{"id":150,"date":"2022-08-05T05:04:55","date_gmt":"2022-08-05T05:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=150"},"modified":"2025-02-21T20:32:33","modified_gmt":"2025-02-21T09:32:33","slug":"futurity-stakes-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/futurity-stakes-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"FEATURE PREVIEWS: FUTURITY STAKES"},"content":{"rendered":"
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FUTURITY STAKES PREVIEW <\/h2>\n
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TRACK:<\/strong> Caulfield | DISTANCE:<\/strong> 1400 | RAIL POSITION:<\/strong> 4M | TRACK CONDITIONS:<\/strong> Good 4 | PRIZE MONEY:<\/strong> $750,000<\/span><\/p>\n

Hot conditions expected through the week so a very firm track could favour the on pacers. <\/span>Won in recent years by some top sprinter\/milers including Mr Brightside, Alligator Blood, Probabeel, Brave Smash, Turn Me Loose, Suavito, Moment Of Change and All Too Hard. <\/span>The class on-pacers often win here. Orr Stakes winners have a good record in this race, which makes sense given this race has the exact same conditions.<\/span><\/p>\n

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HISTORICAL PROFILING (LAST 13 YEARS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Age: <\/span>3yo (1\/14), <\/span>4yo (4\/25), 5yo (4\/28), <\/span>6yo (3\/25), 7yo (1\/15), 8\/9yo (0\/10)<\/span><\/p>\n

Days Since Last Start: <\/span>7 (1\/3),<\/b> 14 (9\/64), <\/span>21 (1\/9), 28+ (2\/40)<\/span><\/p>\n

1<\/span>st<\/span> up (2\/36), 2<\/span>nd<\/span> up (6\/48), 3<\/span>rd<\/span> up (5\/26), <\/span>4<\/span>th<\/span> up+ (0\/7)<\/span><\/p>\n

SP Rank <\/span>1 (8\/13),<\/b> 2-5 (5\/52), <\/span>6+ (0\/52)<\/span><\/p>\n

BFSP Price $1-$4 (10\/19), $5-$14 (3\/39), <\/span>$15+ (0\/59)<\/span><\/p>\n

Pace\/Handy (6\/41), <\/span>Midfield\/Back (7\/76)<\/span><\/p>\n

Colt (1\/12), Gelding (6\/59), Horse (2\/31), <\/span>Mare (4\/15)<\/b><\/p>\n

Last Star Favourite Yes (7\/17), No (6\/100)<\/span><\/p>\n

Last Start Finishing Position 1<\/span>st<\/span> (8\/24), 2<\/span>nd<\/span> (2\/13), 3<\/span>rd<\/span> (1\/18), 4<\/span>th<\/span> (2\/14), 5<\/span>th<\/span>+ (0\/48)<\/span><\/p>\n

Last Start Distance <\/span><1400 (2\/27), <\/span>1400 (9\/52), <\/span>1600 (1\/15), 1800+ (1\/23)<\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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BETFAIR PRICE ADVANTAGE HISTORY <\/h2>\n
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Mr Brightside dominated the markets in 2024, saluting with a BSP of $1.52 which still marginally outdid the corporate average.<\/p>\n

Alligator Blood was also very short in 2023, with the most recent upset occuring in 2022 with Sierra Sue got up with a BSP\u00a0 of $14.08, which was 2.4% better than Best Tote that year.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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SPEED MAP <\/h2>\n
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Average early speed expected here with Pericles, Light Infantry Man, Private Life and Mr Brightside<\/strong> pushing forward. Private Life & Mr Brightside<\/strong> risk getting caught wide. <\/span>Place Du Carrousel, Evaporate, Freedom Rally & Tom Kitten<\/strong> midfield. <\/span>Pinstriped, I Wish I Win & Super Smink<\/strong> out the back. <\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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KEY RUNNERS<\/h2>\n
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1. Mr Brightside –<\/strong> 8-time G1 winner plus an All-Star Mile. Ran a close 2nd to our winner Another Wil first up with a big gap to 3rd. Tricky map again but clearly the one to beat.<\/p>\n

2. I Wish I Win –<\/strong> Top class gelding with a powerful finish. Certainly has the talent to win this but historical profiling of this race doesn\u2019t suit his style.<\/p>\n

3. Pericles –<\/strong> Multiple G2 winner who was 2nd beaten a neck in a Golden Eagle. Doesn\u2019t have great record fresh and finds one or two better at G1 level. Does profile nicely though on a number of historical factors.<\/p>\n

4. Tom Kitten –<\/strong> G1 winner who does sprint well fresh. Close in the Epsom and Golden Eagle last prep. Does get back<\/p>\n

6. Pinstriped –<\/strong> Was plain first up, but usually peaks second up and if repeated past couple of second up wins could figure<\/p>\n

10. Private Life –<\/strong> Won the G1 Caulfield Guineas at 5th start, then only beaten 1.3L in the G1 Champions Sprint. Was a well beaten 4th first up but was stuck on the fence. Can improve here.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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TOP 4 SELECTIONS <\/h2>\n
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1. Mr Brightside
\n3. Pericles
\n10. Private Life
\n4. Tom Kitten<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n\n

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FUTURITY STAKES BETTING STRATEGIES<\/h2>\n
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Mr Brightside profiles as the clear one to beat, but the market has him even money and he has a tricky map.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pericles, Private Life & Tom Kitten all profile as the key dangers and are all double figure odds.<\/span><\/p>\n

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**Dean Evans monitors market fluctuations, track conditions, weather, scratchings, stewards’ notifications, and general news before submitting his betting strategies for Victorian Group 1s. Make sure you’re following Dean Evans on the Betfair App and turn on notifications to get alerted when he shares his strategies\u2014sometimes as close as 30 minutes before a race.**<\/em><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK 1. Mr Brightside (WIN) for 3 units
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Dean Evans<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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