{"id":208,"date":"2022-08-22T06:41:43","date_gmt":"2022-08-22T06:41:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=208"},"modified":"2025-02-21T16:53:15","modified_gmt":"2025-02-21T05:53:15","slug":"blue-diamond-stakes-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/blue-diamond-stakes-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"FEATURE PREVIEWS: BLUE DIAMOND STAKES"},"content":{"rendered":"
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BLUE DIAMOND STAKES PREVIEW <\/h2>\n
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TRACK:<\/strong> Caulfield | DISTANCE:<\/strong> 1200 | RAIL POSITION:<\/strong> 4M | TRACK CONDITIONS: Good 4 | PRIZE MONEY:<\/strong> $2,000,000<\/p>\n

Forecasted to be hot through the week and on Saturday so a fairly hard track expected.
\nWon in recent years by some top 2yos including Hayasugi, Artorius, Lyre, Extreme Choice, Earthquake & Samaready. We backed Little Brose to win this race at $10 BFSP in 2023 and Daumier to win this race at $23 BFSP the year before.<\/p>\n

HISTORICAL PROFILING (IN THE LAST 13 YEARS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Barrier 1-3 (1\/13), 4-5 (4\/26), 6-11 (6\/78), 12-16 (2\/53)Days since last start: 14 (10\/118), 21 (1\/40), 28 (2\/6), Other (0\/32)
\nGear Change (BLK\/TT\/W) (4\/51)
\nCareer Starts 1 (0\/19), 2 (7\/95), 3 (5\/60), 4 (1\/19), 5-6 (0\/3)
\nCareer Wins 0 (1\/50), 1 (4\/100), 2 (6\/37), 3 (2\/9)
\n1st up (0\/4), 2nd up (7\/90), 3rd up (3\/72), 4th up (3\/24), 5th up+ (0\/6)
\nPace\/Handy (5\/92), Midfield\/Back (8\/104)
\nColts (7\/97), Fillies (6\/90), Gelding (0\/9)
\nSame Jockey Last Start No (4\/98), Yes (9\/98)
\nAnthony Freedman (3\/7)
\nFinishing Position Last Start 1st (9\/63), 2nd (2\/45), 3rd (1\/23), 4th (1\/20), 5th+ (0\/45)
\nFinishing Position 2nd Last Start 1st (11\/98), 2nd (1\/32), 3rd (1\/15), 4th+ (0\/32)
\nBeaten under 2L last start (13\/128), Beaten 2L+ (0\/68)
\nLast Start G2 (3\/42), G3 (8\/102), Other (2\/52)
\nLast Start 1000m (2\/42), 1100m (10\/140), 1200 (0\/12), 1300m (1\/2)
\nLast Start Caulfield (11\/138), Sandown Hillside (2\/18), Other (0\/40)
\nVic City or Vic Black Type run last start (13\/177)
\n2012 to 2019 was won by horses SP $2.20-$7.50
\n2020 to 2024 SP $26, $13, $20 & $9.50, $16
\nSettled top 7 (7), Settled 10th-12th (5)
\n2012 to 2019 was won by horses SP $2.20-$7.50. Last 4 years SP $26, $13, $20 & $9.50.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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BETFAIR PRICE ADVANTAGE HISTORY<\/h2>\n
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The three winners of the Blue Diamond between 2020 and 2022 produced prices of $31, $14.50 and $21.62. These came with price advantages of 14.5%, 17% and 20.5% post commission respectively.<\/p>\n

The last two winners in 2023 -Little Brose, and 2024 Hayasugi have come at $13.46 and $9.52 indicating a tendency for the race to produce upsets in recent years.<\/p>\n

Favourites won 7 of the previous 9 before that however, including 5 in a row from 2011-2015.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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SPEED MAP<\/h2>\n
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Fast speed expected as is usually the case in this race. The Playwright<\/strong> looks the likely leader with My Gladiola<\/strong> sitting outside. Devil Night, Field Of Play, Wiltshire Square & Palm Angel<\/strong> will all be pushing forward. Tentyris<\/strong> looks to get a nice run just forward of midfield. Olatunde, Cherish Me, Icarian Dram and Extractor<\/strong> will be back of midfield. Eden Rose and Tycoon Star map wide. Miss Celine, Tempted & Autumn Mystery<\/strong> all have slow early speed and map at the rear. Slow early speed and map at the rear.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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KEY RUNNERS<\/h2>\n
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1. Field Of Play<\/strong> – Has won 2 from 2, including a strong win last start in the Blue Diamond C&G Prelude in good time. Profiles as the one to beat.<\/p>\n

2. Tycoon Star –<\/strong> Won Flemington 800m 18 Oct jumpout in good time of 48.27. Won the G3 Maribyrnong Plate impressively on debut at $21 for Trial Spy members, then 4th on a wet track. Won Geelong 1000m 29 Jan trial by 0.5L +5.1 quickest of 10 trials on the day. Hit the line well for 4th first up in the Prelude. Blinkers on first time here.<\/p>\n

3. Extractor –<\/strong> Raced wide no cover in both trials when won Randwick 742m trial 22 Oct and 2nd Kensington 850m trial Nov 1. Ran a close 3rd on debut in the $1m Golden Gift. Was a solid 3rd first up in the Listed Lonhro Plate.<\/p>\n

4. Tentyris –<\/strong> Won the Listed Talindert Stakes last week. Freedman stable have won this race 3 times in the last 6 years.<\/p>\n

5. Devil Night –<\/strong> Impressive debut running a close 2nd in the Blue Diamond C&G Prelude. Tough to win this race a second career start but has talent.<\/p>\n

8. The Playwright –<\/strong> Won the Widden Stakes leading all the way. This is harder.<\/p>\n

9. Palm Angel –<\/strong> Had a nice trail and burst through to win the Blue Diamond Fillies Prelude. Time was 2L slower than the boys, but does map nicely.<\/p>\n

10. Icarian Dream –<\/strong> Sat wide no cover and was very impressive winning Kensington 850m 23 Sep trial by 1L +1.5 last 600m. Won Warwick Farm maiden for us on debut. Then 4th beaten 0.9L in the $1M Golden Gift before 2nd at Rosehill after getting too far back but finishing home strongly. Won for us at G3 level at Eagle Farm then down the track in the Magic Millions 2yo. Can surprise.<\/p>\n

12. Miss Celine<\/strong> – Hit the line solidly for 4th beaten 2L in the Blue Diamond Fillies Prelude.<\/p>\n

13. Wiltshire Square<\/strong> – Ran 2nd at Listed level on debut to Palm Angel. Sat 2nd on a hot speed first up in the Fillies Preview and stuck on well for 3rd, then sat 3 wide no cover in the Fillies Prelude and stuck on well for 3rd. In the mix.<\/p>\n

14. Cherish Me<\/strong> – Won well at Geelong on debut. Tough race to win at second start but is trained by Maher.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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TOP 4 SELECTIONS<\/h2>\n
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1. Field Of Play
\n13. Wiltshire Square
\n3. Extractor
\n2. Tycoon Star<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n\n

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BLUE DIAMOND BETTING STRATEGIES<\/h2>\n
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**Dean Evans monitors market fluctuations, track conditions, weather, scratchings, stewards\u2019 notifications, and general news before submitting his betting strategies for Victorian Group 1s. Make sure you\u2019re following Dean Evans on the Betfair App and turn on notifications to get alerted when he shares his strategies\u2014sometimes as close as 30 minutes before a race.**<\/em><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK: 1. Field Of Play (WIN) for 2 units
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\r\nProfiles very nicely for this race and looks the hardest to beat.<\/p>\n

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Dean Evans<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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back<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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