Tri-Light Series: Week 4

For 10 weeks Racing Victoria will trial a new twilight racing series with an additional meeting each Wednesday. Betfair has engaged three top Professional Punters to battle it out each week with a focus on these meetings. The winner will be crowned Tri-Light Champion.

Our three punters will give their best BACK (3 unit bet), LAY ( risking to lose a 1 unit) and Value (1 unit bet) selection with winner returning the best ROI for the 10 week period.

Leader Board After Week 3

1st – Jack Dickens

2nd – Daniel O’Sullivan

3rd – Dan Kelly


Jack Dickens – @dickosmailbag - dickosmailbag.store - Youtube MailBagTV - 1st Place

Jack primarily focuses on Mounting Yard Assessments for Victorian Racing, he puts each assessment into a database which along with detailed video and sectional time reviews (puntingform.com.au). This process allows Jack to identify key horses to follow. Jack has provided form-based betting plans to clients for over three years.  Jack’s Mounting Yard Mail & MailBag-Movers products are available via dickosmailbag.com Jack & Drew Patchell @theprofits provide a weekly preview & review YouTube show for Vic Racing.

BACK – Race 4 #10 Gretzky

Fifth up this preparation and now surely ready to peak. Won well and was brave at this track and distance two starts back. Last start at Flemington I noted: “Did stack of work early and needed the run”. He is an on pacer who makes own luck and should be suited today. Almost three weeks between runs should have him in great order and hard to run down.

LAY – Race 1 #9 Ruchla

Talented horse, who could be in for exciting prep, in my opinion however she is a genuine stayer and will find this decent maiden way too short, there are two decent sprinters here in Musuta and over and above who should fight the race out.

VALUE – Race 7 #10 Booradley

Tongue Tie on for the first time, Liam Riordan to Craig Williams switch is a big tick. Fourth up with a senior Jock who can find good spot forward and prove hard to catch. The Weir stable have Peaceful State resuming which is very scary here and if forward in condition will be hard to beat.


Daniel O’Sullivan - @TRBHorseRacing – Betsmart.racing - 2nd Place

Daniel first attended the races as a 20yo and found himself quickly immersed in Don Scott’s books and racing paper’s such as the Sportsman. With an analytical mind he was quickly focused on times and ratings looking for edges within the market. Daniel developed a database and ratings system and has been a professional punters for over 15 years. He’s now the Director of Betsmart Racing and The Rating Bureau where he educates, analyses races and provides intelligence to a broad spectrum of customers in the racing game.

BACK – Race 1 #4 Masuta

I liked his debut back on 17/1 in the first twilight meeting at Caulfield when second to Twilight

LAY – Race 7 #5 Peaceful State

There’s no doubt he’s the most talented horse in this race, so I’m opposing more on ‘race scenario’ rather than ability. First up here from the Weir stable with Autumn carnival targets in mind, I’m sure he’ll be one or two runs short of his peak and from a wide draw I’d imagine he’ll be ridden conservatively, especially with 60kg as a mid-season 3YO against older horses.

It will take a big effort to give this field 4-5 lengths and pick up with the weight to run them down and while it wouldn’t surprise me if he did it, I can’t find him anywhere near $3.00 currently on offer in the market.

VALUE – Race 4 #5 Atlantic Express

This is not a strong race at all, with all the top market chances have either a query about their rating credentials or coming off a questionable last start run. That makes it a good race to speculate on a longshot and the one that looks most likely to me is Atlantic Express at around $15 in current markets.

He ran okay third up over 1600m at Caulfield last start when beaten 1.8L, but what I like in the 12 months prior he’s had seven runs at the mile and returned a rating in five of them that can potentially win this race.

I’m gambling on him improving to that level again here, but from Barrier 2 he looks like getting an ideal run up near the lead, which will give him every possible chance.


Dan Kelly –  @winbetdan - Watch Dan on Darren Potter Race Assessments on YouTube - 3rd Place

Dan’s career began his in his early twenties working as a clerk for leading Melbourne Rails Bookmaker Anthony Doughty. Anthony does his own form and creates his own price ratings which peaked Dan’s interest in wagering and before too long he started buying the same videos and began his journey into form & video analysis. In 2008, Dan joined Mark Read’s IAS as a video analyst on Hong Kong races which honed his skills even more, before moving into full time form analysis and trading on Victorian races. IAS merged with Sportsbet following the Paddy Power takeover and soon after Dan decided it was time to have a go out on his own. Since that time Dan has been a been a full time punter ever since.

BACK – Race 3 #2 Twilight Song

After showing good talent at the Flemington jump outs I thought this filly was outstanding on debut at Caulfield. She covered a bit of extra ground and raced greenly but still managed to reel off good sectionals right through the line to score. Looks to have plenty of ‘X’ factor to me and should be winning again today on her way to stronger assignments during the Autumn.

LAY – Race 1 #9 Ruchla

This filly is resuming off a lengthy break and will need the run today. Her only run was over 1400m, so this will be too short for her. With two smart horses Masuta & Over And Above in the race I think she is well under the odds around the current quote of $5.

VALUE – Race 4 #11 Near Queue

A horse this deep in a preparation is not normally something that appeals to me but when it comes to an ‘in form mare’ then it’s another story. Since having a five week freshen up back in November this Mare is racing in great heart. She bolted in at Werribee and has had little luck her past two runs but today with good speed on and top jockey Craig Williams aboard for the second time I can see her rounding them up.


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