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FEATURE PREVIEWS: VINERY STUD STAKES

VINERY STUD STAKES

Track: Rosehill | Distance: 2000m | Condition:  | Rail Position: +5m | Condition: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $750k

G1 race won in recent years by Prowess, Fangirl, Hungry Heart, Shout The Bar, Verry Elleegant, Single Gaze, Lucia Valentina & Mosheen.

Historical Profiling (last 12 years)

2nd up (1/7), 3rd up (4/52), 4th up (5/54), 5th up (2/32), 6th up (0/15)
10-13-day break (1/19), 14-day break (7/42), 15-day break (2/46), 21-day break (2/17)
Settled 1st-4th (6), Settled 6th-9th (4), Settled 16th (1)
Last 3 starts average margin 0L or better (11/112), 1L or worse (1/39)
Firmed in betting last start No (5/110), Yes (6/31)
Last start distance 1500 (6/32), 1600 (5/96), 1800+ (1/20)

SPEED PREVIEW

Slow tempo expected with Queen Of Dragons taking up the running.

Kimochi, Our Gold Hope, Mare Of Mt Buller (wide) & Orchestral will be handy.

Autumn Angel, True Fairy (wide) & Tutta La Vita map back of midfield.

Zardozi & Piplup out the back.

VINERY STUD STAKES | KEY RUNNERS

1. Orchestral – Superstar filly who has been incredibly impressive winning the Karaka Millions by 3.5L, Avondale Guineas by 4L and then becoming the first filly to win the NZ Derby since Habibi in 2013 in a 4L rout thrashing Antrim Coast who won the Alistair Clark G2 last week. One of the best to come out of NZ in a long time. If she races to those performances, they don’t beat her.

2. Zardozi – Won the Edward Manifold and VRC Oaks comprehensively last prep, and was impressive winning the Phar Lap Stakes last start. Is the clear best of the Australian runners.

3. Kimochi – G2 winner and 7 times group placed. Raced wide no cover in the Coolmore Classic and was a big run when 3rd beaten a long neck. 2000m a query.

4. Autumn Angel – Finished strongly to win the Kewney last start, though some question marks over that form. Won the Ethereal last prep so the trip no issue. In the mix.

5. Tutta La Vita – G1 placed in the Flight Stakes last prep. Good run first up, though disappointed in the Keith Nolan last start. Place chance.

6. Queen Of Dragons – Stuck on gamely to win the Keith Nolan last start. Gets a soft lead here. Place best.

7. Mare Of Mt Buller – Has won 3 in a row in lower grade. Place best.

9.Piplup – Won Hawkesbury maiden over 2000m last start running excellent closing sectionals. Place hope.

SUMMARY

Orchestral clearly the one to beat on the ratings.

Zardozi the danger and is the clear best on the historical profiling.

Mare Of Mt Buller & Piplup rough place hopes at big odds.

Market unfortunately aligns with rated prices.

TOP 5 SELECTIONS

1 – Orchestral
2 – Zardozi
4 – Autumn Angel
3 – Kimochi
5 – Tutta La Vita

VINERY STUD STAKES | BETTING STRATEGY

No official bets.

RESULTS

Big G1 Winners (Betfair SP Price)

 

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

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