{"id":79,"date":"2022-07-18T05:33:25","date_gmt":"2022-07-18T05:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=79"},"modified":"2025-09-27T11:19:50","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T01:19:50","slug":"belmont-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/belmont-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"EXPERT RACING TIPS: BELMONT"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n
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BELMONT PREVIEW AND TIPS | EXPERT TIPS | SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 27TH 2025<\/h2>\n
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RAIL: TRUE TRACK: Good 4<\/b><\/p>\n

Farewell Belmont.<\/span>
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\n<\/span>After trench-gate reared its ugly head again, I thought it may well have been a permanent bon voyage for the season, but credit to everyone involved for getting the track fair and operational again.\u00a0 All in all, it\u2019s played really well.\u00a0 In fact, with Paul Jordan and the Northam stewards throwing their late nomination in, it probably wasn\u2019t even the biggest shit show of the winter season!<\/span>
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\n<\/span>The TRUE pad played super last time we were here a month or so ago, though it will be closer to a Good4 than the Soft6 we saw then.\u00a0 Some danger it\u2019s very on speed.\u00a0 Main two plays are in the last 2 races, so hopefully we can leave Belmont with a bang.<\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

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1. God’s Rapture
\n8. So Much Serenity
\n4. On Cue
\n2. True Fiction<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

God\u2019s Rapture should win. In what is another wildly weak Saturday 3yo event, he is clearly the one with the most scope and his first up effort at the 1200 was highly encouraging, from an impossible spot in running. While I don\u2019t think it will matter here, the form from his first up run is some type of slight query. Brave Wasp failed midweek. Swingman hasn\u2019t raced again since, but not one horse he beat in his maiden prior (most have raced in maidens since) have won a race and even Who\u2019s Bent just got past Paint It Red, who couldn\u2019t lift her legs last week. Marked her around even money and suspect that\u2019s the quote which holds. It\u2019ll be interesting to see how he is ridden. Do they drop out to last from the alley or perhaps look to press forward and breeze outside of So Much Serenity? I think So Much Serenity can give a nice kick. If the favourite is last and Chanel is off and going with the 52, she can make it interesting. There are a couple of real roadblocks in this. Thought the run of On Cue was more than serviceable first up (some comparative form lines through Who\u2019s Bent), before the mid-race hand up didn\u2019t help last time out. Think he ran into two good ones that day too. If he can tow ball So Much Serenity, wilder things have happened @ $50+. Girls On Fire is just a horse but maps nice, Heeza Phoenix needs luck from the outside alley (not sure if he\u2019s shown the speed to work forward?) and Publicise is a month between trial and debut with the pads going on \u2013 red flag.<\/p>\n

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3. Ain’tsobad
\n5. Mama Tembu
\n4. Bigdayonit
\n9. Wembanyama<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK: 3. Ain’tsobad (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $2.95)
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\r\nAin\u2019tsobad got gassed by God\u2019s Gate two starts ago and was always going to wilt late, before Brayden Gaerth rode a more circumspect ride at her most recent, allowing the leader to stride and popping off to stalk. Won pretty soft in the end. There won\u2019t be much stalking here, but there is a spot outside of Bigdayonit and Brayden should be able to work across and hold that position. Some chance he could tuck in if Zeph is given a license to run (looking at the early move, there is some chance). With the lack of fear factor behind her, she\u2019ll get me again @ $3.5+. Like her on top of the ground have to think she\u2019s going better than Bigdayonit? I do think Mama Tembu has the best form of all of these. I was going to be on a week ago in a far harder race before she came out, which is clearly a concern, but I think the price will be (10+) there for a little speculatory. She was only 3.2L off subsequent feature race winner Cool Memory two starts ago and this map is far more suitable. Easiest race she\u2019s faced in a long time and a great opportunity for Aussie Galati on a rare visit to town. Bigdayonit was poor 2 weeks ago, but the rest of his runs this prep have been far more meritorious than they read. He\u2019s dropped 6 points (3kg\u2019s) this prep and gets his first claimer of the prep, who is riding these types very well. Effectively gets a 6kg turn around from the start of the prep, in the same grade, and will not be challenged for the lead in the slightest. Wanted to chop, but the early move (I wasn\u2019t part of) has shat me. Did not expect to see support, but @ $10 ish, isn\u2019t overly expensive to save. Will swallow my pride. Very little between Climb, Audio, Wemban, Harbin \u2013 all get back and plod to the line OK. <\/p>\n

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Terry Leighton<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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