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EXPERT RACING TIPS: GRAFTON

Best Bets

Mitch Lewis

BACK: 1. Jungle Law (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $1.90)

JUNGLE LAW resumes here today and she looks well set for a strong performance 1st up. She was a recent trial winner at The Gold Coast and generally has performed well 1st up previously (2:0-1-1). So given she comes to hand quickly when fresh and maps nicely, she looks as if she gets every chance.

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GRAFTON PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | TUEDAY FEBRUARY 4TH 2025

RAIL: +3m Entire TRACK: Good 4

Despite the rail going out slightly for today’s meeting, the expectation is that the track should still play quite fairly as it generally does and these conditions do appear fair for today’s meeting.

1. Jungle Law
2. Spring Eagle
5. Fools Play
6. Got The Smarts

Betting Strategy

BACK: 1. Jungle Law (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $1.90)

JUNGLE LAW resumes here today and she looks well set for a strong performance 1st up. She was a recent trial winner at The Gold Coast and generally has performed well 1st up previously (2:0-1-1). So given she comes to hand quickly when fresh and maps nicely, she looks as if she gets every chance.

2. Corvalist
4. Stavritzel
5. Humphree Bear
11. Rainbow Lass

Betting Strategy

Very competitive maiden race here. CORVALIST is the current race favourite, he has placed in 4 of his last 5 starts and does look one who is close to a win, he is drawn well here and gets a strong chance. STAVRITZEL is another runner who maps strongly, his form this prep hasn’t been as good as last time in work, but if he can recapture that he could go close. HUMPHREE BEAR showed good improvement last time out and that was at this track, his race map is favourable and RAINBOW LASS gets in well at the weights, she maps to be just off the speed in run so could get the favours to be able to run over the top if the leaders go too quick out in front.

1. Suit Day
4. Mimessi
10. Eastowin
2. Nature Boy

Betting Strategy

Generally always tough staying races at this level as there isn’t a lot between majority of the field. SUIT DAY is in career best form having placed in his last 5 including 1 win. He has been going well at this distance so could be best suited. MIMESSI performed well over this same track/trip last time out and certainly wont have to improve much to threaten based off that last run. EASTOWIN hasn’t been at his best for so far this prep, but it wouldn’t surprise to see him improve lower at the weights again with the right run on speed. NATURE BOY maps as your leader and that may give him the favours. These races are always tricky so low confidence to bet into.

1. Guru Class
2. The Lupercal
7. Mr Midnight
8. She’s Enuff

Betting Strategy

Thought this was very competitive. GURU CLASS is resuming, previosuly has managed a win when fresh into a prep but also has an outstanding record at this track. He comes in light at the weights and should be every chance. THE LUPERCAL has placed in his last 5 starts and doesn’t look far away from a win, drawn out wider does make his run a little trickier but he could get close. MR MIDNIGHT was a solid winner last time out and can certainly go on with it from that. SHE’S ENUFF resumes here, sometimes takes a run or 2 to find her best form but with a prominent race map she may go well.

3. Foo Fighter
5. So You Are
13. Ready To Drink
7. Bold Rouge

Betting Strategy

Hard to split a few of these maiden runners as there are genuine cases for all of them depending on race set up. FOO FIGHTER has the right race map and is down in the weights after a claim, he feel the runner that may be best suited with the right run. SO YOU ARE finished off strongly on debut and could take good improvement out of the but does have a slightly tricky race map. READY TO DRINK may have found an easier maiden then what she has seen so far and that could help improve her. BOLD ROUGE mixes her form, but goes well at this trip with 3 placings in 4 starts

2. Puligny
3. Monte Tiana
6. Effie’s Joy
10. Magic Shannon

Betting Strategy

LAY: 6. Effie’s Joy (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $6.00)

An almost full field here is expected and the current race favourite in EFFIE’S JOY is faced with a tricky race map from the widest barrier. While she likely finds this much easier than maidens she has competed in recently, the race map she faces feels a query as if she gets stuck out wide it could make it a tough run for a runner who is still trying to find her first win after 11 starts.

2. Swift Charm
1. Collay’s Spirit
5. Starzam
8. Change The Date

Betting Strategy

SWIFT CHARM was a handy winner at Highway level last time out. He gets every chance to go again here given the good set up he looks to get with a nice race map and light in at the weights, looks the one to beat but feels short enough now in the market. COLLAY’S SPIRIT drops in grade back to BM level after his last start, previous to that he won nicely in a similar race to this, small query the big weight over this distance though. STARZAM is another who drops in grade which could help him improve on his home track. CHANGE THE DATE looks the runner who can settle on speed and make it tricky for the favourtie.

5. Zanardee’s Lane
4. Eagle Hawk Star
9. Red Red Wine
12. Key Legend

Betting Strategy

BACK: 5. Zanardee’s Lane (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $5.00)

Small play with ZANARDEE’S LANE for this. He comes into the race fresh and off a winning trial as well, he is a runner who has had success 1st up previously in his career. He maps well her to get that soft run close to the speed and also has a super record at this track (6:2-2-1) so with this set up he looks to get every chance.

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