EXPERT RACING TIPS: PAKENHAM

HUB VIC Racing

Find a range of betting tips and expert advice available on Victorian thoroughbred racing from Betfair analyst Chris Camilleri. Racing tips are online now.


PAKENHAM | 27 JANUARY

Rail Position: +4m Entire | Track Condition: Soft 5

Expecting an advantage to settle off the rails in run and in lanes 3+ in the straight.


BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 2 | #7 Set The Sails  

Very keen on the Price & Kent trained colt resuming after showing talent in two career starts last time in, maps to get a perfect run in behind the speed from the soft draw.

BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Race 4 | #9 Wish Master

Taking on this galloper purely on a speed map perspective, has been slowly away in two starts to date and from barrier 1 looks to get along way off the speed and needing a lot of luck in the straight.


Race 1 | KEY RUNNERS

8. Water Bomber
5. Sir Bailey
4. River Ribble
10. Volander

Betting Strategy

Low confidence race with a majority of the field on debut, happy to watch and use as a form race moving forward.


Race 2 | KEY RUNNERS

7. Set The Sails
2. Chain
11. Minado
5. Lafargue

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) – Set The Sails

Very keen on the Price & Kent trained colt resuming after showing talent in two career starts last time in, maps to get a perfect run in behind the speed from the soft draw.


Race 3 | KEY RUNNERS

3. Ebony King
9. The Psychologist
6. Irish Exchange
1. Chateau Nue

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) – Ebony King

Graeme Begg trained colt that appeals in an open race, kept fresh for this race after hitting the line strongly over 1500m last start, out in trip suits and will be prominent in the run early.


Race 4 | KEY RUNNERS

12. Sally Sunshine
6. Semper Fortie
4. Mon Cheval
9. Wish Master

Betting Strategy

LAY (WIN) — Wish Master

Taking on this galloper purely on a speed map perspective, has been slowly away in two starts to date and from barrier 1 looks to get along way off the speed and needing a lot of luck in the straight.


Race 5 | KEY RUNNERS

10. Hes The Ultimate
4. Wild Express
2. Miss Divine Em
7. Just Malcolm

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) – Hes The Ultimate

Was in the market resuming over 1200m at Caulfield and battled away through the line, expecting a much-improved performance second up with the booking of Jamie Kah.


Race 6 | KEY RUNNERS

4. Mahrez
8. Its True
3. Dimension
9. Rumbled Again

Betting Strategy

LAY (WIN) — Dimension

Taking on the Freedman trained gelding at career starts number two, sat on speed and fought on well over 1200m lasty start but feel he will be vulnerable late out to 1400m.


Race 7 | KEY RUNNERS

11. Fac
1. Kermy
10. Showminder
4. Barragunda

Betting Strategy

Low confidence race to suggest a back or lay play, tough to split the top four in the market.


Race 8 | KEY RUNNERS

5. Dissonance
14. Kanzai
2. Xingyun
3. Our Chevalier

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) –  Dissonance

Even race to finish the day over the 1600m, the Kavanagh trained gelding appeals at the current exchange price having the race fitness edge over the field, has the early speed to sit prominent in the run and make his own luck.


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