Betfair’s pro punting team, The Analysts, have created a 2020 Brownlow Predictor. You can see the leaderboard below, which can be sorted by team if you prefer. Plus, underneath the Brownlow Predictor is the allocated votes for every game.
You can expect the votes to be up to date Monday each week.
For our betting preview for this year’s Brownlow Medal, head here.
Lastly, if you’re curious who our Analyst’s tipped before the season, click here.
Six Brownlow Medal votes are assigned to each game, however, the Betfair predictive method does not follow the 3-2-1 formula of the AFL. Votes vary from 0.5 to 3, allowing for more than three players to be acknowledged. This means less players are overlooked, and when the model is confident, more Brownlow votes can be allocated to a particular player. The trap of allocating 3-2-1 is that there are many matches with few standout players, and impactful 3s and 2s can be allocated to players that the umpires didn’t notice.
3 votes: Clearly the best player on the ground
2.5 votes: Questionably the best player on the ground
2 votes: Clear second best player on the ground or possible best in a crowded field
1.5 votes: Potentially second best player on the ground, often shared by multiple players
1 vote: Likely third best, but can be shared by multiple players
0.5 votes: Wasn’t the standout but their influence should be acknowledged
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