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SANDOWN THE PUNTERS’ PAL

Sandown is arguably the best and fairest track to place back bets on market favourites in Melbourne, Betfair data can reveal.

When comparing all four metropolitan tracks in Victoria from the 2022 calendar year, Sandown rated clearly on top, with 79% of winners priced at under $10.00. This eclipsed Flemington’s strike rate of 66%. Further investigation found that a staggering 47% of Sandown winners were priced under $5.00 – leaving Moonee Valley and Flemington behind at 41% and 40% respectively.

Despite playing a role of a second-tier metropolitan track, with limited Stakes races and serving most midweek meetings in Victoria, Sandown stamps itself as a trusted source for betting.

Leading form analyst and host of Lay Back with Betfair Tom Haylock emphasised the trust he has when playing at Sandown.

“In the last six months, favourites have a fantastic record with an amazing winning strike rate of 44.2%, which is considerably higher than the Australian average (26.3% in 2022),” Haylock said.

“It’s definitely a trusted form reference and that stems from the fairness of the track, a point that is reflected in the favourites winning percentage in the last six months.

“The big track and long straight means variance is minimized and bad luck doesn’t occur as often as some tighter, smaller tracks.

Part of Sandown’s appeal to punters is the consensus it gives every runner an even chance. This is a sentiment shared by industry participants as well.

Jockey Jake Noonan has the highest winning strike rate of any Victorian rider at the track in the last 12 months (27% winners to rides ratio).

“It’s the great start and the long undulating run home,” Noonan said.

“You’ve got to have a fit horse, but they tend to all get their chance at Sandown which is what you want.”

Trainer Ken Keys is shooting at 21% at the track since February 2022 which ranks top five amongst trainers, and he echoed those sentiments.

“If you come home from Sandown without a result, you’ll have a hard time finding a good excuse,” Keys said.

“Good jockeys and good horses should win there. Some tracks it comes down to barriers, but not there.” He added.

Haylock emphasised this point for punters heading along to Sandown.

“Brilliant viewing the entire length of the straight. A fantastic and safe surface. Trainers want to run there.” Haylock added.

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