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Gabriel Benitez v Justin Jaynes

Bizarre opener for this one, where Benitez was briefly the underdog at the opener before getting inexorably steamed down to the 1.45~ mark.

I’m generally a big fan of Benitez, he kicks like a mule, swings hard, and sets a strong tempo in the majority of his fights. Jaynes came out of nowhere with a big quick KO over UFC mainstay Frank Camacho in an ultra short-notice debut, but in the time since has been essentially mauled by Gavin Tucker in his last bout.

Jaynes’ skillset tends to boil down to a round of hard hook-swinging before gassing down the stretch, a recipe that’ll provide ample scope to force a finish. Benitez kicks absurdly hard, though has a tendency to get clipped hard himself on occasion. I’m expecting a crazy war out of this one, and the plays are pretty simple as a result.

Two bulls on parade who’ll likely swing to death pretty quickly. I’m confident that Benitez’ll be able to make it through the fire & the flames of Jaynes’ first round to find a stoppage of his own, but will err on the side of the ITD for the majority of my stake.


Benitez KO2

Betting Strategy

BACK — Benitez v Jaynes ends ITD for 2 units at 1.74

BACK — Benitez KO for 1 unit at 4.50

John Allan v Roman Dolidze

Bit of a stab in the dark here, but I think there’s a strong argument to fade Roman Dolidze at his favorite price. John Allan’s historically been a tough out with strong cardio, a good tempo and a great chin who’ll come at his man.

Dolidze’s regional fights were in fairly-dodgy circumstances per my view, and I think there’s legitimate questions all over his game beyond the pretty, flashy kicks.

Good chance that this fight is chaotic. Dolidze’s a bit of a process-void, but chaos is a ladder.


Allan by Decision

Betting Strategy

BACK — John Allan to win for 1.5 units at 2.68

Current Results (UFC & Bellator)

Total Units Staked: 303.93

Total Units Returned: 298.53

ROI: -1.78%

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