Wyndham Championship: Half-Time Analysis 2018

Venue Name – Sedgefield CC, Greensboro, North Carolina, Aug 16-19, 2018

Weather Report

Saturday – Scattered Thunderstorms, 31 degrees, Humidity 68%, Wind 12-16km/h, Precipitation 40%

Sunday –  Partly Cloudy, 31 Degrees, Humidity 70%, Wind 7-10km/h, Precipitation 20%


Leaderboard Day 1

1st B Snedeker -11
T2 R Moore -7
T2 J Oda -7
T4 M Flores -6
T4 D.A Points -6
T4 B Stegmaier -6
T4 D Hearn -6
T4 A Ancer -6
T4 O Schniederjans -6
T4 J Byrd -6

Leaderboard Day 2

1st B Snedeker -14
2nd D.A Points -12
3rd C.T Pan -11
T4 D Hearn -9
T4 P Malnati -9
T4 K Mitchell -9
T4 S Garcia -9
T4 H English -9
T4 B Stegmaier -9

Course Details and Round by Round Summary

Round 1 Summary

Brandt Snedeker joined the “59 Club” after a brilliant 11 under par round, which included 10 birdies and an eagle. He sits 4 shots clear in a commanding position after Day 1. Depending on how bad the predicted thunderstorms are on Saturday, there is a slim chance the tournament may get shortened to 54 holes. If the tournament is shortened to 54 holes, get ready to back the leaders as soon as the officials announce it, as the leaders will shorten dramatically. There are nearly 100 players under par after day 1, which means the tournament is conducive to very low scoring this week, as we generally see at this tournament every year. Ryan Moore also started the tournament very well with a 7 under par 63.  Young gun Joaquin Niemann has a respectable 2 under par round, however will need to get going if he is to catch the leaders. Sergio Garcia surprisingly had a good first round 4 under par, after awful form has plagued him all year.

Round 2 Summary

Brandt Snedeker appeared to be letting of a lot of players back into the tournament in the second round, until a brilliant eagle of the 15th gave him a little breathing space. C.T Pan fired a good 6 under par round of 64 to put in contention going into the weekend, along with D.A Points. Great to see Australian Aaron Baddeley playing well, he is on the 125 cut-line for the Fed Ex Cup next week and needs a strong finish this week.


In-play betting for Round 3 & Round 4

Option 1 . The course is playing still playing relatively easy, as there are now a few players that have reached double figures under par. A player that has an earlier tee-time tomorrow and plays well, will more than likely drift in the market as the players on the course will be favored.

 

Option 2.  Below is a list of the hole by hole scoring averages, from hardest to easiest at Sedgefield. You can see that 10,11,12 is the most difficult stretch on the course this week. From a trading perspective, I like to group some these holes together, meaning that I can tell when players arrives at the 10th tee they are about to commence a difficult stretch of holes until the complete the 12th hole and the “law of averages” tells me that I’m a strong chance to profit using a “lay/re-back” trading strategy. Since the holes are averaging over par for this stretch of holes, I will place a “lay” bet a player on the 10th tee and “re-back” that player after they have completed the 12th hole. This can also be done on the 14th and 18th.  In fact we can see that the back nine is playing more difficult than the front nine.  This is great for trading and applying “back” or “lay” rules to your players of choice. Remember when trading, to always trade out, regardless of your situation. Its about profiting long-term, even if a trade doesn’t go your way.

The 15th and the 5th rank as the two easiest holes on the course and are also holes to consider for trading in rounds 3 and 4.


Betting Strategy

Below are some weekend bets to consider, you may also want to read the in-play betting notes as well

Back – There is no value on Snedeker, however I think $1.90 for top 10 D.A Points – 2 units

Back – Snedeker Top 5 $1.41 top 5 – 3 units

Related Articles

Golf Betting Tips: Prediction Model

Betfair’s Prediction Model provides golf betting tips for the PGA and tournaments. The data science tool rates every player’s ...

Wyndham Championship Expert Preview

The Analysts run their eyes over the Wyndham Championship in North Carolina

Golf Betting Strategies

With professional golf tournaments typically running for four days and with fields in excess of a hundred runners, bettors ...