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FEATURE PREVIEWS: AUSTRALIAN CUP

AUSTRALIAN CUP TIPS

Track: Flemington | Distance: 2000m | Condition: WFA | Rail Position: True | Condition: Good 4  | Prizemoney: $3 mil

G1 WFA won in recent years by Cascadian, Duias, Homesman, Fifty Stars, Harlem, Humidor, Preferment, Awesome Rock, Fiorente & Manighar.

HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 13 YEARS)
·  3yo (1/6), 4yo (4/34), 5yo (2/39), 6yo (3/38), 7yo (2/24), 8yo+ (2/20)

  • Barrier 1-3 (1/39), 4-6 (3/39), 7-9 (7/38), 10-12 (1/27), 13-17 (2/18)
  • 7-day break (2/11), 14-day break (12/105), 17-400 day break (0/41)
  • Gear Change (0/22)
  • Career Starts 7-15 (2/34), 16-28 (10/78), 29+ (2/49)
  • 1st up (0/12), 2nd up (3/53), 3rd up (9/70), 4th up+ (2/11), 5th up+ (0/15)
  • Number of 2000m runs 0-1 (2/31), 2-9 (12/107), 10+ (0/23)
  • Number of Flemington runs 0-1 (2/47), 2-6 (10/80), 7+ (2/34)
  • Pace (0/24), Handy/Midfield (5/72), Back (9/65)
  • Colt (0/4), Gelding (8/85), Entire (5/48), Mare (1/24)
  • Last Start Race Class G1 (2/30), G2 (10/95), Other/SC (2/36)
  • Last Start Distance 1400 (0/12), 1600 (5/35), 1800 (9/83), 1900+ (0/30)
  • Last Start Weight WFA (12/106), SW/SWP (2/27), Other (0/28)
  • Last Start Caulfield (10/106), Flemington (1/27), MV (1/3), Rand (2/8), Other (0/17)
  • 2nd Last Start Race Class G1-G3 (14/142), Other (0/19)
  • CR40+ (14/123), SR100+ (14/134), IR $2-$23 (13/104), PKD100+ (14/137), RVR30+ (14/136), L1-10 (14/126), W1-10 (14/125), D1-8 (13/99), LWD3-25 (14/112), Jockey+Trainer 3.25-6.5 (14/149)
  • SP $1.90 (1), $4 to $7.50 (8), $13 (1), $26-$61 (4)
  • Hayes Stable (4/17)
  • Introduction of the All Star Mile has changed the leadup of this race. All Star Mile, Chipping Norton and Peter Young Stakes the key leadups.

·  Settled 1st-6th (6), Settled 9th-12th (7)

Introduction of the All Star Mile has changed the leadup of this race. All Star Mile, Chipping Norton and Peter Young Stakes the key leadups.

PRICE ADVANTAGE HISTORY

Back to back victories to Cascadian in 2023 and 2024 have both proved rewarding for Betfair punters.

In 2023 the Waller runner got up at the healthy Betfair Starting Price of $9.60. The post commission price advantage sat at a juicy 19%.

The following year was about half the price, at $4.40, with a post commission price advantage of 6%.

Back in 2022 it was Duais who got up as third favourite, with a price of $8.40, which was 9.5% better than best tote post commission.

SPEED MAP 

Pride Of Jenni expected to lead comfortably as standard.
Deny Knowledge will be closer to her than most are usually in running.
Feroce should also be handy.
Shaiyhar & Young Werther forward of midfield.
Light Infantry Man & Zardozi back of midfield.
Attrition, Middle Earth & Atishu out the back.

AUSTRALIAN CUP | RACE PREVIEW

1.Light Infantry Man won the G1 Kingston Town Classic last prep and was a close 3rd in the All Star Mile last start. 4. Middle Earth won an Open Handicap first up in good style. Respecting but up in grade here and may want further?6. Pride Of Jenni is a four time G1 winner plus has an All Star Mile on the resume. Led all the way to win the G2 Peter Young impressively first up in good time.

7. Atishu has won at G1 level this track/distance with multiple G1 placings and excels here. Race shape didn’t suit second up but will appreciate the speed on here. 8. Zardozi  has a very good record at Flemington and has ben working well towards this goal with each run. Rats highly. 9. Deny Knowledge can absorb high pressure races and has a G1 2000m win on her resume last prep. Can’t discount. 10. Feroce is a 3yo who won the Australian Guineas last start. High pressure 2000m the query.

TOP 4 SELECTIONS

7. Atishu
8. Zardozi
6. Pride Of Jenni
1. Light Infantry Man

BETTING STRATEGIES

Betting Strategy

BACK: 7. Atishu (WIN) for 2 units

Believe the winner comes from the class runners Atishu, Zardozi or Pride Of Jenni.
Light Infantry Man, Deny Knowledge & Middle Earth all capable of giving it a big shake.

BACK: 8. Zardozi (WIN) for 2 units

Believe the winner comes from the class runners Atishu, Zardozi or Pride Of Jenni.
Light Infantry Man, Deny Knowledge & Middle Earth all capable of giving it a big shake.

The Australian Cup is one of the most prestigious horse races in Australia, and it takes place every March at the iconic Flemington racecourse in Melbourne. With the excitement building, it’s the perfect time to look at the history of this great event, and offer some Australian Cup tips, predictions, and best bets for those looking to place a bet.

 

First held in 1863, the Australian Cup has a rich history and is steeped in tradition. It was originally run over a distance of 2.25 miles (3.62 kilometers), and in 1962 the distance was reduced to 1.25 miles (2 kilometers). Over the years, some of the greatest horses in Australian racing history have won the Australian Cup, including Ming Dynasty, Makybe Diva, and Saintly. The race is now one of the biggest events on the Australian racing calendar and is a key part of the Autumn Racing Carnival.

 

As always, there is a lot of speculation and anticipation surrounding the Australian Cup, and many punters are eager to get some expert Australian Cup tips and predictions. With so many top-class horses in the field, it’s always difficult to pick a winner, but there are a few horses that are sure to be among the favourites. For those looking to place a bet on the Australian Cup, it’s always a good idea to get some expert racing tips and best bets. One great source for this is Betfair, the world’s largest online betting Exchange.

 

Betfair allows punters to bet against each other, rather than against the bookmaker, which means that you can often get better odds and more value for your bets. They also offer a range of tools and features to help you make informed betting decisions. When it comes to picking your best bets for the Australian Cup, you can head the Betfair Hub where there is a wealth of information regarding the race from industry leading experts. 

 

If you’re new to betting on horse racing, it can be helpful to get some expert betting advice. Betfair offers a range of resources to help you get started, including a blog with expert insights and analysis, and a community forum where you can discuss strategies and tips with other punters.

 

It’s also important to remember to gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Always set a budget and stick to it, and never chase your losses. With the right approach and a bit of luck, the Australian Cup could be a great opportunity to make some money and enjoy some top-class racing.

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