THOUSAND GUINEAS FEATURE PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | DEAN EVANS |
TRACK: Caulfield | DISTANCE: 1600 | RAIL POSITION: True | TRACK CONDITIONS: Good 4 | PRIZE MONEY: 1,500,000
PAST RESULTS
Recent winners have included Atlantic Jewel, Commanding Jewel, Guelph, Global Glamour, Aloisia, Flit and Odeum.
Dean Evans’ Betfair G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)
2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2024 Manikato Stakes: Southport Tycoon $25.00
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23.00
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2024 Oakleigh Plate: Queman $19.15
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95
2021 Coolmore Classic: Krone $15.50
2022 Australasian Oaks: Glint Of Hope $13.55
2023 TJ Smith Stakes: I Wish I Win $12.80
2023 Lightning Stakes: Coolangatta $12.69
2020 Metropolitan Handicap: Mirage Dancer $11.18
2022 Surround Stakes: Hinged $11.00
2020 Manikato Stakes: Hey Doc $10.32
2023 Blue Diamond Stakes: Little Brose $10.24
HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 13 YEARS)
- Barrier 1-4 (7/52), 5-9 (5/64), 10+ (1/36)
- Gear Changes (0/32)
- Career Starts 2 (0/3), 3-6 (12/111), 7+ (1/38)
- 2nd up (1/4), 3rd up (1/46), 4th up (9/62), 5th up (2/25), 6th up+ (0/15)
- Exchange Price $1-$15 (12/63)
- Last Start 1600m (6/46), 1400m (7/95)
- Tab Number 1-9 (13/113), 10+ (0/39)
- C Waller (3/7)
- Second Last Start Finishing Position 1-2 (11/78)
- SR100+ (12/95), OHR70+ (12/108),
- IR $2-$16 (11/72), RVR40+ (13/107)
TOP 4 SELECTIONS
11. Benagil
4. Zeitung
2. Aeliana
6. Dominetta
KEY RUNNERS
1. Too Darn Lizzie – Led and won G2 over 1400m at this track on soft ground, then 8th beaten 4.4L at G3 level at Flemington last start. Mile on a dry track may test.
2. Aeliana – Won the G3 Reginald Allen then won the G3 Carbine Club at Flemington by 3.6L. Rates on top but drawn wide and maps well back.
4. Zeitung – Racing consistently well and can settle closer here. Won the G3 Vanity at Flemington last start.
6. Dominetta – Ran a close 2nd in the G3 Reginald Allen then 3rd in the G3 Vanity. Maps well. In the mix.
7. Matisse – Finished well for 2nd in the G3 Vanity last start. Handy filly but drawn wide so likely to get well back.
8. Another Prophet – Ran a distant 2nd to Aeliana in the G3 Carbine Club last start.
11. Benagil – Was held up for much of the straight but flew home for 5th beaten 2.2L in the G3 Vanity running the best late sectionals of the race.
SPEED MAP
Average tempo expected here with Too Darn Lizzie, Dominetta, Stage N Screen and Geegees Mistruth up front. Supercilious, Another Prophet, Lets Fly & Lovelycut likely to race handy. Zeitung & Benagil back of midfield. Double Market, Aeliana & Matisse get back.
SUMMARY
Benagil was impressive last start. Needs luck from the barrier but is the best value. Zeitung is drawn well and racing consistently well. Aeliana was impressive last start and rates highly. Dominetta is the best of the on pacers who maps well.
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Benagil (WIN) for 1 unit
BACK: 4. Zeitung (WIN) for 1 unit