2019 Brownlow Medal Predictor

Betfair’s pro punting team, The Analysts, have created a 2019 Brownlow Predictor. You can see the leaderboard below, which can be sorted by team if you prefer. Plus, underneath the Brownlow Predictor is the allocated votes for every game.

You can expect the votes to be up to date Monday each week.

Lastly, if you’re curious who our Analyst’s tipped before the season, click here.


2019 Brownlow Medal Predictor Leaderboard




Round by Round Predictions

Collingwood 76 v Essendon 65 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Brodie Grundy2.5
Scott Pendlebury1.5
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti1
Conor McKenna1

Brodie Grundy is the key to the Pies going deep in the finals. 33 possessions, 21 contested, 35 hitouts & 7 clearances for a ruckman just isn’t fair.

Sydney 109 v St Kilda 64 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Kennedy3
Luke Parker2
Jordan Dawson0.5
Seb Ross0.5

Sydney farewelled their retiring stars in fine fashion with an emphatic 45 point win. They’ll be hoping it’ll be a while before they do the same for Josh Kennedy. The Captain led the way with a game-high 32 disposals, 15 contested possessions, 11 clearances, nine tackles as well as two goals showing everyone his still got plenty to give going into his 14th season.

North Melbourne 88 v Melbourne 83 – Blundstone Arena

PlayerProjected Votes
Max Gawn2.5
Shaun Higgins2
Jared Polec1
Clayton Oliver0.5

If it wasn’t for Max Gawn this year the Dees may not have won a game. Thankfully their season from hell is over but for big Max Gawn it was an All-Australian season, and in his final game he went big. So big that he became the tallest player in history to record 20+ contested possessions and kick 3+ goals.

Geelong 129 v Carlton 61 – GMHBA

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield3
Gary Ablett1.5
Patrick Cripps1
Quinton Narkle0.5

In your best Gil McLachlan voice. P…………..Dangerfield, 3 votes. Finishing with 34 disposals, 12 clearances and 4.3 we’ve got him winning.

Gold Coast 55 v GWS 127 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jeremy Cameron3
Lachie Whitfield1.5
Josh Kelly1.5

He needed six goals to equal Ben Brown for the Coleman and he had seven by 3qtr time. With a final tally of 9.5 Jeremy Cameron beat the Suns score and is polling three.

West Coast 67 v Hawthorn 105 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Chad Wingard2
Ricky Henderson1.5
Andrew Gaff1
Tim O'Brien0.5
Jaeger O'Maera0.5
James Sicily0.5

Since Rnd16, the Hawks have beaten Collingwood, Geelong, GWS and West Coast. Unfortunately too little too late but not a bad pitch for free agent Stephen Coniglio. Clarko has them purring and no more than gun recruit Chad Wingard. His taken his time to settle but has finished with a flurry collecting 28 disposals & 10 inside 50s to what should be, votes in his final two games of the year.

Western Bulldogs 121 v Adelaide 87 – Mars Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli3
Mack Macrae2
Matt Crouch1

At the beginning of this Round, Jack Macrae was #2 in the AFL for disposals, #4 for groundball gets and #1 for score assists amongst midfielders. His finished with another 36 disposals and isn’t the silliest value bet.

Richmond 82 v Brisbane 52 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale2.5
Bachar Houli1.5
Dayne Zorko1
Hugh McCluggage0.5
Dion Prestia0.5

The final round of the count could be a fun one to watch. Does Lachie Neale get 3 votes in a losing side with a stat-line that reads: 51 disposals, 25 contested, 14 clearances, 6 marks & 6 tackles at 88% efficiency?

Port Adelaide 110 v Fremantle 67 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Ollie Wines2
Justin Westhoff1
Xavier Duursma1
Nat Fyfe1
Ed Langdon1

A Nat Fyfe futures bet would be the only reason for watching this one. 26 disposals and a goal in a 43 point loss might scrape a vote but don’t think it’ll be enough for anymore.

Melbourne 42 v Sydney 95 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Oliver Florent3
Sam Reid2
Jake Melksham1

Wish Gil introduced the floating round for the second last week as well. This one was more suited to a Wednesday 11am timeslot. Forgettable and a little irrelevant when we’re talking Brownlow as well. Oliver Florent (28 touches) continues to show excellent signs though, indicating the future could be bright for the Swans and looks the most likely for three.

Carlton 78 v St Kilda 68 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Levi Casboult2
Marc Murphy2
Matthew Kreuzer2

It was an inspired performance from Patty Cripps. In hospital all morning with an ear infection and gets up for his 100th. With 22 disposals and 6 tackles he’s probably not in the votes but who cares when you’re winning games.

Brisbane 75 v Geelong 74 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield2
Jarryd Lyons1
Charlie Cameron1
Marcus Adams1
Hugh McCluggage0.5
Lachie Neale0.5

If your team’s not in the finals you’re a Lions supporter in September aren’t you? It’s an exciting brand and Fagan has them believing. Away from the result though, the game had some big Brownlow implications. Is Danger winning it? He looked like winning the game almost on his own, finishing with 37 disposals.

Adelaide 48 v Collingwood 114 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Jamie Elliot2
Scott Pendlebury2
Brayden Maynard1
Adam Treloar1

Does anyone want this final spot in the eight? For the umpteenth time this year, a South Australian side has let their supporter base down. The Pies continued their winning ways on the road and again, Pendles was class. 34 touches might get in the way of that Treloar value bet.

North Melbourne 144 v Port Adelaide 58 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Ben Brown3
Todd Goldstein2
Ben Cunnington1

Adelaide: We’re the worst football side out of South Australia. Port Adelaide: Hold my Coopers Pale. Is there any other team in the game that lets down their supporters more than Port Adelaide? In what was labelled pathetic by club greats, the Power looked abysmal. With 10.1 no need for the three-vote analysis. Ben Brown has it wrapped up.

Fremantle 55 v Essendon 87 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dylan Shiel2
Zach Merrett1.5
Michael Walters1.5
Adam Saad1

Prepare yourself for 3 weeks of Essendon nuffie chat. They’re in the finals and it’ll be a long 3 weeks until they’re eliminated in Week 1. In a must-win, they looked a completely different side to last week’s 104 point drubbing. Dylan Shiel went big with 27 disposals and a goal and looks the most likely for best on.

Richmond 88 v West Coast 82 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin2.5
Bachar Houli2
Dion Prestia1
Elliot Yeo0.5

Game of the year. Same again Grand Final day, please. Dusty was huge from the outset and with a likely three votes, looks every chance for a top 3 finish.

GWS 65 v Western Bulldogs 126 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Dunkley2.5
Jack Macrae2
Lachie Whitfield0.5
Marcus Bontempelli0.5
Patrick Lipinski0.5

You don’t want the Dogs in an elimination final. Shades of 2016 they’re moving towards September with momentum. Once again, led by star midfielders Marcus Bontempelli (27 touches), Jack Macrae (39 touches) and Josh Dunkley (31 touches & 2 goals) the Dogs can beat anyone on their day.

Hawthorn 118 v Gold Coast 48 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
James Worpel2.5
Jarryd Roughead2
Chad Wingard1.5

So you’re saying there’s a chance? Just got to take care of the Eagles next week and hope the Crows get the chocolates in Ballarat…..easy. Especially if the big Rough kicks another 6!

GWS 29 v Hawthorn 85 – Canberra Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
James Sicily2
James Worpel2
Isaac Smith1
Toby Greene1

It was a Melbourne supporters dream. Football and snow. The Hawks embraced the conditions the best, and the much-maligned James Sicily played the game as if it was 24 degrees and fine. 33 disposals from CHB has him in the votes.

Melbourne 53 v Collingwood 70 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Scott Pendlebury2
Steele Sidebottom2
Broody Mihocek1
Adam Treloar1

That’s now 17 games in 2019 Adam Treloar has collected 30 or more possessions. He remains $21 – $26 in the market. A sniff?

Port Adelaide 103 v Sydney 56 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Connor Rozee2.5
Darcy Byrne Jones1.5
Oliver Florent1
Isaac Heeney1

It was the first time since 2017 the Power have kicked a 100+ score in consecutive weeks. Results need to go their way, but at their best, they could do some damage come September. First-year player Connor Rozee lead them to the crucial victory on the back of 20 disposals at 80 per cent efficiency, ten contested possessions, three tackles, two clearances, and three goals.

Brisbane 144 v Gold Coast 53 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Jarryd Lyons2.5
Charlie Cameron2
Dayne Zorko1.5

With 6.1, Charlie Cameron defeated GWS, North and the Dons.  Might be enough to get him 3 votes also.

Essendon 33 v Western Bulldogs 137 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Dunkley3
Jack Macrae1.5
Marcus Bontempelli1.5

There are a few stats floating around on social after this one.  Our favourite – Essendon is the first side in history to sit in the top eight and lose by 100+ to a side sitting outside of the eight.  It was a massacre and the Dogs midfield had a feast.  No more so than Josh Dunkley, who won a career and match-high 39 disposals, to go with a game-high 22 contested possessions and eight score involvements.

Geelong 69 v North Melbourne 14 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield2.5
Quinton Narkle2
Mitch Duncan1
Gary Ablett0.5

Two games in as the official coach and Rhyce Shaw has landed his first club record.  The lowest score in club history with 1.8 (14).  No need to take into account any Kangaroos players for votes.  Geelong though may now have the outright leader.  Superstar midfielder Patrick Dangerfield was excellent throughout and with 31 disposals and a goal, is every chance of polling 3.

St Kilda 72 v Fremantle 69 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe3
Jack Steven2
Ed Langdon1

Does the last 2 minutes cost Nat Fyfe 3 votes? Easily the most influential player on the field with 35 disposals and two goals.

Richmond 73 v Carlton 45 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Graham2.5
Shane Edwards1.5
Dion Prestia1
Patrick Cripps1

Not pretty, but it doesn’t need to be.  Top 4 plans remain intact and that’s all that counts.  A little difficult to allocate without Dusty, but we’re thinking the 22 disposals and four goals from Jack Graham is enough for the three.

West Coast 90 v Adelaide 80 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Elliot Yeo2
Matt Crouch2
Brad Crouch1.5
Dom Sheed0.5

It was the result that sets up a mouth-watering clash vs Richmond for a home final.  A gutsy win and there was no more gutsier than midfield bull Elliot Yeo (25 disposals) who continues to live up to his growing reputation as one of the game’s elites.

North Melbourne 86 v Hawthorn 64 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Shaun Higgins2.5
Ben Brown1.5
James Worpel1
Todd Goldstein1

Rhyce Shaw is the man for the job. Since taking over in Round 10 he’s coached the Roos to six wins and on Friday night, was able to weather the early Hawks storm and settle his young side to register a crucial win. Shaun Higgins (28 disposals and two goals) was instrumental in the comeback and should land the three votes.

Essendon 67 v Port Adelaide 126 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dan Houston2.5
Xavier Duursma1.5
Connor Rozee1
Robbie Gray1

Essendon could have all but sealed a finals spot with victory over Port Adelaide. Instead, it copped an ugly reality check. Outplayed from start to finish, it was Port Adelaide’s young brigade that did the damage. Dan Houston (29 disposals, 2 goals), Xavier Duursma (PA) (26 disposals, 1 goal) and Connor Rozee (22 disposals, 2 goals) look the obvious 3/2/1 in what was a one-sided affair.

GWS 83 v Sydney – Spotless Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Zac Williams2
Toby Greene1.5
Jacob Hopper1.5
Isaac Heeney1

Another nail-biter and another crucial four points. One point last week and two points this week, the Giants are keeping their top 4 chances alive and a lot of the wins can be attributed to Toby Greene’s increased midfield time. Rounds 1-16 he averaged 18.4 disposals, 7.8 contested possessions and 2.3 clearances but since has plugged the holes in the GWS midfield from round 17, he’s averaging 31.3 disposals, 13.3 contested possessions and 6 clearances. Another big game in this one has him every chance of polling for a fourth week in a row.

Fremantle 95 v Geelong 61 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2.5
Michael Walters2
Ed Langdon1
Bradley Hill0.5

Nat Fyfe is coming. Class personified, he stood up when counted and with 27 touches and two goals he’d be close to leading the count after Round 20.

Melbourne 60 v Richmond 93 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin3
Dion Prestia1
Shane Edwards1
Bachar Houli1

Gil Mclachlan will start to build the tension come Round 20. D…………………………Martin, 3 votes.

Adelaide 92 v St Kilda – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Rory Laird3
Matt Crouch2
Rowan Marshall1

It hasn’t been his best season but Rory Liard went big in this one. Returning to his best form he hit season-highs for disposals (37), marks (12) and intercept possessions (12) whilst equalling a team-high for score involvements with nine.

Collingwood 120 v Gold Coast 51 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Adam Treloar3
Brodie Grundy2
Steele Sidebottom1

Adam Treloar continued his stellar season with another 3 votes in this one. 35 disposals for 552 metres gained with a game-high 15 contested possessions, 10 clearances, nine inside 50’s and 13 score involvements including three goal assists is a crazy stat line.

Carlton 75 v West Coast 99 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Shuey2
Nic Newman2
Elliot Yeo1
Liam Ryan0.5
Sam Walsh0.5

He was in the losing side but it’s hard not to talk about Sam Walsh. Before today, he’d polled in six consecutive weeks for the AFL coaches association award. Today he had 31 disposals, 4 clearances and 4 score involvements. He’s a first-year player.

Brisbane 98 v Western Bulldogs 80 – The Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli2
Jack Macrae2
Mitch Robinson2

Marcus Bontempelli and Jack Macrae combined for a stat-line that reads: 80 disposals, 35 contested possessions, 17 clearances, 13 I50s, 1290 metres gained, 14 tackles and one goal. Can one of them snag the three in a losing side?

Collingwood 66 v Richmond 98 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin3
Tom Lynch2
Dion Prestia1

Do we detect a Collywobble? They’ve lost 4 of their last 5 games by a combined 127 points and the once minor premiership favourite is now out of the Top 4. The Tigers took their spot and Dusty might be polling his 2nd 3 vote game in two weeks. A smoky?

Hawthorn 60 v Brisbane 87 – UTAS Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale2
Dayne Zorko2
Mitch Robinson1.5
James Worpel0.5

How many have you got Lachie polling? With 33 touches and a goal, we’ve allocated him two with Dayne Zorko’s 25 disposals and two goals the major threat.

Carlton 87 v Adelaide 60 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps3
Kade Simpson1
Marc Murphy1
Levi Casboult1

Saturday was moving day on our Brownlow medal leader board. With 39 disposals (24 contested), 4 marks, 7 tackles, 8 score involvements, 8 I50s & 1 goal, Patrick Cripps is getting the 3 and has two Geelong players in his sights.

West Coast 121 v North Melbourne 72 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh J Kennedy3
Elliot Yeo1.5
Dom Sheed1
Lewis Jetta0.5

It’s the deal that keeps on giving. Chris Judd for Josh Kennedy and picks. 600 goals and a premiership, four years after Juddy hung them up is looking better and better. 7 goals in this one will land him his first best on for the year.

St Kilda 104 v Melbourne 85 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Seb Ross3
Jade Gresham1.5
Hunter Clark1
Max Gawn0.5

From prelim final to 17th. The Dees are garbage. In another game that didn’t mean much, they again disappeared late. The Saints overrun them with pure grit and it was on the back of Seb Ross’ 31 disposal/ two goal game that did the damage.

Port Adelaide 55 – GWS 56 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Toby Greene2
Jacob Hopper1
Nick Haynes1
Tim Taranto1
Travis Boak1

No one wants this final spot in the eight. Port were the fourth team on Saturday playing for that eighth position to lose leaving it wide open for anyone to grab. Good luck allocating votes in this one. Toby Greene the eye-catcher?

Western Bulldogs 113 v Fremantle 66 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli2.5
Jack Macrae2
Bailey Dale1.5

The top 8 door was left ajar and the Bulldogs smashed it open. Back in contention for finals, the Dogs lead from start to finish and it was their captain leading from the front. With 28 disposals and two goals, he’s another to be making a move up the top of the leaderboard.

Sydney 80 V Geelong 107 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom Hawkins2.5
Patrick Dangerfield1.5
Mitch Duncan1.5
Tim Kelly0.5

Its tight at the top. Dangerfield vs Tim Kelly. We have neither beating Tom Hawkins 5 goals for best on but do they collect the two and one thereafter? We’re thinking Danger’s goals give him the edge and have allocated him 1.5. It’s going to be a fun count.

Gold Coast 96 v Essendon 106

PlayerProjected Votes
Jake Stringer2
Shaun McKernan1.5
Dylan Shiel1.5
Touk Miller1

The Dons are winning games the hard way. In another heartstopper, Jake Stringer was the X factor and with the game lacking a standout performer, his 4 goals could sneak the three.

Adelaide 75 v Essendon 96 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Zach Merrett3
Mitch Brown2
Brodie Smith1

Steer well clear of your Essendon mates this week. The lid is off and they’re going to be chirpy. A 51 point turnaround on the road with key players missing, this 21 point win was their biggest to date.  Zach Merrett was instrumental in the win and with a 2nd half stat line of 22 touches and two goals, he was right in the umpire’s vision when the game was on the line.

Richmond 101 v Port Adelaide 63 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin2.5
Tom Lynch2
Bachar Houli0.5
Dion Prestia0.5
Dylan Grimes0.5

Dimma’s men are going beautifully and the top 4 is well within sight. The twin towers are firing up forward and Dusty’s 30 disposals (nine contested), five clearances and eight I50s in this one tell us he’s primed for another September tilt.

Carlton 99 v Gold Coast 75 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Edward Curnow2.5
Liam Jones1.5
Will Brodie1
Sam Walsh1

Carlton has won back-to-back games for the first time since 2017 and now a total of four under super-coach David Teague.  Jungle drums are beating for the caretaker to become fulltime. It was another week where Patrick Cripps wasn’t needed with Ed Curnow (32 disposals) and Sam Walsh (27 disposals) taking the lead winning the contested ball at the coalface.

GWS 122 v Collingwood 75 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jeremy Cameron2
Lachie Whitfield1.5
Toby Greene1.5
Brodie Grundy1

Without the injury where would Lachie Whitfield be on our leader board? There are not too many players more gifted than the Giants midfielder and with another 29 touches vs the Pies, he’ll go close to the three.

Brisbane 87 v North Melbourne 75 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Jarryd Lyons3
Shaun Higgins2
Todd Goldstein0.5
Luke Hodge0.5

Hats off to the Lions recruitment staff.  Lachie Neale is in Brownlow medal contention and Jarryd Lyons is close to elite status in contested ball stats. With 30 disposals( 23 of which were contested), 13 clearances and two goals, the midfielder who couldn’t get a game with GC is looking like value.

Fremantle 52 – Sydney 51 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jake Lloyd2
Luke Parker1
David Mundy1
Joel Hamling1
Andrew Brayshaw0.5
Rory Lobb0.5

Ugly but entertaining. Fremantle held on for a pressure-relieving victory in a match not too many will be rushing to watch a replay. Without a standout in the win and the bigger disposal winners coming from the losing side, good luck landing the 3/2/1 in this one.

Geelong 61 v Hawthorn 85 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Liam Shiels3
Jaegar O'Meara1.5
Mitch Duncan0.5
Patrick Dangerfield0.5
James Worpel0.5

Ladder positions are irrelevant when these two clash and the Hawks proved it once again. Liam Shiels was huge with a match-high 29 disposals and two goals in what was almost an elimination final for his side.

Melbourne 78 V West Coast 91 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dom Sheed2
Clayton Oliver2
Bailey Fritsch2

It’s been a near-perfect week for the Eagles. The Pies and the Cats have dropped games and a win on the road has them sitting comfortably back in 3rd spot. Dom Sheed was their best with 34 disposals but two of the more eye-catching games came from the Dees. Clayton Oliver’s 34 disposals (20 contested) and Bailey Fritsch’s 4.2 from 22 touches are right in the running for best on as well.

St Kilda 116 v Western Bulldogs 89

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Lonie2
Jack Billings2
Rowan Marshall1
Josh Dunkley1

Jekyll and Hyde at it again. No team has a bigger gap between best and worst than the Doggies and on Sunday when the season was on the line, it was embarrassing. Credit to the Saints for showing up and with 4.3 from 20 touches, Jack Lonie put a nail in the Bulldogs finals coffin.

West Coast 77 v Collingwood 78 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Scott Pendlebury2.5
Adam Treloar2
Brody Mihocek1
Elliot Yeo0.5

Roles reversed. One team leads for 90 per cent of the match before the other comes from behind to win. We’ve seen it before except this time it was the Pies that got the chocolates lead by their ageless leader. With 32 possies going at 80% disposal efficiency, Pendles looked a standout in the gutsy win.

Sydney 62 v Carlton 69 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Marc Murphy2
Nic Newman2
Patrick Cripps1
Sam Walsh0.5
Matthew Kreuzer0.5

That’s now three wins in five weeks for the Blues. It was three wins in 93 weeks before that, so fair to say the lids off down Ikon Park way. Another win and just as impressive, a win without a reliance on Patrick Cripps. With 32 touches and 711 metres gained, it was Nic Newman against his old side that took the lead in what was a pivotal defensive role.

Hawthorn 84 v Fremantle 53 – UTAS Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2
James Worpel2
Bradley Hill1
Ricky Henderson1

Freo became the second side on Saturday to kiss the finals goodbye. In what was another lacklustre performance by the Dockers, Nat Fyfe still remains in contention for best on. The #1 contested ball winner kicked 3 goals and we’ve allocated him two votes to have him in touching distance of Tim Kelly.

Essendon 86 v North Melbourne 81 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Anthony Mcd-Tipungwuti2.5
Ben Brown2
Robbie Tarrant0.5
Conor McKenna0.5
Zach Merrett0.5

Is there more of a barometer in the AFL than Anthony McDonald Tipungwuti? 24 goals in winning sides and only the one in losing sides. He kicked the winner in another Marvel thriller and with four in total, he’s a chance for the three votes.

Gold Coast 56 v Adelaide 151 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Wayne Milera2
Eddie Betts2
Rory Atkins1.5
Matt Crouch0.5

If you weren’t a supporter of either side and managed to watch this game in its entirety you’ve got issues. In a difficult one to allocate we’ve shared the love with a slight lean to Wayne Milera’s 27 disposals and class in traffic.

Geelong 84 – St Kilda 57 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield3
Mitch Duncan1.5
Rowan Marshall1
Gryan Miers0.5

This count is shaping up as a fun one to watch.  Tim Kelly got tagged out of the game and Patrick Dangerfield had 32 touches and a goal. Three votes have him 1.5 behind the lead.   

Richmond 94 v GWS 67 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Shai Bolton2
Toby Greene1.5
Kane Lambert1.5
Brandon Ellis1

Are the Tigers the sleeping giant?  In form and on a roll they did it comfortably against an all too familiar injury riddled Giants. In an even spread of contributors, Shai Bolton’s 29 touches and one goal was an eye-catcher. 

Western Bulldogs 74 V Melbourne 66 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Dunkley3
Lachie Hunter2
Taylor Duryea1

39 disposals, 24 contested possessions, 15 tackles, 2 goals, 199 SuperCoach and 189 AFLFantasy points for Josh Dunkley. Handy afternoon.

Port Adelaide 49 v Brisbane 97

PlayerProjected Votes
Jarryd Lyons2
Dayne Zorko2
Robbie Gray1.5
Charlie Cameron0.5

The day started with the Power fans singing ‘They will never tear us apart’ by INXS.  It ended with the Power getting torn apart. Jarryd Lyons (36 disposals/ 1 goal) was huge but has competition for best on with Dayne Zorko once again prominent kicking three goals with 24 classy disposals.

Hawthorn 67 v Collingwood 63 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
James Sicily3
Jarman Impey1.5
Isaac Smith1
Jordan De Goey0.5

Two things. Mason Cox isn’t going to enjoy Mondays review and the James Sicily forward experiment is over. The big American was made to look more like a 7-foot auskicker by the 186cm ‘small’ defender and will find himself very lucky to be playing next week.

You can’t hate Alastair Clarkson’s forward thinking however with 28 disposals and 14 marks, fair chance the master coach won’t be moving the James Sicily magnet too far from the defensive 50 in future.

Essendon 76 v Sydney 66 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dylan Shiel2
Isaac Heeney2
Andrew McGrath1.5
David Zaharakis0.5

It wasn’t pretty but it was enough for the Dons to creep closer to September. A difficult one to allocate with a chance the 3 votes lands with the losing side. Issac Heeney’s 33 disposal, 10 marks and six I50 game looked every bit best on.

Gold Coast 58 v Richmond 150 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Trent Cotchin2.5
Jason Castagna2
Kane Lambert1.5

Gold Coast Suns need help. Surely a candidate for a priority pick or fifteen because sadly it’s looking grim. When Jason Castagna is kicking 5 goals you know you’re in dire straits.

Adelaide 44 v Port Adelaide 101 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Robbie Gray3
Tom Rockliff1.5
Justin Westhoff1
Riley Bonner0.5

And the Robbie Gray medal goes to…..Robbie Gray. Ever the big game player, the gun mid was awarded a staggering 5th Showdown medal with 35 disposals and 10 clearances to all but lock in the 3 Brownlow votes also.

Western Bulldogs 71 v Geelong 55 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli2
Lachie Hunter2
Aaron Naughton0.5
Zach Tuohy0.5
Tom Stewart0.5
Jack Macrae0.5

How about those Doggies?! Out scrapping the top of the table Cats and back in September contention. Like most weeks their midfield ran riot with the likes of Bontempelli (27 disposals/ 17 contested)and Lachie Hunter (32 disposals) the standouts. Hard to fathom they’ve lost to both the Blues and Suns this year.

Fremantle 31 v West Coast 122 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Brad Sheppard2.5
Andrew Gaff2
Luke Shuey1
Chris Masten0.5

Three weeks ago Jonathan Brown stated that Fremantle has now leapfrogged the Eagles as the best side out of W.A. Three weeks later they’ve lost to sides sitting 18th & 16th and have been smashed by 91 points by the very side they’ve leapfrogged. ‘Expert commentary’ at its finest. Brad Shepphard won the ross Glendinning-Allan Medal with 25 disposals and 11 rebound 50s and will be the one to beat for 3 Brownlow votes.

Carlton 100 v Melbourne 105 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom McDonald3
Bayley Fritsch2
Clayton Oliver0.5
Jack Silvagni0.5

Three quarters in and we were getting exactly what a 16th vs 17th game usually delivers. Garbage. Come the last quarter though and we were treated to a barnstorming Carlton falling agonisingly short of another heroic win. Despite some injury carnage, the Dees managed to hold on and it was the likes of Bayley Fritsch who stood up when counted. 25 disposals, 12 marks, four scoring involvements and 449 metres gained will give Tom McDonalds six goals a shake for best on.

North Melbourne 112 v St Kilda 73 – Blundstone Arena

PlayerProjected Votes
Cameron Zurhaar2
Jack Ziebell2
Jy Simpkin2

We cant split Cameron Zuurhar’s 5 goals, Jack Ziebell’s 24 disposals/ two-goal game or Jy Simpkin’s 36 disposals and a goal so we’ve shared the love with two votes each. Good luck.

GWS 68 v Brisbane 94 – Spotless Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale2
Hugh McCluggage1.5
Lincoln McCarthy1
Stephen Coniglio1
Zac Williams0.5

It took to the last game of the round but we’ve got a top 5 contender making a move on Tim Kelly. How many votes have you got Lachie Neale polling? 31 disposals of which 16 were contested has him in contention for the three.

Essendon 77 v GWS 71 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Zach Merrett2
Shaun McKernan1.5
Stephen Coniglio1.5
Zac Williams0.5
Cale Hooker0.5

There’s a pulse. On the back of unlikely hero Shaun Mckernan channeling his inner Corey Mckernan the Dons came from the clouds with a last-gasp win keeping them in the finals race.

Geelong 96 v Adelaide 69 – GMHBA

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly2.5
Joel Selwood2
Paul Seedsman1
Gryan Miers0.5

We highlighted it last week and it came to fruition. 0-8 after the bye and now 8-0 the week after, the minus was always the bet. Geelong are cruising and so is Tim Kelly. Time to add a few more 0’s to the contract because 33 disposals and two goals has him shortening for the Brownlow.

Hawthorn 71 v West Coast 77 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Darling2.5
Luke Shuey2
Andrew Gaff1
Jaeger O'Maera0.5

When it’s rubbish weather, 5 goals is quite the game. With 17 possessions also, Jack Darling will go close to edging out Luke Shuey’s 39 touches for best on.

Sydney 93 v Gold Coast 51 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Parker2
Isaac Heeney1.5
Josh Kennedy1.5
Jordan Dawson1

The race for the final 8 is going to be some fun viewing and with three wins on the trot, the Swans are a sniff. In a game that didn’t reach many heights, it’s the form of Luke Parker that continues to be a highlight. Another 31 disposals has him in the votes once again.

Collingwood 37 v North Melbourne 81 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Ben Cunnington2.5
Jack Ziebell2
Jy Simpkin0.5
Adam Treloar0.5
Jared Polec0.5

Maybe their list isn’t as bad as we all thought? Whatever the reason, North Melbourne is finding form and stocks in Brad Scott’s coaching credentials are plummeting. With an all new attacking game style the Kangaroos looked slick and their leaders even better. Ben Cunnington racked up 37 touches and Jack Ziebell kicked three in a huge win for the club.

Port Adelaide 41 v Western Bulldogs 66 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli2.5
Jack Macrae2
Josh Dunkley1.5

It was the Jekyll and Hyde Doggies at it again. Luckily for their traveling supporters, it was the side that’s ferocious at the contest that turned up. The Bont was huge while ball-magnet Jack Macrae was at his accumulating best, collecting 36 disposals.

St Kilda 70 v Richmond 103 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin2
Mabior Chol1.5
Sydney Stack1
Dion Prestia1
Rowan Marshall0.5

The Saints have beaten nine top-eight teams in six years. When they come up against a quality side they go to water as was the case vs the Tigers. Looks a difficult game to allocate with Dusty collecting 36 touches but only going at 50% disposal efficiency.

Brisbane 107 v Melbourne 74 – The Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Dayne Zorko3
Eric Hipwood2
Stefan Martin0.5
Lachie Neale0.5

Dayne Zorko leads the AFL in total tackles, pressure acts and I50’s. He continued that form on Sunday with six I50’s, five tackles, three goals and 31 disposals to all but lock him in for the three votes.

Fremantle 75 v Carlton 79 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Marc Murphy3
Nat Fyfe1.5
Edward Curnow1.5

No Cripps, no worries and no one is ever allowed to say a bad word about Marc Murphy ever again. Trailing by 30 points, Carlton somehow salvaged a 4-point win on the back of a masterful performance by the one-time Carlton Captain. 34 disposals and a clutch match winner will land him the three votes.

West Coast 106 v Essendon 71 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dom Sheed2.5
Elliot Yeo2
Zach Merrett0.5
Jack Redden0.5
Josh J Kennedy0.5

How the Dons only lost by 35 points is beyond us. It may not have translated to the scoreboard but this was a thumping. Outclassed after qtr time, Essendon were made to look 2nd rate by the defending premiers at every contest. They’re starting to look scary and with Dom Sheed dominating with 36 touches and two goals, September footy is on the horizon for the Eagles.

Sydney 82 v Hawthorn 63 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Parker2.5
Zac Jones1
Ricky Henderson1
Callum Mills1
Lance Franklin0.5

Not a game that reached the greatest of heights so with the Brownlow count in mind, it’s 3 votes Luke Parker. The 2016 All Australian was a class above all night and for the sixth consecutive game collected 28 or more disposals. Finishing with 30 disposals at 73 per cent efficiency, the midfielder also had an equal-game-high 12 contested possessions, a match-high 12 tackles and seven clearances.

Melbourne 85 v Fremantle 71 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom McDonald2
Max Gawn1.5
Bradley Hill1.5
Jack Viney1

6 vs 16th and the latter jumped a -10.5 favourite and covered. Too good punters. In what was an arm wrestle all day it was Tom McDonald winding back the clock to last year with 28 disposals and three goals to lead the Dees to a crucial win.

St Kilda 59 v Brisbane 115 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dayne Zorko2.5
Charlie Cameron2
Jarryd Lyons1
Daniel Rich0.5

The Saints are finally starting to deliver on the preseason hype. The hype being that they’re not a very good football side. The Lions sniffed blood and went for the kill crushing the hapless Saints by a whopping 56 points away from home. In what was an even spread of contributors, it’ll be Zorko’s 28 disposal/ 1 goal game vs Charlie Cameron’s electrifying 5 goals that’ll duke it out for best on.

Port Adelaide 67 v Geelong 56 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Scott Lycett2.5
Robbie Gray2
Travis Boak1
Patrick Dangerfield0.5

Since the introduction of bye rounds in 2012 Geelong hold the worst record of all 18 sides at 0-8 the week after the bye. The week after though they are 7-0. -19.5 vs Adelaide a bet? Back to the game, Port were on song from the get go with Scott Lycett relishing his stand alone ruck duties. 41 hitouts, 24 disposals and 4 clearances has him a short price for the 3 votes.

Western Bulldogs 73 v Collingwood 82 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Brodie Grundy3
Jack Macrae1.5
Caleb Daniel1
Adam Treloar0.5

Brodie Grundy was awarded the Rose-Sutton Medal for best on ground and we agree, allocating the full 3 to the gun ruckman. 25 disposals, 50 hitouts, 8 marks, 6 clearances, 4 tackles and two goals is a fair enough reason.

Adelaide 101 v Richmond 68 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Reilly O'Brien2
Brad Crouch2
Dustin Martin1
Josh Jenkins1

Fair effort by the undermanned Tigers but it always felt like it was just a matter of time. The experience of the Crows took over in the 2nd half running away with a comfortable 33 point win. Surprisingly though, it was the most inexperienced, unheralded player of the lot that was the catalyst. With only 13 games under his belt, big Reilly O’Brien dominated, scoring an astonishing 182 Supercoach points in the pivotal victory.

Essendon 96 v Hawthorn 77 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Zach Merrett2
Conor McKenna2
Michael Hurley1
Adam Saad1

Winner gets another week of clinging to finals hopes. Loser is cooked. Hawthorn…..you’re nicely done. In what was a relatively tight affair, it was the rebounding from defense that proved the difference with the likes of Conor McKenna and Adam Saad bouncing the Dons to a crucial win.

Gold Coast 76 v St Kilda 80 – Riverway Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Billings3
Tim Membrey1.5
David Swallow1.5

Jack Billings is the barometer of St Kilda success. We have the classy midfielder polling in five of St Kilda’s six wins and with 33 disposals and two goals, he’ll land the 3 in this one.

Fremantle 100 v Port Adelaide 79 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Michael Walters3
Nat Fyfe2
Travis Boak1

25 disposals, 6 goals and 5 clearances. It’s three votes to Michael Walters.

Carlton 100 v Western Bulldogs 103 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Dunkley3
Charlie Curnow2
Patrick Lipinski0.5
Jack Macrae0.5

The 3 votes come down to a 41 disposal, 6 clearances and one goal game vs a 7 goal and 17 disposal game. Always leaning towards the winning team, we’ve got Josh Dunkley edging out the electrifying Charlie Curnow….just!

North Melbourne 68 v GWS 91 – Blundstone Arena

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Kelly2
Zac Williams1.5
Tim Taranto1
Stephen Coniglio1
Jacob Hopper0.5

Good luck allocating the votes in this one. Anyone of 8 GWS players have a genuine claim to 3 votes. Taranto’s 31 and a goal? Zac William’s 28 and a goal from defence? Coniglio’s 27 and two goals? We’re throwing a dart at Josh Kelly’s eye catching 35 disposals and one goal game as best.

Richmond 37 v Geelong 104 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield2.5
Tim Kelly1.5
Mitch Duncan1
Gary Ablett1

The Geelong Brownlow quinella is on.  12 rounds in, Tim Kelly & Patrick Dangerfield are atop the leader board.  With another 70 disposals and two goals between them, they’ll be in the votes again.

Carlton 78 v Brisbane 63 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps3
Sam Walsh1.5
Edward Curnow1.5

Arguably one of the great individual performances of the modern era.  If allocating 6 votes to one player was a thing, Patrick Cripps would be $1.01 for the 6 votes.  38 disposals, 4 second half goals, 8 clearances, 193 SC points and most importantly a win has him a certainty for 3 votes.

Gold Coast 72 v North Melbourne 99 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Ziebell2.5
Ben Cunnington2
Jared Polec1.5

The Kangas maintained their perfect record under new coach Rhyce Shaw and in his milestone game, Jack Ziebell lead the way with 28 touches and two goals.

Adelaide 82 v GWS 61 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Kelly2
Brad Crouch2
Matt Crouch1
Tim Taranto1

The Crows boosted their top four chances with a late surge but don’t be surprised if Josh Kelly polls the 3.  His 34 disposal and two goals looked a class above.

Sydney 116 v West Coast 71 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom Papley3
Lance Franklin2
Jake Lloyd1

Last time the Eagles won at the SCG Scott Cummings lined up at full forward and Troy Luff polled a Brownlow vote.  Unfortunately for West Coast, that hoodoo will extend into 2020.  Five goal hauls from Lance Franklin and Tom Papley helped the undermanned Sydney record their best win of the season.

Collingwood 98 v Melbourne 57 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Adam Treloar2
Max Gawn2
Steele Sidebottom1
Jaidyn Stephenson1

Without Max Gawn, Melbourne would be deplorable.  34 disposals, 10 clearances and 33 hitouts for the All Australian ruckman kept the Dees within touching distance the entire afternoon before being outclassed by the relentless Pies.

North Melbourne 99 v Richmond 62 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Ben Cunnington2
Ben Brown1.5
Shaun Higgins1
Bachar Houli1
Dustin Martin0.5

Rhyce Shaw pushed his case for the North Melbourne coaching job beyond this season with a dream start defeating the more fancied Tigers in a major upset. The Shinboner spirit was on full display with no better example than contested bull Ben Cunnington racking up 31 touches, of which 20 were contested.

Collingwood 75 v Fremantle 79 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2.5
Scott Pendlebury1.5
Bradley Hill1
Michael Walters1

Michael Walters has ice in his veins and the Dockers have now knocked off two premiership contenders on the road. Not bad for a side that wasn’t rated pre-season. In what was a gutsy win, Nat Fyfe was at his influential best collecting 32 touches in a best on ground performance.

GWS 126 v Gold Coast 43 – Spotless Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Stephen Coniglio3
Josh Kelly2
Jeremy Cameron1

In what was another comfortable win, Stephen Coniglio became one of only 6 players since records were kept to collect 35 disposals, 10+ contested possessions, 8+ tackles and 3+ goals in a game. It’s a 3 vote game if we’ve ever seen one.

Geelong 85 v Sydney 63 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield2.5
Tim Kelly1.5
Luke Parker1
Tom Hawkins1

The Cats have quite the depth running through their midfield. John Longmire makes the call to tag Brownlow fancy Tim Kelly and in-form midfielder Mitch Duncan only to see little known midfielder Patrick Dangerfield pop up collecting 29 disposals and kick the lazy two goals.

Brisbane Lions 85 v Hawthorn 66 – The Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Jarryd Lyons2.5
Harris Andrews1.5
Lachie Neale1
Lewis Taylor1

Jarryd Lyons (33 disposals and 12 in the last quarter) had one of his best games for his new club, in what was another impressive come from behind win at home. Just like they did in round one when spotting West Coast a 27-point quarter-time lead before over-running the premier, the Lions trailed by 25 points at the first break before running over a cooked Hawthorn side.

Melbourne 88 v Adelaide 90 – Marrara Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom Lynch2
Brad Crouch2
Clayton Oliver1.5
Josh Jenkins0.5

Counting our lucky stars we’re not Melbourne supporters. The Dees have now won the I50 count in 8 of their 11 games yet sit a measly 16th on the ladder. Difficult one to allocate with Brad Crouch (29 disposals, 3 goals & 7 clearances), Tom Lynch (26 disposals, three goals & 13 marks) and Clayton Oliver (34 disposals, 8 clearances & a goal) looking the obvious choices.

St Kilda 69 v Port Adelaide 139 – Jiangwan Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Travis Boak3
Robbie Gray2
Rowan Marshall1

China-Australia relations are at an all-time low after this one. We sold them a dud. In front of a huge crowd of empty seats the match didn’t reach any great heights away from a Travis Boak and Robbie Gray masterclass.

Essendon 74 v Carlton 33 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dyson Heppell2.5
Darcy Parish2
Andrew McGrath1.5

A genuine candidate for worst match of the year and not surprisingly Carlton were involved. In what was a real stinker, Dyson Heppell was a class above the entire afternoon.

West Coast 133 v Western Bulldogs 72 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Darling2.5
Andrew Gaff2
Luke Shuey1
Josh Dunkley0.5

In form and back in the top 4 the Eagles did it easy against the Dogs. Starting to look ominously like 2018, it was on the back of a return to form of Jack Darling kicking six and the ever-reliable Andrew Gaff dominating with 36 touches.

Sydney 73 v Collingwood 80 – SCG

Player Projected Votes
Brodie Grundy2
Sam Reid2
Scott Pendlebury2

Dane Rampe running 20 metres over the mark is the stupidest thing we’ve seen since some bloke climbed a goal post.  That goal assist was enough to give the Pies the edge to record their 7th win on the trot with big man Brodie Grundy once again, contributing heavily to the win.

Hawthorn 80 v Port Adelaide 49 – UTAS

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Gunston3
Ricky Henderson2
James Sicily1

A win and 6 goals to Jack Gunston can’t be a good thing for Jarryd Roughead’s hopes of a quick return to the senior side.  The half forward relished the space and will be a short price for the 3 votes.

Western Bulldogs 90 v North Melbourne 115 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Todd Goldstein3
Shaun Higgins1.5
Ben Cunnington1.5

It only took for their coach to be shown the door for the Kangas to finally turn up.  In a bittersweet victory, the Kangas played inspired footy to record their third win for the season and it was on the back of a PB from big Todd Goldstein collecting an impressive 28 touches.

Adelaide 73 v West Coast 85 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Shuey2.5
Andrew Gaff1.5
Dom Sheed1
Cam Ellis Yolmen0.5
Rory Sloane0.5

Adelaide vs West Coast at Adelaide Oval is fast becoming an away game for the Crows.  Not for the first time between these two sides, the Eagles flew home for a gutsy comeback win on the back of a Luke Shuey masterclass.

Gold Coast 64 v Geelong 91 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly2.5
Mitch Duncan2
Tom Hawkins0.5
Cam Guthrie0.5
David Swallow0.5

Not for the first time this year, we’ve got Tim Kelly leading the count.  With 35 touches and 8 clearances he’ll go very close to polling another 3 votes.

Richmond 73 v Essendon 50 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Bachar Houli3
Dustin Martin2
Darcy Parish1

Ex Bomber Bachar Houli won the Yiooken Award for his 37 possession performance and should edge out Dusty’s 35 disposal game for the 3.

Melbourne 68 v GWS 94 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Kelly2
Lachie Whitfield2
Max Gawn1
Harry Himmelberg0.5
Tim Taranto0.5

Put your cheeseboards out for the MFC.  They’re cooked.  The 26 point margin was extremely flattering to the Dees who were smashed all day by a GWS team hellbent on winning at the G.  With key contributors around the ground, it’ll probably come down to the classy Josh Kelly & Lachie Whitfield who racked up 60 touches and 3 goals between them who’ll poll the 3 & 2 respectively.

St Kilda 68 v Carlton 55 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jade Gresham2.5
Patrick Cripps1.5
Jack Steele1.5
Sam Walsh0.5

After ruining Friday nights last year, Carlton are really starting to stink up the Sunday mid-afternoon timeslot.  Wonder if  Gil will consider an 11am Tuesday timeslot as an option next year?  Good luck allocating the votes in this one.  Possibly Gresham’s 29 disposals was the most eye catching.

Fremantle 73 v Brisbane Lions 72 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Bradley Hill2.5
Michael Walters2
Nathan Wilson1
Nat Fyfe0.5

It was fitting for Michael Walters to have the last kick of Sir Doug Nicholls round.  With 25 disposals, two goals and the winning point after the siren, the classy forward was one of best in the comeback victory.

West Coast 85 v Melbourne 69 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Elliot Yeo2
Shannon Hurn2
Dom Sheed1.5
Andrew Gaff0.5

Just 6 of 64 teams have played finals since 1990 after a 3-6 start to a season. Mount Hotham lift passes are about to skyrocket in sales. Meanwhile, Elliot Yeo is about to skyrocket up the leader board with 26 touches and a whopping 16 tackles.

Collingwood 112 v St Kilda 71 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Brodie Grundy2.5
Steele Sidebottom2.5
Adam Treloar1

Brodie Grundy’s timing is impeccable.  Two days after announcing he wants to wait and assess his options with a new contract he goes and polls 3 votes with 24 disposals, 49 hitouts (ten to advantage), seven clearances, six tackles and four marks.

Brisbane Lions 93 v Adelaide 92 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale2.5
Rory Sloane1.5
Daniel McStay1
Hugh McCluggage1

We have a new leader. Lachie Neale is polling 3 with a stat line that reads: 39 disposals, 22 contested, 12 clearances, 6 tackles, 4 I50s, 2 marks and all while going at 85% efficiency.

Geelong 133 v Melbourne 89 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Mitch Duncan3
Mitch Wallis1.5
Tom Stewart0.5
Patrick Dangerfield0.5
Jack Macrae0.5

The last time the Dogs triumphed at the Cattery, the Bont was just 8 years old. Sadly for Dogs fans, that stat remains true.  The Cats were too classy from start to finish with All Australian candidate Mitch Duncan continuing his strong form kicking 3 goals and collecting 25 disposals.

Essendon 60 v Fremantle 53 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Zach Merrett2
Dylan Shiel2
David Mundy1.5
David Zaharakis0.5

Hard to provide an argument for either side making the finals after watching this one. The Dons limped to the line and with his first two goals for the club, it was Dylan Shiel’s goal kicking accuracy ended up the difference.

North Melbourne 72 v Sydney 77 – Blundstone Arena

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Parker2.5
Jack Ziebell2
George Hewett1
Jake Lloyd0.5

The Swans were without their six most experienced players (1571 games) but managed to hold on in a heartstopper.  Difficult one to allocate with Ziebell’s 35 disposals looking the best individual performance however with a W next to his name, Luke Parker’s 28 touches may edge him out.

Port Adelaide 89 v Gold Coast 51 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Travis Boak2.5
Brayden Fiorini2
Sam Gray1
Connor Rozee0.5

It was ugly. But Kenny Hinkley won’t mind winning ugly when it means your side is back in the 8. The Power kicked away late and with another 30 possession game, Travis Boak will be a short price for 3 votes come September.

Richmond 95 v Hawthorn 59 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin3
Bachar Houli2
Brandon Ellis1

If Dusty is back than we have another genuine contender for the flag. It was a vintage display all day by the 2017 Brownlow medallist collecting 37 touches in a best on ground performance.

GWS 138 v Carlton 45 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Whitfield3
Josh Kelly1
Tim Taranto1
Jeremy Cameron0.5
Toby Greene0.5

GWS had 12 players collect more than 20 touches. Carlton had one and it was their designated kicker from fullback.  Fair to say this was an annihilation and with a lazy 40 disposal/ 3 goal game, Lachie Whitfield is getting 3.

Sydney 77 v Essendon 72 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Parker3
Zach Merrett1
Andrew McGrath1
George Hewett0.5
Michael Hurley0.5

With one win from their last 6 games vs teams sitting 18th on the ladder you can see why the Dons haven’t won a final for 5,363 days.  Nevertheless, the Swans deserved the win and Luke Parker should land the 3, collecting 33 disposals and dominating In the clinches.

Western Bulldogs 92 v Brisbane 76 – Mars Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Josh Dunkley2
Marcus Bontempelli1
Jack Macrae1
Lachie Hunter1
Hugh McCluggage0.5
Dayne Zorko0.5

The Western Bulldogs are back in the finals race again and not for the first time, it was thanks to a dominant midfield display from the likes of Hunter, Macrae and Bontempelli.  However when allocating the votes, we’ve gone the unheralded Josh Dunkley with his 36 touches and a goal as the most likely to poll the 3.

Carlton 87 v Collingwood 106 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps2
Brodie Grundy2
Adam Treloar1
Tom Phillips0.5
Steele Sidebottom0.5

Patrick Cripps must have sore shoulders carrying 21 blokes every week.  Arguably the best the player in the league, he’d be a Winx price for the Brownlow if Carlton could just learn how to play.

Gold Coast 60 v Melbourne 61 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Clayton Oliver3
David Swallow1.5
Darcy Macpherson1
Jake Melksham0.5

In what was the craziest ending to a game this year, Tom Mcdonald’s one effective kick (off knee) of the year has been the Dees most crucial.  That kick probably won’t surpass Oliver’s 38 disposals and 9 clearances as best on in the eyes of the umpires though.  

St Kilda 70 v West Coast 80 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Shuey2
Shannon Hurn1.5
Andrew Gaff1.5
Elliot Yeo0.5
Jack Billings0.5

Not one for the highlights reel but if you’re a West Coast fan, it’s another crucial 4 points away from home. Difficult to allocate with each of Hurn, Gaff and Shuey having genuine claims for best on.

Port Adelaide 68 v Adelaide 88 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Alex Keath2.5
Tom Lynch1.5
Rory Laird1
Tom Rockliff1

26 touches, 14 contested, 12 intercepts, 7 rebound 50s, 5 marks, two tackles and a showdown medal is a fair stat line for a righthand batsman. Alex Keith was brilliant.

North Melbourne 80 v Geelong 104 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly3
Shaun Higgins1.5
Mitch Duncan1
Gary Ablett0.5

Geelong need to seriously consider moving the footy club to WA next year if it means keeping Tim Kelly. 36 possessions, 11 clearances and two goals could see him leading the Brownlow eight rounds in.

Hawthorn 71 v GWS 38 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Ricky Henderson2.5
James Sicily2
James Cousins1
Josh Kelly0.5

Since 2016, GWS have only won an alarming one game at the MCG.  Despite it being a low scoring affair they were never in this one with Ricky Henderson continuing his massive 2019 collecting another 36 disposals in a best afield performance.

Fremantle 86 v Richmond 111 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2
Bachar Houli2
Brandon Ellis1.5
Shai Bolton0.5

A depleted Richmond provided us with a timely reminder of just how good they are.  And in terms of the Brownlow, is Nat Fyfe in trouble for another errant elbow..?

Collingwood 108 v Port Adelaide 69 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Scott Pendlebury3
Darcy Moore1.5
Adam Treloar1
Steele Sidebottom0.5

Scott Pendlebury is now one of 8 players in history to have had 35+ disposals, 5+ marks and 5+ tackles in consecutive matches. The Pies are good and so is their captain and he’ll poll 3 votes for the second week running.

GWS 114 v St Kilda 70 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jeremy Cameron2.5
Zac Williams2
Nick Haynes1
Tim Taranto0.5

Is 100 goals in a season still a thing? With another 6 goal bag, Jeremy Cameron now has the most goals through 7 rounds since Brendan Fevola and Lance Franklin in 2008. With 15 possessions and 11 marks also, he should poll the 3 just ahead of Zac Williams’ 30 touches.

Melbourne 79 v Hawthorn 74 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
James Harmes2.5
Jack Gunston1.5
Liam Shiels1
Michael Hibberd0.5
Clayton Oliver0.5

The Dees have a heartbeat and with 31 disposals and a goal, all while stopping the damaging Jaeger O’Meara, James Harmes should poll the 3.

Brisbane 103 v Sydney 81 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Dayne Zorko2.5
Hugh McCluggage1.5
George Hewett1
Tom Papley0.5
Lachie Neale0.5

Dayne Zorko is thanking his lucky stars Lachie Neale came to Brisbane. The Ex Docker took what would usually be his tag relishing the open air, becoming one of only 3 players in modern history with 10+ clearances, 10+ tackles & 10+ inside 50s in one game.

Western Bulldogs 99 v Richmond 52 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Aaron Naughton2.5
Marcus Bontempelli2
Jack Macrae0.5
Caleb Daniel0.5
Josh Dunkley0.5

It was a fair night for Aaron Naughton. Not only did he go past Chris Grant’s club record of 7 contested marks in a game, but he’s also now the youngest player & first teenager to take nine contested marks in a match since the stat was recorded. 3 votes Aaron Naughton.

West Coast 80 v Gold Coast 57 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Elliot Yeo2
Andrew Gaff1.5
Luke Shuey1
Dom Sheed1
Brad Sheppard0.5

The victory steadied their season after two concerning defeats to Port Adelaide and Geelong by a combined 100 points but the Eagles were far from convincing. A difficult one for us armchair experts to watch but an even harder one to allocate. Possibly Elliot Yeo’s 26 touches from qtr time might see him edge out a few others.

Carlton 62 v North Melbourne 120 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Trent Dumont2.5
Cameron Zurhaar1.5
Shaun Higgins1
Ben Brown0.5
Patrick Cripps0.5

Kangaroos supporters around the nation rushed to their respective AFL fixture fridge magnets post game to check if they play Carlton again. Their beloved ‘shinboners’ were made to look like premiership contenders from the opening bounce of yesterday’s game with Trent Dumont in fine touch collecting 38 touches in a solid return to form.

Geelong 86 v Essendon 54 – MCG 

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly2.5
Gary Ablett2
Tom Stewart1
Zach Merrett0.5

Making light work of the Dons, the Cats outplayed Essendon after quarter time with another strong showing from future Eagle Tim Kelly.

Adelaide 51 v Fremantle 34 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Matt Crouch2
Tom Lynch1
Cam Ellis-Yolmen1
Rory Sloane1
Nat Fyfe0.5
David Mundy0.5

Good luck allocating votes however with 39 touches, Matt Crouch should feature heavily.

Richmond 85 v Melbourne 42 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Nick Vlastuin2.5
Bachar Houli2
Kane Lambert1.5

It had only been 4 days for Dees fans to recover before they received another dose of salt into the wound. A 43 point loss cementing their spot on the bottom of the ladder, has them, and the rest of us in shock. Nick Vlastuin’s performance, collecting 28 possessions and 13 marks rebounding off HB was the catalyst to the Dees 5th loss, however he’s a back, so we have no confidence allocating the full 3.

Essendon 69 v Collingwood 73 – MCG

Player Projected Votes
Scott Pendlebury3
Joe Daniher1.5
Dylan Shiel1
Brodie Grundy0.5

Scott Pendlebury is an Anzac Day specialist. Equaling James Hird on 3 medals, he was the best player all day and is a lock for 3 votes.

Port Adelaide 88 v North Melbourne 72 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Travis Boak2.5
Sam Gray2
Ben Cunnington1.5

If the season ended today, Travis Boak would be All-Australian. 38 possessions with 15 of them contested and 11 clearances should see him edge out Sam Gray’s 28 disposals and 4 goals for best on.

Gold Coast 62 – Brisbane 111 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Mitch Robinson2.5
Lachie Neale2
Charlie Cameron1
Jarryd Lyons0.5

Lachie Neale reinforced his brownlow credentials with another dominant display, collecting 28 disposals and leading the Lions to a comfortable 49 point win in his first Q Clash. New leader?

St Kilda 68 v Adelaide Crows 97 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Matt Crouch2
Taylor Walker2
Brodie Smith1
Rory Laird1

Adelaide brought St Kilda crashing back down to earth with a crunching win at Marvel Stadium. Tex Walker should poll his first votes of the season with 4 crucial guys and quiet achiever Matt Crouch will go close to best, with another 36 possession game.

Sydney 79 v GWS 120 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Stephen Coniglio3
Tim Taranto1.5
Jeremy Cameron0.5
Toby Greene0.5
Jacob Hopper0.5

Are the Swans finally bottoming out? Losing their fifth game in a row at the SCG for the first time in 25 years, it certainly feels that way. On the other side of the ledger, GWS looked in control for the entire night with Stephen Coniglio looking extremely comfortable as captain kicking 4 goals.

Fremantle 88 v Western Bulldogs 69 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
David Mundy3
Nat Fyfe1.5
Caleb Daniel1
Brandon Matera0.5

Fun Fact: Not only will David Mundy collect 3 votes in his 300th but he also became the second most travelled player (in planes) for AFL games reaching 749,278 kms in his most recent away trip.

Hawthorn 93 v Carlton 88 – UTAS 

PlayerProjected Votes
Jaeger O'Meara3
Liam Shiels2
James Sicily1

Kane Cornes circa 2017: ‘the Jaeger O’Meara trade could end up being one of the worst trades of all time’. Jaeger O’Meara 28/4/2019: 43 disposals, 24 contested possessions, 9 clearances, 6 inside 50s, 1 goal & 10 score involvements. Horrendous game.

Geelong 104 v West Coast – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Gary Ablett2.5
Patrick Dangerfield1.5
Gary Rohan1
Tom Stewart0.5
Mitch Duncan0.5

The little master sent a message to the competition. His not finished. Five goal assists, two goals and 28 disposals in a vintage performance should see Gary Ablett poll his first 3 votes for the year.

Brisbane 61 v Collingwood 123 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Adam Treloar2.5
Brody Mihocek1.5
Jack Crisp1
Jaidyn Stephenson0.5
Tom Langdon0.5

On Thursday night the Pies put the rest of the competition on notice putting away a lackluster Lions outfit to run away comfortable 62 point winners. It was a demolition across the board by the Pies, but with 35 disposals going at 80% efficiency, Adam Treloar should land the 3.

North Melbourne 58 v Essendon 116 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dylan Shiel2.5
Zach Merrett2
Dyson Heppell1.5

3 wins and its mid-April. The lids off down at Windy Hill. In what was a surprisingly comfortable win on such a big occasion, it was won in the 2nd quarter when key midfielders Dyson Heppell, Zach Merrett and Dylan Shiel collected a combined 41 possessions between them to kick start a Bombers avalanche.

West Coast 53 v Port Adelaide 95 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Ollie Wines2.5
Sam Gray1.5
Travis Boak1
Sam Powell-Pepper1

3 wins and its mid-April. The lids off down at Windy Hill. In what was a surprisingly comfortable win on such a big occasion, it was won in the 2nd quarter when key midfielders Dyson Heppell, Zach Merrett and Dylan Shiel collected a combined 41 possessions between them to kick start a Bombers avalanche.

GWS 82 v Fremantle 106 – GMHBA

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2
Michael Walters2
Matt Taberner1.5
Stephen Coniglio0.5

2019 is fast becoming a tipster’s nightmare. The $5.5 outsider looked far from it, and triumphed late banging on 6 goals in a row to run out 24 point victors. Nat Fyfe could again see himself with 3 votes however there’s a fair argument that a combined 46 possessions and 6 goals from Michael Walters and Matt Taberner was more influential.

Melbourne 55 v St Kilda 95 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Billings2
Shane Savage1.5
Dean Kent1.5
Tim Membrey1

On what was their final performance of the Comedy Festival, The Dees didn’t disappoint. Arguably the most entertaining act of the festival, the once ‘premiership contender’ gave us one final laugh before signing off for another year. Seemingly never in it, the Dees were smashed from the outset and it was Jack Billings again who shone brightest. With another 28 disposal/ 2 goal performance we have him polling in his 5th game in a row. Leader?

Richmond 89 v Sydney 67 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Dustin Martin3
Dion Prestia2
Luke Parker1

Be warned. 2017 Dusty could be back and with 25 disposals and 3 goals so will it see him poll for the second time this year.

Western Bulldogs 57 v Carlton 101 – Marvel Stadium

Player Projected Votes
Sam Petrevski-Seton2
Harry McKay2
Patrick Cripps2

Not since Steve Waugh’s 2003 last over century has there been a more tense viewing experience. In this instance it was Carlton trying to notch up the elusive ton, and with 1 second left, they achieved greatness racking up their first 100 for 60 games. Huge performances from Harry McKay, Sam Petreski-Seton and Patrick Cripps were the difference in what ended up a surprisingly comfortable 44 point win.

Adelaide 119 v Gold Coast 46 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Brodie Smith2.5
Eddie Betts2
Rory Sloane1
Matt Crouch0.5

How can you not love Eddie Betts. In his 300th he gave us something special, rising to the occasion kicking 6 goals including a left-foot check-side to lead the Crows in a much needed 73 point thumping.

Hawthorn 90 v Geelong 113 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly2.5
Gary Ablett1.5
Ricky Henderson1
Patrick Dangerfield0.5
Joel Selwood0.5

Geelong refuse to bottom out. It’s quite annoying to be honest. Top of the table once more and with another dominant display through the midfield, Tim Kelly will be in contention for another 3 once more.

Sydney 78 v Melbourne 100 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Nathan Jones2
Max Gawn1.5
Isaac Heeney1
Oliver Florent1
Clayton Oliver0.5

Fact: Buddy Franklin has never beaten a Melbourne side with Brayden Preuss playing. Melbourne have finally unlocked the secret. 3 goals to captain Nathan Jones in what was an inspiring performance also may have helped the cause.

Collingwood 78 v Bulldogs 64 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Brodie Grundy2.5
Marcus Bontempelli2.5
Tom Phillips0.5
Caleb Daniel0.5

Brodie Grundy won 87.9% of the games hit outs. No one else in the AFL era has gone above 77.8%. 23 disposals to add to that tally has the big man edging out a BONT masterclass for the 3 votes.

Geelong 75 v GWS 79 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Whitfield2.5
Stephen Coniglio2
Josh Kelly1
Tim Taranto0.5

Geelong made it 0/2 for the remaining undefeated sides on Saturday going down to a courageous GWS and with another 31 disposal game, our 80/1 value pick preseason may just be winning the vote count 4 rounds in.

Essendon 112 v Brisbane 65 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Anthony Mcd-Tipungwuti3
Zach Merrett2
Mitch Brown1

It’s Jekyll and Hyde type stuff for the Bombers. This week they turned up and put an undefeated Brisbane to the sword and with a personal best 7 goals, Anthony McDonald Tipungwuti is polling the 3.

Port Adelaide 92 v Richmond 99 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Brandon Ellis2
Dylan Grimes1.5
Tom Rockliff1.5
Tom Lynch1

Against all the odds, the Tigers looked to re-discover their 2017 pressure game with a stirring 7 point win away from home. Dylan Grimes was arguably the most influential on the ground however Brownlow votes and defenders rarely go together. Tom Lynch’s 6 goals will go close to the 3.

North Melbourne 71 v Adelaide 59 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Shaun Higgins3
Jared Polec1.5
Rory Laird0.5
Matt Crouch0.5
Ben Brown0.5

Brad Scott’s Kangaroos are finally off the mark in 2019, but it wasn’t without some nervous moments. Going down by 4 goals early in the 3rd term the Kangas looked dead and buried before an inspired Ben Brown performance allowed the winless side to find momentum and come from behind to win.

West Coast 69 v Fremantle 56 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Shannon Hurn2.5
David Mundy1.5
Andrew Gaff1
Jack Redden1

Eagles Captain Shannon Hurn won the Glendinning-Allan Medal for the 3rd time and with 33 disposals it’s hard not to see him collecting 3 votes come September either.

Gold Coast 59 v Carlton 57 – Metricon Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Cripps2.5
Touk Miler2
David Swallow1
Sam Walsh0.5

Death, taxes and Patrick Cripps best on in another Carlton loss. Standard. The Suns snatched it at the death in another thriller and probably only Touk’s 31 possessions could snatch the 3 from Cripps.

St Kilda 74 v Hawthorn  69 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Seb Ross2.5
Jack Billings1.5
Tom Scully1
Ricky Henderson0.5
Jack Newnes0.5

The dam wall finally collapsed. In a tense final quarter, St Kilda were able to take advantage of an injury depleted Hawthorn to notch up their 3rdstraight victory at Marvel. With 39 possessions and a goal, Seb Ross led the Saints all day and is the short priced favourite for best on.

Adelaide 75 v Geelong 99 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield3
Brad Crouch1.5
Tim Kelly1
Rory Sloane0.5

As we flagged in our pre-season preview, Geelong star Patrick Dangerfield is among a crop of top-tier footballers who will reap the benefits of the AFL’s 6-6-6 rule.  The Brownlow medal favourite collected another 32 disposals and 10 clearances relishing his newly found freedom and should be leading the Brownlow after 3 rounds.

Melbourne 112 v Essendon 130 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Dyson Heppell2
Angus Brayshaw1.5
David Zaharakis1.5
Dylan Shiel1

Titus O’Reilly said it best – ‘Melbourne will have no trouble filling their banner next week.’  The stakes were high and the Dees weren’t up to it.  By contrast,  Essendon relied on another trial by media to find a win.  Led by Dyson Heppell’s 27 possessions the Dons are on the board.

Carlton 74 v Sydney 93 – MCG

PLayerProjected Votes
Isaac Heeney3
Josh Kennedy1
Patrick Cripps1
Ed Curnow1

A win isn’t far away for the poor ol Blues. Gallant In defeat, it was the likes of Isaac Heeney and Josh Kennedy that proved the difference in a tight contest.

GWS 125 v Richmond 76 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jeremy Cameron3
Lachie Whitfield2
Jeremy Finlayson1

Led by tall forwards Jeremy Cameron (seven goals) and prolific midfielder Lachie Whitfield, GWS came up trumps against an injury depleted Tigers outfit. With a statline that reads 42 disposals, 12 marks and eight inside 50s, Lachie Whitfield may still finish runner-up for the 3 votes after Jeremy Cameron kicked 7 goals collecting an astonishing 30 disposals while doing so.

Brisbane 107 v Port Adelaide 90 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale3
Connor Rozee1.5
Eric Hipwood1.5

3 Rounds in and Lachie Neale is the recruit of the year. Averaging a lazy 38.3 possessions, he’s a short price to be leading the Brownlow. Oh, and Brisbane are 3 and zip.

Collingwood 76 v West Coast 98 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Andrew Gaff2.5
Dom Sheed1.5
Shannon Hurn1
Jamie Cripps1

Andrew Gaff is a handy inclusion to a side that are defending premiers. 35 disposals and five clearances, the classy midfielder hardly put a foot wrong in front of the 60000 strong MCG crowd. Amazing what winning a Grand Final can do to a team’s confidence playing away from home.

Western Bulldogs 68 v Gold Coast 73

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Martin2
Marcus Bontempelli1.5
Tom Liberatore1
Jack Macrae1
Brayden Fiorini0.5

Gold Coast are fast becoming everyone’s 2nd favourite team and a gutsy win away from home only enhanced that.  Difficult one to allocate when the losing side has 4 of the top disposal winners though.  Jack Martin no certainty for three but looks the best chance with 23 touches and 5 shots on goal.

Hawthorn 87 v North Melbourne 71

PlayerProjected Votes
Jaegar O'Meara2.5
Shaun Higgins2
Jack Ziebell0.5
Jasper Pittard0.5
Luke Breust0.5

Overcoming a sluggish start, Hawthorn rolled over the top of a marshmallow-like Kangaroos side who struggled to go with the Hawks after the pressure went up a notch. Jaeger O’Meara continues to enhance the reputation of Hawthorns rehab team with another dominant 31 possession game and should go close to best on in the impressive come from behind win.

Fremantle 71 v St Kilda 66 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Michael Walters2.5
Luke Ryan2
Ed Langdon1
Jack Billings0.5

Nathan Fyfe got knocked out and wont poll a vote. What the first half also provided was proof when Michael Walters is invested and playing midfield he’s a dangerous proposition. 

Richmond 66 v Collingwood 110 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Adam Treloar2
Scott Pendlebury1
Jordan De Goey1
Jack Crisp1
Dayne Beams1

If you’re a fan of Supercoach you’d understand that if the top 12 individual scores were attributed to one team, the other side probably didn’t go so well.  That side is Richmond and you can forget about them polling a Brownlow vote in this one. Adam Treloar’s going to feature with 39 possessions and a goal with De Goey’s 5 goal masterclass possibly falling in behind him.

Sydney 62 v Adelaide 88 – SCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Brad Crouch2
Rory Sloane1.5
Josh Kennedy1.5
Jake Lloyd1

Round 2 knee-jerk reaction: Sydney are cooked.  When they needed to up the tempo and chase down a deficit, the challenge looked beyond them.  Rory Sloane’s intensity was instrumental but with 26 disposals and a goal, we’re leaning towards Brad Crouch.

Essendon 65 v St Kilda 76 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Jade Gresham2.5
Jack Billings2
Dylan Shiel1.5

For St Kilda, it was consistency and an even spread of contributors that did the damage.  Jade Gresham’s two goals and 25 touches looks the most likely game for 3 votes.

Port Adelaide 88 v Carlton 72 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom Rockliff2
Travis Boak2
Patrick Cripps1
Scott Lycett1

Gallant in defeat, the Blues fell just short of a Port Adelaide side surprising most with two wins to open their season.  The same Boak/Rockliff combo as round 1 were influential in  victory racking up 70 possessions between them and should land the 3 & 2 respectively.

Geelong 126 v Melbourne 46 – GMHBA Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Patrick Dangerfield3
Clayton Oliver2
Tim Kelly0.5
Tom Stewart0.5

Melbourne has setup a mouth-watering wooden spoon clash with their crosstown rivals Essendon by outdoing the Dons first two weeks efforts and losing by 80 points taking over bottom place on the ladder. Geelong dominated from the get go and with some new found space and time, Dangerfield flourished, collecting 37 possessions and kicking two goals.

West Coast 104 v GWS 52 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Luke Shuey2.5
Lachie Whitfield2
Dom Sheed1.5

Don’t be surprised if West Coast go through the season not dropping a game at Optus and don’t be surprised if Luke Shuey polls 20+ on Brownlow night. 28 possessions and two goals gets him top votes in this one.

North Melbourne 87 v Brisbane 107 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Lachie Neale3
Ben Cunnington2
Shaun Higgins1

A maturing Lions outfit is fast becoming a scary proposition and with the likes of Lachie Neale at the helm collecting 40+ disposals, the sky is the limit!

Hawthorn 87 v Western Bulldogs 106

PlayerProjected Votes
Jack Macrae2
Jaegar O'Meara1.5
Josh Schache1
Tory Dickson1
Tom Liberatore0.5

An exhilarating nine-goal final term sealed what was an extraordinary victory.  Five goals down at the final change the Dogs managed to secure a stunning 19-point victory over a Hawks side down to two on the bench and out on their feet.  Nine of their midfielders managed 20 disposals or more and hats off to the few who land the 3/2/1 in order. Macrae and O’Meara should feature though.

Gold Coast 61 v Fremantle 58

PlayerProjected Votes
Alex Sexton2
Jarrod Harbrow1.5
Bradley Hill1.5
Jack Martin0.5
David Swallow0.5

2019s easy beats are not so easy to beat. Alex Sexton leads the Coleman Medal. Could he be leading the Brownlow? Probably not but wowee!

Carlton 64 v Richmond 97 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Trent Cotchin2
Patrick Cripps1.5
Toby Nankervis1.5
Nic Newman1

20 mins in and it looked like Carlton’s JLT hype balloon was about to sink like a lead balloon.  But for the first time for what feels like an eternity, Carlton actually looked alright after a disastrous opening quarter.  Cripps of course fired again in another Carlton loss racking up 21 contested possessions however with the W, we’re leaning towards Trent Cotchin’s 31 possessions as the standout game.

Collingwood 65 v Geelong 72 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tim Kelly2.5
Patrick Dangerfield1.5
Adam Treloar1
Gary Ablett1

You get the feeling every big game Tim Kelly plays will be a bittersweet one for the Cats faithful.  All but signed for the Eagles in 2020, it was the classy midfielders 31 possessions and 9 clearances that catapulted the Cats to a massive first up victory against premiership favourites Collingwood.

Melbourne 61 v Port Adelaide 87 – MCG

PlayerProjected Votes
Tom Rockliff2.5
Justin Westhoff2
Travis Boak1
Christian Salem0.5

In what was the first of many boilovers for the opening round, Port Adelaide produced a flawless second half performance to stun the fancied Demons. With four debutants and another two playing their first game for the club, there was plenty to like about Ken Hinkley’s side on Saturday afternoon. Five goals to Justin Westhoff and 44 possessions to Tom Rockliff look to be the stand out performances in the 26 point win.

Adelaide 55 – Hawthorn 87 – Adelaide Oval

PlayerProjected Votes
James Worpel3
James Sicily1.5
Jaegar O'Meara1.5

Considering their own fans didn’t give them much of a chance, Hawthorns 22 point win proved to us all that maybe it’s best to see a sample of the real stuff before investing our hard earned. Another pre-season ‘hype’ team failed to deliver when it counted outclassed by yet another Alistair Clarkson masterclass. James Worpel’s two goals and 27 possessions was as impressive game as any in the round and will land him the three votes later in the year.

Bulldogs 82 v Sydney 65 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Marcus Bontempelli3
Jack Macrae1.5
Tom Liberatore1
Aaron Naughton0.5

A sluggish Swans left it too late falling short to a Bulldogs side much resembling their 2016 triumph. The young side dominated territory outnumbering Sydney at the contest allowing the likes of Bont and Jack Macrae to collect possessions at will.

Brisbane 102 v West Coast 58 – Gabba

PlayerProjected Votes
Hugh McCluggage2
Lachie Neale1.5
Dom Sheed1.5
Jarrod Berry1

If you went four from four in your tipping on Saturday you’ve got no idea… The Lions finished off what was a crazy day of results kicking 12 of the final 14 goals to run out comfortable 44 point victors against the defending premiers. An even spread of contributors makes this one hard to allocate however we’re expecting Hugh McCluggage’s 20 possessions/ 1 goal game and Lachie Neale’s 29 possessions to feature in the umpires voting.

St Kilda 85 v Gold Coast 84 – Marvel Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Seb Ross2
Jack Billings2
Alex Sexton1.5
Brayden Fiorini0.5

Alan Richardson was one relieved man come 4pm Sunday. 30 minutes earlier he may just have been clearing his schedule for a year’s holiday. Despite that and a nervous last term featuring plenty of fumbles, his side managed to scrap their way to victory and save him from any early scrutiny. You’ll be doing well to land the trifecta in this one but Seb Ross’s 27 possessions and Jack Billings 28 should see the two midfielders feature heavily in the 6 votes.

GWS 112 v Essendon 40 – Giants Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Stephen Coniglio3
Tim Taranto2
Lachie Whitfield1

Woosha must be starting to feel the pressure. No longer is the drug saga a reasonable excuse for insipid performances. A 72 point drubbing will have him and the underperforming Dons in the spotlight throughout the week. GWS on the other hand lead by a dominant Stephen Coniglio looked like a team that has plenty of depth regardless of an off season cleanout.

Fremantle 141 – North Melbourne 59 – Optus Stadium

PlayerProjected Votes
Nat Fyfe2.5
Cam McCarthy2
Bradley Hill1
Darcy Tucker0.5

Once again, the punters took the Ross Lyon bluff. An uninspiring JLT and a less than ideal lead up looked to have counted for little as they made the Kangaroos look second rate in front of a packed crowd at Optus stadium. Usually this means 3 votes to Nat Fyfe and most likely in this case, yes, however Cam McCarthy’s 5 goals & 20 touches could genuinely challenge.


Voting Method

Six Brownlow Medal votes are assigned to each game, however, the Betfair predictive method does not follow the 3-2-1 formula of the AFL. Votes vary from 0.5 to 3, allowing for more than three players to be acknowledged. This means less players are overlooked, and when the model is confident, more Brownlow votes can be allocated to a particular player. The trap of allocating 3-2-1 is that there are many matches with few standout players, and impactful 3s and 2s can be allocated to players that the umpires didn’t notice.

Voting Tiers:

3 votes: Clearly the best player on the ground

2.5 votes: Questionably the best player on the ground

2 votes: Clear second best player on the ground or possible best in a crowded field

1.5 votes: Potentially second best player on the ground, often shared by multiple players

1 vote: Likely third best, but can be shared by multiple players

0.5 votes: Wasn’t the standout but their influence should be acknowledged


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