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FEATURE PREVIEW: THOUSAND GUINEAS

THOUSAND GUINEAS PREVIEW

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1600m | Race Type: Group 1 3YO Fillies SW | Track Condition: Good4 | Predicted Conditions: Good4 | Rail: True | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

No rain forecast so that track should remain a Good 4.

Recent winners have included Atlantic Jewel, Commanding Jewel, Guelph, Global Glamour, Aloisia, Flit and Odeum.

THOUSAND GUINEAS HISTORY (LAST 12 YEARS)

  • 2nd up (1), 3rd up (1), 4th up (8), 5th up (2)
  • 7-day break (2), 11-14-day break (7), 18-21-day break (3)
  • Barrier 1-9 (11), 15 (1)
  • SP $4.40 or under (4), $8-$14 (7), $26 (1)
  • Lead Up – Edward Manifold (3), Jim Moloney (2), Flight Stakes (3), Thousand Guineas Prelude (4)
  • Last Start Performance Won or placed within 0.8L of winner (9), unplaced (2)

THOUSAND GUINEAS SPEED MAP

Average tempo expected here with Vibrant Sun & Ersa in front.

Arctic Glamour, Kimochi & Apache Song likely to race handy.

Coeur Volante, Joliestar, Ennas Dream & Zourion all back of midfield.

Carina Queen, Vivy Air, Quickster & Skybird all get back.

THOUSAND GUINEAS KEY RUNNERS

1. Kimochi – Super consistent filly with 1 win and 7 placings from 8 starts. Has matched it with the best fillies in Sydney.

2. Couer Volante – Has been strong winning her past 3 starts. One of the leading chances.

3. Skybird – 3 starts for 3 wins and has been running excellent late sectionals. Gets a long way back.

4. Arctic Glamour – Was impressive winning her first two starts this prep. Had excuses last start, though was disappointing.

6. Joliestar – Ran 2nd to Arctic Glamour two starts back then 2nd at Flemington last start coming from a long way back.

7. Zourion – Was caught wide no cover in the Tranquil Star and stuck on well for 3rd. Up to this.

12. Vibrant Sun – Bolted in to win Geelong maiden in quick time. On the back up but can surprise here.

THOUSAND GUINEAS TIPS

2 – Coeur Volante
6 – Joliestar
3 – Skybird
1 – Kimochi
4 – Arctic Glamour
12 – Vibrant Sun

BETTING STRATEGY

TBC

DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 328.7
Units Returned: 336.6
Profit On Turnover: 2.5%

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63

2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60

2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26

2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23

2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50

2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50

2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55

2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80

2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18

2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00

2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32

2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24

 

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