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EXPERT RACING TIPS: LONGCHAMP

LONGCHAMP PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SUNDAY OCTOBER 5TH 2025

RAIL: True with cutaway TRACK: Very soft

The cutaway comes into play on Arc day and pulls out 7m of fresh ground which means low draws become premium. Unless you end up on the stand’s side it’s very difficult to win from out wide so on-pace, drawn low is key. As always, low draws on the 1000m chute/fence in running is the play.

7. Diamond Necklace
8. Green Spirit
9. Ozone
2. Aylin

 

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Diamond Necklace (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.00)

Diamond Necklace could be a superstar and this is her stage to show it. She’s got the ideal draw and can stalk her market rival the entire way before putting the race to bed. She’s shown smart acceleration in both starts and the cutaway should mean she gets plenty of time and space to show it.

8. Nighttime
1. Rayif
5. Puerto Rico
3. Campacite

Betting Strategy

BACK: 8. Nighttime (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.00)

While most of this field has question marks, Nighttime looks the only bombproof one and is drawn perfectly.
Rayif is a query on the ground, Puerto Rico, Time To Turn, A Bit Of Spirit all want the lead and may cut each other up, and Vardif is drawn wide. The push-button acceleration, course form and soft form makes Nighttime the clear pick.

17. Asfoora
13. Monteille
6. Ponntos
11. Frost At Dawn

Betting Strategy

BACK: 17. Asfoora (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.50)

I’ve followed the formula of backing the inside 5 gates for a decade and it has proven extremely profitable. It’s almost impossible to make ground out wide so unless you’re rapid enough to cross the field and scoot over to the rail, a wide draw usually means you’re cactus.
There’s plenty of pace drawn low with Frost At Dawn, Ponntos, Monteille so Asfoora should get the ideal cart into it. As far as I’m concerned this is a bet based on how she’ll handle the ground rather than if she’s better than this field as she’s already trounced this lot in the Nunthorpe.

BACK: 13. Monteille (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.00)

Monteille picked up swiftly along the fence last time at the same course and distance. Drawn to do the same again and clearly handles cut in the ground. Ponntos and Frost At Dawn are likely to offer a perfect tow for him to repeat the dose. Great price considering.

BACK: 11. Frost At Dawn (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)

Frost At Dawn could be a totally untapped prospect on testing ground. Ran pretty well at Goodwood with some cut there and has placed in both G1’s over 1000m she’s contested this season. If those others drawn down low falter, perhaps she’s the one to take advantage.

Purebred Arabians. No bet.

Betting Strategy

Purebred Arabians. No bet.

17. Minnie Hauk
4. Sosie
11. Daryz
15. Croix Du Nord

Betting Strategy

BACK: 17. Minnie Hauk (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $3.50)

Minnie Hauk looks primed for this and gets in with generous allowances for a 3yo filly. She’s got bundles of stamina as a multiple G1 winner over this trip and there will be tempo and testing ground to bring out her best. She’s also got the rail and should get saloon passage from the cutaway which is crucial. Impossible to knock her.

BACK: 4. Sosie (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $5.00)

Sosie was favourite for this last year and it’s tough to see why he’s not again. He hasn’t handled firm footing in the UK but on home soil he’s looked top class when getting his conditions. The prep run was a narrow defeat to Byzantine Dream, and he should turn the tables on that horse with more moisture underfoot. Despite jockey bookings and the Wertheimer team deciding Aventure is their top pick (she was 2nd in this last year) I have him ahead of her as he gets the sweet draw while she’s drawn out wide and this should reverse their fortunes from last year.

BACK: 11. Daryz (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)

Daryz was just getting warm last time when diving at Croix Du Nord and missing in their Arc prep run. He loves Longchamp having previously been 3/3 here and relishes the mud which holds him in good stead for this having drawn 2. If he handles the step up in trip (20 of the last 23 Arc winners had won at the distance prior) he’s in with a massive shout. Whilst he lacks that criteria, he meets a lot of others including being drawn the inside 6 gates (16 of 23 last winners) and miles in the legs: 18/23 arc winners had raced 4x or more that season

7. Barnavara
12. Nicoreni
6. One Look
8. Wemightakedlongway

Betting Strategy

This one is simply in the too hard basket. Slight lean to Barnavara and the German raider but only if the track is hopelessly leaderish.

14. Zarigana
12. Maranoa Charlie
10. More Thunder
4. Sajir

Betting Strategy

BACK: 14. Zarigana (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.50)

Zarigana is a quirky customer but arguably should be undefeated. She copped one of the worst photo finishes of all time at this meeting last year as a $1.50 shot when she looked home.
As a 3yo she won the French Guineas before getting nabbed in the Coronation at Royal Ascot.
I feel the key to her is simple: don’t hit her on her right hand side or she folds up. The only time she’s ever slowed down in her races is when that has taken place and I think soft ground, home track, 1400m, 3yo fillies allowance… the $7 must be attacked.

BACK: 12. Maranoa Charlie (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.00)

Maranoa Charlie should roll forward and make his own luck. He was an exceptional 2yo who just did too much in the end, before not finding straight tracks to his liking this season. Back around a bend where he is a chance to dictate on his own terms, he is a bettin prospect in a race where some top class backmarkers have struggled to win.

11. Bellano
4. Omicrone
2. Reverso
7. Lanaken

Betting Strategy

Way too hard.

4. Olympic Goal
17. Swift Flight
8. Excelsior
9. Sabroso

Betting Strategy

Another messy race but Swift Flight looks a plot job, watch for cash late.

Longchamp Betting Tips

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