Night racing returns to Launceston this Wednesday with the highlight the inaugural running of the Australian Female Jockey Championship across the first four races. Race 5 sees Red Spyder try to win again after landing a betting plunge in Hobart, while promising 3yo Street Tough is set to go around as the shortest favourite of the night in race 8.

Race 1 – 18:50 National Jockeys Association Benchmark 58 Hcp (1200 METRES

Speed Map

Very good speed engaged here with all of Schillie Billie, Miss Scandilous, Miss Two Pairs and Sunday Cider capable of searching for the front. Elegatano, Boart, Osborne and Mariah’s Magic with the blinkers on can all be in the first few too so expect this to be run at a strong clip.

Major Players

1. Boart: Is racing in excellent form and looks suited coming back to 1200m after a game run over 1400m last time. Was running well in much tougher races prior, including a good 2nd behind Red Spyder over this trip three runs back. Has plenty of weight but has won with 59kg and draws ideally. Looks very well placed.

5. Miss Two Pairs: Gets a huge drop in grade here after being outclassed in the Vamos Stakes. Generally prefers slightly longer but has placed over this course three times from four tries. Tricky draw but has the speed to try and overcome it. Has each way claims.

3. Sentimental Dream: Also comes back from 1400m where he battled on well considering he raced wide for much of the race. Getting fitter after a long spell and should get a very soft run from the inside draw. Has plenty of ability when right so has a genuine knockout chance here with luck in running.

2. Osborne: Resumed from a very long spell in C3 company and battled away in midfield behind Geegee Trendsetter. Had trialled numerous times previously but still expect him to improve off that run and he should get a good run from his inside draw. Well up to this grade on his best form so he has at least place claims.

7. Schillie Billie: Held the lead from the inside last week when finishing close-up in BM64 grade behind Love Magic. Can mix her form and has only won 2 from 38 but her previous run over this course was a handy win over Nordic Thunder and Savs Finale. May hold the front from an inside draw again and can give a sight.

Next best 6. Elegatano (beat home Schillie Billie last time, needs luck from a wider draw but going well enough to be somewhere in the finish with the right run).

Verdict

Hard to go past Boart (1) even with the big weight and he only has to hold his form to be very hard to beat here.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Boart for 6 Units

Race 2 – 19:20 National Jockeys Association Class 1 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Kathonious may roll to the lead here with the likes of Dubbo, Modern Dane, Bounce Back and Berry Wise Fox able to settle in the first few.

Major Players

2. Kathonious: Appreciated the drop back to 1400m last week to score a gutsy win in maiden company. Goes up in grade but looks set to get a good run on speed and and finds a rather winnable C1. Expect him to give a good sight and he looks one of the better chances in an even race.

4. Dubbo: Has been racing well at this track with two placings from her past three runs, including a good 3rd in a solid C1 over 1200m and then her last start 3rd over the mile behind Datuk Zadragon and Double You Tee. 1400m looks pretty suitable now and she can get a nice run near the lead for Carr off the inside gate. Definite chance.

1. Negreanu: Was well ridden by Pires in Hobart to get to the right part of the track and score a strong win at his first run in Tasmania. 1400m should suit considering Hayes & Dabernig looked to get him to a mile in his three Victorian runs and the manner in which he found the line last time. The Last Godfather came out of his last race to run a narrow 2nd behind Kathonious so his form ties in on that basis. Still on the up and right in the mix again.

7. Foreeva: Ran a very solid 2nd behind Somerset over this trip two runs ago when coming home in the best part of the track before going to strong 3yo grade last time where she was far from disgraced. Much better placed here but still some query at 1400m considering she may have been a bit flattered two runs back. That said, she does seem to be relishing being ridden quieter early and she is capable of running them down with the right run.

3. Classic Western: Broke his maiden here three starts ago before putting in a couple of reasonable runs in Hobart in this grade. Got to this trip for the first time last start when 3rd behind Somerset but couldn’t match the finish of Foreeva, finishing behind that horse. Suggest he might be better suited to this track but will need luck from the gate. Some hope.

Next best 8. Sunset Party (last couple have been alright and not far behind Dubbo last time, can run a cheeky race at longer odds).

Verdict

Even race. Lean to Kathonious (2) on the back-up to win again but many of these are capable of winning.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Kathonious for 2 units

 

Race 3 – 20:00 Kevin Sharkie Mdn/Class 1 Hcp (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Looks good speed here with Lady Casey, Gwenville, The Auditor and Rodessa all capable of looking for the front if desired and The Grey Crusader and Glory Blaze also looking to race near the lead. Could be a strong tempo with that amount of interest in being on speed.

Major Players

1. Glory Blaze: Is coming along nicely this prep and dropped back from 1400m last time to run a close-up 4th behind Ruthless Lover last week over 1200m despite racing wide. Sharp jump now to the mile but should be fit enough with three runs in his legs and his maiden win came over a similar trip. Drawn out but rolls forward and with luck in running he does look ready to win.

2. Rusty Devil: Is a very nicely bred gelding who landed some good bets at his Tasmanian debut when he finished strongly to score over 1400m. Looks ideally suited by the step up in trip and is drawn nicely for a soft run in behind them. This doesn’t look much harder so he looks one of the leading chances.

8. The Auditor: Was outclassed in the Hobart Guineas two starts ago before being ridden a bit quieter over 2100m last time and finishing midfield behind Kalalo. Not sure he is suited dropping back to 1600m at this stage of his preparation but ran 2nd over this trip at Pakenham and may return to his front-running tactics from a wide draw. Needs to improve but capable on his best.

7. Boss Cat: Is another horse coming back from multiple 2100m runs and narrowly beat home The Auditor last time. Ran well over this course earlier this prep when midfield behind Global Princess and if he could reproduce that effort he would be right in the finish of this. Yet to place in 11 runs and may not be sharp enough coming back from staying events but could show up with the right run.

10. Gwenville: Can be forgiven for her last in the Tasmanian Oaks last time and looks better suited back to the mile. Rolled forward in the Thousand Guineas before knocking up but previous runs in maiden grade were solid enough. Has winkers for the first time and no weight so she can potentially cause an upset rolling along near the lead.

Next best 6. Teddy’s Fault (narrowly beaten by Rusty Devil two starts ago so has a rough chance on that form) and Aljazmic (3) (better suited coming back to the mile and has run well in harder races than this so wouldn’t be a total shock).

Verdict

Glory Blaze (1) is ticking over nicely and looks ready to win here with Rusty Devil (2) the obvious danger.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Glory Blaze for 4 units

Race 4 – 20:30 Sky Racing Benchmark 62 Hcp (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Acronym should be able to find the front if she begins better than last start. Go For It, Datuk Zadragon and Cranny Flyer can roll forward as can Mulley’s Idol but they tried to restrain him last time. Expecting a standard tempo.

Major Players

1. Go For It: Has been very consistent this prep with four placings and two wins – both at this track – before getting out to a mile for the first time last start and running fairly in what was a very funny race run at a farcical tempo. Happy to forgive that and go on his previous form here and think the run over the trip will have him in good stead for this. Has a tongue tie for the first time and looks set to get a good run on speed. Looks a good chance in an open race.

10. Acronym: Has been racing well but reared at the start last time which meant she couldn’t find her usual position near the lead and her chances were ruined as a result. She ran well enough to finish within three lengths of the winner considering and now has regular rider Carr back aboard. Should find the lead quite comfortably in this if she begins well and her only run over this course was a close-up 4th behind Gone Girl. Has a good chance rolling along in front.

5. Written Addiction: Is working his way up to a win with a solid 4th behind Flying Geepee and then a close-up 5th behind Boltoutoftheblue at his past couple. This looks slightly easier and while he gets to 1600m for the first time it looks pretty suitable. Will need luck from the wide draw but has a definite chance.

6. Cranny Flyer: Is another who has been ticking over alright and narrowly beat Acronym home three starts ago over this course. Wasn’t far away last time over 1400m and getting back to the mile looks suitable. Tricky draw but expect him to be somewhere in the finish once again and has a hope with the right run.

2. Datuk Zadragon: Dropped back to the mile last start after racing over the staying trips and was quite impressive when box-seating in easier grade and proving too strong for good 3yo Double You Tee. Drawn to get a similar run this time but there looks to be more depth in this. Might also be ready for longer again already but has to rate a chance on the strength of his last win

Next best 4. Mulley’s Idol (has had plenty of chances this prep but was given none last time and previous form decent enough) and 7. Savrajette (doesn’t do herself any favours but best form good enough so best roughie).

Verdict

Typically even benchmark affair. Go For It (1) can bounce back from a funny race in Hobart while Acronym (10) can improve in her favourite role in front.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Go For It for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Acronym for 2 units

Race 5 – 21:00 Fish N Chips @ Launceston Seaport Benchmark 72 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Silver Bolt and Weekend Whisky may take up the running like they did last time with Harvey Bay, Liffeybeau and Red Eagle all looking for handy positions. Expecting a strong enough tempo to give them all their chance.

Major Players

3. Red Spyder: Has been very good at both Tasmanian runs and landed some good bets when successful in Hobart last start over 1200m in this grade. Has won up to a mile so the rise in trip looks right up his alley and he should appreciate the likely good tempo here. The form has held up well from his last start so he looks a very good chance to win again

5. Weekend Whisky: Sat outside Silver Bolt last time over this course and dashed to the lead on the home bend before being run down right on the line. Can be fitter again with that run over the trip and should work across to find a similar position in running again. Consistent on-pacer who loves this trip and will be hard to run down again.

7. Liffeybeau: Hasn’t had things go right at his past couple of starts in easier grade. Gets some nice weight relief here with the step up in grade and may be able to settle behind the speed with a couple of likely speedsters in this. Looks a tricky horse to ride but no doubting his ability and he is a knockout chance if things go his way.

1. Silver Bolt: Bolted in over this course two starts ago when allowed to control the speed and then battled away last time to finish 4th after being outsprinted off the corner. Looks like finding the lead again but should get pressure to his outside like he did last start. Has a stack of weight even after Eaton’s claim so while he is the class horse in the race he does look vulnerable to a few of these racing well and on the up.

Next best 8. Cheers Chappy (continues to run home strongly and should get the speed on to suit so he has a genuine chance again).

Verdict

No reason Red Spyder (3) can’t win again off two impressive Hobart runs. Weekend Whisky (5) will take beating while Liffeybeau (7) represents value at longer odds.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Red Spyder for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) – Liffeybeau for 1 units

Race 6 – 21:30 Sky Racing Stakes (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

By The Pound and Cranbrook look most likely to lead but both missed the start at their last run. D’inzeo shouldn’t be far away with Steel Dan and Christopher Mac happy to take the trail.

Major Players

3. By The Pound: Is racing in super form this prep without any luck. Was no match for Christopher Mac down the outside two starts ago before being hopelessly held up last time before flashing home for 2nd behind Geegees Trendsetter. Not helping himself by missing the start but the smaller field should help and if he begins alright he can get a nice run from the inside draw. Expect him to be in the finish with any luck again.

7. Christopher Mac: Is thriving on dry ground this prep with three very good runs, the latest a barnstorming finish in the right part of the track on Hobart Cup Day when far too good for By The Pound. May have been flattered by the pattern there but previous win was also very strong. Has raced well here without winning but may have his work cut out if the on-pacers can control the race. Definite chance but vulnerable with his racing pattern.

5. D’inzeo: Has run well twice at this distance range this prep despite generally being better over a little further. Wasn’t far away in BM72 grade last time behind Harvey Bay and probably suited kept fresh for this. Hasn’t won for over a year but rarely far away and has each way claims.

8. Cranbrook: Lost all hope at the start last time when slow away and then blocked for a run behind Geegees Trendsetter. Previous 3rd behind Apriano was game and gets in quite well at the weights here. This is tough but has some promise and has an each way chance given a likely good run near the lead.

Next best 6. Steel Dan (nice win last time in easier grade but had the right run there and this looks tougher).

Verdict

Tricky race and any of these can win. By The Pound (3) looks the obvious but if horses can run on Christopher Mac (7) may be suited trailing the small field and can beat him again.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Christopher Mac for 2 units

Race 7 – 22:00 Levee Food Company Maiden (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Medard, Shackley’s Hill and potentially the first starter Belgrove look the ones to go forward here while Totally Wicked won’t be far away from his inside gate.

Major Players

3. Shackley’s Hill: Showed surprising speed last time to race outside the leader and battled on well for 2nd behind runaway winner Banca Bet. Is improving with racing and is rock hard fit deep into his preparation. May take up similar tactics here and only has to run up to his latest effort to be hard to beat in this. Top pick.

2. Medard: Is a newcomer to the Cameron Thompson yard after racing in Victoria for Adrian Corboy. Has plenty of speed so should be suited with Carr on top and has placed at Benalla and Wangaratta this prep. Maybe ideally suited over a little further considering he is dropping back from a mile run three weeks ago but should give a bold sight on speed.

1. Belgrove: Is a debutant from the John Blacker stable. Has been to the trials three times with both this prep resulting in reasonable 3rd placings in solid time. Newitt booking looks a positive lead and his mother had ability. Watch betting as this is winnable if fancied.

7. Princess Of York: Has been in the betting at her past few runs but has consistently come up short by a few lengths. That said, this looks easier than what she has been contesting recently and she has placed four times in five runs over this course. Expect her to be running on again and has each way claims.

4. Speedy Illusion: Has run a number of placings in Victoria for Kelvin Bourke but didn’t do a whole lot first-up in Hobart on Cup day. Might improve with that run under his belt and nicely drawn here. Needs to be better but capable of improvement so watch betting.

Next best 5. Totally Wicked (winless in 25 runs and has had many chances but can race on speed and finish thereabouts).

Verdict

Shackley’s Hill (3) continues to improve and can go close here but watch the market with newcomers Medard (2) and Belgrove (1).

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) -Shackley’s Hill for 1 unit

Race 8 – 22:30 CUBE Seaport Maiden (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Gee Gees Luckygirl has a stack of speed and will probably lead here ahead of Huff’n’toff and Street Tough working across from his wide gate. Carmina and Isere are capable of being handy to the speed also.

Major Players

1. Street Tough: Was very well supported at his only run back in November when defeated as an even money favourite behind Beautiful Boy. Was forced to race wide without cover from his wide draw there on a track which suited front-runners so his effort to stick on for 3rd was game. Half-brother to Hellova Street who looks to have plenty of ability and finds a nice race to kick off in. Clear top pick.

3. Isere: Had been racing well going into her last outing but was caught wide without cover and finished a well beaten 3rd behind Breathtaking. That horse then went close in C1 grade and her previous runs behind Black Jaguar and Lyonesse are good enough for a race like this. Favourite will be very hard to beat but she rates as the clear danger.

5. Carmina: Was a big drifter at her only race start back in June but ran a solid 4th after settling in a good spot but racing greenly. Given a good break since and comes here off two trials so suggest she is ready to go fresh. Former stable apprentice Clark gets the ride and she can find a good position from her inside draw. Looks the potential knockout chance if there is to be one and can run well.

7. Huff’n’toff: Hasn’t done a whole lot on paper but had a bit of support at her only Tasmanian start when last behind Treeconi on Derby Day. Trialled well since and has a tongue tie on for the first time. Goes forward to make her own luck and may improve into a place with the right run.

Next best 6. Gee Gees Luckygirl (beaten a long way at all three starts, bolted in a recent trial winning by 7L but think the extra 400m under race conditions will be too much).

Verdict

Street Tough (1) might be a smart horse in the making and finds a great spot to kick off his preparation here.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Street Tough for 10 units


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