{"id":7291,"date":"2023-05-29T12:18:55","date_gmt":"2023-05-29T02:18:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/?p=7291"},"modified":"2025-07-08T10:52:20","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T00:52:20","slug":"state-of-origin-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/sports\/nrl\/state-of-origin-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"EXPERT RUGBY TIPS: STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 3"},"content":{"rendered":"
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STATE OF ORIGIN III PREVIEW AND TIPS | RUGBY \/ NRL | WEDNESDAY JULY 9TH 2025<\/h2>\n
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New South Wales v Queensland<\/h2>\n
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Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK: (Handicap) Queensland +8.5 for 3 units (Rated at $1.70)
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\r\nDespite us heading into a decider at Accor, it is hard to make a case that the Blues have not dominated the series. They have dominated possession, have run for at least 150 metres and 100 post-contact metres more each game and have dominated tackle breaks. The series is level though. Part of that goes down to a 10-2 penalty count but part of it goes down to the wastefulness of the Blues and what has really been some disappointing spine play from the Blues. That is unlikely to be remedied in the decider with Laurie Daley not making any changes, a Hallmark of his first stint that saw one win from five series at the helm. Luai and Robson are hardly reliable propositions in a big decider while Nathan Cleary has yet to leave an imprint on the Origin stage. The Maroons have made two key positive changes led by the return from retirement of prop Josh Papalii, exactly what the Maroons need. Queensland have a great record in deciders, winning seven of nine, while the last four deciders have been decided by 10 or fewer. Queensland are also 5-3 in the last eight live matches at Accor. The 8.5 points just seems too big. <\/p>\n

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Nick Tedeschi<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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back<\/p>\n <\/div>\n \"Best\n <\/div>\n

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