{"id":274,"date":"2022-08-29T06:21:12","date_gmt":"2022-08-29T06:21:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=274"},"modified":"2025-06-26T11:17:29","modified_gmt":"2025-06-26T01:17:29","slug":"epsom-handicap-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/epsom-handicap-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"FEATURE PREVIEWS: EPSOM HANDICAP"},"content":{"rendered":"
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EPSOM HANDICAP<\/h2>\n
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Track:\u00a0<\/strong>Randwick | Distance:<\/strong> 1600m | Type:<\/strong> G1 Handicap |\u00a0Rail Position: <\/strong>+3m\u00a0| Condition:<\/strong> Soft 5 | Prizemoney:\u00a0<\/strong>$1,500,000<\/p>\n

Always a great race over the Randwick mile, won lately by some topliners including Winx, Private Eye, Top Ranked, Kolding, and Probabeel.<\/p>\n

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Historical Profiling (last 13 years)<\/h2>\n
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\uf0b7 2nd up (3\/28), 3rd up (8\/90), 4th up (2\/61), 5th up+ (1\/22)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 7-day break (3\/30), 14-day break (8\/95), 21-day break (3\/30), Other (0\/46)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 8\/84 winners have drawn barrier 10 or worse, all in fields of 13+. Only 4\/65 winners have<\/span>
\n<\/span>drawn barriers 1-5, and 3 were in small 10 horse fields.<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 9\/124 geldings and 3\/41 mares (including Winx) have won, although 2 other mares were 2nd<\/span>
\n<\/span>beaten a nose. Entires 2\/36 deadheated in 2022.<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Tab Number 1-12 (13\/146), 13-22 (1\/55)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Weight 50-51 (2\/50), 52 (5\/57), 53-55 (1\/61), 56-58 (6\/33)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Gear Change (0\/21)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Randwick Wins 0 (1\/92), 1-2 (12\/90), 3-5 (1\/19)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Saturday (14\/168), Other (0\/33)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start G1 (2\/48), G2\/G3 (12\/134), Other (0\/19)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start QLTY (6\/44), HCP (5\/83), WFA (3\/60), SWP (0\/14)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Settling Position 1-3 (3\/65), 4-7 (9\/78), 8+ (2\/58)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Odds $1-$4 (9\/58), $5-$10 (5\/105), $20+ (0\/38)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Randwick (8\/96), Rosehill (5\/53), Other (1\/52)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 4yo (8\/72), 5yo (2\/54), 6yo (1\/38), 7yo+ (3\/37)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Career Starts 7-21 (12\/127), 22-55 (2\/74)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Career Wins 1-3 (1\/36), 4-10 (13\/165)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Has been a mix of leadup races (George Main &amp; Bill Ritchie most common), but the key constant<\/span>
\n<\/span>has been strong performances in the last leadup. Out of form horses struggle.<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Winner (7\/45), 2nd-4th (7\/91), 5 th + (0\/65)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Beaten Margin 1L or less (13\/119), 2L+ (1\/82)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Chris Waller has won 5 of the last 11, and run 2nd another 5 times<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Last Start Distance 1200-1300 (1\/20), 1400 (6\/62), 1500 (3\/51), 1600 (3\/60), 1800-2000 (1\/8)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Exchange Rank 1-4 (11\/52), 5-7 (3\/39), 8+ (0\/110)<\/span>
\n<\/span>\uf0b7 Official Handicap Rating 0-90 (1\/68), 100 (9\/110), 110 (4\/23)<\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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SPEED MAP <\/h2>\n
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Royal Patronage<\/strong> rates clearly on top and looks the one to beat.
\nTom Kitten, My Oberon, Mchale, Kovalica <\/strong>and Ceolwulf<\/strong> all chances.
\nBerkshire Shadow, Molly Bloom, Kintyre <\/strong>and Chrysaor<\/strong> could surprise at odds.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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KEY CHANCES<\/h2>\n
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1. My Oberon<\/strong> \u2013 Ran 2nd beaten a nose in the Doncaster on a heavy track 18 months ago. Ran 3rd in the King Charles last prep, and 2nd in the 7 Stakes last start. High class, and positive rider change. Drawn the carpark.
\n2. Royal Patronage<\/strong> \u2013 Import who trialled nicely before impressive first up win in the G2 Tramway Stakes. Was slow away, and raced back and wide in the 7 Stakes but finished home strongly for 3rd. Rates clearly on top here.
\n3. Detonator Jack<\/strong> \u2013 Usually thereabouts. Ran a solid 4th last start in the 7 Stakes. Maps to be around the mark here.
\n4. Kovalica \u2013<\/strong> Classy horse on his day and ran a good 3rd first up. Ran 2nd beaten a nose in this race last year. J Mac aboard but will he get too far back stuck on the fence?
\n7. Ceolwulf<\/strong> \u2013 Ran 2nd in the Rosehill Guineas and ATC Derby last prep. Won nicely second up and then a very good 2nd in the Kingston Town Stakes last start. On form rates highly. Negative rider change here.
\n9. Tom Kitten<\/strong> \u2013 G1 Spring Champion winner as a 3yo. Gelded and won nicely first up, then a solid 5th last start when back and wide on a day suiting the fence. Can win.
\n10. Berkshire Shadow<\/strong> \u2013 Had no luck first up when held up in a forgive run, then no luck next start in the G3 Cameron when caught 3 wide no cover but stuck on for 3rd. Could surprise at odds.
\n13. Chrysaor<\/strong> \u2013 Ran excellent closing sectionals in first up win at Flemington. Smokey.
\n14. Molly Bloom<\/strong> \u2013 Was disappointing first up. If brought G1 NZ form here could win at a big price.
\n16. Mchale<\/strong> \u2013 Won the Bill Ritchie first up. That profile has won this race the past two years.
\n18. Kintyre<\/strong> \u2013 Sat 3 wide no cover last start but ran well, and drops sharply in weight here.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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TOP 4 SELECTIONS<\/h2>\n
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2. Royal Patronage
\n1. My Oberon
\n9. Tom Kitten
\n16. Mchale<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n\n

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BETTING STRATEGY<\/h2>\n
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Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK: 2. Royal Patronage (WIN) for 2 units
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\r\nImport who trialed nicely before impressive first up win in the G2 Tramway Stakes. Was slow away, and raced back and wide in the 7 Stakes but finished home strongly for 3rd. Rates clearly on top here.<\/p>\n

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Dean Evans<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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back<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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