{"id":76804,"date":"2026-07-13T15:19:58","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T05:19:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/?p=76804"},"modified":"2026-07-13T15:24:14","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T05:24:14","slug":"reading-trials","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/education\/reading-trials\/","title":{"rendered":"HOW TO: READING TRIALS"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"you-tube-video my-6 block\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"you-tube-video__video relative w-full lg:w-2\/3 lg:mx-auto\">\n      <div class=\"video-container relative standard\">\n        <div\n          id=\"youTubePlayerblock_bb4460a46e1c043ddd65ec5900e3679b\"\n          data-video-id=\"4-A1tJRdym0\"\n          data-type=\"standard\"\n        >\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n                      <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl lg:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">Trust your eye and do the work<\/h2>\n                              <div class=\"mb-2.5 md:mb-3 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>In an age of so many opinions, and with data so readily accessible, is it still possible for punters to find a unique edge on the competition?<\/p>\n<p>Matt Welsh is one of Australia\u2019s leading form analysts and the founder of Betsy.com.au, and he believes there is. It comes down to the tried-and-true method, trust your eye and do the work.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn a world where so many edges have evaporated, trials and jump outs are still one where it relies on good old-fashioned replay watching and things that models and machines can\u2019t yet pick up on,\u201d Welsh said on Lay Back.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n                      <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl lg:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">Instinct and Knowledge will stand the test of time<\/h2>\n                              <div class=\"mb-2.5 md:mb-3 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>The key to trial form is instinct, and unique knowledge, and the rise of technology may not be able to take that away according to Welsh.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn time AI will probably do a lot of that replay watching for you, but whether it will be able to emulate some of the things that someone who is trained in it and has watched trials for a long time can find, that remains to be seen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Welsh also feels a lot of the major competition is overlooking this key aspect of form, and putting unraced runners in the too hard basket.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCurrently with a lot of the big teams not factoring in trials and jump outs with their betting, it is still a great opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith debutants for example you are relying on trial form to assess them and not their race form. Particularly on Betfair those runners often drift heavily, particularly late.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe market goes looking for runners that have form, speed maps and data profiles behind them,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n                      <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl lg:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">The key to trials<\/h2>\n                              <div class=\"mb-2.5 md:mb-3 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>But trials aren\u2019t just crucial for debutants, resuming runners can improve significantly from one preparation to another.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHorses don\u2019t come back the way they went out for a spell, and much like humans we all develop at different rates. Some horses will develop early, and some will develop later.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat a horse does from one prep to the next can be vastly different, and that\u2019s where trials are key.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Welsh broke down five of the key factors when it comes to assessing trial form, and the discipline it takes:<\/p>\n<p>1. Ignore opposition \u2013 Don\u2019t worry about the opposition. You can get sucked into the opposition and think \u2018this maiden galloper beat Nature Strip in a trial\u2019. Nature Strip could be half fit, and they could ask for 400m and that\u2019s it. Look at times, sectionals and how much pressure a horse is under when running those times. Action is vital too. You want to see them change legs and see how they move in their action and cover the ground. That can also teach you a bit about how the horse might handle a wet track as well.<\/p>\n<p>2. Fast horses are gold but relaxed fast horses are the real gold. If a horse over races and behaves poorly in a trial they\u2019ll do that in a race.<\/p>\n<p>3. Use the early part of a trial to map runners- Often in a form guide it will say, \u2018can\u2019t map this horse because they are on debut\u2019. Use the start of a trial to help you map where the horse might land.<\/p>\n<p>4. Every stable has its own fingerprint- Some stables you\u2019ll see their runners are all ridden out, other stables they\u2019ll be really flashy trials. Learn the stables finger print. Waller runners settle back, Tom Dabernig runners tend to look flashy and strong at trials, up on speed.<\/p>\n<p>5. The trial doesn\u2019t finish at the post. You\u2019ve got to keep watching past the line because quite often the horse will be pushed for an effort after the line.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n          \n\n<div class=\"podcast-player mb-6 block\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n        <iframe\n          style=\"border-radius:12px\"\n          src=https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/embed\/show\/2cWkWBIO4Tz8bvNHcQhP3A?utm_source=generator\n          width=\"100%\"\n          height=\"352\"\n          frameBorder=\"0\"\n          allowfullscreen=\"\"\n          allow=\"autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture\"\n          loading=\"lazy\"\n        ><\/iframe>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Level up your wagering knowledge and find an edge by learning what to look out for when watching trials from expert Matt Welsh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":76807,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"tipster_notification_checkbox":false,"send_notification":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,24,1],"tags":[72,70,66,67],"brand":[],"class_list":["post-76804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-education","category-betfair-basics","category-uncategorized","tag-form-analyst","tag-matt-welsh","tag-reading-trials","tag-trials"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.5 (Yoast SEO v24.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Reading Trials | Betfair Education | Betfair Hub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Level up your wagering knowledge and find an edge by learning what to look out for when watching trials from expert Matt 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