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FEATURE PREVIEWS: AUSTRALIAN OAKS

AUSTRALIAN OAKS

Track: Randwick | Distance: 2400m | Condition: 3YOF SW | Rail Position: +4m | Condition: Slow 6 | Prizemoney: $1,000,000

Around 7mm rain forecast for the rest of the week. Minimal rain at the back end of the week, so despite being wet the Randwick track should play well.

Group 1 for the staying fillies won in recent years by El Patroness, Verry Elleegant, Bonneval, Royal Descent and Streama.

HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 11 YEARS)

  • Third-up (2 winners), fourth-up (5 winners), fifth-up (3 winners), seventh-up (1 winner)
  • Seven-day break (3 winners), 14-day break (5 winners), 21-day break (3 winners)
  • Settled 3rd-6th (4 winners), Settled 8th-11th (6 winners)

** In the five runnings of the Australian Oaks run on a Heavy-rated track over the past 11 years, three horses have won off the 7-day backup coming out of the Adrian Knox Stakes as a lead-up. When drier than heavy, they usually come off the 14-21 day break.

SPEED MAP

Average speed expected here with Pavitra setting the tempo.

Soul Choice, Byron Belle and Mountain Guest should take handy positions.

Jolted, Arts, Fireburn and Premise forward of midfield.

So Dazzling, Pierossa, Frankies Me Dad and Pennyweka worse than midfield.

Stormy Witness, Fays Angels and Polygon out the back.

AUSTRALIAN OAKS | KEY RUNNERS

1. Pennyweka – Won the Group 1 New Zealand Oaks by 3 lengths last start. That form often measures right up here.

2. Pavitra – Ran second in the Group 2 Wakeful Stakes and the Group 1 VRC Oaks in the Spring. Bolted in to win the Group 3 Kembla Grange Classic by 4.3 lengths after sitting on a strong early speed, then a good second behind Prowess last start in the Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes. Rates highly.

4. Polygon – Did hit the line well late in the Vinery Stud Stakes, finishing 7th with strong late sectionals. Will enjoy the step up to 2400m.

5. Arts – Absolutely bolted in to win the Adrian Knox last week. Didn’t beat much and only having 4th career start in first prep, but that on face value and she’s in with a chance with Bowman aboard.

6. Pierossa – Won the Group 3 Spring Stakes at Newcastle last prep. Got back and hit the line well for third in the Group 3 Kembla Grange Classic. Again hit the line well for fourth in the Vinery. Has claims.

8. So Dazzling – Settled midfield and finished well for second in the Group 3 Kembla Grange Classic. Was disappointing last start but had a positive rider change and the trainer knows how to win an Oaks.

DEAN EVANS’ TOP 6 SELECTIONS

2 – Pavitra
1 – Pennyweka
8 – So Dazzling
4 – Polygon
6 – Pierossa
5 – Arts

AUSTRALIAN OAKS | SUMMARY

Pavitra and Pennyweka look the two class fillies of this race and can fight it out.

So Dazzling is the best roughie with the right trainer/jockey combination to win a race like this.

Polygon, Pierossa and Arts have the capability to figure.

BETTING STRATEGY

** BACK: #2 Pavitra (WIN) for 1.2 units

** BACK: #1 Pennyweka (WIN) for 1.0 unit

** BACK: #8 So Dazzling (WIN) for 0.3 units

RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 400.9
Units Returned: 445.4
Profit On Turnover: +11.1%

Big-Priced Winners (Betfair SP)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69

Summary:
The Australian Oaks is one of the most highly anticipated horse racing events on the Australian racing calendar. It takes place each year at Royal Randwick Racecourse in Sydney and is part of the prestigious Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival. The race attracts the best three-year-old fillies from around the country and is run over a distance of 2400 metres. The Australian Oaks is a Group 1 race and offers a purse of $1 million.

Key Events:
The Australian Oaks is traditionally run on Day 2 of The Championships, which takes place on the second Saturday of April. The race is part of a stacked card that features three other Group 1 races: the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the Sydney Cup and the Queen Of The Turf Stakes. The Oaks is the feature event for fillies, and it often attracts a competitive field of runners from around the country.

Track Profile:
Royal Randwick is a world-renowned racecourse, and the Oaks is run on the same track as the iconic Doncaster Handicap and the Epsom Handicap. The track is a right-handed turf course with a circumference of 2227 metres and a final straight of 410 metres. The track is known for its sweeping turns and long straight, which make it a challenging and exciting course for horses and jockeys alike.

History:
The Australian Oaks has a rich history that dates back to its inaugural running in 1885. The race was originally known as the AJC Oaks and was run over a distance of 2400 metres. The event has undergone several name changes and distance alterations throughout the years, but it has always remained a prestigious and highly sought-after race.

Over the years, many talented fillies have won the Australian Oaks, including the likes of Light Fingers, Surround, and more recently, Unforgotten and Verry Elleegant. The race has also been won by some of Australia’s most successful jockeys, including Hugh Bowman, James McDonald, and Keiran McEvoy.

Australian Oaks Tips:
Picking a winner in the Australian Oaks can be challenging, but there are several factors to consider when making your predictions. The distance of 2400 metres is a significant test for three-year-old fillies, so it’s essential to look for horses that have shown stamina in previous races. It’s also important to consider the jockey’s experience and form, as well as the horse’s form leading up to the race.

When it comes to placing bets on the Australian Oaks, it’s always best to consult with an expert racing tipster. Expert racing tipsters can provide valuable insights into the form of the horses and jockeys and help you make informed betting decisions. At Betfair, we offer a range of expert racing tips and best bets for the Australian Oaks, as well as detailed analysis.

Betting on the Australian Oaks with Betfair:
Betfair is the world’s leading betting exchange, and we offer a range of betting options for the Australian Oaks. Our platform allows you to bet on the winner of the race, as well as place bets on the placegetters and exotics. We also offer in-play betting, which allows you to place bets during the race as the odds fluctuate.

One of the advantages of using Betfair for your Australian Oaks betting is that we offer the best odds on the market. Our unique exchange model means that you can back or lay horses at the odds you choose, giving you more control over your bets.

In conclusion, the Australian Oaks is an exciting and highly anticipated event on the Australian racing calendar. With a competitive field of runners and a prestigious Group 1 status, it’s a race that attracts punters

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