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FEATURE PREVIEWS: UNDERWOOD STAKES

UNDERWOOD STAKES | CAUFIELD R9

Track: Caulfield | Distance: 1800m | Race Type: Group 1 WFA | Rail: +6m | Current Track Conditions:  Good 4 |
Prediction Track Conditions: Good 4 | Prizemoney: $750,000

A key stepping-stone towards the major races including the Cox Plate and the Caulfield Cup. G1 WFA won in recent times by the likes of Alligator Blood, Zaaki, Russian Camelot, Black Heart Bart, Mourinho, Foreteller, It’s A Dundeel, Ocean Park & Lion Tamer.

UNDERWOOD STAKES: HISTORY

Historical Profiling (last 12 years)

  • 2nd up – 7 winners, 3rd up – 5 winners
  • 7-day break – 1 winner, 14-day break – 4 winners, 21-day break – 7 winners
  • Last 10 years the winner has been no worse than 5th on the turn
  • Career Starts 13 or less (6)
  • Age 4 (5), 5-9 (7)
  • Gelding (7), Entire (4), Mare (1)
  • Exchange Rank 1-3 (8)

Last Start Distance 1600 (7), 1400 (5)

SPEED MAP

Decent speed here with Alligator Blood up front, Lindermann on his back and Tuvalu sitting outside.

Vow And Declare, Smokin Romans & Right You Are will push forward also.

Bank Maur, Attrition & Mounga forward of midfield.

Nonconformist, Duais, Duke De Sessa & Without A Fight back of midfield.

Alenquer, Soulcombe, Lunar Flare & Alaskan God out the back.

KEY RUNNERS

2. Alligator Blood – 5-time G1 winner. Won two trials in prep for the G1 Memsie and was only 0.9L from the winner first up, before a good 2nd in the Makybe Diva to Mr Brightside. Is the one to beat.

4. Nonconformist – Won the Blamey first up last prep. Was outpaced in the Memsie but late sectionals were good and he’ll be hitting the line hard late.

5. Tuvalu – Won the Toorak and 2nd in the Cantala last prep. Has been solid in two runs this prep and maps handy.

8. Without A Fight – Was impressive in his two Queensland wins. First up here and will get back.

9. Right You Are – Consistent galloper from the right yard who maps well, keeps improving and beat some handy horses last prep. Could be the spoiler.

10. Soulcombe – Was impressive winning the Heatherlie first up. Gets too far back here?

11. Duke De Sessa – Impressive entire who ran a slashing race first up in the Doncaster Handicap first up last prep. Was solid first up in the Memsie and will appreciate the step up to 1800m here.

13. Lindermann – Pulled up coughing first up in the Winx then 4th in the Chemlsford beaten 1.4L. Think It Over ran 3rd there then won the $1m 7 Stakes last week. Rosehill Guineas win last prep puts him in the frame here. Bowman flying to ride a big pointer.

14. Attrition – Has to slot in from the wide gate, but was a strong and close 2nd in the Australian Guineas last prep, and again in the John Feehan last start.

15. Duais – Was a slashing first up run in the Winx Stakes then a bit plainer second up. Watch here.

TOP 5 SELECTIONS

#13 Lindermann
#2 Alligator Blood
#9 Right You Are
#5 Tuvalu
#11 Duke De Sessa

BETTING STRATEGY

Lindermann & Alligator Blood should dictate terms, and both will be hard to run down.
Right You Are and Tuvalu will be close on speed and have the ability to give this a shake.
Duke De Sessa the big improver if the race suits a swooper.

BACK: #13 Lindermann 1.0w
BACK: #2 Alligator Blood 1.0w
BACK: #9 Right You Are 0.5w
BACK: #5 Tuvalu 0.3w
BACK: #11 Duke De Sessa 0.2w

RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 425.2
Units Returned: 462.6
Profit On Turnover: 8.8%

G1 Big Priced Winners (Betfair SP Price)

2023 Australian Derby: Major Beel $53.63
2020 Empire Rose Stakes: Shout The Bar $32.60
2020 Melbourne Cup: Twilight Payment $28.26
2022 Blue Diamond Stakes: Daumier $23
2022 William Reid Stakes: September Run $19.50
2021 Randwick Guineas: Lion’s Roar $18.95

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