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Update (February 26)

The race for the Republican nomination is now effectively down to one horse following Donald Trump’s dominant win in the South Carolina Primary.

Trump defeated Nikki Haley, the former Governor of the state, by a huge margin, claiming 47 of the 50 delegates. Trump won 59.8% of the vote.

The former President now has 110 delegates to Haley’s 20 but the writing is well and truly on the wall with powerful funding lobby the Koch Group now withdrawing funding from the Haley campaign. Her only hope of defeating Trump now seems to be in the courts with there still being a possibility, albeit minor, that Trump is barred from running.

In the Democratic race, the question remains not if Biden will fend off any primary challengers but whether he will run or step aside due to his age and increasing frailty.

The market has remained reasonably steady over the last fortnight with Michelle Obama tightening up a half-point. Whether Obama is serious or not remains a matter of conjecture with many believing it to be nothing more than a Republican conspiracy theory while others have suggested she has looked into financial backing.

Coming Up

We have a huge two weeks coming up on the Primary calendar starting with both parties contesting Michigan in two days.

The GOP then stage a number of small state ballots – caucus voting in North Dakota, Idaho and Missouri and a primary in the District of Columbia – before Super Tuesday takes centre stage on Wednesday, March 6 Australian time.

On Super Tuesday, 17 states and districts take to the polls including major states California and Texas as well as big players as well as Minnesota, North Carolina and Tennessee.

The Democrats stage their Hawaii primary the following day.

On the Republican side, Super Tuesday is Nikki Haley’s final throw at the stumps. Her campaign has launched an ad spend well into the millions as it tries to put the brakes on the momentum Donald Trump has built in the early going.

On the Democrat side, all eyes will be on the California primary where Governor Gavin Newsom is seen by many in the party as a better alternative than Biden. Seeing how both voting and the narrative plays out there will be fascinating.

Betting Strategy

BACK: Party of Popular Vote Winner – Democratic Party @ $1.20+

While the winner of the election remains on a knife’s edge, the party that wins the popular vote is not. The Democrats have won the last four popular votes by significant margins, winning at least 51% including when Donald Trump claimed the presidency. The Trump candidacy likely scares more Democrats to the polls, as it did the last two elections. This is a tremendous bet.

BACK: Democratic Presidential Nomination – Michelle Obama at $8.00+

The concerns around Biden’s age and faculties are real. The Hur report has seriously damaged Biden in a manner he has no defence for. Biden cannot be unseated unless he does so voluntarily but there seems an increased likelihood he may look to bring in someone who can beat Trump. Michelle Obama’s price has shortened dramatically and she has been sounding out fundraising. The Obamas remain close with the Bidens and if he does step aside, she will likely get his backing.


US Election Betting: Understanding the Odds and Tips

The United States’ presidential election is one of the most significant political events in the world. Every four years, millions of people from around the globe tune in to watch the process unfold. But it’s not just about politics; it’s also about betting. With so much at stake, US Election Betting is becoming increasingly popular. In this article, we will discuss everything you need to know about US Election Betting, including the odds, tips, and a brief history of each of the top candidates: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, and Kamala Harris.

Understanding US Election Betting on Betfair

US Election Betting with Betfair is a type of political betting that allows people to place bets on who they believe will win the presidential election. Not only this, but bettors can also place wagers on the winning political party, the popular vote winner, party of the popular vote winner, gender of election winner, who the Democratic & Republican nominee will be for President & Vice President, and if Ron DeSantis will run in 2024.

A Brief History of the Top Candidates

Joe Biden: Joe Biden is the current President of the United States and served as Vice President under Barack Obama. Biden was a senator for Delaware for over 30 years and has a long history of public service. In 2020, Biden won the Democratic nomination for President and went on to defeat incumbent Donald Trump in the general election.

Donald Trump: Donald Trump is a businessman and former television personality who served as the 45th President of the United States from 2017 to 2021. Trump was the Republican nominee for President in 2016 and won the election, defeating Hillary Clinton. Trump is known for his controversial policies and actions while in office, including his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and his impeachment by the House of Representatives in 2019.

Ron DeSantis: Ron DeSantis is the current Governor of Florida and a rising candidate in the Republican Party. DeSantis served in the US House of Representatives from 2013 to 2018 and was elected Governor of Florida in 2018. DeSantis is known for his conservative policies and close relationship with former President Trump.

Kamala Harris: Kamala Harris is the current Vice President of the United States and the first woman, person of colour, and person of South Asian descent to hold the position. Harris served as Attorney General of California from 2011 to 2017 and was elected to the US Senate in 2016. In 2020, she was selected as Joe Biden’s running mate and was elected Vice President.

Why Betfair is the Best Wagering Platform for the 2024 US Presidential Election

Betfair is a leading online betting Exchange that allows users to bet against each other on sporting events, political outcomes, and more. With over 20 years of experience in the industry, Betfair has earned a reputation as the most reliable and trustworthy platform for sports and political betting.

One of the reasons Betfair is the best wagering platform for the 2024 US Presidential Election is its competitive odds. The platform offers some of the best odds in the industry, which can significantly increase your potential winnings.

Another reason to choose Betfair is its user-friendly platform. The website is easy to navigate, and placing bets is simple and straightforward. Additionally, Betfair offers a mobile app, allowing users to place bets from anywhere at any time.

Betfair also offers a wide range of US Election Betting markets, including the winner of the presidential election, the winning political party, and who the Democratic & Republican nominee will be. With so many options, you can find the market that best suits your betting strategy.


Betfair is here to provide the punter with the latest and most reliable information regarding the 2024 US Presidential Election. Our US Politics expert is an industry leader in politics wagering, with a wealth of knowledge for the US Political system. If you’re looking to place a bet on the 2024 US Election, then there really is no other place to go than the Betfair Exchange. The peer-to-peer betting platform means you get the best odds the market has to offer, and if you’re unsure on who to bet on, or how to find value in the market where others can’t, then head to the Betfair Hub today and take advantage of our US political expert’s tips and predictions.

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