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In the long and storied history of State of Origin, it can be fairly argued that the 2023 series might be the lowest point in Blues history. The series is not only gone after two games but New South Wales are in a state of complete disarray with some of the most bizarre selections in history. The NSWRL are now floating the idea of keeping coach Brad Fittler on next year.

A series sweep would confirm this is the lowest year for the Blues, at least this century. Since 2001 there has been just a single sweep. Even those great Queensland teams that dominated during the Mal Meninga years, the Maroons managed just a single sweep. Teams down 2-0 are typically more motivated, particularly when they are at home.

It is impossible to side with the Blues this year given not only the team changes but the nonsensical use of the bench from Brad Fittler and the building of a culture of selfishness and individualism where players are dropped seemingly on a whim.

It is hard to get a grip on what Fittler and selector Greg Alexander are trying to achieve in this game. They are not building for the future by recalling 33-year-old Cody Walker. The Blues have been comprehensively smashed through the middle in both games yet have gone with just two recognised props. Nicho Hynes, the Dally M Medal winner, has been ignored again in place of Mitchell Moses. Two hookers have again been named despite Fittler clearly preferring to use just one. Back Clint Gutherson was named on the bench despite Fittler claiming that he has “no plan” on how to use him. Another debutant given less than 15 minutes was dumped in Stefano Utoikamanu.

Billy Slater, by contrast, has shown himself to be better prepared, more astute tactically and able to build a better culture. Despite injuries, he has continually rolled out stronger teams. AJ Brimson is an excellent replacement for Reece Walsh while Corey Horsburgh is an upgrade on Thomas Flegler.


Best Bets

BACK: Queensland -2.5 @ $1.70 or Better

There is normally a concern about motivation here but Queensland have to be the best. Slater has brought the relentless pursuit of perfection to the Maroons that he had at the Storm and that is dangerous for New South Wales. 

BACK: Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Try @ $2.00 or Better

It is hard to imagine a better start to an Origin career than what we have seen from Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow, who now has four tries in his first three matches, crossing in every game. He has electric speed and matches up well against Stephen Crichton, who is not an outstanding defender. Dead rubbers tend to be higher scorers and Tabuai-Fidow is just a tremendous tryscorer in a plus matchup.  

BACK: Cameron Munster Player of the Match @ $6.00 or Better

It has been a strange Origin series in terms of Player of the Match with the two awards going to unfashionable forwards Reuben Cotter and Lindsay Collins. It has been rare that a half has not won an award – not since 2019 – while a series without a spine player winning a single player of the match gong last occurred in 2014. That puts the Maroons spine in the frame and Munster has been arguably the best player this series and with two previous awards, attracts the attention of selectors. 


State of Origin Tips: Betfair


Are you ready to take your State of Origin betting to the next level? The State of Origin series is back in 2023, promising electrifying rugby league action as the Queensland Maroons and New South Wales Blues renew their fierce rivalry. As a Betfair enthusiast, you’re in the perfect position to make the most of this thrilling sporting event. Here, we’ll provide you with expert tips and strategies to enhance your State of Origin betting experience and increase your chances of success.

Understanding the State of Origin

Before diving into the tips, let’s quickly recap the significance of the State of Origin series. Originating in 1980, this rugby league spectacle features three matches between Queensland and New South Wales. The series is known for its intense rivalry and passionate atmosphere, with players representing their state with immense pride.

Research and Analysis

To make informed betting decisions, it’s crucial to conduct thorough research and analysis. What better place to start that right here on the Betfair Hub! Our experts will focus on games 1, 2, and 3 of the 2023 series, analyzing the previous head-to-head records between Queensland and New South Wales to identify any trends or historical advantages.

They’ll also include key player statistics in their past performances in the State of Origin series, look for standout performers, and assess their potential impact on the upcoming games. Additionally, they’ll pay attention to external factors such as weather conditions, as they can significantly influence gameplay and outcomes, the importance of home-ground advantage, and the impact of injuries or suspensions on team dynamics.

Betfair Betting Strategies

Now that you have a solid foundation of knowledge, let’s explore some effective State Of Origin betting strategies on the Betfair Exchange.

Types of Bets

  • Moneyline bets: This straightforward bet involves wagering on the overall match winner.
  • Point spread bets: Consider handicapping and bet on whether a team will win by a certain margin.
  • Over/under bets: Wager on whether the total number of points scored in a match will be over or under a specified amount.
    Tips for Successful Betting
  • Stay informed: Continuously research and stay updated on team news, recent form, and player performances.
  • Historical trends: Examine past State of Origin outcomes to identify any recurring patterns.
  • Assess team morale: Consider team dynamics, motivation levels, and the impact of key players on team performance.


Money Management

  • Set a budget: Allocate a specific amount for your State of Origin bets to avoid overspending.
  • Avoid chasing losses: Don’t let emotions dictate your betting decisions. Stick to your strategy and avoid reckless betting to recover losses.
  • Practice responsible gambling: Enjoy the State of Origin matches responsibly and bet within your limits.

Expert Predictions

Now, let’s delve into some expert predictions for the 2023 State of Origin series. While predictions can never be entirely certain, they can provide valuable insights into potential outcomes and betting opportunities.

Throughout the series, keep an eye on this page for information regarding key players who have historically performed well in State of Origin matches. Also keep an eye out for updates to strategies and game-changers that could shape the games. Remember, it’s essential to consider multiple viewpoints and sources to make well-informed decisions.


For this State Of Origin, there is only one location to keep you equipped with the top expert tips and strategies to elevate your wagering IQ. As you gear up for the highly anticipated 2023 State of Origin series, remember to head to the Betfair Hub and this page for the latest research, analysis, and betting strategies, and if you’d like to place a bet, head to the Betfair Exchange now!

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