{"id":149,"date":"2022-08-05T04:39:14","date_gmt":"2022-08-05T04:39:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bfhubprod.wpengine.com\/hub\/?p=149"},"modified":"2025-06-11T10:39:08","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T00:39:08","slug":"oakleigh-plate-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betfair.com.au\/hub\/racing\/horse-racing\/oakleigh-plate-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"FEATURE PREVIEWS: OAKLEIGH PLATE"},"content":{"rendered":"
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OAKLEIGH PLATE PREVIEW <\/h2>\n
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TRACK:<\/strong> Caulfield | DISTANCE:<\/strong> 1100 | RAIL POSITION:<\/strong> 4M | TRACK CONDITIONS:<\/strong> Good 4 | PRIZE MONEY:<\/strong> $750,000<\/span><\/p>\n

Hot conditions expected through the week so a very firm track could favour the on pacers.<\/span>
\n<\/span>Won in recent years by some handy sprinters including Portland Sky, Pippie, Booker, Uncommon James, Marabi, Celebrity Queen, Russian Revolution, Shamal Wind, Lankan Rupee & Woorim. We backed Queman to win this race at $19 BFSP last year.<\/span><\/p>\n

HISTORICAL PROFILE (PAST 13 YEARS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Weight Carried Change <\/span>-0.5 to +2 (2\/23)<\/b><\/p>\n

Age <\/span>3 (1\/33), <\/span>4 (6\/80), 5 (5\/56), 6 (2\/29),<\/b> 7+ (0\/16)<\/span><\/p>\n

Settled Top 6 (10), Settled 10<\/span>th<\/span>+ (3)<\/span><\/p>\n

Barrier 1-4 (4\/52), 5-8 (3\/52), 9-12 (2\/52), <\/span>Barrier 13-16 (5\/45),<\/b> 17-18 (0\/13)<\/span><\/p>\n

Days since last start: <\/span>14 (2\/44), 21 (1\/28), <\/span>28-30 (3\/20), <\/b>40-80 (1\/19),<\/span> 90-110 (6\/61),<\/b><\/p>\n

120+ (1\/28)<\/span><\/p>\n

Gear Change <\/span>(0\/43)<\/span><\/p>\n

Career Wins <\/span>1-6 (8\/142), <\/span>7-10 (6\/72)<\/b><\/p>\n

1<\/b>st<\/b> up (8\/105),<\/b> 2<\/span>nd<\/span> up (4\/66), <\/span>3<\/span>rd<\/span> up (1\/18), 4<\/span>th<\/span> up (1\/9), 5<\/span>th<\/span> up+ (0\/16)<\/span><\/p>\n

Pace\/Handy (11\/106),<\/b> Midfield\/Back (3\/108)<\/span><\/p>\n

Gender <\/span>Mares (7\/65), Geldings (5\/96),<\/b> Entires (1\/22), Colts (1\/19), Fillies (0\/12)<\/span><\/p>\n

Last Start 1<\/span>st<\/span>\/2<\/span>nd<\/span> (10\/99)<\/span><\/p>\n

Last Start Black Type (14\/186),<\/span> Other (0\/28)<\/span><\/p>\n

Last Start <\/span>Flemington (5\/56),<\/b> Caulfield (3\/80), <\/span>Moonee Valley (2\/19), Sandown<\/span><\/p>\n

Lakeside (2\/11), Ascot (2\/11), <\/span>Other (0\/37)<\/span><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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BETFAIR PRICE ADVANTAGE HISTORY <\/h2>\n
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Queman’s victory last year came at a BSP of $17.81 which trumped Ladbrokes and the Tote by 3.5% post commission.<\/p>\n

Uncommon James also caused a mini upset in 2023 with victory at the $9.72 which beat the corporate average post commission by 2.4%<\/p>\n

Marabi won the race as a strong favourite in 2022, but the $2.87 BSP was 11.5% better than the corporate average post commission.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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SPEED MAP<\/h2>\n
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Fast early speed engaged as expected with Estriella, Insurrection, Golden Boom & Ostraka<\/strong> all pushing forward from outside gates whilst I Am Me and Hard To Say<\/strong> push forward from the inside in what could be a manic start to the race. Ashford Street, She\u2019s Bulletproof, Arabian Summer & Brudenell<\/strong> midfield. Sghirripa, Rey Magnerio, Espionage & Jimmysstar<\/strong> back of midfield. Sans Doute, Headwall & Prairie Flower<\/strong> out the back.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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KEY RUNNERS <\/h2>\n
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1. I Am Me –<\/strong> Talented mare with a strong 1100m and fresh up record. Profiles strongly for this.<\/p>\n

2. Estriella –<\/strong> Highly regarded mare who has fallen a bit short of expectations. Has the talent to win.<\/p>\n

7. Jimmysstar<\/strong> – More of a 1400m horse but did win his only 1100m start at this track first up last prep beating a handy field. Could surprise.<\/p>\n

10. Sghirripa –<\/strong> Drew wide in this race last year, settled wide and last, and flew home only beaten 2L. First up here and positive draw and rider change.<\/p>\n

12. Headwall<\/strong> – Handy mare here first up. Well up in grade bit could surprise as has a strong sprint.<\/p>\n

17. Espionage –<\/strong> Classy 3yo who is lightly raced but is capable of winning this.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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TOP 4 SELECTIONS<\/h2>\n
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1. I Am Me
\n10. Sghirripa
\n2. Estriella
\n17. Espionage<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n\n

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OAKLEIGH PLATE BETTING STRATEGIES<\/h2>\n
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I Am Me profiles as the one to beat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sghirripa, Estriella & Espionage are all dangers.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jimmysstar & Headwall knockout chances.<\/span><\/p>\n

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**Dean Evans monitors market fluctuations, track conditions, weather, scratchings, stewards\u2019 notifications, and general news before submitting his betting strategies for Victorian Group 1s. Make sure you\u2019re following Dean Evans on the Betfair App and turn on notifications to get alerted when he shares his strategies\u2014sometimes as close as 30 minutes before a race.**<\/em><\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n

Betting Strategy<\/p>\n

BACK 1. I Am Me (WIN) for 2 units<\/p>\n

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Dean Evans<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/a>\n \n

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