2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor

Betfair’s pro punting team, The Analysts, have created a 2021 Brownlow Predictor. You can see the leaderboard below, which can be sorted by team if you prefer. Plus, underneath the Brownlow Predictor is the allocated votes for every game.

You can expect the votes to be up to date Monday each week.

Lastly, if you’re curious, you can see who our Analysts tipped before the 2019 and 2020 seasons.


2021 Brownlow Medal Predictor Leaderboard




GEELONG 100 FREMANTLE 31

Patrick Dangerfield 2
Sam Menegola 2
Zach Tuohy 1.5
Cam Guthrie 0.5

The chances of a David Mundy miracle Brownlow just hit a big brick wall. 13 touches in a 69-point drubbing may just end the 35yr old’s run at glory.


RICHMOND 106 BRISBANE 86

Jack Riewoldt 3
Hugh McCluggage 1
Toby Nankervis 1
Jack Graham 1

Hats off to Jack Riewoldt. 300 games is quite the achievement but best on in your 300th is just as impressive!


PORT ADELAIDE 74 ST KILDA 61

Ollie Wines 3
Jack Steele 1.5
Karl Amon 1
Mitch Georgiades 0.5

For a brief moment in time, we had a new leader. Prolific once again, with another 36 disposals, we’ve now got Ollie Wines polling in his last 9 games. Over to you Bont..


WESTERN BULLDOGS 90 GOLD COAST 79

Marcus Bontempelli 2
Touk Miller 1.5
Bailey Smith 1
Jack Macrae 0.5
Nick Holman 0.5
Jeremy Sharp 0.5

Advantage, Bontempelli. 36 disposals & 9 clearances has the Bulldogs captain snatching back the lead with 5 games remaining.


MELBOURNE 79 HAWTHORN 79

Tom Mitchell 2
Clayton Oliver 1.5
Christian Petracca 1.5
James Worpel 0.5
Jack Viney 0.5

There are votes in this game for two of our top 5. Petracca & Oliver’s 68 combined are worthy of polling but a vintage display from the 2018 Brownlow medallist might just nudge them out for the three.


ESSENDON 92 NORTH MELBOURNE 74

Darcy Parish 2
Zach Merrett 2
Jake Stringer 1.5
Peter Wright 0.5

34 disposals & 8 clearances. Darcy Parish‘s stocks continue to rise to an all-time high. Bont and Wines might be a few votes ahead, but one-off week and the Dons jet will draw closer on his current form.


CARLTON 91 COLLINGWOOD 62

Sam Walsh 3
Jordan De Goey 2
Matt Kennedy 1

All Australian honours are a lock for Sam Walsh but how much damage can he do Brownlow night? Another 3 in this one and he’s closing in at a rate of knots!


WEST COAST 98 ADELAIDE 56

Jamie Cripps 3
Ben Keays 1.5
Tim Kelly 0.5
Andrew Gaff 0.5
Paul Seedsman 0.5

A game with very little Brownlow relevance. Lopsided for most of it, Jamie Cripps and his 5.2 & 24 disposals must land the three with little doubt.


SYDNEY 98 GWS 72

Luke Parker 2
Josh Kennedy 2
George Hewett 1
Lance Franklin 0.5
Tom Papley 0.5

And another contender drops off the peloton. With a 3rd quarter ankle role, any hopes of a late charge for Charlie were dashed for Josh Kelly.

MELBOURNE 86 PORT ADELAIDE 55

Christian Petracca 3
Ollie Wines 1.5
Clayton Oliver 1
Tom McDonald 0.5

Another game that could have huge ramifications on the eventual winner. 3.1 & 33 disposals will see Petracca poll 3 & despite his team coming up short, 33 disposals with 1.1 should see Ollie Wines collect two. Oliver in contention also but Ollie’s game looked more influential.


ESSENDON 84 ADELAIDE 21

Zach Merrett 3
Nick Hind 1
Archie Perkins 1
Jordan Ridley 0.5
Mason Redman 0.5

With a slow(ish) start to the season, Darcy Parish needs everything to go his way in the last 6 rounds. A tag doesn’t help his cause at all. With only 19 disposals, he won’t be figuring in the votes in Rnd 17.


FREMANTLE 108 HAWTHORN 46

Nat Fyfe 2
Sean Darcy 2
David Mundy 2

All aboard the Mundy train! 30 disposals and two goals will see him continue to climb up the leader board. There’s hope!


GEELONG 70 CARLTON 44

Sam Walsh 2
Zach Tuohy 2
Shaun Higgins 1
Tom Stewart 1

Sam Walsh looks every bit a future Brownlow Medallist. Playing in a notoriously underperforming side, however, might just cost him winning one earlier than anticipated.


ST KILDA 95 BRISBANE 63

Jack Steele 3
Tim Membrey 1
Lachie Neale 1
Luke Dunstan 1

Has anyone had a more consistent year than Jack Steele? If St Kilda can maintain this form, their captain might just win the Brownlow.


GOLD COAST 65 GWS 64

Touk Miller 3
David Swallow 1
Josh Kelly 1
Jacob Hopper 0.5
Brandon Ellis 0.5

Speaking of consistency. Touk Miller has been it and more. With another 34 disposals and two goals, he’s fast become one of the game’s elite midfielders.


SYDNEY 79 WESTERN BULLDOGS 60

Jordan Dawson 3
Bailey Smith 1
Callum Mills 1
Luke Parker 0.5
Marcus Bontempelli 0.5

If the Coaches votes are anything to go by than the Bont isn’t polling. Is this the round he relinquishes the lead? With 27 disposals and 5 clearances, he may sneak one.


COLLINGWOOD 87 RICHMOND 71

Taylor Adams 2.5
Jordan De Goey 1.5
Brodie Grundy 1
Jack Crisp 1

Taylor Adams is Collingwood’s next captain. Not for the first time wearing the Black & White, when the game was on the line the midfield bull was everywhere. His 31 disposals and 1 goal was as influential a game as any.


NORTH MELBOURNE 70 WEST COAST 60

Jaidyn Stephenson 3
Jy Simpkin 1
Ben Cunnington 1
Jack Ziebell 1

The Rising Star winner was back to his best. Jaidyn Stephenson & his career high 38 disposals was the performance on the night in a huge win for the emerging Kangas.

GOLD COAST 77 RICHMOND 67

Touk Miller 3
Tom Lynch 1
Ben King 1
Ben Ainsworth 1

Touk Miller is a star and in another dismal year for his Suns, he’s the one shining light. 15.5 votes vs next best on 5 suggests help is needed for 2022.


GEELONG 98 ESSENDON 57

Patrick Dangerfield 2.5
Darcy Parish 2.5
Tom Hawkins 1

Anzac day Medal. Yiooken Medal & now the recipient of the Tom Willis medal. Will Darcy Parish complete the set and win the Brownlow? With another 43 disposals and a favourable draw on the horizon, he’s closing in on the Bont.


GWS 64 MELBOURNE 55

Josh Kelly 2.5
Christian Salem 1.5
Christian Petracca 1
Tim Taranto 1

With 29 disposals & 705m gained in a must win for his club, Josh Kelly continued his blistering run of form. Now in our top 10 how far can he climb?


BRISBANE 111 ADELAIDE 59

Zac Bailey 2
Jarryd Lyons 1.5
Lincoln McCarthy 1.5
Rory Laird 1

Last week, we highlighted Jarryd Lyons as the mid-season smoky. Well now its 11 games on the trot we have him in the votes. $65 anyone?


PORT ADELAIDE 87 HAWTHORN 53

Ollie Wines 3
Travis Boak 1
Darcy Byrne-Jones 1
Karl Amon 1

Another 40+ disposal game and another moral for 3 votes. Ollie Wines is within touching distance of the lead. There remains a little value in the $7+.


CARLTON 80 FREMANTLE 64

Sam Walsh 2
Jack Silvagni 1.5
Matt Kennedy 1.5
Andrew Brayshaw 1

Sam Walsh turned 21yrs of age midweek. Crazy when you consider his output. With another 25 disposals to go with the match-winning goal, the superstar Blue is now sitting 6th on our leader board.


SYDNEY 118 WEST COAST 26

Callum Mills 2
Luke Parker 2
Jordan Dawson 1.5
Oliver Florent 0.5

Safe to say the Eagles won’t be polling. In what was a bloodbath, Callum Mills and Luke Parker led the charge from the middle and should be the front runners for the three.


ST KILDA 70 COLLINGWOOD 61

Jack Steele 3
Brad Hill 2
Taylor Adams 1

Saints finding form puts Jack Steele right back in contention. Another big performance (36 disposals) in a win has him jumping into our top 5 with a stack of momentum.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 108 NTH MELBOURNE 79

Tom Liberatore 1.5
Bailey Dale 1.5
Ben Cunnington 1.5
Cody Weightman 0.5
Marcus Bontempelli 0.5

Rnd 16 might just be the round the chasing pack make ground on the Bont. 27 touches but without the usual dominance leaves the window slightly ajar.
Jack Macrae 0.5

BRISBANE 94 GEELONG 50

Dayne Zorko 1.5
Daniel Rich 1.5
Jarryd Lyons 1
Oscar McInerney 1
Patrick Dangerfield 0.5
Cam Guthrie 0.5

Considering we’ve got him in contention for votes in every game since way back in Rnd 4, at $85-$100, Jarryd Lyons is starting to look serious value.


ST KILDA 62 RICHMOND 22

Luke Dunstan 2.5
Jack Steele 2
Brad Crouch 1.5

Will be a ‘what if’-type count for Jack Steele. If they didn’t get trounced in so many games, where would he have been on the leader board?


NORTH MELBOURNE 72 GOLD COAST 63

Ben Cunnington 2
Jy Simpkin 2
Cameron Zurhaar 1.5
Todd Goldstein 0.5

17 contested possessions to go with 28 touches just shows the difference a fit Ben Cunnington can make to the Kangas.


FREMANTLE 91 COLLINGWOOD 79

David Mundy 2.5
Scott Pendlebury 1
Jack Crisp 1
Taylor Adams 1
Andrew Brayshaw 0.5

It’s not too late to jump on the Mundy train! At $40+ the great man is closing in on the Bont after another match-winning 28 disposal performance.


PORT ADELAIDE 81 SYDNEY 71

Travis Boak 2.5
Ollie Wines 2
Lance Franklin 1
Callum Mills 0.5

Another masterclass from Ollie Wines has him surging up our leaderboard. Now outright 2nd and with opposition teams putting more work into Travis Boak, the midfield bull is a serious contender.


MELBOURNE 68 ESSENDON 57

Zach Merrett 2
Christian Petracca 1.5
Clayton Oliver 1.5
Darcy Parish 0.5
Dyson Heppell 0.5

This game could have huge repercussions on who ends up winning the Brownlow. All the contenders went big! Parish with 37. Petracca with 26 & 2 goals. Oliver with 34 & Merrett with 41 could well edge them all out. One to watch with interest.


HAWTHORN 90 GWS 72

Tom Mitchell 2
Jack Scrimshaw 2
Lachie Whitfield 1
Will Day 1

Leon Cameron might just be regretting the decision not to deploy the De Boer tag. 40 disposals to Tom Mitchell might just have been the difference in a game the Giant couldn’t afford to drop.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 98 WEST COAST 43

Marcus Bontempelli 3
Bailey Smith 2
Jack Macrae 1

Another week, another Marcus Bontempelli masterclass. No one is catching him if he continues this run of form. How doesn’t he poll another three with 29 disposals, 10 clearances and 3 goals?


CARLTON 83 ADELAIDE 73

Sam Walsh 2.5
Rory Laird 1.5
Adam Saad 1.5
Jacob Weitering 0.5

38 Disposals, 9 Score Involvements, 9 I50’s & 7 marks. Matty Nicks may reconsider not tagging Sam Walsh next time.

GEELONG 83 WESTERN BULLDOGS 78

Tom Stewart 2
Tom Liberatore 1.5
Joel Selwood 1
Marcus Bontempelli 1
Sam Menegola 0.5

With another 30 disposals, it’s hard not to have the Bont in the votes again. Despite the L, we should see him extend his lead after the Rnd 14 votes are read out.


PORT ADELAIDE 81 GOLD COAST 31

Ollie Wines 3
Steven Motlop 1.5
Touk Miller 1
Karl Amon 0.5

A career high 43 touches in an easy win equates to three votes, especially when the next best is 16 back with 27 disposals. Ollie Wines continues his climb up our leader board and now sits equal 2nd.


BRISBANE 68 NORTH MELBOURNE 45

Jarryd Lyons 2
Hugh McCluggage 1.5
Zac Bailey 1.5
Lachie Neale 1

Out of the votes in his last two games, 31 disposals was a welcome sight for the McCluggage backers. Enough to outpoint a 36-disposal game from Jarryd Lyons though? Doubtful.


GWS 102 CARLTON 66

Toby Greene 2.5
Jacob Hopper 1.5
Lachie Whitfield 1
Josh Kelly 1

Bye round aside, we’ve got Josh Kelly polling in his last 7 games. With another big performance in a win, he’s as in form as any midfielder in the comp.


ESSENDON 86 HAWTHORN 73

Jake Stringer 3
Tom Mitchell 1
Nick Hind 1
Zach Merrett 1

29 Disposals (18 contested), 4 goals, 687m gained & 12 Score Involvements. One of the all-time games from Jake Stringer.

GEELONG 112 PORT ADELAIDE 91

Jeremy Cameron 2
Ollie Wines 1.5
Travis Boak 1
Tom Stewart 0.5
Gary Rohan 0.5
Connor Rozee 0.5

Ollie Wines is Mr Consistent in 2021. Will his consistency equate to votes though? Averaging 31.1 disposals with only the one game with <25 touches, we’ve got him polling in all but two games.


HAWTHORN 89 SYDNEY 51

Tom Mitchell 2.5
Changkuoth Jiath 2
Dane Rampe 0.5
Josh Kennedy 0.5
Callum Mills 0.5

Midweek, Tom Mitchell’s name was being thrown around as potential trade bait. 34 disposals, 1 goal & 440m gained suggest he’d be a handy acquisition and may require an early 1st rounder to be secured.


FREMANTLE 76 GOLD COAST 49

Andrew Brayshaw 2
Touk Miller 2
David Mundy 1
Luke Ryan 0.5
Sean Darcy 0.5

David Mundy winning the Brownlow is not beyond the realms of possibility. We have him a contender for votes in every game bar 3.


ADELAIDE 66 ST KILDA 60

Rory Laird 2
Jack Steele 1.5
Brad Crouch 1.5
Dougal Howard 0.5
Paul Seedsman 0.5

Due to no fault of his own, Jack Steele’s Brownlow chances are dwindling. His team are underperforming and despite having another AA-worthy year, the L’s will cost him come Brownlow night.


GWS 94 NORTH MELBOURNE 94

Josh Kelly 3
Ben Cunnington 1
Nick Haynes 1
Aaron Hall 0.5
Jy Simpkin 0.5

How did Leon Cameron play Josh Kelly at HF for so long? Since his return to a more prominent midfield role, the smooth mover has been flying & with 39 disposals in this one, he’s starting to close the gap on the leaders.


WEST COAST 85 RICHMOND 81

Josh J Kennedy 2
Nic Naitanui 1.5
Kane Lambert 1
Dustin Martin 0.5
Jack Redden 0.5
Elliot Yeo 0.5

We all know Dusty is a perennial voter so where does his 23 disposal, two goal land in an L to the Tigers? We’ve landed on 0.5 but history suggests anywhere upwards of 2-3 votes isn’t out of the question.


COLLINGWOOD 80 MELBOURNE 63

Scott Pendlebury 3
Brayden Maynard 2
Jordan De Goey 1

In Bucks final game as coach, it was a vintage display from his captain sending him off in the right way. 31 Disposals (27 effective) & a crucial goal was rightly awarded the Neale Daniher trophy.

MELBOURNE 97 BRISBANE 75

Christian Petracca 3
Zac Bailey 1.5
Max Gawn 0.5
Jarryd Lyons 0.5
Clayton Oliver 0.5

The winner of the Dees most votes might just be the winner of the 2021 Brownlow. Oliver v Petracca and both in scintillating form with the points going to Petracca for Rnd 12.


SYDNEY 92 ST KILDA 83

Jack Steele 2
Luke Parker 2
Brad Crouch 1.5
Jack Higgins 0.5

Kick straight and Jack Higgins was worthy of three votes. But 1.6 including a few crucial misses late, might see him lucky to snag any.


COLLINGWOOD 78 ADELAIDE 73

Jamie Elliott 3
Rory Laird 1.5
Paul Seedsman 1.5

6 straight in a return from a broken leg? Must be three for Jamie Elliott.


RICHMOND 123 ESSENDON 84

Darcy Parish 2.5
Dustin Martin 1.5
Shai Bolton 1
Kyle Langford 0.5
Zach Merrett 0.5

The 2021 Anzac Day Medallist. The 2021 Yiooken Medallist. Could Darcy Parish be the 2021 Brownlow Medallist? He’s the in-form player of the competition and with an average of 38 disposals & 10 clearances in his last 5 games, he’s every chance.


WEST COAST 95 CARLTON 73

Dom Sheed 3
Sam Walsh 1
Andrew Gaff 1
Liam Ryan 1

Supporting the Blues looks hard work. In a must win against an injury-plagued Eagles they were outclassed from the outset. Made to look 2nd-rate, it was Dom Sheed’s 32 disposals and clearance work that put the Blues on the back foot all day.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 93 FREMANTLE 65

Marcus Bontempelli 2.5
David Mundy 2
Jack Macrae 1.5

It’s the Bont then clear air. With 595m gained, 27 disposals & 2 goals he’s polling three and extending his lead on our leader board.

MELBOURNE 87 WESTERN BULLDOGS 59

Clayton Oliver 2.5
James Harmes 1
Marcus Bontempelli 1
Jack Macrae 1
Max Gawn 0.5

It’s Rnd 11 and we now have Clayton Oliver polling in all but two games. Could well be leading at the halfway point.


GEELONG 61 COLLINGWOOD 51

Brendan Parfitt 2
Tom Hawkins 2
Shaun Higgins 1
Joel Selwood 0.5
Zach Tuohy 0.5

A very forgettable game that’s not very Brownlow relevant. Without some key members, Brendan Parfitt is proving his worth though. Asked to step up in the last fortnight, his averaged 25.5 disposals & 6 clearances.


BRISBANE 129 GWS 65

Mitch Robinson 3
Dayne Zorko 2
Josh Kelly 0.5
Jarryd Lyons 0.5

For the Hugh McCluggage backers, unfortunately, he’s not polling in this one. This time around it was a career night from Mitch Robinson that stole the show! 4.1 & 30 disposals with 689 metres gained are 3 votes every day of the week.


ST KILDA 88 NORTH MELBOURNE 68

Jack Steele 2
Luke Dunstan 1.5
Brad Crouch 1
Mason Wood 0.5
Jack Billings 0.5
Aaron Hall 0.5

Jack Steele has been a rare shining light for the Saints in 2021. The drubbings don’t help his Brownlow chances but another 24 disposals (15 contested) & 7 clearances should see him poll once more.


GOLD COAST 113 HAWTHORN 76

Touk Miller 2.5
Jack Lukosius 1.5
Izak Rankine 1
Brandon Ellis 1

For the 5th game in a row, Touk Miller has collected 30+ disposals. The star mid will be comfortably leading the GC votes at the halfway point of the count.


ESSENDON 87 WEST COAST 71

Zach Merrett 2
Darcy Parish 2
Kyle Langford 1.5
Dyson Heppell 0.5

Darcy Parish is in the form of his life and now moves within touching distance of our leaders. For the 3rd week in a row he collected 35+ disposals and 10+ clearances and stood out in a big W for the Dons.


RICHMOND 111 ADELAIDE 83

Jack Riewoldt 2.5
Jayden Short 1
Shai Bolton 1
Ben Keays 1
Dustin Martin 0.5

Mark of the year & 3 Brownlow votes? Was a fair day out for Jack Riewoldt kicking 5.2 and taking a mark that goes close to rivalling his superstar cousin’s famous grab.


SYDNEY 100 CARLTON 78

Isaac Heeney 2.5
Patrick Cripps 1.5
Callum Mills 1
Sam Walsh 0.5
Josh Kennedy 0.5

For the Sam Walsh backers out there, an L doesn’t help but 33 disposals (14 contested) gives him a chance to pluck 1… maybe?


PORT ADELAIDE 115 FREMANTLE 69

Ollie Wines 2.5
Karl Amon 1.5
Travis Boak 1
Sam Powell-Pepper 1

Ollie Wines is putting together quite a year. Averaging 31.3 disposals & 5.1 he now finds himself equal 5th on our leader board. $18+ starting look like value.

BRISBANE 102 RICHMOND 74

Jarryd Lyons 2
Hugh McCluggage 2
Dayne Zorko 1.5
Zac Bailey 0.5

That’s now six weeks in a row we have Hugh McCluggage polling votes. With another 28 disposals to go with 505m gained, he’s now sitting second on our leader board.


CARLTON 86 HAWTHORN 63

Sam Walsh 2.5
Tom Mitchell 1.5
Patrick Cripps 1
Sam Docherty 1

A 2nd half tag halted the Sam Walsh masterclass somewhat but how can you look past that 1st half performance? 20 disposals, 343m gained and 5 Score involvements has him in the box seat off just half a game alone.


GEELONG 91 GOLD COAST 57

Joel Selwood 2.5
Quinton Narkle 1.5
Cam Guthrie 1
Shaun Higgins 1

An extended break on the sidelines for a shoulder injury may have cost Cam Guthrie the three votes. 29 disposals but only 59% game time threatens his chances of polling.


ADELAIDE 96 MELBOURNE 95

Clayton Oliver 3
Ben Keays 2
Paul Seedsman 0.5
Christian Petracca 0.5

3 goals, 27 contested possessions and 13 clearances has Clayton Oliver now sitting equal 2nd on the leader board. Despite the L, he’ll poll the three.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 144 ST KILDA 33

Marcus Bontempelli 3
Bailey Dale 2
Jack Macrae 1

Marcus Bontempelli has looked every bit a Brownlow Medallist this last 6 weeks. We’ll be shocked if he doesn’t poll four 3 votes games between Rnd 5-10.


FREMANTLE 86 SYDNEY 84

Lance Franklin 2
Rory Lobb 1.5
Nat Fyfe 1.5
Adam Cerra 0.5
David Mundy 0.5

David Mundy is in the market to poll in six of his last 7 games. The 35yr old remains a smoky.


GWS 93 WEST COAST 77

Josh Kelly 2
Tom Green 2
Lachie Whitfield 1.5
Jacob Hopper 0.5

The Giants have had an impressive month and so has their stand-in skipper. For the 4th week in a row, we’ve got Josh Kelly in the votes.


PORT ADELAIDE 59 COLLINGWOOD 58

Brodie Grundy 2
Travis Boak 1.5
Ollie Wines 1
Robbie Gray 1
Darcy Moore 0.5

Travis Boak continues to fly under the radar this year and with another 27-disposal game, he’s within touching distance of the top 3.


ESSENDON 141 NTH MELBOURNE 69

Darcy Parish 3
Zach Merrett 2
Andrew McGrath 1

For the 4th time in 5 weeks, Darcy Parish has collected more than 35 disposals. He’s a straight up star and now finds himself only a few votes off the top 3.

GEELONG 68 ST KILDA 47

Cam Guthrie 2
Zach Tuohy 2
Mitch Duncan 2

Cam Guthrie is putting together another AA worthy season. Averaging 31.3 disposals, he’s likely to be in the top 5 after ten rounds into the count.


SYDNEY 72 COLLINGWOOD 42

Isaac Heeney 3
Callum Mills 2
Will Hoskin Elliott 1

The Swans have already won more games in 2021 than 2020 and in doing so have consolidated their top 8 position. In an even spread of contributors, Callum Mills once again should poll well. 28 touches easily one of the better performances.


NTH MELBOURNE 87 NTH MELBOURNE 80

Jy Simpkin 3
Ben Cunnington 2
Aaron Hall 0.5
Cameron Zurhaar 0.5

The Roos are on the board! A first win for coach David Noble and a career best 38 touches for Jy Simpkin. A perfect day for their long-suffering fans.


BRISBANE 124 GOLD COAST 51

Jarryd Lyons 3
Dayne Zorko 1.5
Hugh McCluggage 1
Daniel McStay 0.5

For the 5th week in a row, we have Hugh McCluggage polling votes. Nine rounds in and he’s starting to look a genuine chance. Market remains $15+


RICHMOND 87 GWS 83

Dustin Martin 3
Jacob Hopper 2
Josh Kelly 0.5
Liam Baker 0.5

After a blistering start to the season, Dusty went a little quiet. Nothing like a lazy 4.2 & 28 disposals to put him back on the Brownlow radar.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 96 PORT ADELAIDE 77

Marcus Bontempelli 2.5
Jack Macrae 2
Ollie Wines 1
Caleb Daniel 0.5

And the Bont is now the outright leader! With another match winning performance (2.0/ 26 disposals) he’s now the favourite and rightly so.


ESSENDON 68 FREMANTLE 60

Darcy Parish 3
Sean Darcy 1
Nick Hind 1
Andrew McGrath 0.5
Andrew Brayshaw 0.5

Darcy Parish has had quite the month of footy. Averaging an impressive 35.5 disposals he’s one of the in-form midfielders of the competition.


MELBOURNE 94 CARLTON 68

Clayton Oliver 2
Sam Walsh 1.5
Tom McDonald 1
Patrick Cripps 0.5
Christian Petracca 0.5
Christian Salem 0.5

With all the plaudits coming for Christian Petracca, you tend to forget how big a season Clayton Oliver is putting together. Nine rounds in, we’ve got him polling in all but two games. 16+ still available!


WEST COAST 106 ADELAIDE 76

Tim Kelly 2.5
Rory Laird 1.5
Jack Darling 1
Andrew Gaff 0.5
Jamie Cripps 0.5

When playing in Perth the Eagles midfielder’s feast. Three with 30+ with a lean-to Tim Kelly’s 11 clearances as the better game.

GEELONG 128 RICHMOND 63

Jeremy Cameron 3
Gary Rohan 1
Cam Guthrie 1
Tom Hawkins 1

With 6 goals, 22 disposals and 15 scoring involvements vs the reigning premiers, Jeremy Cameron is an instant Cats hero. The high-profile trade acquisition may just justify the three 1st rounders the Cats gave up if we see a performance like that in September.


ST KILDA 63 GOLD COAST 54

Jack Steele 2
Jack Billings 1.5
Zac Jones 1.5
Touk Miller 1

Jack Steele has averaged 29.1 disposals in his last 6 games. Does he sneak a few in any of the big losses? If so, and with Saints finding form, he still looks value.


GWS 107 ESSENDON 105

Josh Kelly 2.5
Zach Merrett 1
Tim Taranto 1
Toby Greene 1
Nick Hind 0.5

There’s still life left in our preseason value pick. Leon Cameron has finally moved Josh Kelly back to the midfield and, low and behold, it’s paying dividends! Averaging 28.5 disposals with 3 goals in the last fortnight, he’s every chance of collecting 6 from 2 games.


COLLINGWOOD 94 NORTH MELBOURNE 76

Jordan De Goey 2.5
Darcy Moore 2
Aaron Hall 1
Jack Crisp 0.5

The Pies have returned to the winners’ list and so has the form of Jordan De Goey. With 6.3 from 17 touches we’ve got him edging out Darcy Moore’s 19 marks…just


MELBOURNE 67 SYDNEY 58

Clayton Oliver 2
Tom McDonald 1.5
Callum Mills 1.5
Luke Parker 0.5
James Harmes 0.5

They had to earn it, but the Dees are now 8 and zip! Clayton Oliver collected another 35 and with the win, should edge out Callum Mills’ 33 disposals & 1 goal game.


PORT ADELAIDE 87 ADELAIDE 38

Travis Boak 2.5
Paul Seedsman 1.5
Karl Amon 1.5
Rory Laird 0.5

Travis Boak is now a 3x Showdown Medallist. If the umpires were in an earshot of the announcement, it should make their voting allocation a little easier.


WEST COAST 98 HAWTHORN 60

Andrew Gaff 2
Tom Mitchell 2
Jarman Impey 1
Dom Sheed 1

8 players with 27 or more touches makes this games vote allocation near-impossible to get right. Gaff’s 38 disposals & Tom Mitchell’s 41 more than likely share the 3 & 2.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 107 CARLTON 91

Marcus Bontempelli 3
Jack Macrae 1
Josh Bruce 1
Tom Liberatore 0.5
Jacob Weitering 0.5

There’s a new clubhouse leader. The Bont went to a level not many can reach and with 32 disposals & a goal, he now sits atop our leader board.


BRISBANE 95 FREMANTLE 71

Hugh McCluggage 2
Jarryd Lyons 1.5
Daniel Rich 1
Charlie Cameron 1
David Mundy 0.5

Is McCluggage leading the Brownlow after 8 rounds? Still backable at $23 he’s looking like value with an average of 30.5 disposals in the last 4 wins for the inform Lions. $$$

RICHMOND 77 WESTERN BULLDOGS 55

Shai Bolton 2.5
Tom Lynch 1.5
Bachar Houli 1
Trent Cotchin 1

Write them off at your own peril. Tigers are still the team to beat. Without Dusty, Shai comfortably slotted into the ‘Striker’ role slotting 3.1 from 22 disposals and was the standout in the impressive win.


GOLD COAST 79 COLLINGWOOD 55

Touk Miller 2
Hugh Greenwood 1.5
Brandon Ellis 1.5
Josh Corbett 0.5
Brody Mihocek 0.5

You know the Pies aren’t traveling well when only 24,397 are attending a home game at the G. In what was the lowest crowd for a Collingwood game at the MCG since 1988, the result justified the turnout. Made to look 2nd rate, the Suns on the back of dominant performances from Touk Miller (34 disposals) & Hugh Greenwood (26 disposals & 1 goal) put the Pies to the sword.


GWS 106 ADELAIDE 39

Josh Kelly 2
Lachie Whitfield 1.5
Tim Taranto 1.5
Jacob Hopper 1

Do not underestimate Lachie Whitfields importance to this side. The smooth mover makes the Giants hum. With plenty of line breaks to go with 30 disposals he looks likely to poll in his return from serious injury.


ST KILDA 128 HAWTHORN 59

Zac Jones 2.5
Brad Hill 1.5
Hunter Clark 1.5
Brad Crouch 0.5

A midweek stoush was just the right remedy for Brad Hill and Zac Jones to find form. With a combined 64 disposals they’ll both poll in what was a much-needed win for the struggling Saints.


BRISBANE 93 PORT ADELAIDE 44

Hugh McCluggage 3
Jarryd Lyons 1.5
Harris Andrews 0.5
Ollie Wines 0.5
Joe Daniher 0.5

Hugh McCluggage now sits 2nd on our leaderboard. For the 5th week in a row the emerging star has collected 25 disposals or more and with another goal to go with 30 disposals vs Port, he could find himself leading the count after 7 rounds.


SYDNEY 90 GEELONG 88

Oliver Florent 2
Cam Guthrie 1.5
Tom Hickey 1
Mitch Duncan 1
Tom Stewart 0.5

Karma. It was the Cats turn. Controversy aside, if we weren’t already aware, the Swans have a bright future and this time the light shines brightly on Oli Florent. 9 touches, 1 goal, and 4 I50’s in the last quarter to go with his 26 disposal, 2 goal game was the difference late.


MELBOURNE 103 NORTH MELBOURNE 73

Bayley Fritsch 3
Ben Cunnington 2
Christian Salem 1

Two weeks ago, Christian Salem signed a massive 5yr contract extension. The length had a few eyebrows raised but if his form is anything to go by, the decision is looking a shrewd one. Averaging 34 disposals since putting pen to paper, the half back AA spot must be in the conversation.


CARLTON 123 ESSENDON 107

Sam Walsh 3
Adam Saad 1
Ed Curnow 1
Anthony Mcd-Tipungwuti 0.5
Harry McKay 0.5

We’ve got Sam Walsh polling in all but two games. In those two we don’t, he still managed to collect a combined 53 disposals. The 7 votes we have him on might just be unders.


WEST COAST 132 FREMANTLE 73

Tim Kelly 3
Andrew Gaff 2
Andrew Brayshaw 0.5
David Mundy 0.5

Tim Kelly was rightly awarded the Ross Glendinning-Allan medal on the back of his career high 42 disposal (23 contested). With 13 clearances as well, the 3 votes is a certainty.

WESTERN BULLDOGS 104 GWS 65

Jack Macrae 2.5
Marcus Bontempelli 1.5
Toby Greene 1
Tom Liberatore 0.5
Adam Treloar 0.5

Jack Macrae is the silent assassin. For the 2nd time this year his racked up 40 disposals and is yet to have a game under 32. Could he be leading the count after 6 rounds?


GEELONG 136 WEST COAST 39

Mitch Duncan 3
Cam Guthrie 2
Joel Selwood 0.5
Tom Stewart 0.5

The Eagles have played just one game in the past 12 years without both Hurn & Kennedy. This was the second. Time to get them back in! It was a walk in the park for the Cats and Mitch Duncan had a day out. 4.1 with 26 disposals will see him land the three.


GOLD COAST 100 SYDNEY 60

Noah Anderson 2
Touk Miller 2
Ben Ainsworth 1
Josh Kennedy 1

Imagine Touk Millers statline if he wasn’t tagged! 36 disposals (17 contested), 9 tackles and 9 clearances all while getting strong attention is a fair game.


BRISBANE 103 CARLTON 85

Hugh McCluggage 2.5
Dayne Zorko 1
Jarryd Lyons 1
Harry McKay 1
Sam Walsh 0.5

Hugh McCluugage is just quietly going about his business this year. For the 4th game in a row his collected more than 25 touches and only the first that he hasn’t kicked a goal. He was the spark however! 33 disposals has him gaining ground on the leaders.


MELBOURNE 82 RICHMOND 48

Christian Petracca 3
Christian Salem 2
Clayton Oliver 1

The 2021 version of Christian Petracca is scary! With 38 disposals, 1.1 and the Frank Hughes medal he’s now also our leader.


FREMANTLE 99 NORTH MELBOURNE 48

David Mundy 3
Caleb Serong 1.5
Nat Fyfe 1.5

How can you NOT love David Mundy?! With a career high 3 goals to go with 30 disposals in just his 338th game, the superstar mid is only getting better.


HAWTHORN 102 ADELAIDE 99

Jacob Koschitzke 2
Jaeger O’Meara 2
Ben Keays 1
Reilly Thilthorpe 1

Coming into this game there were only two players averaging 25 disposals, 6 I50’s and 5 clearances through 5 games. Christian Petracca, and Ben Keays. A very underrated recruit, the Ex-Lion surpassed those averages again and despite a loss, he deserves to poll.


ESSENDON 109 COLLINGWOOD 85

Darcy Parish 3
Anthony Mcd-Tipungwuti 1.5
Zach Merrett 1
Peter Wright 0.5

Darcy Parish is a midfielder. He’s also now an Anzac Day medallist. Memo to Ben Rutten, keep him there! He’s now the only player to ever record 40+ disposals, 15+ contested, 600+ metres gained and 2+ goals in a game with less than 5 turnovers. Monster game!


PORT ADELAIDE 93 ST KILDA 39

Karl Amon 2
Ollie Wines 2
Dan Houston 1
Travis Boak 1

St Kilda, a team most picked to push for the top four, finish the round third last. Losing the uncontested possession count by 142 to Port, they were found out in both work rate and fitness. The Power didn’t have to get out of 2nd gear and with 7 players recording 26 touches or more, vote allocation looks a raffle. We’re leaning to Karl Amon’s 555 metres gained, and 34 disposals as the standout.

RICHMOND 134 ST KILDA 48

Shane Edwards 2
Dustin Martin 1.5
Shai Bolton 1.5
Jack Riewoldt 1

The choice of continuing with the floating fixture is about to be justified. Removing St Kilda from prime time will be first cab off the rank and rightly so. For the second time in three weeks they were listless and dismantled with ease and this time it was the Tigers turn to feast. One of four have claims for the three but 29 & 1.1 from Shane Edwards looks the most likely.


WEST COAST 103 COLLINGWOOD 76

Dom Sheed 2.5
Jack Redden 1.5
Andrew Gaff 1
Oscar Allen 0.5
Liam Duggan 0.5

What is it about Dom Sheed and playing Collingwood? 3 goals in a row in the third term to go with 28 touches adds just a little more salt into the gaping wounds inflicted from 2018.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 118 GOLD COAST 56

Marcus Bontempelli 3
Josh Dunkley 2
Adam Treloar 1

No need to worry about others taking votes off the Bont when the statline reads: 33 disposals, 3 goals, 798 metres gained & 5 clearances.


GWS 71 SYDNEY 69

Josh Kelly 2
Lance Franklin 2
Jacob Hopper 1.5
Will Hayward 0.5

Josh Kelly’s move to a more fwd/ mid role certainly paid dividend’s in this one. Johnny on the spot to kick the winner and putting his 26 disposals up in lights to be the frontrunner for best on.


PORT ADELAIDE 96 CARLTON 68

Karl Amon 2.5
Ollie Wines 2
Sam Walsh 1
Travis Boak 0.5

Hindsight is a lovely thing. Port Adelaide jumped $1.9 vs Carlton. How the hell did we miss that one?! In a cakewalk, it was the smooth moving Karl Amon (28 disposals, 1 goal) that should land the three.


BRISBANE 102 ESSENDON 45

Lachie Neale 2
Hugh McCluggage 2
Joe Daniher 1
Jarryd Lyons 1

2020’s Brownlow Medallist is finally on the board! 38 disposals, 8 clearances and 2 goals was a welcome return to form for the Lion star.


FREMANTLE 84 ADELAIDE 72

Andrew Brayshaw 3
David Mundy 2
Rory Laird 0.5
Paul Seedsman 0.5

33 Disposals, 7 clearances, 4 tackles & 517 metres gained. Andrew Brayshaw’s star continues to rise and so does his position on our leaderboard.


MELBOURNE 104 HAWTHORN 54

Max Gawn 3
Christian Salem 1.5
Clayton Oliver 1
Ed Langdon 0.5

The test comes next week. Beat the Tigers and the Dees confirm they’re a contender. On a roll and all contributing but it’s the form of Max Gawn that is standing out. Perennially under-performing on Brownlow night, surely the umpires haven’t missed this 26 disposals/ 1 goal game!


GEELONG 77 NORTH MELBOURNE 47

Tom Stewart 2.5
Brendan Parfitt 1.5
Sam Menegola 1.5
Jack Ziebell 0.5

We have a new contender for worst game of the year. Shocking. It was a win, but the Cats have concerns. Away from a vintage intercepting game from Tom Stewart (14 intercept possessions), they looked slow and without any flair.

SYDNEY 83 ESSENDON 80

Luke Parker 2
Zach Merrett 1.5
Callum Mills 1
Jordan Ridley 1
Nick Hind 0.5

You can throw form and ladder positions out the window when these two go at it. Almost guaranteed a close one. For the fifth time in their past seven contests the game was decided by 10 points or less and this time around it was the Swans who took the chocolates. Their midfield was strong in the contest and there was no more dominant than the ever-reliable Luke Parker. 16 contested possessions in amongst his 31 touches looked the standout performance.


PORT ADELAIDE 79 RICHMOND 77

Travis Boak 2
Ollie Wines 1.5
Dan Houston 1
Alir Alir 1
Jayden Short 0.5

A small consolation for their Prelim loss but some revenge nonetheless for the Power. Undermanned and limping to the line it was Travis Boak’s dominance around the centre square (7 clearances) that was vital in stemming the tide.


WESTERN BULLDOGS 73 BRISBANE 54

Adam Treloar 2.5
Jack Macrae 2
Tim English 1.5

Fair to say Adam Treloar is settling in nicely down at Whitten Hill. Sitting pretty on top and now contributing with an increased workload post-injury. 29 disposals to go with 5 clearances makes it a strong fortnight for the Ex-Pie.


ST KILDA 102 WEST COAST 82

Jack Steele 3
Brad Hill 1
Max King 1
Brad Crouch 1

Trailing by 33 points, it was looking grim for the Sainters. Staring down the barrel of another thumping they were able to find their mojo when it all looked lost. A scintillating 3rd quarter on the back of a barnstorming game from captain Steele (33 disposals & 1 goal) saw them collect the all-important W.


CARLTON 70 GOLD COAST 59

Ed Curnow 3
Hugh Greenwood 2
Liam Jones 0.5
Jack Bowes 0.5

One that wouldn’t have broken any ratings records, but it’s 4-point banked for the Blues and that’s all that matters. With Cripps and Walsh kept somewhat quiet, it was Ed Curnow who took charge. 32 disposals and 8 clearances land him the three in our eyes.


GWS 90 COLLINGWOOD 60

Toby Greene 3
Callan Ward 1.5
Lachie Ash 1.5

Adam Treloar would be a handy recruit right about now. Taylor Adams goes down and so did a Pies outfit without any sort of Plan B or flair. Outplayed from the outset it was the stand-in skipper who was the central figure to the Giants first win of the season. Toby Greene’s 5 goals steered his side to a vital win.


ADELAIDE 109 NORTH MELBOURNE 68

Lachlan Sholl 2.5
Rory Laird 2
Reilly O’Brien 1
Paul Seedsman 0.5

Lachie Sholl is a running machine. Averaging over 16km’s a game, he notched up 17.3km in this one, all while collecting 31 disposals. A 2nd Rising star nod is on the horizon.


MELBOURNE 85 GEELONG 60

Christian Petracca 3
Clayton Oliver 1
Jack Viney 1
Max Gawn 0.5
Bailey Fritsch 0.5

27 years since the Dees have opened a season with 4 wins. Surely it’s only a matter of time before they let their long-suffering supporters down…? With Petracca on fire, maybe not? We’ve got the Dees superstar polling every game thus far.


FREMANTLE 96 HAWTHORN 81

Nat Fyfe 2.5
David Mundy 2
Tom Mitchell 1
Sean Darcy 0.5

Nat Fyfe and 3 votes in a win is usually a lay down misery. Does inaccuracy play a part in this one though? With 0.6 we’ve allocated the 2.5.

BRISBANE 73 COLLINGWOOD 72

The Footy Gods spoke. Zac Bailey got his goal after the siren. Huge win for the Lions top 4 hopes on the back of a huge last quarter from Hugh McCluggage. 28 disposals but it was the 11 touches and 232 metres gained when the game was on the line in the last that should catch the umpires eye.

Hugh McCluggage 2
Brodie Grundy 2
Daniel Rich 1.5
Jarryd Lyons 0.5


WESTERN BULLDOGS 167 NORTH MELBOURNE 39

Credit where credit is due. Steve Hocking may have revived the big forward! 10 goals to Josh Bruce made the 128-point drubbing worth watching.

Josh Bruce 3
Adam Treloar 2
Josh Dunkley 1


ADELAIDE 95 GOLD COAST 85

Taylor Walker’s resurgence is the story of 2021. You could have written your own ticket for him to be the Brownlow leader after 3 rounds, but he is. 6.3 with 23 disposals has him in the box seat to poll another 3.

Taylor Walker 3
Rory Sloane 2
Rory Laird 1


SYDNEY 117 RICHMOND 72

Speaking of resurgence. The Swans didn’t spend too long in the rebuilding wilderness. 3 and zip and flying! Sam Wicks, another young Swan who looks a likely type and with 3.2 and 21 touches he should be one of many young Swans to poll early.

Sam Wicks 2
Callum Mills 2
Luke Parker 1
Tom Papley 0.5
Chad Warner 0.5


ESSENDON 143 ST KILDA 68

34 touches, 9 marks, 10 clearances, 16 pressure acts and a career best 542 metre gained. Amazing what playing a player in their preferred position can do. Darcy Parish take a bow.

Darcy Parish 2.5
Zach Merrett 2
Jordan Ridley 1
Jake Stringer 0.5


WEST COAST 108 PORT ADELAIDE 71

It’s a shame Luke Shuey’s hamstrings are put together by papier Mache as he’s a vital cog to the Eagles success. With 28 disposals he’ll go close to polling 3 before having 3 on the sidelines.

Luke Shuey 2.5
Andrew Gaff 2
Tim Kelly 1.5


CARLTON 109 FREMANTLE 64

2021…the year of the big forward. Harry McKay kicks 7.5 and we’ve wound back the clock 25 years.

Harry McKay 3
Patrick Cripps 2
Sam Walsh 1


GWS 102 MELBOURNE 68

Injury eventually took its toll and the undermanned Giants succumbed to a relentless Dees outfit. In an even spread of contributors it was Max Gawn’s 2.2 & 24 disposal game that looks the most likely for three.

Max Gawn 3
Toby Greene 1.5
Christian Petracca 1
Ed Langdon 0.5


GEELONG 69 HAWTHORN 64

11th game decided by less than a goal in the Hawkins/ Selwood era. Never disappoints. Guthrie was huge (43 disposals), O’Meara was huge (34 disposals) and Changkuoth Jiath (23 disposals & 445 metres gained) continues to dazzle and take the game on. Great watch.

Cam Guthrie 3
Mitch Duncan 1
Jaeger O’Meara 1
Changkuoth Jiath 1

COLLINGWOOD 106 CARLTON 85

If Darcy Moore doesn’t poll, you can shut the book on defenders polling for the rest of time. His 18 intercept possessions was second for most ever recorded by a Collingwood player and enabled his team to hold off a 3rd qtr Blues onslaught. Was the difference.

Taylor Adams 2.5
Scott Pendlebury 1.5
Darcy Moore 1.5
Jack Crisp 0.5


GEELONG 81 BRISBANE 80

It took winning a Brownlow for coaches to realise that Lachie Neale warrants attention. That’s two games now that the pre-season Brownlow fav has been stopped and the Lions have lost. Controversy aside, the game was a thriller and in Danger’s absence, their captain stood up. Forever the umpire’s friend, Joel Selwood was everywhere and with two goals to go with his 27 disposals (17 contested) he looks a big chance for 3.

Joel Selwood 2.5
Zach Tuohy 2
Cam Guthrie 1.5


SYDNEY 121 ADELAIDE 88

Two from two and suddenly a matchup vs the Tigers in Rnd 3 looks an intriguing one. The Swans have Buddy back, but it was the young guns who stole the show for a 2nd week in a row. Any one of multiple 2nd-gamers could poll but we’re leaning towards the 25 possession/708 metres gained from Braeden Campbell as the standout.

Taylor Walker 2
Braeden Campbell 2
Errol Gulden 1
Luke Parker 0.5
Josh Kennedy 0.5


PORT ADELAIDE 119 ESSENDON 65

Beaten by 41 points in the 2nd half last week, the Dons fell agonisingly short of beating that number in their next attempt at playing football. A 41-point drubbing in the first half vs Port put the game to bed pretty quickly and it was the emerging talent of Zac Butters (36 Disposals/1 Goal) that shone brightest.

Zac Butters 3
Ollie Wines 1.5
Dan Houston 1
Jordan Ridley 0.5


MELBOURNE 91 ST KILDA 73

Usually 37 disposals (21 contested) and 11 clearances in a winning side would land you the three without fuss. However, the 3 goal/24 disposal game from Jack Steele looms large to challenge Clayton Oliver.

Clayton Oliver 2.5
Jack Steele 2
Christian Petracca 1
Jade Gresham 0.5


GOLD COAST 98 NORTH MELBOURNE 39

Noah Anderson is going to be a star. A career-best 35 disposals made a bleak game somewhat watchable. When Matt Rowell finally gets some luck, look out.

Noah Anderson 3
Touk Miller 2
Lachie Wellar 1


RICHMOND 78 HAWTHORN 49

Dusty doing Dusty things. Standard. Someone put a man on him! 28 disposals and a goal puts him in poll for three.

Dustin Martin 2.5
Changkuoth Jiath 1.5
Tom Mitchell 1.5
Kane Lambert 0.5


WESTERN BULLDOGS 100 WEST COAST 93

In the best game of the year, the skipper produced a performance for the ages. 30 touches, 3 goals and the sealer to the Bont was a thing of beauty!

Marcus Bontempelli 3
Jack Macrae 2
Josh Dunkley 0.5
Bailey Smith 0.5


FREMANTLE 87 GWS 56

35 disposals at 35 years of age. A David Mundy masterclass late on a Sunday arvo is nothing new. Enough to beat Brayshaw’s 32 & two goals though?

Andrew Brayshaw 3
David Mundy 2
Lachie Schultz 0.5
Adam Cerra 0.5

RICHMOND 105 CARLTON 80

All preseason Richmond insiders have said, Dusty is in the best condition his ever been. We quickly found out they don’t lie. 31 disposals, 2 goals, 8 I50’s & 619 metres gained. God help us all….

Dustin Martin 3
Sam Walsh 1.5
Jack Graham 1.5


WESTERN BULLDOGS 69 COLLINGWOOD 53

Brodie Grundy has polled 9 Brownlow votes from his last 3 matches vs the Dogs. He’s now polled 9 votes from his last 4 matches vs the Dogs. Along with the majority of his Pies teammates, the All-Australian ruckman was outplayed from the outset. In what was a midfield masterclass, Bailey Smith’s 36 disposals and two goals looked the standout in the lopsided affair.

Bailey Smith 3
Jack Macrae 1.5
Marcus Bontempelli 1
Darcy Moore 0.5


MELBOURNE 80 FREMANTLE 58

An undermanned Freo at the G is the type of game that makes Dees fans shiver. Thankfully for the long-suffering supporters, there was nothing to worry about. Steven May and Jake Lever intercepted everything down back but until we see votes for defenders, we’ll always lean to the mids. 35 touches to Clayton Oliver and 24 to Petracca with the two goals look the more likely games to land the three.

Christian Petracca 2
Clayton Oliver 2
Steven May 1.5
Tom McDonald 0.5


ADELAIDE 103 GEELONG 91

4 games in and we’ll be surprised if there’s a bigger upset in 2021. Tipped for back-to-back wooden spoons by many, the Crows did a number on one of the Premiership favourites. Insult to injury, Danger can say goodbye to any chance of the Brownlow. There’s no getting out of this one.

Taylor Walker 3
Rory Laird 2
Isaac Smith 0.5
Patrick Dangerfield 0.5


HAWTHORN 92 ESSENDON 91

What a comeback. What a game! All but over at H/T, we were reminded why Tom Mitchell has a Charlie. 17 touches in the 3rd quarter alone were the catalyst to the comeback and enough to warrant the three outright.

Tom Mitchell 2.5
Andrew McGrath 1.5
Zach Merrett 1
Jaeger O’Meara 1


SYDNEY 125 BRISBANE 94

It was the Swans who looked the Premiership fancies and not the Lions in this one. Playing a thrilling brand of football that produced 15 goals across the 2nd & 3rd Qtrs, it was arguably the performance of the week. The debutants dazzled but it was the move of Callum Mills to the midfield that paid the most dividends. 29 disposals at 86% efficiency with two goals was by far a best on ground performance.

Callum Mills 3
Errol Gulden 1.5
Luke Parker 1.5


PORT ADELAIDE 117 NORTH MELBOURNE 65

Travis Boak wants to play until he’s 40. In another instrumental performance that returned a stat-line of 27 disposals, two goals, 7 clearances and 12 score involvements, we don’t see why not?!

Travis Boak 3
Ollie Wines 1
Jaidyn Stephenson 1
Orazio Fantasia 1


ST KILDA 86 GWS 78

Gutsy win and one that looks hard to allocate the votes, but when a forward collects 21 disposals and three goals, surely, it’s not a midfielder in this one? Include the 586 metres gained and Tim Membrey should get the three.

Tim Membrey 2.5
Hunter Clark 1.5
Jade Gresham 1
Jack Billings 0.5
Tim Taranto 0.5


WEST COAST 83 GOLD COAST 58

Depth personified. No Yeo, No Shuey and Andrew Gaff well held. No worries. Dom Sheed (34 disposals) & Tim Kelly (28 disposals) step up.

Dom Sheed 2
Tim Kelly 2
Shannon Hurn 1
David Swallow 0.5
Oscar Allen 0.5


Voting Method

Six Brownlow Medal votes are assigned to each game, however, the Betfair predictive method does not follow the 3-2-1 formula of the AFL. Votes vary from 0.5 to 3, allowing for more than three players to be acknowledged. This means less players are overlooked, and when the model is confident, more Brownlow votes can be allocated to a particular player. The trap of allocating 3-2-1 is that there are many matches with few standout players, and impactful 3s and 2s can be allocated to players that the umpires didn’t notice.

Voting Tiers:

3 votes: Clearly the best player on the ground

2.5 votes: Questionably the best player on the ground

2 votes: Clear second best player on the ground or possible best in a crowded field

1.5 votes: Potentially second best player on the ground, often shared by multiple players

1 vote: Likely third best, but can be shared by multiple players

0.5 votes: Wasn’t the standout but their influence should be acknowledged


Related Articles

Your Expert AFL Tips for 2021

Our AFL Analysts, with years of betting experience on the AFL to go along with their own database, provide ...

AFL Prediction Model

Betfair’s internal team of Data Scientists have created an AFL Prediction Model. The model creates probabilities for every game. ...

Your 2020 Brownlow Odds & Preview

The Analysts have identified their top chances to claim Brownlow glory in 2020. Read their breakdown for the upcoming ...