Your Expert Super Rugby Tips

Throughout the Super Rugby Season, the Analysts will be providing their Super Rugby Tips for every round.

They’ll give their expert preview on the game, along with providing their best selection, exclusive to the Betfair Hub.

Go where the value is on the Super Rugby and head to the Betfair Exchange.

Crusaders v Jaguares

The Crusaders are chasing their third straight Super Rugby title but will not find the going easy against the mighty Jaguares. This is the last chance we will get to back the hottest betting proposition in world sport this season.

The men from Argentina have now won 11 of their last 13 with an astonishing 12 covers over that span. They totally dominated the Brumbies last week. While they are unlikely to get fully over the steeled and experienced Crusaders, they present plenty of value in all markets.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares +13.5

Jaguares v Brumbies

Never stop riding the hot hand and there is no hotter team in Super Rugby betting than the men from Argentina. Los Jaguares have won 10 of their last 12 with a remarkable 11 covers over that stretch. The market has got them wrong all year and continues to get them wrong.

At home this year Los Jaguares are 8-2 with their record against the Australian Conference a perfect 4-0. Over the last two years they are 8-1 with two wins against the Brumbies. The Brumbies have won just 3 of their last 9 overseas jaunts.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares -5.5

Crusaders v Hurricanes

The Crusaders have thumped the Hurricanes twice this year and there is absolutely no reason why they won’t do it again. The men from Canterbury are chasing their third straight Super Rugby title and they have a clear talent disparity over the Hurricanes.

The Crusaders are unbeaten at home this year with seven of their nine games at Christchurch wins by 16 or more. The Hurricanes don’t have the defensive chops to get close to the Crusaders.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -12.5

Hurricanes v Bulls

The line in this one looks far too big. The Hurricanes have struggled to put teams to the sword this year with three wins by 14+ from their 16 regular season games.

Only two of their eight home games have been wins of more than 10 points. The Bulls have pulled off back-to-back draws in their last two games in New Zealand and they have only been towelled up once by teams outside the Top 2.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Bulls +13.5

Crusaders v Highlanders

The Crusaders wrapped the season up as dominant as they have been. They lost only twice and finished they year with the most points and the fewest points conceded. They ran roughshod over the Rebels when they last played in Christchurch 66-0 and when they played the Highlanders last they won 43-17.

The Crusaders have won six straight against the Highlanders with four of those wins by 17-plus. The Crusaders don’t get threatened in these type of games.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -12.5

Los Jaguares v Chiefs

Los Jaguares are the most underrated team in Super Rugby. They have won nine of their last 11 and have covered a remarkable 10 of their most recent 11 games. The long and the short of it is that the market have got the Los Jaguares completely wrong because they are from the outpost of Argentina.

The Chiefs were the last team to beat Los Jaguares in Buenos Aries but since then the Chiefs have been wildly inconsistent with five wins from their last nine. This is a case of keep riding the wave.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Los Jaguares -3.5

Jaguares v Sunwolves

The Jaguares just keep on covering. They are cover machines with wins in eight of their last 10 and covers in nine of their last 10.

The Sunwolves have lost eight on end and their last four by an average of 28.7. The Sunwolves have given up and the Jaguares are at home riding their best season to date. This has all the hallmarks of a hammering.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares -21.5

Hurricanes v Blues

There is strong speculation that the Hurricanes will rest a number of key players this week with their position in the playoffs virtually locked in, making the 11.5 points a very enticing play. The Hurricanes have won just two of eight home games this year by more than 10 points.

The Blues have lost by more than 12 points just once this year and that was way back in Round 2.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Blues +11.5

Brumbies v Reds

The Reds have generally avoided heavy defeats this season. In their last six matches, they have lost just once by more than eight points. They have lost by more than 10 points just three times this season. The Reds hammered the Brumbies 36-14 when the teams met in Round 6.

The Brumbies have just one win this year from five games against Australian teams of more than a converted try.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +7.5

Highlanders v Bulls

The Highlanders have been a shaky betting proposition all year. They are struggling for form with just a single win in their last four while they have just two double digit wins all season.

The Bulls have been sound travellers this year with a 4-3 record away from Loftus Versfeld and have just one loss of more than 12 points. Their only loss in their last nine by more than 12 points was to the mighty Crusaders.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Bulls +10.5

Stormers v Sunwolves

The Sunwolves have completely tipped it in since word got out that they would not be part of the Super Rugby setup from next year. They have dropped four of their last five by at least 23, conceding 50-plus in two of those.

The Stormers are 5-1 at home this year and will give the Newlands faithful plenty to cheer.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Stormers -24.5

Los Jaguares v Sharks

The Los Jaguares have just been money all season and continue to serve bettors well. They have won three straight and got the money in seven of their last eight. They have covered a remarkable eight of their last nine.

The Sharks have won just two of their last seven.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares -7.5

Blues v Bulls

It has been a season of return for the Blues. They have seen the bottom and while they are a long way from the top, they have found hope. They ended their drought against New Zealand teams and they have won three straight against international opposition.

In Auckland this year they are 4-2 with close losses to the Crusaders and Hurricanes. The Bulls have played out of South Africa three times this year and have suffered double digit losses in two, including a 12-point defeat to the Brumbies last week.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Blues -9.5

Rebels v Waratahs

The Waratahs downed the Rebels in Round 10 and can do it again in Melbourne. Big wins have not been the Rebels go, save their destruction of the Sunwolves last week.

They have won just one of their previous five matches and have only three of 15 performances this year that have resulted in a win of more than a converted try. The Waratahs have not lost by more than eight points all season so they can keep this close enough to cover.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Waratahs +6.5

Reds v Los Jaguares

The Los Jaguares just keep rolling with six wins in their last seven games including consecutive road wins against the Hurricanes and Waratahs. Over the last two years Los Jaguares are 5-1 against Australian teams. The Reds have been gritty but have dropped three straight and have failed to cover three of their last four games in Brisbane.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares -3.5

Crusaders v Blues

This is a horrible spot for the Blues here, meeting the Crusaders off a terrible draw against the Stormers at Newlands in a week where the club is engulfed in an off-field scandal. The Crusaders have not lost in six games in Christchurch this year with five of those wins by 16 or more. The Blues are winless in five road games this year and hardly look ready to run the Crusaders close this week.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -13.5

Waratahs v Los Jaguares

There aren’t too many tougher teams in the game than the Jaguares, who are off a gritty 28-20 win in Wellington over the Hurricanes. The boys from Argentina have won three of their last four road games and the Waratahs have failed to cover their last three home games. The Jaguares have won both their matches against the Waratahs.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares +2.5

Chiefs v Reds

It would take a game bettor to lay double digits to side with the Chiefs. The Chiefs have just a single win of more than 10 points in their 13 games this year. They have won just one of their last five games and are 4-4-1 in their last nine at home with not a single victory of more than seven points. The Reds have played four straight decided by single digits and are 2-4 on the road this year with no loss by more than 15.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +10

Hurricanes V Jaguares

The Jaguares don’t turn in many poor performances and big defeats are extremely rare. They have lost just once this year by more than 10 points with their road record a respectable 2-3 with a five-point loss in Dunedin last week. The Hurricanes have hardly been blowing teams apart this season with just two wins of more than 10 in 12 games.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Jaguares +15.5

Rebels v Bulls

The Rebels have been getting the job done at home this year with a 4-1 record but three of those wins have come by six or fewer so happy to bet the Bulls getting a start of 6.5. The Rebels are 0-3 against South African teams this year and are 1-7-1 against South African teams the last three years. The Bulls have won five of nine and their only floggings have come at the hands of New Zealand teams in 2019.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Bulls +7.5

Reds v Waratahs

The Waratahs have won 10 straight against the Reds and have not gone down to their rivals since 2013 so fancy they will continue their run of dominance. The Reds’ defence has fallen away conceding at least 26 points in three of four while the Waratahs have covered all five road games this year.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Waratahs -0.5

Blues v Hurricanes

The Hurricanes have the second best record in Super Rugby but there is no doubt they have endured a somewhat flat season highlighted by an inability to put away anyone. They have just two wins by more than 10 points and they are 3-1-1 on the road this year but their biggest win is just six points.

The Blues have won four straight this year at Eden Park with their only loss a two-point defeat in Round 1 to the Crusaders. The 6.5 points here looks money.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Blues +6.5

Rebels v Reds

Impossible to go past the Rebels here laying single digits. The Rebels thumped the Reds 32-13 at Suncorp just six weeks back and posted a 45-19 win when the teams last met in Victoria. The Reds have lost both their derby matches on the road this year by double digits and have lost five straight against Australian opposition by 10 or more points.

The Rebels have won three of four games in Melbourne this year.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Rebels -9.5

Brumbies v Sunwolves

The Sunwolves have a howler in them after it was announced they would not be playing in Super Rugby next year. They have been underrated on the road this year though having gone 2-3 with only one loss of more than six points.

The Brumbies have just a single win of more than 11 points this year so this projects as a close one.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Sunwolves +9.5

Hurricanes v Rebels

The Rebels have played tough all year and are the bet getting the big number in this one. They lead the Australian Conference and have suffered only one loss of more than 14 this year.

The Rebels have been strong outside of Melbourne with a 2-3 record with two of the losses by three points. Six of the Hurricanes’ last nine home games have been single digit wins.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Rebels +13.5

Crusaders v Sharks

The Crusaders have been dependable in putting disposing of inferior opposition and am happy to side with them here. After going down to the Warriors, the Crusaders have rattled off four straight wins of 24 or more with two of those coming against New Zealand opposition.

In their last 10 home games, no team has finished closer than 16 points behind the men from Christchurch. The Sharks have beaten just the lowly Waratahs in their last three.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -22.5

Reds v Sunwolves

The backend has fallen out of the Sunwolves’ season since news got out that they would not be part of the Super Rugby setup next year.

They have dropped three straight with two by margins of 27 or more with a six-point home loss to a well undermanned Hurricanes sandwiched in between. The Reds have won four of six and have conceded 14 or fewer in three of their last five.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds -10.5

Crusaders v Lions

The Crusaders have been reliable in putting poor teams to the sword of late and am happy to side with them here. After a shock loss to the Waratahs, the Crusaders have peeled off three straight wins of 24 or more with two of those coming against New Zealand opposition. In their last nine home games, no team has finished closer than 16 points behind the mighty Crusaders with the Lions losing by 19 in the Grand Final here last season. The Lions downed the Chiefs last week but have been held to 25 or fewer in four of five road games this year.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -19.5

Hurricanes v Chiefs

The Hurricanes have struggled to put teams away this season so more than willing to take the 11.5 points to be with the Chiefs. The Canes have just a single double digit win this year and have played in eight straight against New Zealand teams without a double-digit victory. The Hurricanes and the Chiefs played a draw earlier in the year with their last three meetings decided by four points or fewer.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Chiefs +11.5

Los Jaguares v Brumbies

Los Jaguares have played themselves into some form with back-to-back wins in South Africa against the Bulls and Sharks, putting on 50 against the latter. Back to Buenos Aries, they will be confident of doing a number on the Brumbies. Los Jaguares are just 2-2 at home this year but have won six of their last nine on Argentine soil. The Brumbies rolled the Stormers at Newlands last week but are a poor 1-5 away from Canberra this year.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Los Jaguares -4.5

Chiefs v Lions

The Chiefs have struggled to put teams away this season. After losing the first four games of the season, the Chiefs have not lost in their last four but have just a single win greater than four points. In their last 11 games in Hamilton, the Chiefs have just a single victory of more than a touchdown.

The Lions have dropped their last two and but have won two of their last three outside South Africa and have just one double digit loss in their last seven international matches.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Lions +7.5

Sharks v Reds

The Sharks have been extremely poor propositions at home this year with a poor 2-3 record at Kings Park and 2-5 in South Africa overall this season. The Reds have overachieved this year with a 3-5 record and only two losses all year of more than 13 points. The Reds have won three of their last five against South African teams. The plus here is far too big.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +12.5

Highlanders v Blues

The Blues managed to bring to an end their three-year losing drought against New Zealand opponents four weeks back against the Highlanders. They followed it up with two straight wins before going down to the Chiefs. The Highlanders have dropped five straight but only a loss to the Crusaders was by more than a converted try. The Highlanders should be winning in a big revenge spot.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -2.5

Crusaders v Highlanders

The Highlanders have made a name this year playing tight rugby with all six games decided by seven points or fewer, making the 12.5 points a delicious play. They have won just one of four against New Zealand opposition this year but it is a confidence issue rather than a level of play concern. The Highlanders and Crusaders have played reasonably close with the Highlanders winning three of the last eight and only two Crusaders wins topping 11 points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +13.5

Chiefs v Blues

The Blues ended their long drought against New Zealand teams recently against the Highlanders but they won’t be extending it when their northern derby rivalry against the Chiefs takes place from Hamilton on Saturday. The Chiefs have not lost their last three and are playing improved rugby following a win in Argentina over Los Jaguares. The Chiefs have not lost in their last 14 against the Blues with 11 of those wins coming by more than a try.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Chiefs -4.5

Bulls v Reds

The Bulls have fallen into a fair rut over the last three weeks with home losses to the Chiefs and Los Jaguares. The Reds, by contrast, have picked up their season with three wins in the last four including an impressive home win against the Stormers. The Reds have played away three times this year and all losses have been by 11 or fewer.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +11.5

Highlanders v Hurricanes

The Highlanders have played five games this year and no match has been decided by more than a converted try. They play tight, they play hard and they play with desire so happy to accept the 2.5 points as a home underdog.

They downed the Reds 36-31 in their only home game this year and have won 14 of 15 on home turf. The Hurricanes are winless in their last six road games in New Zealand and have not beaten a New Zealand team other than the Blues in New Zealand since 2016.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +2.5

Lions v Sharks

The Lions have won 7 of 8 against the Sharks and look to be in a good spot to record another comfortable win against their rivals from Natal.

The Lions have won 7 of 8 at Emirates Airline Park and five of those victories have been by 17-plus. The Sharks have won just 2 of 8 against South African opposition.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Lions -6.5

Crusaders v Brumbies

The Crusaders have played just twice in Christchurch this year and have won by margins of 16 and 29, over the Hurricanes and Chiefs.

The last seven Crusaders home games have been won by margins of 16 or greater with the average margin of victory being 24.57 points. Two of the Brumbies three road games this year have been losses by 22 or more points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -21.5

Blues v Stormers

The Stormers had won three straight before almost pulling off the impossible – a win over the Hurricanes in Wellington. They are 2-5 in their last seven against New Zealand teams but both wins came against the Blues and only twice have they suffered double digit losses. The Blues have just one win from their last 13 games larger than eight points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Stormers +6.5

Hurricanes v Crusaders

The Crusaders were stunned by the Waratahs in Sydney last week. The perception is they are not a team that losses two in a row but after their last four losses, they have made it back-to-back in two. The Hurricanes have a strong record against the Crusaders in Wellington with five straight wins dating back to 2012. The Hurricanes are 31-3 overall in Wellington since 2015, a fierce home record.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Hurricanes +2.5

Waratahs v Sunwolves

The Sunwolves are a big play against team from here on in after being kicked out of the competition from next year and beyond. The Sunwolves lost in Singapore last week to the Lions and now must make the awkward trip to Newcastle to take on the Waratahs.

The Waratahs have won 3 of 4 and did beat the Sunwolves in Tokyo earlier in the year. Off a big win against the Crusaders, the Waratahs should be riding high.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Waratahs -13.5

Blues v Highlanders

Happy to take on the Blues in any and all situations when they are playing New Zealand opposition. The Blues have not defeated a New Zealand team since 2016, over three years. Since the start of last season, the Blues have lost by an average margin of 14.33 points against NZ team. They have played the Highlanders four times since the start of 2017 and not got within four points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -3.5

Hurricanes v Stormers

The Stormers travelled to New Zealand twice last year and lost by margins of 17 and 18. The year before the margins were 19, 43 and 33. Hey have not finished within two converted tries of a New Zealand opponent in New Zealand since 2015. The Hurricanes have won 2 of their last 4 games at home against international opponents by 30-plus.

Can see them putting a number on the Stormers this week.


 BACK – Hurricanes -15.5

Sharks v Rebels

The Sharks have been a little slow out of the box this year. After two strong wins to open the season against the Sunwolves and Blues, they lost derbies to the Stormers and Bulls. The Sharks have, however, won five of their last six home games against non-South African opposition by double digits. The Rebels have lost three of their last four matches in South Africa.


 BACK – Sharks -6.5

Chiefs v Hurricanes

The Chiefs are in all sorts this year. They are winless in four games. They’ve lost at home to the Sunwolves. They have conceded 54 points twice and not fewer than 30. A rabble would be an unfair assessment … to rabbles. The Hurricanes are a thoroughly professional outfit whose only loss this year came with a weakened team against title favourites the Crusaders. The Hurricanes’ recent road record is poor but it shouldn’t be an issue heading to the Waikato.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Hurricanes -8.5

Sunwolves v Reds

The Sunwolves are a significantly improved team in 2019 and they are set to start favourites for the first time in their history. They are not short enough, laying only 2.5 points to a Reds team that has shown very little and have to travel off a tough rivalry game. The men from Japan had a super trip to New Zealand where they beat the Chiefs and pushed the Blues. Their last home game was a one-point loss to the Waratahs. The Reds are winless this year and have lost eight straight away from Suncorp, including a 63-28 hammering at the hands of the Sunwolves.


 BACK – Sunwolves -2.5

Highlanders v Crusaders

The Crusaders have won eight straight road games but happy to take them on this week when they travel south to Dunedin to tackle the Highlanders. Their last loss on the road was to the Highlanders last year, going down 25-17 at Forsyth Barr. The Crusaders’ two road wins this year have come by an average of just six points while only one of their last 11 road games in New Zealand have resulted in victories of more than eight points. The Highlanders have been shown too much disrespect by the market this week.


 BACK – Highlanders +8.5

Blues v Sunwolves

Off their first road win in the franchise’s history, sticking with the Sunwolves to go on with the job against the Blues. The Sunwolves pass plenty of similarities with the Jaguares last year, who managed to hold their form once breaking through. The Blues are a worse proposition than the Chiefs and the Sunwolves have put two good performances on end. The line here is far too big.


 BACK – Sunwolves +14.5

Waratahs v Reds

The Waratahs have won nine straight against the Reds with seven of those wins coming by double digits. The Reds have shown promise this year with two losses of 10 points or fewer, including against defending champions the Crusaders. The Reds are a poor 4-14 against Australian teams over the last four years and not sure they have shown enough to suggest they can perform against the clear-best Australian team.


 BACK – Waratahs -6.5

Hurricanes v Highlanders

The Highlanders project as a quality play when they travel to Wellington to tackle the Hurricanes, getting a start in the range of a converted try. On the back of five straight games decided by seven points or fewer, the Highlanders have rarely been far away in recent times. The last 10 meetings with the Hurricanes have been split evenly down the middle. In the Canes’ last seven against New Zealand opposition, the Blues are the only team they have rolled by more than four points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +6.5

Jaguares v Blues

 Sunday 3rd Mar, 8.40am AEDT

Los Jaguares have built up a formidable home record in recent years with five wins in their last six at Jose Amalfitani Stadium. They beat the Blues in Auckland last year and the gulf between the two teams has widened in 2019.

The Blues have lost their opening two games of the season and have won just three of their last nine matches outside of New Zealand.


 BACK – Los Jaguares -1.5

Hurricanes v Brumbies

 Friday 1st Mar, 5.35pm AEDT

Forget last week’s result for the Hurricanes with most of the team’s stars rested in the heavy loss to the Crusaders. After a lucky first-up showing against the Waratahs in Sydney, the ‘Canes will be primed for a breakout performance to get their campaign rolling. The Hurricanes have won 16 of 17 regular season games at Westpac with 15 of those victories by nine points or more.

The Hurricanes have won the last three against the Brumbies in New Zealand by an average of 24.7 points.


 BACK – Hurricanes -12.5

Rebels v Highlanders

 Friday 1st Mar, 7.55pm AEDT

The Highlanders have kicked off their 2019 campaign with wins over the Chiefs on the road and the Reds at home and will be confident of disposing of the Rebels in Melbourne despite the Rebels kicking off their campaign with a win in Canberra over the Brumbies. The Highlanders are 14-2 since 2016 against Australian teams with 12 of those wins coming by five points or more.

The Rebels are 1-13 against New Zealand teams over the last four seasons with the only win coming against the Reds.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -4.5

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