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EXPERT TIPS: A-LEAGUE

Best Bets

Tony Hargraves

Best Bet

Betting Strategy

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Back Brisbane for 2 units @ $2.00

I can only see a home win after the way Western threw away yet another lead three days ago. Brisbane won their last home game 5-1 against Melbourne City and they are far better than this shambles of a visiting team. Get on the Roar.

Brisbane Roar vs Western United

Friday 7.45pm

Western United are back in the spotlight after playing just 72 hours ago. In an incredible result, they were leading 1-0 after 90+6 minutes, and lost 2-1 after conceding in the 96th and 98th minutes. We had the draw at 4/1 so when they went 1-1 we were very happy, but then to concede again instantly was a harsh fate for our bet.

Western United have beaten Brisbane in three of the past five meetings. The last two were both won by the home side. It was 1-2 in Sydney and 1-0 in Brisbane. Brisbane have won 4/9 at home,  and when away this season, Western United have lost seven of their past eight away with one draw.

Betting Strategy

Back Brisbane for 2 units @ $2.00

I can only see a home win after the way Western threw away yet another lead three days ago. Brisbane won their last home game 5-1 against Melbourne City and they are far better than this shambles of a visiting team. Get on the Roar.

Sydney FC vs Melbourne City

Saturday 5.30pm

We nearly always get a result when these sides meet. In the past 11 meetings, there was just one draw. It is four wins for Sydney and six wins for Melbourne, including three of the past four. The scores (Sydney first) were 0-2, 2-3, 2-1 and 0-4. A total of 10-4 in Melbourne’s favour over the four meetings. All 11 meetings had a second half goal.

Betting Strategy

Lay Melbourne for 1 unit @ $3.90

Sydney are flying now with four straight home wins and five of the past six saw them collect three points. Melbourne have lost four straight away from home. Sydney to stay on a roll.

Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers

Saturday 7.45pm

This is an even game with the past three meetings sharing all three outcomes. A win, loss and draw for both sides. The past meetings has seen both sides score seven goals. Results were 0-1, 3-2 and 4-4. Before that there was a 0-0. And a couple of games before that was 2-2 and 1-1.

In 13 Head to Head games, five were drawn. It is three wins for Adelaide and five for WSW. Eight of the 13 games saw two first half goals. 12/13 had a first half goal and 11/13 had a second half goal.

Betting Strategy

Back Over 3.5 goals for 2 units @ $2.10

With the past three Adelaide home games seeing 17 goals, and two games back for WSW it was 3-4 away to Macarthur, I am getting on the Over 3.5 here for sure.

Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix

Saturday 9.45pm

The Phoenix are top of the table and their away form shows us why. Three away wins and a draw in the past four visits to three different states. They beat Macarthur 2-1, drew with Brisbane 1-1, beat Newcastle 2-1 and beat Perth 4-3. All three wins involved a one goal margin, but it shows they can close the deal, unlike Western United (gave up two goals after 96 minutes to lose).

Perth home games are all about goals. Recent results were 3-2, 4-2, 3-4, 2-3, 3-2 and 2-1. All but one game having a one goal margin there as well. The past three Head to Head were 3-4, 1-2 and 2-2 and it’s been a whopping 10 games since Perth beat the Phoenix. They have lost seven and drawn three in the past 10 Head to Head games. I simply don’t understand how Perth are favourites against the league leaders.

Betting Strategy

Back Wellington for 2 units @ $2.84

Unbeaten in the last 10 games against Perth, three wins in the past four away, leading the league against the side third from bottom, yet we see Perth as favourites? Turn it up.

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners

Sunday 5.00pm

This game of the weekend sees second placed Mariners facing third placed Victory. Things are tight when these two play and the past two meetings were 1-1 and 2-2. before that was a win apiece and before that was another 1-1. Two very closely matched sides. In 13 meetings, 11 saw both teams score, 12 had a first half goal and 12 had a second half goal.

I can’t split the sides so I will take both teams to score and leave it at that.

Betting Strategy

Back both teams to score YES for 2 units at $1.70

Both sides love a goal and they often draw so I think the smart play here is to back both teams to score and I think $1.70 is a standout price as well.

Newcastle vs Macarthur

Sunday 5.00pm

 The Jets have won three of the past five meetings with just one loss. the most recent meeting was a 1-1 draw. Overall from nine meetings both sides are 3-3-3. Six of those games saw both teams score, with 8/9 having a first half goal and 7/9 having a second half goal.

 At home this season, Newcastle are 2-3-2 from seven games, so nothing to boast about. They drew last home game 1-1 with Melbourne Victory and were not disgraced in a 1-2 loss to league leaders Wellington, and won the two before that. It was 3-1 against Brisbane and 2-0 against bottom placed Western United.

 Macarthur away have won their past two games, beating Melbourne Victory 1-0 and Brisbane 3-1.

I think Newcastle are a risk at the price, so I am going against the hosts. That gives us two of the three outcomes in the Match Odds market. The draw is on our side.

Betting Strategy

Lay Newcastle for 2 units @ $2.16

With the Jets having not won their past two home games and Macarthur winning their past two away, I have the prices closer together. Tempted to back Macarthur, but a draw would see that bet lose, so we can lay Newcastle and have the draw onside.

A-League 2024

The A League is Australia’s premier Men’s football competition, running since 2005. In recent seasons the competition has expanded to 12 teams with Western United winning the premiership last season in just their third year in the competition.

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The first edition of the A League competition, which is run by the FFA, was played in the 2005-06 summer. Seven of the original teams remain in the competition: Melbourne Victory, Adelaide United, Brisbane Roar, Sydney FC, Newcastle Jets, Central Coast Mariners and Perth Glory. In the years since they’ve been joined by Melbourne City (formerly Melbourne Heart), Western United, Wellington Phoenix, Macarthur FC and the Western Sydney Wanderers.

Eight different teams have won the competition in the 17 year history, with Sydney FC claiming the most titles with five, ahead of Melbourne Victory with four and the Brisbane Roar who won the competition three times in four seasons from 2011-2014. Several of the competition’s biggest names recently took part in Australia’s bold 2022 World Cup campaign.

Betfair’s A League offerings are extensive and include A League tips for every game. Our data experts will provide detailed previews of each contest, including how history can dictate outcomes, form lines ‘spotlight’ players to consider wagering on, and key betting strategies. The specialist data, including free A League betting tips, is aimed at helping punters make the correct choices to extract maximum value from their A League wagering.

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