{"id":160,"date":"2022-08-05T05:46:33","date_gmt":"2022-08-05T05:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=160"},"modified":"2026-01-20T17:06:56","modified_gmt":"2026-01-20T06:06:56","slug":"golden-slipper-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/golden-slipper-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"FEATURE PREVIEWS: GOLDEN SLIPPER"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"marketing-banner block\" data-segment-id=\"banner-container\"\n          data-banner-details=\"{&quot;bannerName&quot;:&quot;VIC\\\/NSW Autumn 2025 Price Comp Banner&quot;}\"\n        >\n    <div class=\"container reduced-width\">\n      <div class=\"py-4\">\n\n                  <a href=\"https:\/\/register.betfair.com.au\/account\/registration\" target=\"\" data-segment-id=\"banner-a-tag\" data-banner-all=\"{&quot;segmentData&quot;:&quot;{\\&quot;bannerName\\&quot;:\\&quot;VIC\\\\\\\/NSW Autumn 2025 Price Comp Banner\\&quot;}&quot;,&quot;image&quot;:&quot;&lt;img width=\\&quot;1025\\&quot; height=\\&quot;120\\&quot; src=\\&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.betfair.com.au\\\/hub\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/C752-25_BF_BRAND_ODDS_ADVANTAGE_MESSSAGE_1_HUB_BANNER_DESKTOP_FA_4.gif\\&quot; class=\\&quot;w-full\\&quot; alt=\\&quot;\\&quot; \\\/&gt;&quot;,&quot;mobileImage&quot;:&quot;&lt;img width=\\&quot;400\\&quot; height=\\&quot;317\\&quot; src=\\&quot;https:\\\/\\\/www.betfair.com.au\\\/hub\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/2\\\/2023\\\/10\\\/C752-25_BF_BRAND_ODDS_ADVANTAGE_MESSSAGE_1_HUB_BANNER_MOB_FA2.gif\\&quot; class=\\&quot;w-full\\&quot; alt=\\&quot;\\&quot; \\\/&gt;&quot;,&quot;link&quot;:{&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/register.betfair.com.au\\\/account\\\/registration&quot;,&quot;target&quot;:&quot;&quot;}}\">\n        \n                      <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1025\" height=\"120\" src=\"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/10\/C752-25_BF_BRAND_ODDS_ADVANTAGE_MESSSAGE_1_HUB_BANNER_DESKTOP_FA_4.gif\" class=\"w-full\" alt=\"\" \/>\n          \n                  <\/a>\n        \n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n            <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">GOLDEN SLIPPER<\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p><strong>Group 1 | Set Weights, Two-Years-Old, Apprentices cannot claim | $5,000,000 | Rail: <\/strong>+3m | <strong>Track Conditions: <\/strong>Good 4<\/p>\n<p>30 Fillies have won the Golden Slipper with Lady Of Camelot achieving that feat last year and Fireburn winning in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>5 Blue Diamond winners have gone on to win the Slipper with Sepoy the most recent back in 2011. Manikato did the double in 1978.<\/p>\n<p>The winners have been spread amazingly evenly through the lead up races with the Silver Silver and Reisling producing 7 winners apiece, and the Todman and Magic Night producing 6 winners.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">Historical Profiling<\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Barriers:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>From 67 Golden Slippers the most prolific winning barrier is Barrier 1 with 10 wins.<br \/>\n\u2022 Barriers 1 to 4 have won 26 times<br \/>\n\u2022 5-8 have won 16 times<br \/>\n\u2022 9-12 have won 16 times<br \/>\n\u2022 13-16 have won 9 times<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline\"><strong>Position In Running<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>There is an incredible piece of insight gleaned when you watch the replays of the past 20 Golden Slippers (wet tracks in red):<br \/>\n\u2022 2004: Dance Hero from gate two led all the way on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2005: Stratum from gate six led all the way on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2006: Miss Finland from gate seven was at the back: well back and hugged the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2007: Forensics went from gate one: stayed on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2008: Sebring from gate five settled well back and hugged the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2009: Phelan Ready from gate fifteen: dropped right back to last but hugged the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2010: Crystal Lily from gate one was on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2011: Sepoy from gate eight was 3rd on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2012: Pierro from gate one hugged the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2013: Overreach from gate one was third on the rail<br \/>\n\u2022 2014: Mossfun missed the start from gate 11 and hugged the rail the whole way to win<br \/>\n\u2022 2015: Vancouver sat 3 wide with cover and won<br \/>\n\u2022 2016: Capitalist sat 3 back on the rails and came out in the straight to win<br \/>\n\u2022 2017: She Will Reign made a beeline for the rails after a slow getaway and wins<br \/>\n\u2022 2018: Estijaab led all the way on the rails<br \/>\n\u2022 2019: Kiamichi led all the way on the rails, coming out in the straight<br \/>\n\u2022 2020: Farnan led on the rails, coming out in the straight, placegetters both on the rails<br \/>\n\u2022 2021: Stay inside sat in the 1&#215;1 and won comfortably. Anamoe was last on the fence and ran 2nd<br \/>\n\u2022 2022: Fireburn settled back from gate 1 and hugged the rails to the turn to win<br \/>\n\u2022 2023: Shinzo settled midfield on the fence and hugged the rails to win<\/p>\n<p>18 of the past 20 Golden Slipper winners were on the rails before the turn.<\/p>\n<p>All 9 wet track Slippers were won by horses who stayed on the fence.<\/p>\n<p>This is a remarkable insight for jockeys, jockey managers, trainers &amp; owners to be aware of when forming their race day plans. For punters the challenge is finding those horses, given a lot comes down to luck in running and the intent, intelligence and\/or instructions of the jockeys on board.<\/p>\n<p>You can see a remarkably clear pattern there of recent Slipper winners over the last 20 years. You want to be on the fence. I have made this point for many years, and yet Fireburn got out to 300\/1 in running in 2022 on Betfair despite being one of only 5 horses on the fence in the race and a $12 chance<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none\"><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 12 YEARS) <\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <ul>\n<li>8 winners had last start 14 days before the Slipper. 1 was 21 days because the races were pushed back 1 week.<br \/>\n2. 7 winners had never run worse than 2nd in their life. 5 had only run out of the quinella once in their career.<br \/>\n3. 11 winners had either 3 or 4 starts prior to the Golden Slipper (one had 5 runs prior to the Golden Slipper).<\/li>\n<li>Barriers 1-3 (6\/36), Barriers 4-10 (0\/84), Barriers 11-16 (6\/70)<\/li>\n<li>Days since last start 7 (2\/29), 14 (8\/69), 21 (2\/48), Other (0\/44)<\/li>\n<li>Gear Changes (0\/49)<\/li>\n<li>Career Starts 1-2 (0\/27), 3-4 (11\/133), 5+ (1\/30)<\/li>\n<li>Career Wins 0-1 (1\/76), 2 (4\/76), 3 (6\/27), 4+ (1\/11)<\/li>\n<li>1st up (0\/8), 2nd up (2\/28), 3rd up (6\/71), 4th up (4\/57), 5th up+ (0\/26)<\/li>\n<li>Last Start 1200m (12\/174), Last Start Under 1200m (0\/16)<\/li>\n<li>2nd last start 1100m (9\/90), 1200m (3\/72), Other (0\/26)<\/li>\n<li>Colts (6\/93), Fillies (6\/93), Geldings (0\/4)<\/li>\n<li>Same Jockey As Last Start Y (9\/95), N (3\/93)<\/li>\n<li>Trainer Waterhouse\/Bott (4), Portelli (2), Hawkes (2)<\/li>\n<li>Won at Rosehill Y (8\/65), N (4\/125)<\/li>\n<li>Won at 1200 Y (9\/94), N (3\/96)<\/li>\n<li>Last Start Finishing Position 1 (8\/83), 2 (3\/83), 3+ (1\/69)<\/li>\n<li>2nd Last Start Finishing Position 1 (9\/89), 2 (2\/45), 3+ (1\/54)<\/li>\n<li>Last start class G1 (0\/33), G2\/3 (12\/144), Other (0\/14)<\/li>\n<li>2nd Last Start class G1 (0\/14), G2 (7\/46), G3\/LR\/OPN\/SC (4\/104), Other (0\/24)<\/li>\n<li>Last start track Randwick\/Rosehill (12\/130), Other (0\/60)<\/li>\n<li>Trained at Randwick\/Rosehill\/Warwick Farm (12\/127), Other (0\/61)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">PRICE ADVANTAGE HISTORY <\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>Lady of Camelot&#8217;s impressive victory last year at the $7.51 was 4.1% better than the corporate average after commission.<\/p>\n<p>Shinzo was a relative upset in 2023 with a $16.10 price ($14.49 after commission).<\/p>\n<p>Fireburn took the cake in 2022, hitting an enormous price in the run, but also opening at $18.60 which was a staggering 40% better than the corporate average.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">SPEED MAP\u00a0<\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>Dare say the speed is strong in this years Slipper with <strong>#11 FARCITED<\/strong> and <strong>#15 BELLAZAINE<\/strong> from the Gai\/Bott team likely to press forward and take up the running. <strong>#2 DEVIL NIGHT<\/strong> will want to replicate his on-speed Blue Diamond win and should go forward from 11 with <strong>#9 NORTH ENGLAND<\/strong> from 9. <strong>#7 SKYHOOK<\/strong> led and won the Pago Pago and<strong> #16 MARHOONA<\/strong> sat behind the leader last time out in the Reisling. <strong>#13 TEMPTED<\/strong> must hold a spot from the inside barrier.<strong> #2 WODETON<\/strong> draws 2 alongside<strong> #3 RIVELLINO<\/strong> and they will both want to be within striking distance of the leaders. All signs point to an above average tempo.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">GOLDEN SLIPPER | RACE PREVIEW<\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>This looks a very even, and may we say, moderate edition of the Golden Slipper. Even since the first 2YO trials at Kensington back in September, we have been waiting for something to put their hand up and win a 2YO race by a big margin and stamp themselves as the horse to beat. We thought it may have been the highly spruiked #8 WODETON when he trounced his rivals on debut at a short price at Rosehill but he definitely has not set the world alight since. Nevertheless, here he is, as favourite yet again after being beaten his last couple.<\/p>\n<p>#8 WODETON appeared to have every chance in the Todman, getting the dream run in transit and hitting the front before being trounced late by Tentyris. Waller is a master, and once this horse lost fresh and he didn\u2019t need to worry about keeping Wodeton\u2019s unbeaten record intact, we suggest everything was geared towards getting this horse to peak for this race. Barrier 2 &amp; James McDonald are big advantages, and we are expecting him to be fighting out the finish.<\/p>\n<p>#1 RIVELLINO has done nothing wrong, winning 3 from 3 and showing versatility in doing so. His win from the back in the Inglis Millenium was that of a good horse and he followed that up with a solid win in the Skyline against key rivals. He gets a chance to settle closer from barrier 3 and with Hugh Bowman taking the ride he looks a key chance.<\/p>\n<p>The Blue Diamond looked a low rating race on paper, but the form has continued to stack up out of the race.<strong> #2 DEVIL NIGHT<\/strong> was the winner of that race at only his 2<sup>nd<\/sup> race start, doing it tough from the front and fighting off all challengers. His debut run was super in the wrong part of the track, and he must be a chance.<strong> #4 TYCOON STAR<\/strong> also came through the Diamond and ran a brave 4<sup>th<\/sup> in the Todman after being 3-wide throughout. From gate 5 he should get a much softer run and will run well. Think he looks value in the market. <strong>#13 TEMPTED<\/strong> is the other with the Diamond lead up form, coming from well back to be beaten 3.9L int 7<sup>th<\/sup> there before a dominant win in the Resiling. Provided she gets the right breaks from barrier 1, she is a key player.<\/p>\n<p><strong>#7 SKYHOOK<\/strong> was a dominant winner of the Pago Pago when leading throughout on a day where it wasn\u2019t easy to do so. He was desperately unlucky the start prior, and if he backs up, he is yet another winning chance. <strong>#12 WITHIN THE LAW<\/strong> has won down the straight, from 1000-1200m and shown a great will to win and chase hard. She has done nothing wrong and is in the hottest stable in the land in Bjorn Baker. With the predicted hot tempo, she seems to draw to get a perfect cart into the race and she must be a major winning hope.<\/p>\n<p>Of the roughies, if <strong>#18 NEPOTISM<\/strong> gets a run, he will run a super race. He went very well on debut in the Todman without a lot of luck and few can win a slipper at start 2, but he is loaded with talent and must be included in exotics. The other one at a good price is <strong>#15 MILITARY TYCOON<\/strong>. We loved the trial before the dominant straight track win at Flemington last time out. The Maher camp wouldn\u2019t bring him here if he couldn\u2019t run a big race, and he is one we have a god opinion of. Think he is the best hope at odds and a genuine winning chance.<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n              <div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n          <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl md:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">TOP 4 SELECTIONS<\/h2>\n          <div class=\"mb-5 md:mb-6 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p>#12 WITHIN THE LAW<br \/>\n#15 MILITARY TYCOON<br \/>\n#4 TYCOON STAR<br \/>\n#8 WODETON<\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n        \n\n<div class=\"expert-tips__row block\">\n      <div class=\"container reduced-width relative py-6 md:pt-4\">\n        <div class=\"expert-tips__wrap pb-6 lg:pb-12\">\n                      <h2 class=\"font-bold font-montserrat text-xl lg:text-[26px] text-bf-yellow text-center md:text-left mb-4 uppercase\">GOLDEN SLIPPER<\/h2>\n                              <div class=\"mb-2.5 md:mb-3 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            \n          <\/div>\n                                                                              <p class=\"pt-2.5 md:pt-3 font-bold font-montserrat text-sm md:text-base\">Betting Strategy<\/p>\n                                <p class=\"text-sm md:text-base\">This is about as even and open of a Golden Slipper in recent memory and as such, we will assess how the track is playing, and the yard will be very important.<br \/>\r\n<br \/>\r\nFollow The Trial Files in the Betfair App and turn on notifications to ensure you don\u2019t miss any late bets.<br \/>\r\n<br \/>\r\nFocusing on those listed above in the Top 4 along with NEPOTISM if it gains a run.<br \/>\r\n<br \/>\r\n**The Trial Files monitors market fluctuations, track conditions, weather, scratchings, stewards\u2019 notifications, and general news before submitting their betting strategies for NSW Group 1s. Make sure you\u2019re following The Trial Files on the Betfair App and turn on notifications to get alerted when they share their strategies\u2014sometimes as close as 30 minutes before a race.**<\/p>\n                            <div class=\"flex flex-col items-start align-middle lg:flex-row my-6\">\n                                  <div class=\"w-full mt-2 market-button-wrap relative\">\n            <a\n            seg-instrument=\"view-market-button\"\n             \n                data-button-details=\"{&quot;marketId&quot;:&quot;1.241049991&quot;,&quot;selectionId&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;label&quot;:&quot;view market&quot;,&quot;buttonText&quot;:&quot;View Market&quot;}\" \n                        data-button-type=\"view\"\n            data-market-id=\"1.241049991\"\n            data-selection-id=\"\"\n            href=\"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/extensions\/dl\/1.241049991\"\n            class=\"market-button w-full md:w-auto no-underline\"\n            target=\"_blank\"\n        >\n            <div class=\"bg-bf-yellow flex items-center shrink-0 justify-between w-full rounded-t\">\n                <div class=\"flex px-8 items-center w-full justify-center\">\n                    <span class=\"line-clamp-1 font-bold font-montserrat text-base py-3\">\n                        View Market\n                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"start-time text-sm bg-bf-grey-80 bg-opacity-30 py-2 text-center rounded-b\">\n                <p class=\"my-0 mx-auto skeleton-loading\"><\/p>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/a>\n    <\/div>\n                              <\/div>\n                              <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n                  <div class=\"marketing-banner block\" data-segment-id=\"banner-container\"\n          data-banner-details=\"{&quot;bannerName&quot;:&quot;The Trial Files &amp;#8211; 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Analysis<\/h2>\n                              <div class=\"mb-2.5 md:mb-3 text-sm md:text-base\">\n            <p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The Golden Slipper is Australia&#8217;s premier two-year-old race, held annually at Rosehill Gardens in Sydney. As a Group 1 event run over 1200 metres, it attracts the nation&#8217;s top juvenile talent and offers a substantial prize pool, making it a highlight of the Sydney Autumn Carnival.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For punters aiming to gain an edge, Golden Slipper tips are invaluable. Expert analysis delves into various factors, including recent form, barrier draws, track conditions, and historical trends, to provide comprehensive predictions. While the field often features a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents, certain patterns have emerged over the years that can inform betting decisions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Predictions for the Golden Slipper often highlight the importance of consistent form leading up to the race. Horses that have demonstrated strong performances in lead-up races, particularly over the 1200m distance, tend to be well-suited to the demands of the Golden Slipper. Additionally, the barrier draw plays a crucial role; inside barriers can offer a tactical advantage, allowing jockeys to position their mounts effectively in the early stages of the race.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">When making informed decisions, expert racing tips are essential. These tips consider a range of factors, including jockey experience, trainer statistics, and the horse&#8217;s racing history. By combining these elements, punters can form a clearer picture of each runner&#8217;s prospects and identify potential value bets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Betting on the Golden Slipper requires a strategic approach. While it&#8217;s tempting to back the favourite, value can often be found further down the market. Horses that are underrated but have the right conditions can offer attractive returns. It&#8217;s also wise to consider exotic bets, such as quinellas and trifectas, which can yield higher payouts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For those seeking the best bets, staying updated with the latest information is crucial. Changes in track conditions, late scratching, or shifts in betting markets can all influence the outcome. Regularly checking expert analyses and race previews can provide the most current insights and help refine betting strategies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In summary, the Golden Slipper is a race that rewards thorough research and strategic betting. By leveraging expert predictions, understanding historical trends, and staying informed, punters can enhance their chances of success. Remember, while betting adds excitement to the race, it&#8217;s essential to gamble responsibly and within your means.<\/span><\/p>\n\n          <\/div>\n                            <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n          ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Racing tips and betting strategies for the Group 1 Golden Slipper in 2025 are available now! Preview, speed map, race analysis, Golden Slipper tips and betting strategies from The Trial Files<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":33,"featured_media":25973,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"tipster_notification_checkbox":false,"send_notification":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19,3],"tags":[],"brand":[],"class_list":["post-160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-expertpreviews","category-horse-racing"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.5 (Yoast SEO v24.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Golden Slipper 2026 Tips | Race Previews &amp; Best Bets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Historical data, racing tips, speed map, race analysis &amp; betting strategy for the Golden Slipper at Rosehill from Betfair&#039;s Analysts. 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