QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES PREVIEW
Track: Randwick | Distance: 2000m | Type: G1 WFA | Rail Position: +4m | Condition: Slow5 (Thursday) | Prizemoney: $5,000,000
Outstanding G1 race won in recent years by Dubai Honour, Reliable Man, It’s a Dundeel, Winx (3 times) & Addeybb (twice).
HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 12 YEARS)
- 1st up (0/4), 2nd up (5/20), 3rd up (2/14), 4th up (4/55), 5th up+ (1/28)
- 5-7-day break (1/32), 12-14-day break (2/32), 21-day break (8/38), 28-day break (1/11), 30+ day break (0/7)
- Settled 1st-3rd (5), Settled 4th-7th (4), Settled 10th-14th (2)
- Barrier 1-4 (7), Barrier 7-10 (4)
- 3yo (0/3), 4yo (2/36), 5yo (5/36), 6yo (3/18), 7yo (2/21), 8yo+ (0/7)
- Colt (0/3), Geldings (4/52), Mares (5/27), Entires (3/39)
- SP Rank 1-2 (10/12), 3-7 (2/60), 8+ (0/37)
- Last Start Distance 1500 (6/18), 1600 (1/42), 2000 (3/40), 2400 (2/20)
- Last Start Race Class G1 (12/100), Other (0/21)
- Second Last Start Race Class G1 (12/80), Other (0/41)
- Average Prizemoney $10k-$50k (0/39), $60k-$90k (2/27), $100k+ (10/55)
- Leadup race: Ranvet (3), George Ryder (5), Coolmore (1), Doncaster (1), Tancred (2)
- Official Handicap Ranking 1-3 (11/36), 4-5 (1/24), 6+ (0/61)
- Same Jockey Last Start No (3/59), Yes (9/62)
- Last 3 Starts Average Margin 0 (12/72), 1+ (0/49)
SPEED MAP
Decent speed expected up front with Pride Of Jenni likely to set the tempo and Lindermann likely to add pressure at some point.
Zeyrek, Ceowulf, Mr Brightside & Place Du Carrousel forward of midfield.
Buckaroo & Atishu worse than midfield.
Via Sistina, Cascadian & Kovalica out the back.
QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES | KEY RUNNERS
1. Mr Brightside – 6-time G1 winner plus an All Star Mile. Ran 2nd in the All Star Mile last start. Had run 1st or 2nd at past 12 starts racing at the highest level before last start 5th when ridden too close and ground too firm. Can improve here.
2. Cascadian – Flew home for 3rd in the All Star Mile, running better closing sectionals than Mr Brightside, before flying home to win he Australian Cup for us. Can repeat the dose here.
4. Lindermann – Rosehill Guineas winner who bolted in to win the Sky High before he track was too wet in the Doncaster. Can place at odds.
7. Pride Of Jenni – Ran them into the ground leading and winning the Empire Rose, Cantala Stakes and All Star Mile, before leading until late when 2nd in the Australian Cup. Leading chance.
8. Via Sistina – Had excellent G1 form in Europe and was purchased for a big sum. Won the Ranvet comprehensively first up thought the race was a walk (26L below par first half) and sprint home. Completely different race shape here but will have improved.
10. Place Du Carrousel – Another imported mare with a G1 win in France and handles the wet. Appears more of a 2400m so the strong tempo may suit. Can figure.
DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS
2 – Cascadian
8 – Via Sistina
10 – Place Du Carrousel
7 – Pride Of Jenni
4 – Lindermann
QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES | BETTING STRATEGY
Cascadian won impressively for us last start in the Australian Cup. No reason he can’t repeat again here.
Via Sistina was very impressive winning the Ranvet in first Australian run. Faces a completely opposite race shape here. Saving on her.
Place Du Carrousel is a nice price and Pride Of Jenni will give them plenty to chase.
Winner should come from those 4 horses.
BACK 2 – Cascadian 1.0w
BACK 8 – Via Sistina 1.0w
RESULTS
Units Outlayed: 400.9
Units Returned: 445.4
Profit On Turnover: 11.1%
Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP)
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24