EXPERT RACING TIPS: MT GAMBIER

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MT GAMBIER | RACING TIPS | 18 MAY 2022

Rail: +5m 800-W/P, +3m Remainder including chutes | Track Condition: Soft6 | Weather: Showers, 15

BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 5 | #11 PENSLEY for 2 units

PENSLEY was an eye-catcher on debut. Sat a touch wide in the run but really hit her straps late for 5th over an unsuitable 900m journey. The step up to the 1400m looks the goods here.

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Race 3 | #1 HARBOURING for 1 unit

Horse is racing well long into the prep but comes off a dirt track win and now has to contest a Soft track race and step up to the 2069m journey. Has yet to win past 1600m.


Race 1 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

5. MAATSUYKER
9. TAVERN MUSIC
8. REBEL LEYLA
4. FULL OF DASH

Betting Strategy

No bet.

MAATSUKER put the writing on the wall with an excellent last to 3rd at the bottomless Warrnambool carnival. This looks easier and will appreciate the sting out the ground.

TAVER MUSIC was a $3.5 chance at Horsham last start. Every chance and whacked away for 3rd. This again, is easier.

REBEL LEYLA didn’t see out the 2400m last start. Drops abck in trip and blinkers go on. FULL OF DASH has been thereabouts in these weak South East MDN’S and can fill a hole.


Race 2 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

5. MELINKE
1. DANGEROUS WAR
2. DETNAW
8. HASTA LA WIZARD

Betting Strategy

Prepared to forgive MELINKE’S first up run when sat wide the trip and was a sitting duck late. Go on previous trial run where clocked in a win in fast time. Drawn for a soft run here.

DANGEROUS WAR comes from the same race and slightly disappointed as favourite but was sound enough late. Blinkers on and a good barrier should do the trick.

DETNAW was noticed making good ground late last start. Will appreciate the step up in trip while HASTA LA WIZARD had a quiet trial and could surprise on debut.

BACK (WIN) – MELINKE 1.5 units


Race 3 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

6 TILL IT’S OVER
2. BRIGADIER
3. EAGLE’S FOREVER
4. DYAGILEV

Betting Strategy

No bet. Gutsy performance last start on the Heavy 10 at Warrnambool by TILL IT’S OVER. Came with a big run down the straight and stuck on well for 1.5L 3rd. Easier assignment here and will appreciate any cut out the ground.

BRIGADIER, EAGLE’S FOREVER and DYAGILEV all come from the same race. EAGLE’S FOREVER just jumps up 2kg in weight so I thought maybe BRIGADIER could turn the tables on him. DYAGILEV can run an improved race with a senior jockey back aboard.


Race 4SA Racing | Key Runners 

5 BURNING THE CLOCK
4. DR DEE DEE
2. MR MARATHON MAN
3. MUNTHAM MISSILE

Betting Strategy

Small field but a very even race. Most horses here can lay claims for victory.

Going with BURNING THE CLOCK at value. No luck at Horsham last last when bottled away on the fence and only got moving late for 2.8L 7th. Probably should have won.

DR DEE DEE trialed well but was slow out the gates at Morphettville and was basically out on contention. Tried hard late but start was costly. This looks easier.

MR MARATHON MAN ran his best race in a while when a close up 5th at Morphettville. If he can repeat that run, can win! MUNTHAM MISSILE is probably looking for further but can pull out a run fresh.

BACK (WIN) – BURNING THE CLOCK 1.5 units win and 3 units place


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Race 5 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

11. PENSLEY
6. CARRY ON FLYING
5. THIRTY TWO GUNS
3. SANDHILL REBEL

Betting Strategy

PENSLEY was an eye-catcher on debut. Sat a touch wide in the run but really hit her straps late for 5th over an unsuitable 900m journey. The step up to the 1400m looks the goods here.

CARRY ON FLYING trailed well leading into this. Can make an impression first up.

THIRTY TWO GUNS was slowly away last start but found the line strong. Has been thereabouts at a price of late while SANDHILL REBEL should come across from the gate and give them something to catch.

BACK (WIN) – PENSLEY for 2 units


Race 6 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

3. DOTHRAKI
5. INNOCENT PEG
4. LIGHTS VISION
7. FANCIED

Betting Strategy

DOTHRAKI looked all over a winner last start but the hoop dropped the stick in the last 100m and had to be pushed out hands and heels. Did a good job for 2nd. This looks easier and loves soft tracks.

INNOCENT PEG was a closing 2nd last start. 1/1 at the track and is racing well this prep.

LIGHTS VISION is coming off a dominant MDN win. Has to step up but looks a nice type. FANCIED closed hard for eye-catching 4th last time out and can fill the placings.

BACK (WIN) – DOTHRAKI for 2 units


Race 7 | SA Racing | Key Runners 

2. JOLTING
12.ROLLING MOSS
6. BUNUMBURT
10. COMIENDO

Betting Strategy

No bet race.

JOLTING lead everywhere but the post last time out when just found one better. Has drawn for a soft run here and will appreciate the sting out.

ROLLING MOSS will give a great sight out in-front. Looks well placed with the big drop in grade and 3kg claim for Overall.

BUNUMBURT was a good winner 2 starts back before closing hard late here last time out. Races best at this track.

COMIENDO failed as favourite last start but they have tinkered with gear and and hasn’t missed the top 2 in 2 starts at Mt Gambier. Forgive last start.


Race 8 | SA Racing | Key Runners

4. WILD COLONIEL BOY
5. RECREANT
8. MULGA LIL
1. MISTA HOLYFIELD

No bet race. Tricky one to end the day. WILD COLONIEL BOY peaked on his run 2nd up but stuck on OK here for 5th. Likes Mt Gambier and the step up in trip 3rd up should suit. Drops in grade. RECREANT is lightly raced who was noticed hitting the line well over 1200m last start. Gives the indication that 1500m will be ideal. MULGA LIL caught the eye late at Naracoorte. Drops in grade and likes the sting out while MISTA HOLYFIELD should give a good sight near the lead.


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