09/04/22
Find a range of betting tips and expert advice available on Victorian thoroughbred racing from Betfair analyst Chris Camilleri. Racing tips are online now…
CAULFIELD | FEBRUARY 26
Rail Position: +3m | Track Condition: Good 4
Expecting an even track with all runners getting their chance dependent on individual race pace.
BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 1 | #2 Generation
Very keen on the Maher & Eustace trained colt after a dominant first up win last start, strips fitter now and from barrier 3 draws to get a nice run outside of the pace throughout in the small field.
BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Race 3 | #3 Castlereagh Kid
Worked hard throughout over 1800m last start holding on to win in BM64 grade, now must step up to Group 2 company against a few handy types and others that have the potential to improve sharply out in trip.
Race 1 | KEY RUNNERS
2. Generation
5. Mars Mission
1. Finance Tycoon
6. Mornington Glory
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) – Generation
Very keen on the Maher & Eustace trained colt after a dominant first up win last start, strips fitter now and from barrier 3 draws to get a nice run outside of the pace throughout in the small field.
Race 2 | KEY RUNNERS
2. Flying Mascot
1. Rich Hips
7. Bound To Win
5. Under My Spell
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) – Flying Mascot
Appeals on the exchange at $1.70+ after a strong effort when resuming last start only getting run down late by Probabeel, in the small field the mare finds the front and able to dictate the pace to suit.
Race 3 | KEY RUNNERS
14. El Patroness
1. Lucky Decision
10. Mahrez
3. Castlereagh Kid
Betting Strategy
LAY (WIN) – Castlereagh Kid at < $4.50
Worked hard throughout over 1800m last start holding on to win in BM64 grade, now must step up to Group 2 company against a few handy types and others that have the potential to improve sharply out in trip.
Race 4 | KEY RUNNERS
4. Argentia
6. Lavish Girl
5. Decent Raine
10. Forbidden City
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) – Argentia
Talented filly that returned with an impressive win over 1200m last start, would have taken further improvement off that performance and from barrier 1 can settle right behind the speed.
Race 5 | KEY RUNNERS
1. Cascadian
5. Callsign Mav
7. Delphi
3. Shared Ambition
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) – Cascadian
Returned in great fashion last start in the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes hitting the line strongly, out to 1800m is ideal and in the small field maps to get a perfect stalking position form the inside draw.
Race 6 | KEY RUNNERS
3. Mo’unga
1. I’m Thunderstruck
4. Tofane
5. Sierra Sue
Betting Strategy
LAY (WIN) – Tofane at < $3.50
Got all the favours last start setting the tempo throughout and getting the race run to suit, much more early pressure in this race and feel Mo’unga & I’m Thunderstruck will be the two finishing over the top of the field.
Race 7 | KEY RUNNERS
11. Revolutionary Miss
12. Miss Roseiano
4. Sebonack
15. Waltz On By
Betting Strategy
LAY (WIN) – Jacquinot
Others in the market bring clear superior ratings into the Group 1 event, has been slowly away in two career starts which will be a hug disadvantage and may end up to far back in the run.
Race 8 | KEY RUNNERS
9. Minhaaj
5. Marabi
1. Wild Ruler
4. Bella Nipotina
Betting Strategy
Low confidence race to suggest a back or lay suggestion with not much splitting the top three in the market, all three are high class gallopers and will just watch them go around.
Race 9 | KEY RUNNERS
5. Desert Icon
8. Wyclif
6. Criminal Code
4. Pancho
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) – Desert Icon
Chris Waller trained gelding that was a dominant all the way winner over 1800m last start running right through the line, he is at peak fitness and from barrier 5 goes straight to the front and able to dictate the pace to suit.
