UK Racing Tips

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11th September

Into the final day of the festival and loooking to finish off strongly after two nice winners and getting beaten in a photo yesterday.

Must admit I had this down as a day for wet track form but the rain doesn’t seem to have arrived in any significant amount. There’s still a chance it does, which would have significant bearing on the last race on the card.

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LA PULGA was chinned by FALL OF ROME when they met at Newmarket two starts ago. The Kodiac colt carried 60.5kg that day and drops to 57.5kg whilst Fall of Rome goes from 59.5kg up to 60.5kg. There was less than a length between them and this might be enough to reverse the result with champion jockey Oisin Murphy now taking over.

FALL OF ROME has been consistent but nothing special, and has been relieved of any future stallion duties after getting the chop. I’m happy to leave out THUNDER LEGEND who led a weak maiden on a day where it paid dividends to be a front runner at Hamilton, as he steps into a harder race here.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — LA PULGA for 3 units

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The Portland Handicap is a cracking sprint over 1143m. It tends to catch out the speedy 1000m types and the late-closing 1200m types so it pays to look deep into a horse’s record and their racing pattern. MR WAGYU was flying until he never got going last time out. Prior he had won 5 of his last 9 and hit the line well in every race. He’s still not unfairly handicapped and I think is still in with a shout of winning.

Most of these come from the Great St Wilfrid at Ripon where JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE took full advantage of a rails bias to lead and win. Anything drawn single figures or off the pace had an impossible task that day and can be forgiven which leads me to INTRINSIC BOND who got home well for 4th in that race. The horse has run two good races at Donny previously, winning and running a close 4th in a big field and I’m confident he can run a cracker here at long odds. Rain would be a big plus.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a big run from KIND REVIEW either, who is drawn to make use of gate 19 and does go well fresh. Hollie Doyle is an eye catching booking as well. I’m against HURRICANE IVOR off top weight who seems more like a 1000m horse despite running superbly against the bias at York last time out, when COPPER KNIGHT made all.

JAWWAAL has a phenomenal record at Doncaster and is the one true track specialist in this field but just doesn’t get home further than five furlongs.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — MR WAGYU for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) — INTRINSIC BOND for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) — KIND REVIEW for 1 unit

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LANEQASH ran a cracker at big odds and confirmed the promise he showed as a 2yo when denied by the fast-finishing Sacred in the Hungerford Stakes last time out. He’d been off nearly a year since faltering in the mud at Newbury and had a rough race here at this meeting when just tipped out by New Mandate. Providing rain doesn’t hurt his chances, he should be able to account for the old guard here in receipt of the 3yo weight allowance.

GLORIOUS JOURNEY and DANYAH can fight it out for second place, with the former chasing home Space Blues last start and the latter running consistently in the big feature handicaps and is now too high in weight to keep contesting them. OH THIS IS US would be another massive shock based on how bad he’s been at his last two, but he does enjoy this track and has run in the money three of four starts here with the only blemish being 1.75L 7th with 63.5kg.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — LANEQASH for 4 units

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Barring injury I can find no sane reason to oppose HURRICANE LANE here. He was devastating in the GP de Paris when kicking a mile clear to win with any amount in hand. He also rattled home to win the Irish Derby from a seemingly impossible position showing he has the bags of stamina required for this. His only defeat thus far came when 3rd to Adayar in the Epsom Derby and we all know just how good that horse is. There were even excuses for him that day when he lost two shoes in the race. Everything here is pointing to a win for the Godolphin colt, even with Aidan O’Brien sending out his usual fleet to blockade a short-priced rival.

THE MEDITERRANEAN will likely take up the running and set the fractions with Wayne Lordan forgoing rides on Irish Champion’s Day for this. HIGH DEFINITION has turned out to be a bit of a tugboat and shown no real gear change late in his races this season despite many setbacks. Dettori has been given the task to find something with him but he’s been off the bit and chasing a mile from home his last two and it hasn’t been pretty. He should be double the price.

SIR LUCAN contests another big race after travelling strongly and finding an empty tank in the final furlong. It’s highly likely that will be the case once more and Dettori abandons him now too.

The horse I’m most intrigued by is INTERPRETATION who looks like he could gallop from dawn till dusk. He’s gotten better the further he has gone in all of his starts thus far and is a genuine stayer who will handle any ground. To my eye he looks the one capable of giving Hurricane Lane his toughest test to date and might just have the remainder of the field covered. Hollie Doyle has done well on Aidan O’Brien’s horses at odds as they suit her riding style and I’ll be surprised if he can’t run top 3 here.

OTTOMAN EMPEROR next best as he got home well to win the Gordon but this is much harder and beating Sir Lucan isn’t exactly the best form there is.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — HURRICANE LANE for 5 units

BACK (WIN) — INTERPRETATION for 2 units (without fave market)

BACK (PLACE) — INTERPRETATION for 2 units

ROYAL FLEET ran in patches last time out and still got home well once the race was all over. He didn’t respond to pressure at all and that took him out of contention but his final furlong was near equal to that of the winner so there could be more to come if travelling better for longer. He’s the least exposed with plenty of upside in this field and I’m giving him another go. He’s a quirky sort and that’s why we’re seemingly getting a price here. If his run last time out never happened he’d be $2.50 in this affair.

He goes on top ahead of RAADOBARG who has had three months to get over his taxing run at Royal Ascot. He was only 8th that day but still had 20 horses behind him so it’s by no means a bad run at all. If he’s fit and ready this is within his grasp as a lightly raced type on an upward curve. Any rain would be a massive boost as most of the field don’t want it.

DANCE FEVER next best off a tough mark top weight, and IRISH ADMIRAL who took advantage of a turgid field to win last time out.

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) — ROYAL FLEET for 3.5 units

BACK (WIN) — RAADOBARG for 1.5 units


Total Units Staked: 1012.00

Total Units Returned: 1022.98

ROI: 1.08%


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