Your Expert Super Rugby Tips

Throughout the Super Rugby Season, the Analysts will be providing their Super Rugby Tips for every round.

They’ll give their expert preview on the game, along with providing their best selection, exclusive to the Betfair Hub.

Go where the value is on the Super Rugby and head to the Betfair Exchange.


Chiefs v Lions

The Chiefs have struggled to put teams away this season. After losing the first four games of the season, the Chiefs have not lost in their last four but have just a single win greater than four points. In their last 11 games in Hamilton, the Chiefs have just a single victory of more than a touchdown.

The Lions have dropped their last two and but have won two of their last three outside South Africa and have just one double digit loss in their last seven international matches.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Lions +7.5


Sharks v Reds

The Sharks have been extremely poor propositions at home this year with a poor 2-3 record at Kings Park and 2-5 in South Africa overall this season. The Reds have overachieved this year with a 3-5 record and only two losses all year of more than 13 points. The Reds have won three of their last five against South African teams. The plus here is far too big.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +12.5


Highlanders v Blues

The Blues managed to bring to an end their three-year losing drought against New Zealand opponents four weeks back against the Highlanders. They followed it up with two straight wins before going down to the Chiefs. The Highlanders have dropped five straight but only a loss to the Crusaders was by more than a converted try. The Highlanders should be winning in a big revenge spot.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -2.5

Crusaders v Highlanders

The Highlanders have made a name this year playing tight rugby with all six games decided by seven points or fewer, making the 12.5 points a delicious play. They have won just one of four against New Zealand opposition this year but it is a confidence issue rather than a level of play concern. The Highlanders and Crusaders have played reasonably close with the Highlanders winning three of the last eight and only two Crusaders wins topping 11 points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +13.5


Chiefs v Blues

The Blues ended their long drought against New Zealand teams recently against the Highlanders but they won’t be extending it when their northern derby rivalry against the Chiefs takes place from Hamilton on Saturday. The Chiefs have not lost their last three and are playing improved rugby following a win in Argentina over Los Jaguares. The Chiefs have not lost in their last 14 against the Blues with 11 of those wins coming by more than a try.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Chiefs -4.5


Bulls v Reds

The Bulls have fallen into a fair rut over the last three weeks with home losses to the Chiefs and Los Jaguares. The Reds, by contrast, have picked up their season with three wins in the last four including an impressive home win against the Stormers. The Reds have played away three times this year and all losses have been by 11 or fewer.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Reds +11.5

Highlanders v Hurricanes

The Highlanders have played five games this year and no match has been decided by more than a converted try. They play tight, they play hard and they play with desire so happy to accept the 2.5 points as a home underdog.

They downed the Reds 36-31 in their only home game this year and have won 14 of 15 on home turf. The Hurricanes are winless in their last six road games in New Zealand and have not beaten a New Zealand team other than the Blues in New Zealand since 2016.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +2.5


Lions v Sharks

The Lions have won 7 of 8 against the Sharks and look to be in a good spot to record another comfortable win against their rivals from Natal.

The Lions have won 7 of 8 at Emirates Airline Park and five of those victories have been by 17-plus. The Sharks have won just 2 of 8 against South African opposition.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Lions -6.5


Crusaders v Brumbies

The Crusaders have played just twice in Christchurch this year and have won by margins of 16 and 29, over the Hurricanes and Chiefs.

The last seven Crusaders home games have been won by margins of 16 or greater with the average margin of victory being 24.57 points. Two of the Brumbies three road games this year have been losses by 22 or more points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Crusaders -21.5

Blues v Stormers

The Stormers had won three straight before almost pulling off the impossible – a win over the Hurricanes in Wellington. They are 2-5 in their last seven against New Zealand teams but both wins came against the Blues and only twice have they suffered double digit losses. The Blues have just one win from their last 13 games larger than eight points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Stormers +6.5


Hurricanes v Crusaders

The Crusaders were stunned by the Waratahs in Sydney last week. The perception is they are not a team that losses two in a row but after their last four losses, they have made it back-to-back in two. The Hurricanes have a strong record against the Crusaders in Wellington with five straight wins dating back to 2012. The Hurricanes are 31-3 overall in Wellington since 2015, a fierce home record.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Hurricanes +2.5


Waratahs v Sunwolves

The Sunwolves are a big play against team from here on in after being kicked out of the competition from next year and beyond. The Sunwolves lost in Singapore last week to the Lions and now must make the awkward trip to Newcastle to take on the Waratahs.

The Waratahs have won 3 of 4 and did beat the Sunwolves in Tokyo earlier in the year. Off a big win against the Crusaders, the Waratahs should be riding high.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Waratahs -13.5

Blues v Highlanders

Happy to take on the Blues in any and all situations when they are playing New Zealand opposition. The Blues have not defeated a New Zealand team since 2016, over three years. Since the start of last season, the Blues have lost by an average margin of 14.33 points against NZ team. They have played the Highlanders four times since the start of 2017 and not got within four points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -3.5


Hurricanes v Stormers

The Stormers travelled to New Zealand twice last year and lost by margins of 17 and 18. The year before the margins were 19, 43 and 33. Hey have not finished within two converted tries of a New Zealand opponent in New Zealand since 2015. The Hurricanes have won 2 of their last 4 games at home against international opponents by 30-plus.

Can see them putting a number on the Stormers this week.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Hurricanes -15.5


Sharks v Rebels

The Sharks have been a little slow out of the box this year. After two strong wins to open the season against the Sunwolves and Blues, they lost derbies to the Stormers and Bulls. The Sharks have, however, won five of their last six home games against non-South African opposition by double digits. The Rebels have lost three of their last four matches in South Africa.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Sharks -6.5

Chiefs v Hurricanes

The Chiefs are in all sorts this year. They are winless in four games. They’ve lost at home to the Sunwolves. They have conceded 54 points twice and not fewer than 30. A rabble would be an unfair assessment … to rabbles. The Hurricanes are a thoroughly professional outfit whose only loss this year came with a weakened team against title favourites the Crusaders. The Hurricanes’ recent road record is poor but it shouldn’t be an issue heading to the Waikato.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Hurricanes -8.5


Sunwolves v Reds

The Sunwolves are a significantly improved team in 2019 and they are set to start favourites for the first time in their history. They are not short enough, laying only 2.5 points to a Reds team that has shown very little and have to travel off a tough rivalry game. The men from Japan had a super trip to New Zealand where they beat the Chiefs and pushed the Blues. Their last home game was a one-point loss to the Waratahs. The Reds are winless this year and have lost eight straight away from Suncorp, including a 63-28 hammering at the hands of the Sunwolves.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Sunwolves -2.5


Highlanders v Crusaders

The Crusaders have won eight straight road games but happy to take them on this week when they travel south to Dunedin to tackle the Highlanders. Their last loss on the road was to the Highlanders last year, going down 25-17 at Forsyth Barr. The Crusaders’ two road wins this year have come by an average of just six points while only one of their last 11 road games in New Zealand have resulted in victories of more than eight points. The Highlanders have been shown too much disrespect by the market this week.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Highlanders +8.5

Blues v Sunwolves

Off their first road win in the franchise’s history, sticking with the Sunwolves to go on with the job against the Blues. The Sunwolves pass plenty of similarities with the Jaguares last year, who managed to hold their form once breaking through. The Blues are a worse proposition than the Chiefs and the Sunwolves have put two good performances on end. The line here is far too big.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Sunwolves +14.5


Waratahs v Reds

The Waratahs have won nine straight against the Reds with seven of those wins coming by double digits. The Reds have shown promise this year with two losses of 10 points or fewer, including against defending champions the Crusaders. The Reds are a poor 4-14 against Australian teams over the last four years and not sure they have shown enough to suggest they can perform against the clear-best Australian team.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Waratahs -6.5


Hurricanes v Highlanders

The Highlanders project as a quality play when they travel to Wellington to tackle the Hurricanes, getting a start in the range of a converted try. On the back of five straight games decided by seven points or fewer, the Highlanders have rarely been far away in recent times. The last 10 meetings with the Hurricanes have been split evenly down the middle. In the Canes’ last seven against New Zealand opposition, the Blues are the only team they have rolled by more than four points.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders +6.5

Jaguares v Blues

 Sunday 3rd Mar, 8.40am AEDT

Los Jaguares have built up a formidable home record in recent years with five wins in their last six at Jose Amalfitani Stadium. They beat the Blues in Auckland last year and the gulf between the two teams has widened in 2019.

The Blues have lost their opening two games of the season and have won just three of their last nine matches outside of New Zealand.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Los Jaguares -1.5


Hurricanes v Brumbies

 Friday 1st Mar, 5.35pm AEDT

Forget last week’s result for the Hurricanes with most of the team’s stars rested in the heavy loss to the Crusaders. After a lucky first-up showing against the Waratahs in Sydney, the ‘Canes will be primed for a breakout performance to get their campaign rolling. The Hurricanes have won 16 of 17 regular season games at Westpac with 15 of those victories by nine points or more.

The Hurricanes have won the last three against the Brumbies in New Zealand by an average of 24.7 points.

BETTING STRATEGY

 BACK – Hurricanes -12.5


Rebels v Highlanders

 Friday 1st Mar, 7.55pm AEDT

The Highlanders have kicked off their 2019 campaign with wins over the Chiefs on the road and the Reds at home and will be confident of disposing of the Rebels in Melbourne despite the Rebels kicking off their campaign with a win in Canberra over the Brumbies. The Highlanders are 14-2 since 2016 against Australian teams with 12 of those wins coming by five points or more.

The Rebels are 1-13 against New Zealand teams over the last four seasons with the only win coming against the Reds.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Highlanders -4.5

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