip, but the poor record from wide draws really stands out. She tends to veer left when she begins speedily so she is every chance of encountering some early trouble and happy to have a small lay bet here.


Race 7 – Peter Mosman Opal Heat 4

 BACK – #5 Ritza Vonnie (2 units at > $8.00)

She has returned to the sprint trip here over the past two weeks after not staying the 720 metre trip last month. She is a very high quality chaser when at her best and she would only need some luck at the first turn and she could be a huge factor here. She will be roaring home late at superb value.

Race 2- Vic Peters Classic Heat 1

 BACK – #4 Blinken Billy (1 unit at > $12)

I am giving him another chance here. He looked very green last week and he made several mistakes, mainly with coursing wide at the first turn. Now that he has had a race start he may be able to rail more efficiently from the cherry draw. He hit the line really well last week and has a stack of upside.

 LAY – #7 Lucy’s Milo 1.5 units at < $4.50

He could get out to silly odds on the exchange here. He can be very risky at box rise but he is strong as an ox. Although he has only run 30.34 and 30.30 in recent wins here he is capable of much better. His first ever race start at this track he won in 30.00 so he has the capabilities to run these times, it is just now that he is up in class he has been finding early bother.

He may actually benefit from missing to the start and dropping to the rail and getting a great run through at the first turn. At double figure odds I am happy to find out.


Race 4- Vic Peters Classic Heat 2

 BACK – #8 King Cratos (2 units at > $1.95)

There is a chance we may get close to black figures here as he has to deal with the extreme draw. He handled Box 7 very well here last week in what was a tricky race. This is no harder and Weblec Ace may be able to give him a suitable cart in to the first turn. I am happy to back him in even at the short odds.


Race 8- Vic Peters Classic Heat 4

 BACK – #2 Feral Franky (4 units at > $2.00)

I am saving the best to last here. He is arguably the most in form chaser in the country at the moment and absolutely relishes inside draws. He can be a little risky off the mat but the map here looks perfect for him. Max Tractor usually explodes the lids so they should avoid each other early.

Franky should just drop to the rail and Max Tractor should act as the perfect bunny for him to chase. I am hoping he proves far too good and is my strongest bet for the night.

 LAY – #8 Spearhead (2 units at < $8.00)

He may get a decent cart into the race with Vivatar showing early pace and crossing to the paint but he needs absolutely everything to go right in order to win this. Even if he found a forward spot I am very confident Feral Franky would still be able to run over the top of him.

Albion Park

Thursday July 4th

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Mepunga Blazer 29.41 (28/6/2018)


Field and Stats

Barooga Brett: No best winning time. Runner up in heat in 30.11, 1st split of 5.57. 2 wins and 6 placings from 10 starts this draw. Dual Group 1 winner at The Meadows. Has only won once in his past 10 starts. Most experienced chaser in field.

He tried his heart out in his heat run and was nabbed late. He had the benefit of the inside draw in the heat and has come up trumps again here with the inside alley. Given that he was one of the slower times of the heat runners I don’t think he can win this, but is every chance to figure in the placings.

Sennachie: Best 29.53 (9/5/19). Won his heat in 30.06 with a 1st split of 5.44. 11 wins and 5 placings from 19 career starts. 3 wins from 3 starts from this box. Recent Queensland Derby winner over this trip.

This dog is as professional as they come and rarely runs a bad race. This draw should suit him and he can find a forward position. He is strong late so he ticks plenty of boxes here and is right in this.

Zipping Bailey: Best 30.04. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.73. Only 1 start from this draw for 1 win. 21 wins and 11 placings from 40 career starts. 2019 Golden Easter Egg winner at Wentworth Park.

She began slightly better than normal and was stalking the leaders very quickly down the back straight. She powered home and proved too good. There’s no reason why she can’t do that here but she will need some of her opponents to make some mistakes and perhaps even some trouble upfront.

Dyna Patty: Best 29.76. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.54. 3 wins and 4 placings from 9 starts this draw. Multiple Group race winner and has amassed $614k in prizemoney.

Her chances are very cut and dry and you will know you fate early. If she explodes out she can win the race, if she jumps on terms she probably can’t win and if she misses the kick she would be no chance. I just don’t have much interest in her either way. If she wins I can handle not being on at the price being offerred and I am not game to lay her either.

Mystic Riot: No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 29.86, 1st split of 5.56. 11 wins and 5 placings from 28 career starts. Only one start from this draw for an unplaced run. 2018 winner of the Million Dollar Chase at Wentworth Park.

She is another in the category of needing everything to go right in order to win this. She has one of the best trainers in Australia in Peter Lagogiane so he will have her trained to the minute but a place hope looks best here.

Nangar Diva: Best 29.89 (6/6/19). Ran second in heat in 29.95 with a 1st split of 5.58. 2 wins and a second from 4 starts over this trip. 1 win and 2 unplaced runs from this draw

She ran a cheeky race in her heat but faces a real challenge here. The draw is no help to her and I can’t see her winning.

Lucy’s Milo: Best 30.12. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.60. Has had 6 starts from this draw for 0 wins and 1 placing.  11 career wins from 27 starts.

He has been quite erratic in recent runs and I can never fully trust him since he marred in the Warrnambool Cup. He would be better suited to an inside draw but is the strongest chaser in the race and if there was a scrimmage at the first turn he could figure in the finish.

Black Opium: Best 29.54 (13/6/19). Won her heat leading all the way in 29.62, 1st split PB of 5.49. 2 wins and a placing from 3 starts this draw. 15 wins from 25 career starts. Runner up in the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

Considering there had been plenty of rain before her heat, her all the way win was sensational and the time was stunning. I really like her from wide draws as she seems to relish in not being pressured with dogs to her outside. So in theory this draw is perfect for her. I think she can lead all the way again here.

Orson Allen: 1st emergency. No best winning time. (doubtful)

He is an unlikely starter after his recent failure in a heat of the Bendigo Cup.

Dam Slippery: 2nd emergency. Best 29.87 (6/6/19). Runner up in heat in 30.14. 1st split of 5.51.  Has won 14 races over this trip from 25 starts.

She does her best racing when she can lead clearly so she would be best suited by an inside draw if she gains a start here.


Selections

1st – Black Opium (8)

2nd – Sennachie (2)

3rd – Barooga Brett (1)


Betting Strategy

BACK – WIN – Black Opium (8) > $2.60 (3 units)

Thursday – May 9th

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Mepunga Blazer 29.41 (28/6/2018)


Field and Stats

Broken Loose Best 30.17. Ran this time in heat  with a 1st split of 5.63. 6 wins and 3 placings from 16 career starts. 3 wins and 1 placing from this draw from 4 starts.

He was the beneficiary of Bad Benny and Sennachie constantly bumping during the heat run and he made the most of it by roaring home down the outside to win by a lip. He has the same draw here and I could see a similar thing happening. He does tend to run wide on the turns so he was lucky not to find any trouble at the first turn last week. I cannot rule him out here.

King Cratos Best 29.92. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.65. 8 wins and 3 placings from 13 career starts. Only 1 start this draw for a second at Wentworth Park.

He was only average away in his heat but showed great courage at the first turn to push through strongly. He had hit the lead by the 600 metre boxes to power away from his rivals. He looks to have the best draw in the race and if he can avoid the red at the first turn there should be no excuses here.

Galway Johann Best 30.19 (13/12/18). Ran second in heat in 30.21, 1st split of 5.70. 10 wins and 7 placings from 28 career starts. 4 runs from this draw for 1 win and 3 unplaced runs.

He met plenty of traffic issues early in his heat and his last 300 metres was excellent. He really caught the eye and could be a blowout chance at huge odds but would need to begin more cleanly here.

Onions O’Reilly Best 30.13. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.73. Most experienced chaser in field with 42 career starts for 10 wins and 18 placings. Been in the money in his last 8 starts. Only 1 placing and 3 unplaced 4 starts this draw.

He stormed home to win his heat along the fence, it was a great win. Again the box draw has done him no favours. His experience could take him a long way here and I think he could be right in the finish if he does everything right.

Painted Picture Best 30.00 (20/12/18). Ran second in heat in 30.17, 1st split of 5.60. 9 wins and 9 placings from 20 career starts. Only one start from this draw for a third.

He can be pacy early but was no match for King Cratos in his heat. Obviously this is now a deeper race and from a tricky draw I can’t see him winning this.

Sennachie No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.18 with a 1st split of 5.53. Only missed a placing twice in 14 career starts. Only had the 1 start at this track. Has never had a race start from Box 6. Best winning form Boxes 1-4.

There is no doubt he is the class runner of the field and by process of elimination I am going with him to win here as I believe he still has upside. He looked a little lost throughout last week and was inches away from finding the rail at the first turn but couldn’t quite get there. He finally got going late and just missed the win. I am hoping there is a higher likelihood he can find the rail here and show his true class.

Bad Benny Best 30.02 (25/4/19). Ran third in heat in 30.31 with a 1st split of 5.53 (PB). 5 wins and 9 placings from 17 starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from 2 starts from this draw.

He was an absolute menace to Sennachie in his heat run, wherever Sennachie went this chaser was right there. They ended up being each other’s undoing. This time he is on the outside of Sennachie so  the early stages of this race will be fascinating. This will be a tough ask from the wide draw and place hopes look best.

Defy Best 30.41 (3/10/18). Ran third in heat in 30.27 with a 1st split of 5.86 (slowest). 9 wins and 5 placings from 16 career starts. 2 career starts from Box 8 for 1 win and 1 placing.

He walked out in his heat and cannot afford to do that here, especially from the outside draw. The only way I can him winning was if there was a stack of trouble at the first turn and he railed through.

Copy Workshop 1st emergency. Best 30.24 (25/4/19). Ran 3rd in heat in 30.36. 1st split of 5.61. 7 wins and 10 placings from 26 career starts.

He can show early pace and would be better suited to an inside draw if he gains a start. He would probably need some trouble behind in order to win this.

Wildash Jakey 2nd emergency. Best 30.31 (10/1/19). Ran 3rd in heat in 30.36. 1st split of 5.53.  2 wins and 5 placings from 14 career starts.

He showed great early pace in his heat and got very tired in the closing stages. He tries hard but I couldn’t see him winning.


Top Selections

1st – Sennachie (6)
2nd – King Cratos (2)
3rd – Broken Loose (1)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Sennachie (6) > $2.60 (3 units)

The Racecallers Speed Star Matches 1-4, 595 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. Apex Within (Box 1)
He has a massive engine and he was only 4.5 lengths off Dyna Chancer at the Meadows last start. He may not lead early but I expect a powerful finishing burst to get the win here.
2. Ask Me Now (Box 3)

He was superb in winning over this distance at Geelong recently but he would be better suited off the inside draw here and although he is a quality chaser, his opponent is better suited to the format.

 BACK – Apex Within (2 units) at > $1.50

MATCH UP 2

3. Annie Lava (Box 1)
Although I am only having a throw at the stumps here, she is suited by the inside draw and has 700 metre race form so she will keep coming late. She had no luck here over this trip last start and can improve.
4. Neo Cleo (Box 3)
She might be getting to a silly price here to have a small set against her for minimal risk. If she gets to $1.18 or less a small lay bet otherwise I am happy to stay out of this match. She really should go straight to the front and win but her opponent may have a small fitness edge late in the match.

LAY – Neo Cleo (2 units) at < $1.18

MATCH UP 3

5. Blue Striker (Box 1)

He has been going really well in recent starts. He was unlucky in the Group 1 Golden Easter Egg last month and he is really suited to this format. He shows a great will to win and this 595 metre distance is perfect for him. He should be able to lead this but is versatile enough to also come from behind.

6. Blue Shadows (Box 3)

I didn’t like his run at Bendigo over 660 metres last start. He was headed down the back straight and it all seemed too much for him. He can scout wide early in his races which will give his opponent an easy passage through at the first turn.

 BACK – BLUE STRIKER (4 units) at > $1.55

MATCH UP 4

7. ELLA ENCHANTED (Box 1)

She hit the running rail in her last race over 600 metres at The Meadows. It was questionable whether she was going well enough in the early stages anyway. She cannot afford any mistakes here and represents no value but not game enough to lay because at her best she is an absolute star.

8. SHE WILL BLOOM (Box 3)

I would have preferred her to draw the rail here but she has a huge motor. She trialled here last Sunday in order to qualify for this and ran 34.04 overall and a very notable run home time of a sizzling 10.71, she will be flying home along the paint and is worth a small play.

 BACK – She Will Bloom (1 unit) at > $2.75

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK  Apex Within (0.5 units) at > $9.00
 BACK  She Will Bloom (0.5 units) at > $10


Consolation #1, Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. GWYDION (Box 1)

Her 29.34 trial here last Sunday was excellent. She hasn’t raced at the track previously so the trial was a big tick. Unfortunately, she is up against a high quality opponent. She can use a bit of the track in the run and she could get pressured early. She probably has the most upside of any chasers in this event, just the wrong opponent- so no bet.

2. FLYNN Box 3)

He was a recent finalist in the Group 2 Launching Pad over this track and distance but missed the kick slightly. He is very strong and this format is to his liking but this match up looks too tricky to play and Flynn will be too short for mine.

NO BET

MATCH UP 2

3. SHOWGIRL QUEEN (Box 1)

There can be two of her so it is hard to predict which one will turn up. In full fields she can be exposed with her hit and miss habits out of the boxes so this format is suitable for her but can go around without me.

4. COURTING (Box 3)

One of the few chasers who probably isn’t suited by the format. In a full field she can show her explosive early pace and be out in front running time and breaking their hearts, especially when there is any trouble behind her. In this format she could be found wanting late so I am happy to stay out.
NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. BUY ME DIAMONDS (Box 1)

He is well suited to the inside draw however he has been far from his best in recent starts. He has finished down the track in his last four starts so I am happy to go against him here.

6. WESTERN ENVOY (Box 3)

He has a stack of talent and has only missed a placing once in 7 starts. He can be a little awkward at box rise so this format will enable him to balance up very early and accelerate. Seeing his opponent has his preferred draw I can only entertain a small bet.

 BACK – Western Envoy (1 unit) at > $1.50

MATCH UP 4

7. FABWIK (Box 1)

Her 29.40 trial here last Sunday was just ok. She flew early (5.03) and I expect her to find the early lead here. She has been fairly weak late in runs at Wentworth Park and her opponent is very strong and she may get run down late.

8. GREY GHOST (Box 3)

He was enormous in winning last start at The Meadows where he ran a sensational 29.68. He also scouts wide in his races and really gets going when he is 4 or 5 from the fence, so the outside draw suits. He is strong late and if he can avoid any traffic issues he is capable of a 29.20’s run here.

 BACK – Grey Ghost (6 units) at > $1.50

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK –  Grey Ghost (1.5 units) at > $3.25


Bill Collins Speed Star- Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. VITAL FORCE (Box 1)

He was super impressive in leading all the way over this trip last month and then had no luck from a poor draw last start. He is suited by the inside draw but this is a tricky match up and I prefer other match ups.

2. BELT UP BUBBS (Box 3)

He has been down on his best form lately but he has the ability to run sizzling mid race sectionals, the way the map plays here there could be some bumping mid race.
NO BET

MATCH UP 2

3. SOUTHERN RIPPLE (Box 1)

This format should suit him down to the ground, he needs some space early in his races before he really kicks into gear and whilst this format should ease any congestion issues, I would prefer him drawn the outside box and I am happy to just watch.

4. LUCY’S MILO (Box 3)

He may be a doubtful starter as at publishing time due to marring in the Warrnambool Cup. He has previously excelled at this track and trip but this match looks too close to call.

NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. FERAL FRANKY (Box 1)

I really loved his trial here last Sunday where he ran time at both ends, he ran 29.27 overall with a very slick run home of 10.49. It is unfortunate he has found the toughest match up possible here but I wouldn’t be shocked if he found a way to win.

6. MIDNIGHT DARE (Box 3)

She looks a superstar in the making and ran a mind boggling 29.17 in her first look at the track. In theory should actually be able to improve on that run with a second look around the circuit. Based on her runs at Wentworth Park she is versatile enough to handle being on the outside of dogs which adds to my confidence.

 BACK – Midnight Dare (4 units) at > $1.32

MATCH UP 4

7. LAGOON RHETT (Box 1)

He has been down on his best form, albeit in very tough races through the Easter Egg series at Wentworth Park. When he has things go his way, he is one of the fastest dogs in the country. The experience factor could play a huge part here, especially with the inside draw and I think he is value.

8. EIGHT BALL (Box 3)

I don’t think his 29.24 win in a full field last Sunday was any fluke but he will need to replicate something similar here. He is giving away a lot in experience and I can see some bumping happening at the first turn and if that’s the case I want to be on the more experienced chaser.

 BACK – Lagoon Rhett (1.5 units) at > $1.95

OVERALL MARKET:

 BACK – Midnight Dare (3 units) at > $2.65


Consolation #2, Matches 1-4, 515 metres

MATCH UP 1

1. RIDDLES (Box 1)

He can be hit or miss at box rise so I really like him in this format, and he is suited to the inside draw. But, he meets some stiff competition here against Miriam. I expect this to be close with him getting run down late.

2. MIRIAM (Box 3)

She has slowly been getting back to her best and this was shown with her gutsy win in a $10k race here on Anzac Eve. It was a very handy field and she began much more speedily than her last campaign. She may be able to lead all the way but she has also shown that coming off the pace is no problem. She should finish with a flurry.

 BACK – Miriam (2 units) at > $1.35

MATCH UP 2

3. SUSTAIN THE RAGE (Box 1)

I think she can run a cheeky race here and she should not be under estimated. Her two wins at The Meadows in 29.88 and 29.84 respectively show she is in career best form. The box draw makes me lean to her opponent.

4. RED ROCK (Box 3)

Last Sunday he trialled not long after Sustain The Rage and ran a length slower. However, he trialled third in line so the track was in worse condition than when Sustain The Range trialled. So, I believe he is capable of making up the difference here. He scouts wide in his races so the outside draw is perfect. There isn’t much value in the price on offer but I am happy to take it.

 BACK – Red Rock (2 units) at > $1.48

MATCH UP 3

5. SPEARHEAD (Box 1)

This chaser seems to do his best racing over this track and trip. He has had 5 wins from 8 starts here and has come up trumps with the inside draw. Whilst I don’t expect him to be the fastest overall, I do expect a workman like performance where he should stay on the rail, click through the gears and win in 29.40’s.

6. ALBERTO (Box 3)

He can be very hard to catch, his best is very good but he can put in some bad runs. He does do his best racing over this track and trip and the outside draw is what he needs. He is definitely not out of this and could lead for a long way but I am betting on reliability in this match up.

LAY Alberto (2 units) at < $1.95

MATCH UP 4

7. KEEPER OF KEYS (Box 1)

He is showing tons of ability but he is still very raw and he will know he is alive taking on a Group 1 winner here. He has only had 1 career win and its unlikely he can add to that here.

8. DELIVER (Box 3)

The only question here is how fit he is and what is the injury he has had. He hasn’t raced since March 21 so fitness could be a small issue. It is unlikely the Thompson kennel would run him if he wasn’t raring to go. The outside draw suits him perfectly. BACK WIN Deliver (5 units) at > $1.20

OVERALL MARKET

 BACK – PLACE Red Rock (2 units) at > $1.90


The Lizrene Speed Star, Matches 1-4- 715m

MATCH UP 1

1. SODA FLAKES (Box 1)

Her last win was over this course and distance and that was back in January. She has only raced 6 times since for 3 placings and 3 unplaced runs. Personally, I have found her very unreliable to bet on and she has come up way too short in markets. I am happy to take her on.

2. ZIPPING GALON (Box 3)

There would be no greyhound in Australia who finds more trouble in races than this guy. He is capable of roaring home in his races he just rarely gets the chance to show it as he is so far off the pace. I wouldn’t put it past him to still find trouble in a 2 dog race but he can run all day and I think he can win this at big odds but laying Soda Flakes looks the play here.

LAY Soda Flakes (3 units) at < $1.80

MATCH UP 2

3. DYNA CHANCER (Box 1)

He is a superstar and just a genuine competitor. He will go straight to the front here and he should establish a big lead. Due to the fact he will be going very hard I do think he could be very vulnerable late but he may just hold on and win.

4. BOOM DOWN (Box 3)

He has been walking out of the boxes in his most recent starts and I expect more of the same here. He can take a while to warm up and in normal size fields he often becomes unstuck because other greyhounds are tiring and getting in his way. That shouldn’t happen here and I think this could be a lot closer than people expect.

NO BET

MATCH UP 3

5. SWEET BOURBSKI (Box 1)

She is a long way off her best form of late and her last win came back in January. She hasn’t quite been seeing out the 715 metres either and she could be very vulnerable over the last 100 metres.

6. MIDNIGHT MYSTERY (Box 3)

There are two ticks here, the match race format and the outside draw. He likes to course wide in his runs and he should be able to sprout wings late and win this.

 BACK – Midnight Mystery (4 units) at > $1.40

MATCH UP 4

7. PEPPERTIDE (Box 1)

I expect him to ping the lids and establish a lead mid race, there is a just a question of whether he can hold on and win. There are too many variables in this match up for mine.

8. RAJASTHAN (Box 3)

He is currently in career best form since joining the Camilleri kennel. He can really explode mid race and he can be great to watch. This match up is simply a case of being too hard to predict.
NO BET

OVERALL MARKET

 BACK – PLACE Boom Down (3 units) at > $1.90

Thursday – May 2nd

Distance: 450m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 24.719 seconds (27/4/2016)


Field and Stats

Ripple Rumble – Best 30.07 (11/4/19). Ran 4th in heat in 30.64 with a 1st split of 5.67. Has a 5.57 1st split PB. Only missed a placing 3 times in 18 career starts. Starting price has never been double figure odds in her career.

She is consistent as they come but this is by far her toughest test to date. She can be a little hit or miss at box rise and she looks a place chance at best here.

Dynamite Lucy – No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 30.58, 1st split of 5.58. Has only had 6 career starts. Yet to have a race start from this Box but 1 career win was from Box 1.

It is very hard to have her in a field of this class. With only 1 career win in only moderate time she looks no chance in this.

Blue Diva – Best 30.00 (14/6/18). Ran second in heat in 30.00, 1st split of 5.57. Only 1 run from this draw and ran last. 4 wins and 3 placings from 10 career starts.

She was only 6 lengths off Circle of Dreams in her heat run, even though she won’t be able to match the two top chances here, it would not surprise me if she held on for a placing.

Farmor Image – Best 30.44 (6/12/18). Ran 4th in heat in 30.80 with a 1st split of 5.73. Has only won once in past 15 starts. Has had 35 career starts for 7 wins and 8 placings.

She has not been going well enough in recent months to be considered a winning chance here. She will likely get no room early and I can’t have her.

Dam Slippery – Best 29.93 (21/3/19). Led all the way in heat in 30.01 with a 1st split of 5.50. Been in the money in 9 of her past 10 starts. 2019 Group 2 Richmond Oaks winner.

She is probably the best and most reliable beginner in Australia at the minute. She just flies along and shows great fight to keep going if she gets headed. Last week she did benefit from some trouble behind her which flattered the winning margin. I expect her to be right in this again with Circle of Dreams to show too much class in the latter stages.

Agame – No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 30.54with a 1st split of 5.50. Only missed a placing twice in 12 career starts. Has ran second in 3 of her past 4 starts over this trip.

She looks to have a tricky draw here with plenty of early pace either side of her and she would need a stack of early luck to win this.

What About It Best – 30.13 (3/12/18). Ran third in heat in 30.62 with a 1st split of 5.72. Has a 5.60 1st split PB. Least experienced chaser in field with only 4 career starts. 1 win and 2 placings to date. Never raced from Box 7 previously.

She is hard to recommend in a field of this quality. Not tonight.

Circle of Dreams – Best 29.82. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.55. 9 wins and a second in 13 career starts. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from Box 8. Group 2 Laurels winner at Sandown Park.

This chaser is a potential superstar in the making. She went straight to the front and gave nothing else a chance in her heat and she may be able to go even better here now that she has had another look at the track. The draw also looks suitable as the outside draw should allow her to hum across in the early stages and accelerate to the front. I am very keen on her chances.

Alpha Styx 1st emergency – Best 30.36 (7/2/19). Ran 5th in heat in 30.68. 5 wins and 4 placings from 16 career starts.

I cannot have her against these rivals. Pass.

Isnt She Special 2nd emergency – Best 30.28 (14/3/19). Ran 5th in heat in 30.80. 3 wins and 11 placings from 20 career starts.

Her best form has come from inside draws but this looks way too tough.


Top Selections

1st – Circle of Dreams (8)
2nd – Dam Slippery (5)
3rd – Ripple Rumble (1)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Circle of Dreams (8) > $1.90 (5 units)

Wednesday – May 1st

Distance: 450m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 24.719 seconds (27/4/2016)


Field and Stats

Lucy’s Milo – Best 25.05. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 6.69 (slowest). 2 wins and 1 second from 3 starts this draw. Been in the money in his past 5 starts. Recent runner up in the Group 2 Launching Pad at Sandown Park.

He is the strongest chaser in this race and he came from a very unlikely winning position in his heat that had to be seen to be believed. He is the huge run on hope for mine. There is so much early pace I envision the race being set up for a backmarker and he will be roaring home along the fence.

Crimson Vixen – Best 25.34 (1/11/18). Runner up in heat in 25.13, 1st split of 6.43 (quickest). Has had the most starts in field over track and trip, 7 starts for 4 wins and 2 seconds. 1 win and 2 placings from 4 starts this draw. Trained locally.

If she can explode out of the boxes then she is right in this. She is a reliable beginner so she might be able to find the early lead. If there was any trouble behind it is possible she could hold on and win. She is trained on the track and she may bring the house down if she was to salute.

Whiskey Riot – Best 25.10. Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 6.61. Only missed a placing twice in 15 career starts. 2 wins and a second from 3 starts this draw. Never beaten here in 3 starts.

He really caught the eye in his come from behind heat win. He was pestered mid race and lost some momentum but showed great track and race sense by coursing wide and then powering home to win. He is also capable of railing if need be. He will be fantastic value and I am keen to have something on him.

Dyna Patty – Best 25.04. Ran this time in heat, 1st split of 6.65. Group 1 winner at The Meadows. 2 wins from 5 starts this draw. Equal second most experienced chaser in field.

Another who has come up with a tricky draw, she does her best racing when she can get rolling 4 or 5 off the fence and there is too much pressure on her outside for that to happen. I can only see her winning if there was some sort of scrimmage mid race that she benefited from.

Myrniong and All – No best winning time. Ran second in heat in 25.17 with a 1st split of 6.47. This box the only draw he has yet to win from. Only missed a placing twice in 24 career starts.

He ran a fantastic race in his heat and he held on really well, I expected him to puncture sooner. I have always pegged him as a real short courser and 400 metres usually sees him out. Here, over 450 metres there will simply be too much late pressure for him to win this, although he could cause some havoc mid race if he explodes out.

Eye Got It – Best 25.49. Recorded this time in heat win, 1st split of 6.53. Has won his past 7 starts. 3 wins and 1 placing from 4 starts this draw. 25 wins from 30 career starts but 16 of these wins up the straight at Healesville.

He has a fantastic winning record but a lot of these wins have been up the straight at Healesville in much lower grades. This is a very high pressure race and from a tricky draw I cannot see him winning.

Dyna Hunter – Best 25.09. Recorded this time in heat win, 1st split of 6.55. Has won his past four starts. 2019 Warragul Cup winner. Has never won from this draw in 4 starts.

He was all heart in his heat win where he looked gone halfway down the straight and then he kicked nicely to hold on and win. He does his best racing from wide draws but I am not really a fan of his map, he will likely struggle to cross Myrniong and All and Eye Got It. They look to be a real hindrance to his chances of winning.

Orson Allen – Best 24.94. Led all the way in heat, 1st split of 6.50. 3 wins from 6 starts this draw. 2 from 2 this trip. Has won 5 of his past 7 starts. Eligible for Cups Bonus after already winning Cranbourne and Horsham Cups.

He is a superstar chaser and he set the track alight in his heat. However, he did find one of the weaker heats and had the benefit of an inside draw with moderate beginners drawn outside him. I am not sure he gets those favours here as he could get posted wide and seeing he will certainly start favourite, I simply have to take him on.

Flynn 1st emergency – No best time. 2nd in heat in time of 23.70, 1st split a flying 6.46. Never won her in 3 attempts. Best performed Boxes are 4 & 5.

If he is to gain a start here he would be best suited to an inside draw. He can be a little risky at box rise and he cannot afford to make any mistakes in a field of this class. He cannot be ruled out.

Kinloch Moss 2nd emergency – Best 23.65. Ran 2nd in heat in 23.79, 1st split of 6.55. 4 of 6 career wins from Boxes 1-4. Never worse than 2nd in 3 starts here.

He does his best racing when he can find the early lead and I can’t see any chance of that happening here and would be making up the numbers if he gained a start.


Top Selections

1st – Lucy’s Milo (1)
2nd – Whiskey Riot (3)
3rd – Crimson Vixen (2)


Betting Strategy

 BACK- WIN – Lucy’s Milo (1) more than $5.50 for 1.5 units

 BACK- WIN – Whiskey Riot (3) more than $9.00 for 1 unit

 BACK- WIN- Crimson Vixen (2) more than $7.00 for 0.5 units

 LAY –WIN- Orson Allen (8) less than $3.10 for 2 units

Association Cup Final | Wentworth Park | Saturday 20th April

Distance: 720m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.38 seconds (13/4/19)


Field and Stats

Poco Dorado: Best 41.68. (20/10/18).

Ran second in heat in time of 41.85 with a 1st split of 16.20 (second quickest). 2 wins from 10 starts from this draw. Has not won in her past three starts over this trip but in 2018 was 10 wins from 10 starts over track and trip.

She is still going very well but she isn’t as reliable as last year over this track and trip. She doesn’t like to get crowded early in her races so the inside draw is not ideal. Last month, when she had the red, Little Digger crowded her early and she got shuffled back. I can see that happening again here so I am happy to take her on.


Little Digger: Best 42.27 (17/11/18).

Ran third in heat in 42.35, 1st split of 16.35. Only 1 win from 8 starts over this trip. 3 wins and 1 placing from 5 starts this draw. Ran third in his last four starts.

He is well drawn close to the rails but he would need a lot of luck to be in the finish. I am looking elsewhere.


Veloce Nero: Best 41.80 (20/10/18.)

Ran third in heat in 42.05, 1st split of 16.26. Only missed a placing twice over this trip in 18 starts. This is his best performed box with 4 wins and 5 placings from 12 starts. Has won 7 starts over this trip.

She has been going really well lately and she tried her heart out but was no match for Dyna Chancer last start. She is well drawn here and could find a position close to the lead. She could run a cheeky race here at huge odds on the exchange.


Book of Luck: Best 42.23 (12/1/19).

Ran a PB in running 4th in 42.13 with a 1st split of 16.51. 9 wins from 27 career starts. Never missed a placing from this draw (4 starts). Least experienced chaser in field (27 starts).

This looks to be an enormous task for this chaser. The squeeze draw is no help as she is surrounded by superstars. I don’t think she is any chance of winning this.


Blue Moon Rising: Best 41.90 (8/12/18).

Ran 41.99 when second in heat, 1st split of 16.36. Been in the money in 54 of his 73 career starts. 3 wins and 3 placings in 8 starts this draw. Group 1 Super Stayers winner at The Meadows.

I thought he was enormous in his heat run where he overcame a tricky draw and was powering home late. The box draw has again done him no favors and would probably need some trouble upfront to feature in the finish but I wouldn’t dismiss him.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.38 (record).

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 16.10 (quickest). Has never won from this box in 2 starts. 23 career wins from 34 starts. Multiple Group race winner.

Amazingly, this champion chaser has never won from this draw. He was breathtaking in smashing the track record here in his heat but pulled up with an issue with his feet/pads and throughout the week was in some doubt to start. The map also looks tricky here with Dyna Chancer likely to ping the lids and there could be a traffic jam at the first bend. There are probably enough questions to entertain a small lay bet for minimal risk.


Dyna Chancer  Best 41.94. (13/4/19).  Ran this time in heat (his first start over track and trip) with a 1st split of 16.22. Been in the money in 47 of 64 career starts. 2 wins and 4 placings from 8 starts this draw.

He may be able to improve even further now that he has had a look over the track and trip. He was fantastic in holding off Veloce Nero and Blue Moon Rising and with the right amount of early luck he is right in this.


Kanzan Best 42.08 (10/11/18). Ran 4th in heat in time of 42.36. 1st split of 16.65. Has never won from this draw in 5 starts. Has only had 5 starts this year. 3 wins from 19 starts over this track and distance.

He may be a run or two short of showing his best form. He could get some early room to move and click through the gears and looks a place chance at best here.


Bago Bye Bye: 1st emergency.

No best winning time. Ran 42.37 running 5th in heat with a 1st split of 16.44. 15 career wins from 25 starts. Has won from every box but 11 of 15 wins from Boxes 1-4.

He has a few tricks but he is a very fast dog on his day. He would be best suited to an inside draw if he gains a start and he would probably need a soft lead to win. I can’t see him coming from behind to win.


Boom Down  2nd emergency. (Scratched).


Selections

1st – Tornado Tears (6)

2nd – Blue Moon Rising (5)

3rd – Dyna Chancer (7)

Betting Strategy

 LAY – Poco Dorado (1) < $6.00 (2 units)

 LAY – Tornado Tears (6) < $1.28 (1 unit)

Golden Easter Egg Final | Wentworth Park | Saturday 20th April

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Shakey Jakey 29.07 seconds (6/4/14)


Field and Stats

Black Opium: Best 29.84. (6/4/19).

Ran this time in heat win and followed up with winning semi final in 30.03. Ran 5.51 1st split in heat and 5.52 1st split in semi final. Has only had 20 career starts (equal least). Only 2 starts from Box 1for 1 win. Runner up in 2018 Melbourne Cup.

I reluctantly layed her in her heat and semi-final as she had Box 8 in both starts. She has encountered traffic issues in both races but has still found a way to win. She was forced wide throughout in her semi so she should really appreciate the inside draw here. She should get a stack of room with Irinka Lizzy going right out of the boxes. I am hoping she can lead all the way.


Irinka Lizzy: Best 30.18 (6/6/18).

Runner up in heat and semi final in times of 30.02 and 29.85. Has a 1st split PB of 5.47. 7 of 8 career wins have come from Boxes 6-8. Equal least experienced chaser in field (20 starts).

Most of her wins have come from wide draws and she tends to move right out of the boxes. With a stack of early pace to her outside she will be met with a stack of pressure and I can’t see her finishing anywhere near the finish.


Black Forge: Best 29.74 (6/6/18).

Runner up in heat and semi final with best time this series of 29.90. Has a 5.44 1st split PB. Only missed placing 6 times in 39 career starts. 4 wins from 5 starts from this draw.

He has a few tricks but he is a star talent on his night. This looks a tough draw and he could get squeezed not long after box rise. He is capable of running into the placings.


Banjo Tifia: Best 30.02. (8/12/18)

Third in heat and runner up in semi final in 29.86. Recorded 1st split of 5.59 in semi final. 1 win and 3 placings from this draw. Been in the top three in 6 of 10 starts over this circuit.

Another chaser who looks outclassed here, her rivals have far more credentials and I would be shocked if she could finish in the top three in this event.


Federal Lilly: Best 29.45 (6/4/19).

Has led all the way in her heat and semi final in 29.45 and 29.65 respectively. Ran 5,34 PB in heat (quickest through series). 6 wins from 8 starts over this trip. 3 wins and 4 placings from 9 starts this draw.

 She is probably the best beginner in the country at present. She has been given the perfect preparation and her heat and semi wins have been as easy as you could get. The Lagogiane kennel has been flying of late so it is very hard for me to not tip her, I just think against these rivals she may be pressured earlier and this could take a toll late. I am not willing to lay her in the event she flies out and there is trouble behind.


Zipping Bailey: Best 29.74 (6/2/19).

Ran third in heat and won her semi final in 29.81 with a 1st split of 5.79. Has a 5.64 PB 1st split. Only missed a placing 6 times in 30 starts. 4 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won from every box.

She is probably the wildcard of the field and could be flying home late. If there is any trouble upfront then she could be right in this. If she got to silly odds on the exchange ($18+) then she would be worth a small flutter.


Blue Striker: Best 29.58 (13/4/19).

Ran best time in semi final in come from behind win. 1st split of 5.48. Has never missed a placing in 5 starts from Box 7. Been in the money in 31 of 38 career starts.

This chaser is a real competitor, he does his best racing when he has something out in front to chase, which was the case in his semi win. He definitely gets that scenario here as there is no way he could lead, but if he found a forward position a few lengths off the leaders he will be right in the finish. I am keen to have a small saver on him.


Miss Splendamiro: Best 29.46 (22/9/18).

Won her heat in 29.54 and led for a long way in semi in 29.58.Has ran 5.42 1st split in heat and semi (PB). Has won from every box but 20 of her 33 career wins from Boxes 1-4. Has won 5 from 11 from Box 8.

If she had an inside draw I would be quite confident she would go very close here. I just don’t think she will be able to cross the field cleanly and I can see her finding trouble at the first turn. She is a superstar at her best so she can never be ruled out.


Sunburnt Highway: 1st emergency. Best 29.87 (1/12/18).

Ran third in semi final in 29.90. 1st split PB of 5.53. Been in the money in 19 of 32 starts over this trip. Has won from every box.

He is as honest as they come and rarely runs a bad race but if he were to gain a start here he looks outclassed. I cannot see him leading or running on strongly enough to win this.


Fabwik: 2nd emergency.

No best winning time. Ran third in heat in 29.93. 1st split of 5.47. 15 of 22 career wins have come from Boxes 1-4. Been in money past 10 of 11 starts.

She has raced well this series without winning. She is an absolute star when at her best but there are several other chasers in this field that have had her measure throughout this series.


Selections

1st – Black Opium (1)

2nd – Blue Striker (7)

3rd – Federal Lilly (5)

Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Black Opium (1) > $3.00 (2 units)

 BACK – WIN – Blue Striker (7) > $7.50 (0.5 units)

Launching Pad Final | Sandown Park | Thursday April 18th

Distance: 515m

Track Record: Unlawful Entry 28.95 (17/3/2016)


Field and Stats

Flynn: Best 29.38 (11/4/19)

Ran this time in semi-final with a 1st split of 5.14. Only missed a placing once from 10 starts. Having his first ever start from Box 1. Undefeated from Boxes 2 & 3. Equal least experienced chaser in this field.

He has come up trumps with the cherry draw here. He was the all in favourite at the beginning of this series and he looks to have the benefit of a superb draw. He has been racing like he wants the rails and in addition Jaro Bale has been using plenty of the track early. He should be able to get a great run through at the first turn and hopefully prove too good.


Jaro Bale Best 29.76 (3/3/19).

Won his semi-final in 29.80 with a 1st split of 5.19. Least experienced chaser in field with just 6 career starts. Never missed a placing. 2 starts from Box 2 for a win and placing.

He might end up being the best greyhound to come out of this series going forward. He looks to have freakish ability and still races like he is still learning what it’s all about. He has been looking to scout wide early in his races so the inside draw might be against him here. Having said that he did rail underneath dogs in his semi-final win but it’s the first few metres of the race that worries me here.


Lucy’s Milo: Best 29.17 (11/4/19).

Ran this time in semi-final win with a 1st split of 5.07. 3 wins from 3 starts this draw. 8 career wins (most in field) from 18 career starts. Has won his past three starts.

He was absolutely brilliant in leading all the way in his semi-final in sizzling time. The draw looks fine here but I think Flynn has the better draw of the two and that is enough to sway me away from this chaser. He has the quickest time on the board and the Dailly factor and could still win the race. I would have no interest in laying.


Curt Lee: Best 29.50 (4/4/19).

Led all the way in semi-final in 29.93 with a 1st split of 5.06 (quickest). Has a PB 5.05 1st split here. 8 career wins from 10 starts. 1 start for 1 win this draw. Has led to first marker in all but one of his 10 starts.

He fell in last week in moderate time, however he is right up there with being the most reliable beginner in the country and although he is getting stronger I don’t think he can hold on to win here. Even if he was still in front at the home turn I would expect him to get swallowed up here.


 Federal Impact Best 29.47 (1/4/18).

Runner up in semi-final in 29.74 with a 1st split of 5.25 (equal slowest). 1 start for 1 win this draw. 2 wins and 3 seconds from 6 starts over this trip.

He has had the benefit of two inside draws throughout this series and it looks like his luck has run out. He is not a quick beginner and can take a few strides to click into gear. With the squeeze draw here I don’t think he can win the race.


Olson Bale: Best 29.57 (4/4/19).

Ran second in semi-final in 29.94, 1st split of 5.25 (equal slowest). Has only won 1 career race which is the least in the field. Runner up in heat and semi-final.

This chaser has plenty of upside but will find the going tough from this draw. I can’t see him getting a clear run here and is probably a place chance at best.


Tauwitchere: Best 29.42 (4/4/18).

Runner up in semi-final in 29.84 with a 1st split of 5.08. Has a 5.03 1st split PB. 2 wins and a placing from 3 starts Box 7. Only missed a placing once in 11 career starts.

She can be risky at box rise but to her credit she has nailed the jump in this series. She was very unlucky in her semi-final last week as she was dragged down from behind which stopped her momentum. She was cruelly ran down late. She is right in this with a clean getaway but the problem will be Curt Lee, he will likely post her wide in the run and this could take a toll late.


Chiquita Lass: No best winning time.

Runner up in heat and semi final. Ran 29.64 overall with a 1st split of 5.12 in heat. Has yet to start from Box 8. 1 win and 1 unplaced run from Box 7.

She looks to be outclassed here. Even with an inside draw she would only be a miniscule chance of winning but now from the extreme draw I just can’t see her winning.


Red Rock: 1st emergency. Best 29.58 (4/4/19). Ran third in semi final in 29.75, 1st split of 5.23. Never missed a placing in 10 career starts. 5 of 6 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

He could be a wildcard if he was to make his way into the field. He could finish with a powerful burst and must be given thought.


Lightning Blast: 2nd emergency.

No best winning time. Ran 30.07 in semi final. Been in the money in his past 7 starts. Only 1 career win from 14 starts and 0 wins from 10 starts here.

He looks unlikely to be in the finish here. If he were to gain a start he would be best suited to an inside draw.


Selections

1st – Flynn (1)
2nd – Lucy’s Milo (3)
3rd – Jaro Bale (2)

Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Flynn (1) < $2.50 (2 units)

LAY- Curt Lee (4) > $7.50 (2 units)

Race 6 720m – Association Cup Heats 2

 BACK – #1 Veloce Nero 2 units at > $2.80

I have really liked how this chaser has been going lately. He is in career best form. Last week he began speedily from Box 5 and never left the paint to lead all the way. He ran great time (41.81) so Dyna Chancer will need to be at his absolute best to win. Given that Dyna Chancer has yet to race over the 720 metres at Wentworth Park, I am happy to stick with the experience of Veloce Nero here.

 LAY – #7 Blue Moon Rising for 1 unit at < $3.80

I do prefer backing him from inside draws but he has been going well and I am reluctantly against him here. I am just banking on the fact that Veloce Nero and Dyna Chancer have much better draws and should be out in front. With their early pace and a 7 dog field, they will likely prove too hard to reel in.

Race 1 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 1

 BACK – #3 Fernando Blaster 3 units at > $2.00

He pinged the lids and led very easily in his heat. In addition, this was from a tricky draw which is statistically speaking one of the worst boxes in the country. He gets a more favorable draw here and whilst there is some early pace either side of him, I believe he is classes above. If he can find the rails early it could be all eyes on the clock.

 LAY – #8 Black Opium for 1 unit at < $3.10

I thought she was a take on last week but unfortunately she managed to fly home along the fence and get up right on the line. She has the outside draw again here and there looks to be more pace underneath her. Last week all the dogs underneath her seemed to all miss the kick which allowed her a stack of early room to scoot down the outside, I doubt she gets the room this time around.


Race 2 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 2

 BACK – #8 Lagoon Rhett 2 units at > $1.50 to Place

He has shown a liking for wide draws of late where he can run wide on the first turn and not find any trouble. He looks to map well here with Dyna Oscar and Springcreek Bill risky and/or slow away. Slingshot Hammer usually begins well and will be zooming over to the rail which should give this chaser a great run to the first turn. He is a very fast conveyance when given galloping room and he should be able to hold on for a placing.


Race 3 520m – Golden Easter Egg Semi Final 3

 BACK – #7 Federal Lilly 1.5 units at > $2.15

She is simply beginning to speedily to be on anything else. She ran sizzling sectionals in her heat and ran 29.45 overall which is humming. The Lagogiane kennel is flying at present and I am happy to be on her, but at the right price. I do think she needs to lead to win so if she gets close to red figures on the exchange I would be inclined to let her go around.

 LAY – #2 Nangar Kash for 1.5 units at < $6.50

I thought she was a take on last week but unfortunately she managed to fly home along the fence and get up right on the line. She has the outside draw again here and there looks to be more pace underneath her. Last week all the dogs underneath her seemed to all miss the kick which allowed her a stack of early room to scoot down the outside, I doubt she gets the room this time around.

The Launching Pad is a 3 week series that has the hottest young greyhounds that meet the criterion of 1-6 wins only and under 30 career starts.

Below is analysis for the Semi Finals for the 11th of April.


Race 5 – Launching Pad Semi Final 1

 BACK – #2 Flynn 3 units at > $2.60

He was first up from a six week break in his heat last week. He really caught the eye and finished powerfully despite being forced wide at two crucial moments in the run. He has a better draw close to the fence here with Federal Impact only a mediocre beginner and Red Rock a wide runner. He would be my strongest selection amongst these semi-finals.

 LAY – #8 Seal the Deal for 1 unit at < $5.00

He has had no luck with box draws in recent starts and he overcame a tricky draw here superbly in his heat last week. He is going to find it extremely difficult to cross the field from the extreme draw here. Premier Sticka and Dyna Unther can use plenty of the track and spear off at the first turn. Even if he somehow crossed the field he would likely burn too much gas early and set it up for Flynn or Federal Impact to run over the top of him late.


Race 7 – Launching Pad Semi Final 3

 BACK – #6 Rockstar Prince 1.5 units at > $3.70

I am giving him another chance here. He looked very green last week and he made several mistakes, mainly with coursing wide at the first turn. Now that he has had a race start he may be able to rail more efficiently from the cherry draw. He hit the line really well last week and has a stack of upside.

 LAY – #7 Lucy’s Milo 1.5 units at < $4.50

He was brilliant in jumping much better than expected to basically lead all the way in his heat and saluting for Betfair Insider followers. He looks to have another suitable draw here where he can find the paint early and click through his gears. He is very strong and should be in the finish.

Race 4- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 3

 #1 Poke The Bear BACK (4 units at > $1.75)

This champion chaser has found one of the weaker heats here. He has an exceptional record from Box 1 with 10 wins from 12 starts. He is experienced at the track where he has won 3 times and even though I don’t believe he is going as well as he was a few months ago, he should still prove too good here.

#8 Good Odds Buddy LAY (1.5 units at < $6.00)

He was impressive in winning over this trip last week, where he ran straight past star chaser Blue Striker down the back straight and ran an impressive 29.55 overall. However, the track seemed to be overly on fire with plenty of hot times being run which needs to be taken into account. He has to battle another wide draw here and I can see Federal Lilly, Bad Neighbour and Maurice Minor causing him some traffic problems at the first turn. I can see him finding trouble.


Race 5- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 4

 #1 Miss Splendamiro – LAY (2 units at < $2.90)

 She returns to her home track here and combined with the inside alley this should ensure she starts favourite. I am potting her here as I just don’t believe she is going as well as she was last year. She got hammered at box rise in a heat of the Perth Cup and then didn’t run out the distance over 600m the following week, also at Cannington. Hardly the ideal preparation. She has not won her past four starts and has averaged a starting price of $2.72.

#2 Blue Striker – BACK PLACE (2 units at > $1.60)

Having his first look at the track here last Saturday, he hit the front at the first turn and I thought it would be a case of “times and margins”, but he was reeled in down the back straight but came again at the finish. I am inclined to forgive him and from a draw close to the fence he should be able to avoid any early trouble and run into the placings.


Race 6- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 5

#5 Orson Allen – BACK (3 units at > $1.30)

Impossible to go past this superstar chaser. He is probably the most in form dog in the country and I am happy to jump on the bandwagon here. He has been faultless early and explodes the lids. With the scratching of Jebrynah there doesn’t appear to be that much early speed on paper and he could lead all the way here.


Race 7- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 6

 #2 Crimson Vixen- BACK (1.5 units at > $3)

 In what looks a tricky race to map, this young star has a form guide full of picket fences. She is a fantastic beginner and from the inside draw she could get the ‘McFly’ here and pinch an early break and hold on to win. She will just need to avoid Rostered On early to be in the thick of the finish.

 #5 Pindari Express- LAY(2.5 units at < $7.00)

 He has been making plenty of mistakes in recent starts. It is plain to see he has an enormous amount of ability. There were some huge money offers for him that were rejected and he is probably the most fascinating runner in the whole series. I just can’t have him from Box 5, he is likely to miss the start and have no room to move. Compounding this Campini is a fence crasher and from Box 7 he could wipe out half the field.


Race 8- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 7

#8 Black Opium – LAY (2 units at < $2.70)

 I would much prefer her from an inside draw against these rivals. I am not certain she can cross cleanly, if she does she may have to burn a lot of energy in doing so. Dyna Oscar, Notorious Mac and Aston Duke are all wildcards that will all be close to double figure odds who could get a better run through at the first turn. She has ran second in her last two starts deep into odds on and she represents plenty of risk here for mine.


Race 9- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 8

#6 Mystic Riot – BACK (1.5 units at > $3.00)

 The Million Dollar Chase winner has been raced sparingly of late. However, the Lagogiane kennel has been airborne. It would be a brave person to go against the kennel at present. She wouldn’t have been entered for this series if she wasn’t ready to go. The tricky draw is neutralized somewhat by her explosive early pace. Betfair Insider followers may know their fate early as she will likely need to lead early in order to win.

#3 Fabwik  – LAY (1.5 units at < $2.80 )

 She has trialled here in preparation for this series going 29.91 on March 23. I would have preferred her to have had a race start here prior so I am going to take her on. Her best wins at Angle Park have shown that she races best when she can use plenty of the track and from wide draws. She gets neither here with the inside draw and Wentworth Park not being suited to wide runners.


Race 10- 520m – Golden Easter Egg Heat 9

 #8 Black Forge – LAY (2 units at < $3.00)

 He does have a great record from wide draws overall, but from wide draws on city tracks at Wentworth Park and The Meadows he has been hit and miss. He recently won the Group 2 Maitland Cup but in my opinion he was a little iffy down the home straight and he didn’t quite have his mind on the job. He was given the benefit of the doubt by stewards by reason of injury but he cannot afford to make any mistakes here.

#6 Set To Storm  – BACK PLACE (2 units at > $1.80 )

Another from the in form Lagogiane kennel, her win here first up from a spell last month was all heart and she has been improving with every start since. She is reliable early and she should find a forward position. In a race devoid of much early speed she should be able to hold on for a placing.

The Launching Pad is a 3 week series that has the hottest young greyhounds that meet the criterion of 1-6 wins only and under 30 career starts.


Race 1 – Launching Pad Heat 1

 LAY – #7 Tauwitchere for 2 units at < $4.80

For the third time in a row she has come up with Box 7, a draw that doesn’t seem to be suiting her. She has been getting pushed wide and in races that have been easier than this. With Vivatar and Courting showing some early zip I can see her being posted wide again. Her average starting price in her last 4 starts has been $2.58 and she has not saluted the judge in any of them.


Race 2- Launching Pad Heat 2

 BACK – #3 Embossed 2 units at > $4.00

 In recent months it has been very tough for any greyhound to win from wide draws. Although it was in an easier race last week he showed massive upside and won very well from Box 8. He showed great acceleration early and late in the race when it seemed he was tiring he kicked clear again. He may be able to better his 29.52 PB having his second look at the track here.

 LAY – #7 Aston Vanquish 1 unit at < $5.00

He has been very risky at box rise in recent starts. He cannot afford to make any mistakes here. Although he does like to use plenty of the track in his races, if he was to begin poorly he will likely encounter a wall of dogs to his inside at the first turn. He wasn’t able to win a very winnable race at Sale last Sunday night and I am happy to take him on here.


Race 3- Launching Pad Heat 3

 BACK – #6 Zipping Norton 1.5 units at > $5

If he can replicate his 5.12 early and 29.63 overall all the way win here last month then he is right in this. I thought he was a touch disappointing over this trip last Sunday in what looked a winnable race. I still believe he has plenty of upside and if Ma’s Plum Jam and Ask Me Now can begin and hunt over to the fence, then he could get plenty of room to accelerate across.

 BACK – #2 Lucy’s Milo 1.5 units at > $4.50

He looks to map well here with Premier Sticka likely to spear off at the first turn. He was airborne at The Meadows over 600m on March 6 and hasn’t raced since so he should be very fresh for this. His best form has come from inside draws and he looks to be the best of the backmarkers at enticing odds.


Race 4- Launching Pad Heat 4

 BACK – #2 Double Back 3 units at > $4.50

He has only missed a placing once in 8 starts and he looks to have superstar potential. I loved his win here on March 21 where he pushed through strongly at the first turn and powered away from his rivals. The Lagogiane kennel has been on fire of late and I am happy to stick with them. I am confident he can go quicker than his 29.67 run last start.

 LAY – #3 Premium Share 2 units at < $11

Although his form at Cannington has been great, this is a huge step up in class. He meets some very talented chasers and I don’t like the fact he hasn’t had a race start at the track. He is likely to have trialled here in the lead up seeing his last race start was 2 weeks ago but I can’t be backing him in an event of this class.


Race 10- Launching Pad Heat 7 

 BACK – #1 There’s A Catch 1 unit at > $4.00

 He has really caught the eye in recent times with superb wins at Ballarat and Bendigo. Even though he is having his first start in town he looks to have a great draw here and I am hoping he can lead all the way. Aston Peregrine and Red Rock both have tricky draws which only adds to my confidence.


Race 11- Launching Pad Heat 8

 BACK – #3 Rockstar Prince 1.5 units at > $3.50

Some of his wins in New South Wales had to be seen to be believed, especially his 30.52 win at Richmond last month. He has now been transferred to the powerful Dailly kennel and it appears he will be doing his future racing in Victoria. He has trialled 29.54 in preparation for this event and if he can replicate that time that should go close to winning this.

 LAY – #7 Max Tractor 1.5 units at > $8.00

He has won his last three starts in fine fashion leading all the way. Although that may appear to be a risky lay proposition these wins were in much easier races. Additionally, the wide draw will be hard to conquer with plenty of early pace underneath and I am happy to lay.

Perth Cup | Cannington | Saturday 23rd March

Distance: 520m

Track Record: Quick Jagger 29.29 (6/5/17)


Field and Stats

Hecton Bale: Best 29.70 (14/4/18).

Won his heat in 29.75 with a 1st split of 5.50. 4 wins and 2 placings from 7 starts this draw. 3 wins and 2 placings from 9 starts over this trip. 2018 Australia Cup winner at The Meadows. Most experienced chaser in field.

He returned to form last start with an eye catching all the way win. There is a ton more early speed in this event. He doesn’t like to be pressured from the outside as his racing pattern sees him mid tracking. He could get hammered from the outside brigade here. I would be keen to lay but he will be well into double figures come race time so I am happy to stay out.


Kiss Me Linda: Best 29.93 (16/2/19).

Runner up in heat  in 29.97 with a 1st split of 5.51 Been in the money of 12 of 15 career starts. Has never raced from Box 2 before. Second least experienced and youngest chaser in field.

She amazingly has yet to have a career start from Box 1 or 2. She has found the right time to finally land an inside draw but unfortunately this is the toughest race of her career. I can’t see her winning this.


Eighty Eight: Best 29.86 (22/12/18).

Runner up in heat in 29.91 with a 1st split of 5.57. Yet to win from this draw in 4 attempts. Been in the money in 20 of 26 starts over track and trip. Has not win in his past 9 starts.

I really liked his run here last week, he stuck on well against quality opposition but this is a very tough task. He would need plenty of luck to feature in the finish here.


Hasten Slowly Best 29.79.

Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 5.48 (second quickest). Group1 Brisbane Cup winner and multiple Group race finalist. Been in the money in 42 of 54 career starts. Only 1 win from this draw in 7 starts.

This chaser is of very high quality. He always finds a way to be in the finish. I couldn’t rule him out winning the race but I just can’t see him avoiding any early trouble. He began better than expected last start which could create his undoing here. He would almost have more benefit bombing the start and railing through on the first turn and power home along the paint late.


Dyna Patty: Best 29.56 (9/3/19).

Won her heat in 29.87. 1st split of 5.56. 18 career wins from 45 career starts. 2 from 2 over this track and trip. Dual Group 1 winner at The Meadows over 525m. 2 wins and 2 placings from 6 starts this draw.

Her heat win was tough going if you took the short odds where she needed every bit of the 520m to get up and win. She has a horror draw here drawn underneath Campini and Orson Allen. I can see her getting squeezed out early and it will be an uphill battle from there. I am happy to be against her.


Campini: Best 29.43 (16/2/19).

Won his heat in 29.62. 1st split of 5.56. 9 wins and no placings from 14 career starts. 3 unplaced runs from  this draw. Least experienced chaser in field.

He will be crashing over to the fence here. He caused chaos in his heat wiping out three competitors not long after box rise and he is every chance to do so again here. He is a freak on his night if he gets his own way up front but I doubt he gets that here. He may even end up double figure odds on the exchange such is the depth of this race.


Orson Allen: Best 29.32.

Ran this time in heat win, 1st split of 5.38 (quickest). Only 3 starts from this draw for 1 win and 1 placing. 24 wins from 48 career starts. Recent Horsham Cup winner.

He is absolutely flying at present and went within half a length of the track record here at his first look at the track. An incredible feat. I would be close to declaring him from an inside draw but Box 7 opens up the race. If he begins as well as last week and with Campini crashing over he probably wins, but from the wide draw he is a touch of unders for mine.


West on Augie: Best 29.40 (17/3/18).

Led all the way in heat in 29.72, 1st split of 5.51. Most experienced over this circuit with an amazing 23 wins from 35 starts. 4 wins from 8 starts this draw. Been in the money 8 of his past 10 starts.

He has a fantastic map here. Hasten Slowly, Campini and Orson Allen should all begin speedily and be crashing over to the fence. This should give Augie a stack of room to move. Hopefully he can get around the first turn unscathed and he looks a great place bet. I would not be surprised one iota if he were to win the race.


Love Me Tinder: 1st emergency. Best 29.73 (16/2/19).

Runner up in heat in time of 29.98. Never missed a placings over this trip (5 starts). Yet to miss a placing in career.

Hard to fault his form and is still learning the caper. He is a chaser to follow going forward but this would be beyond him at this stage of his career.


Petria Monelli: 2nd emergency. Best 29.89 (30/6/18).

Ran 2nd in heat in time of 30.03. Has a PB 1st split 0f 5.40. Been in the placings in her past 3 starts.

Her best form and sectional times have come from inside draws but she would be well and truly outclassed here.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Dyna Patty (5) < $7.00 (2 units)

 BACK – PLACE- West on Augie (8) > $1.45 (3 units)

Sky Racing Galaxy | Cannington | Saturday 23rd March

Distance: 715m

Track Record: Tornado Tears 41.25 (16/3/2019)


Field and Stats

Bee Dee No best time. Runner up in heat in 42.62 with a 1st section of 5.76. Only having his third start over this trip. 2 starts from this draw for 1 placing. Youngest chaser in field.

He stuck on better than expected in his heat run. He is the sort of chaser who needs plenty of galloping room and he most certainly is not going to get that here. The map looks awful for him and looks to be making up the numbers.


Reidy’s Runner: Best 41.97 (1/12/18).

Won his heat in 42.01 with a 1st section of 5.73. Only missed a placing once in 4 starts from this draw. 5 of 13 career wins from Boxes 1 & 2. Competing in his first Group final.

He keeps improving and his heat win was excellent but the quality of opposition here is extremely high. He may be outpaced early and I could see him getting shuffled back. He is a dog to follow in WA over the coming months but I would be very surprised if he could win here.


Barcali: No best time.

Runner up in heat in time of 42.53, 1st section of 5.74. 5 of 15 career wins have come from this draw and only missed a placing once in 8 starts. Second most overall wins in field.

He caught my eye in his heat run where he had no luck early and lost plenty of momentum. He kept clicking through the gears nicely and hit the line very well. Similar to Tornado Tears his early speed map is a little tricky but I am hoping he can begin more cleanly and stick on well for a placing.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.25 (track record in heat run).

1st split of 5.68. 4 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won 17 of his past 20 starts. Multiple Group race winner. Incredibly is the equal least experienced chaser in field.

This freakish chaser obliterated the track record he last start and may end up being the greatest stayer the sport has seen. However, I am not thrilled with this draw, it looks sticky for mine with only a length separating half the field early. This could make for heart in the mouth stuff early doors. Even if he were to find some early trouble he probably still finds the rails and roars home late and wins. The question Betfair Insider followers need to ask- Is it worth the risk at $1.20? Probably not. If he got to ridiculous odds on the exchange, $1.12 or shorter, you might consider laying for minimal risk and high returns in case he finds bother early.


Outshined: Best 42.13 (18/8/18).

Won heat in 42.39 with 1st section of 5.67 (quickest). 1 win and 1 placing from 2 starts this draw. Equal least experienced chaser in field. Races best when can lead clearly early.

He really impressed me in his heat win, he found the front, kept kicking and scored a gutsy win and he looks to have a bright staying future in WA. If he exploded out of the lids and there was trouble behind he could run a cheeky race here.


Rockstar Patriot: No best time.

Ran third in heat in 42.62 with 1st section of 5.87. Yet to win over this track and trip in 5 starts. 1 win and 5 unplaced runs from this draw. Second most experienced chaser in field.

Another chaser who looks poorly draw here, I can’t see him getting any room to get going early and is likely to get shuffled back here. He looks to be making up the numbers and is only a very small chance of finding a placing.


Equilibrium: No best time.

Ran third in heat in 42.55, 1st section of 5.92 (slowest). 1 win and 2 placings from 10 starts this draw but courses wide in races so draw is suitable. Been placed in 19 of 35 career starts.

He took forever with a capital ‘F’ to get going in his heat run. Even though Tornado Tears was a mile in front I still thought he should have ran better than he did and should have finished second. He does his best racing when he can use plenty of the track and this draw suits but it’s a no from me.


Back On Lava: Best 42.33 (25/8/18).

Ran 2nd in heat in 42.51, 1st section of 5.78. Only 1 win from 12 starts from this draw. Most experienced and oldest chaser in field. Placed in a Sandown Cup heat in 2018 over same distance.

This veteran chaser is still racing with great heart but at this stage of her career I would only look at backing here off Box 1 or 2, let alone in the Galaxy Final. She couldn’t win off the outside draw.


Allen Mike: 1st emergency. Best 42.40 (2/3/19).

Ran 3rd In heat in 42.69. 1st split PB of 5.59. Only missed a placing once here in 4 starts. 16 of 22 career wins from Boxes 1-4.

He would need an inside draw if he were to gain a start but even then there are too many quality dogs in the field for him to figure in the finish.


Moment To Jive: 2nd emergency. Best 41.73 (12/1/19).

Ran 4th in heat running 42.65 with a 1st split of 5.69. Most experienced chaser over track and trip with 19 wins from 33 starts.

She was in career best from prior to her heat run and had no luck last week. She was bumped heavily and if she were to gain a start could run into the placings.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – PLACE – Barcali (3) > $1.80 (3 units)

Race 2- Perth Cup Heat 2

#5 Dyna Patty 

The Group 1 Australian Cup winner is flying at the moment. I love the fact she had her first look at the circuit last Saturday and ran a sizzling 29.56. Earlier in her career, she didn’t cope with pressure on her outside but she railed beautifully here. I am not concerned by the squeeze draw as it should allow her to accelerate to the crown of the track and prove too good.

 BACK – 4 Dyna Patty units at $1.40


Race 3 – Perth Cup Heat 3

#2 Miss Splendamiro 

In what looks a tricky race, she goes into this race without a start at the track and failing and running second at $1.10 last Sunday at Sandown Park. She is well drawn close to the rails which will ensure she stays red figures, so at the price point I am happy to have a set against her. Garbrandt, Benali and Campini should all begin well and will be hunting for the fence so I am hoping this could cause her to find some trouble.

 LAY – Miss Splendamiro 2 units at $1.90

#1 Dyna Orenthal 

He has been racing really well over the 600 metres of late and from the gun alley the drop back in distance is not a worry. Seeing a couple of the other fancies including Campini have tricky draws I am confident he can click through the gears nicely and finish strongly for a placing.

 BACK – Dyna Orenthal the PLACE 2 units at $3.60


Race 4- Perth Cup Heat 4

 #4 West on Augie – BACK (3 units at > $1.50)

Initially I was surprised Dyna Patty went straight past him down the back straight last Saturday, but it was a very hot race and he held on ok. Even though this is a Cup heat, it is a weaker race than his last start. There also shouldn’t be much pressure on his outside as he likes to hunt down the middle of the track. I am happy to take the shorts here.

 BACK – West on Augie 3 units at $1.50


Race 6- Perth Cup Heat 6

#4 Nangar Jill 

She often explodes out of the boxes and does her best racing when out in front. I am not sure she can do that here against Perth Cup quality dogs. Even if she found herself several lengths in front I am confident she can get reeled in. If Hasten Slowly can begin off the mat on terms he could crash straight into her which would cruel her chances.

 LAY  Nangar Jill 2 units at $8.50

Race 7 – Galaxy Heat 1

#7 Tornado Tears 

He astonishingly broke the track record in a solo trial over 600 metres in what was his first look at the track in 34.47. He looks back to his best after finding trouble and having an awkward action in Group 1 Superstayers at The Meadows. I would prefer him from an inside draw but this is compensated by the smaller 6 dog field. He should hit the lead by the back straight and power away from these rivals at “20% interest”.

 BACK – Tornado Tears for 6 units at $1.20

#2 Equilibrium 

Keep in mind there is no third dividend here, I am still confident he can run second. Apart from Tornado Tears he is the strongest dog in the race. He is a very wide runner so I am hoping he can get to the outside safely by the winning post the first time around and roar into second placing at the finish.

 BACK – Equilibrium the PLACE for 2 units at $2.50


 Race 8- Galaxy Heat 2

#1 West on Hawkeye

Looking for some value here seeing Moment to Jive is very short and has a tricky draw but not willing to lay her. West on Hawkeye was bumped and lost plenty of momentum on the first turn here last Saturday and I believe he could have finished a lot closer. He may be able to settle closer here off the cherry draw and could run a really cheeky race at nice odds. 7 of his 17 career wins have come from Boxes 1 and 2.

 BACK – West on Hawkeye for 2 units at $5.50

Australian Cup Final | The Meadows | Saturday 2nd March

Distance: 525m

Track Record: Allen Deed 29.376 seconds (3/1/15)


Field and Stats

Dyna Patty: Best 29.67.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.11. 4 wins and a placing from 6 starts this draw. 6 wins from 14 starts this trip. Group 1 Maturity Classic winner over this trip.

Returned to sizzling form in her heat win. Even though her record from box 1 is very good, I have always felt she is better drawn off the track as it allows her to accelerate more easily.

I was tempted to make her the lay bet as she is very short in the market, however My Redeemer and Dyna Oscar are likely not to be railing either. If she was to explode out she may be able to get the gun run on the first turn and lead all the way.


My Redeemer: Best 29.71 (22/12/18).

Won his heat in 29.71 with a 1st split of 5.12. Has only missed a placing twice in 8 starts this trip. 4 wins and 3 seconds from 8 starts this draw. 2018 Melbourne Cup winner.

Going for the elusive Melbourne Cup/ Australian Cup double. He is a proven star at Group 1 level. However, I did feel he found one of the weaker heats and has been using plenty of the track in recent runs.

With a stack of speed thundering down from the outside and Bago Bye Bye beginning well and hunting for the rails and possibly Dyna Patty railing under, I’m not sure he will be able to obtain clear running. He will start close to favourite here I am happy to take him on at the price point.


Dyna Oscar: Best 29.94.

Recorded this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.22. 3 wins from 6 starts from this draw. Most experienced chaser over this trip with 26 starts.

Was a surprise heat winner for mine. He would need to jump better than he ever has before and is probably the only greyhound in the race that I would say cannot win.


Bago Bye: Bye Best 29.54.

Ran this time in heat, quickest of heats with a 1st split of 5.10. Has won 14 of his past 16 starts. 3 wins from 7 starts this draw. Has been doing his recent racing in New Zealand.

Is a greyhound I have followed closely throughout his highly successful stint in New Zealand. I have always rated him as a ‘mad railer’ so I let him go around last week seeing he had Box 8. He then ran a staggering 29.54 at his first race start at the track and from an unfavorable draw. So he is better suited here closer to the rails and he will keep coming. He just needs that initial luck early and find the rail. He is my pick to win but without much confidence.


Deliver: Best 29.69 (22/12/18).

Won his heat in 29.70 with a 1st split of 5.07. Undefeated from this draw (2 starts). Has won his past four races including the Group 1 Rookie Rebel over 600 metres at this track.

Handled the drop back in distance with aplomb last week in his heat. He has a good record from middle draws and he would not surprise me at all if he were to win the race but the map at the first turn looks sticky on paper.


Black Opium: Best 29.91.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 5.05 (second quickest). 1 start for 1 win from this draw. Has won 11 of 15 career starts. Least experienced chaser in field.

Has been a little hard to catch of late but the powerful Thompson kennel will have her cherry ripe for this. She used Box 1 to the max in her heat and could find it tough going out wide. Prior to last year’s Melbourne Cup she was exploding the lids no matter where she was drawn and if she could do that here she is right in the finish.


Miss Splendamiro: Best 29.73.

Recorded this time in heat win. 1st split of 5.02 (quickest). 5 wins and 2 placings from 10 starts this draw. Never missed a placing in 3 starts over this trip. Hasn’t missed a placing in her past 15 starts.

Ran an incredible first two sections here in her heat (5.02 17.53) and trainer Dave Geall was quoted after the race saying she was a run short in her preparation which bodes well for this race. If she had an inside draw I would be very confident but Box 8 in Group 1 races is a very tough ask. She will need to make no mistakes and looks a little unders in the betting.


Shima Breeze: Bet 29.89.

2nd in heat in a time of 29.78, 1st split of 5.05. Has won from every box except Box 7. Has led all the way in 3 of her past four starts.

Shima adds to the brigade of speed dogs who will be charging down from the outside, even if she were to explode out she would need some trouble behind to hold on and win against these rivals.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – WIN – Bago Bye Bye (4) >$6.00 (1 unit)

 LAY – WIN- My Redeemer (2) <$4.00 (1 unit)

Fanta Bale Super Stayers Final | The Meadows | Saturday 2nd March

Distance: 725m

Track Record: Space Star 41.933 seconds (28/2/15)


Field and Stats

Double Gee: Best 42.30 (29/12/18)

Runner up in heat in 42.48, 1st split of 5.14. Group 2 winner over 720 metres at Wentworth Park. First start from Box 1 in 31 career starts.

Took a while to find the rail and balance up from an unfriendly draw in his heat, but his run from the winning post the first time around was excellent. He has a much better draw here and I am confident he can run into the placings.


Poco Dorado: No best winning time.

Ran third in heat in time of 42.72, 1st split of 5.04. Only had two starts from this draw for a win and a second. Dual Group 3 winner and Group 1 placed.

Has been very disappointing in her two recent runs over this trip. She doesn’t seem to be bringing her sensational NSW form to Victoria. We probably have missed the boat to lay her when she failed at even money odds here last start and will be much bigger odds here.


Boom Down: No best winning time.

Ran third in heat in 42.52, 1st split of 5.20. Only one start from Box 3 for a third. Hasn’t missed a placing in his last 6 starts. Second least experienced chaser in field (25 starts).

Kept coming in his heat despite some traffic issues throughout and he hit the line really well. He has a better draw here and should be able to land on the paint more easily.

He is my smokey in this event and will be huge each way odds on the exchange and looks to be a place play for Betfair Insider followers.


Black Impala: No best winning time.

Runner up in heat in time of 42.58. 1st split of 4.83 (quickest). Has never won from this draw in 6 starts. 2 seconds from 3 starts over this trip.

Has been flying along early in his races running sizzling sectionals and seems to be getting stronger. He could set up an early lead again but this is a high quality field and I can see him getting swamped late.


Tornado Tears: Best 41.96.

Ran this time in heat with a 1st split of 4.95. Won 21 of 30 career starts and has won 8 races in a row. Multiple Group race winner. Last start here was half a length off 4 year old track record.

Is a champion chaser who will be extremely hard to beat. His last two wins here have been breathtaking but he doesn’t represent any value here. He is desperate for the fence so Box 5 is no help here. There is no way I would lay him but happy just to watch him go around.


Blue Moon Rising: Best 42.73.

Ran this time in heat win with 1st split of 5.00. Has yet to win from this draw in 9 starts. Has not missed a placing in his last 14 starts. Has placed in Group 1, 2 and 3 races.

Has really caught the eye as of late and was gutsy in winning his heat. He has had the benefit of two handy inside draws and has to contend with a wide draw in this event. I don’t think he can win.


Ebby Ripper: Best 42.48 (6/11/17 and last week).

Won her heat coming from a long way back in 42.48. 1st split of 5.13. 2 wins from 15 starts from this draw. Most experienced chaser in field lining up for her 103rd start.

Is the veteran chaser of the field who is still racing well. Strangely, her Victorian form in hot races seems to be better than her NSW form in weaker races. The draw is no help to her but could flash home late.


Peppertide: (likely to start from Box 6) No best winning time.

3rd in heat in 43.02 with a 1st split of 5.04. 6 wins from 13 career starts but yet to win here in 2 attempts. Least experienced and youngest chaser in field.

Comes into the field with the scratching of Hot Tip. He has been performing much better at Sandown Park than he has at The Meadows. Over this trip he seems to miss the kick and course wide. He won’t be able to make those mistakes in this event.


Taken King: 2nd emergency

No best winning time. 4th in heat in 42.57 with a 1st split of 4.94 (second quickest of heats). Been in the money in 26 of his 33 career starts.


Betting Strategy

 BACK – PLACE – Boom Down  (3) > $5.00 (2 units)

 BACK – PLACE – Double Gee (1) >$1.90 (2 units)

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