Racing returns to the day time slot in Launceston this Sunday with an 8 race program set to be run on firm ground. All eyes will be on Stella Etoile in Race 6 as she tries to lug 63kg to victory before a possible mainland campaign, while the 2yo Aspirate is an interesting runner in race 3 as he is the first 2yo this season to take on the older horses.


Race 1 – 12:22 Marjorie Fitzpatrick Class 3 Handicap (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Laddieandtherocket looks the likely leader here and may cross the field from his outside draw. Liffeybeau, Gee Gee Royal Miss, Lyonesse and Millmount can all be handy while Jo Anconi may look to kick up off the inside draw.

Major Players

1. Liffeybeau: Backs up from Monday at Devonport where he settled behind the leader and never got clear over 1350m. Not sure how well suited he is by the drop back to 1100m but he will appreciate the stronger tempo and draws for a soft run just behind the speed. Has been a bit costly and isn’t the easiest horse to ride but has plenty of ability and deserves to run favourite here.

2. Jo Anconi: Was freshened before her last run coming back to 1220m where she was caught wide when finishing down the track behind Cimarron’s Hero. Previous runs this prep were good and she was placed over 1100m in her first Tasmanian run. Will need luck getting clear from her inside draw but can finish hard with the right run and will be hard to hold out if she gets it.

3. Laddieandtherocket: Was very good first-up over this trip when nailed late by Shining Star in Hobart before failing over 1000m with 60kg last time. Back down in the weights this time with Graham’s claim and could possibly get an uncontested lead here. All three runs here have had merit, including a win, and he should give a good sight from the front.

4. Osborne: Has improved at each run this prep and deserved to break through last time in BM58 grade. This looks a bit harder but draws for a similar run and gets some weight relief. Has won over this slightly shorter trip and McCoull sticks with him so he is another with a winning chance if he gets the right run through.

8. Gee Gee Royal Miss: Resumes here but has had two trials leading in so expect her to be quite forward. Has a win and a 2nd to her name over this course from only three tries and has reasonable form despite coming through easier grade. Light weight gives her a hope so watch the market and she can win if fancied.

Next best Lyonesse (7) (has won twice over this trip this prep in easier grade and is usually thereabouts).

Verdict

Liffeybeau (1) is desperately close to a win and looks well placed here. Happy to have something on Laddieandtherocket (3) who may give them something to catch from the front.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Liffeybeau  for 3 Units

 BACK (WIN) – Laddieandtherocket for 1 Unit

Race 2 – 12:57 Tasbred Breeding Incentive Scheme Maiden (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Not a lot of speed here. La Superba may go forward this time after settling back last time, while Persian Faith probably goes forward wider out. With the rest of these generally settling back there is an opportunity to land on speed and doing so will likely be an advantage.

Major Players

10. Sh’bourne Star: Was well supported here first-up but things didn’t go right for her after being checked at the start in a race run in good time behind Carmina. Extra distance looks in her favour having placed twice over this course previously. Awkwardly drawn but has a senior rider this time and looks hardest to beat.

5. Zipponet: Was very good last time over this course when he rattled home to finish a close second to Ivoryman. Looks to have found his niche running home over this trip but does need luck in running as a result. McCoull sticks with him and his best is good enough if things pan out his way.

2. He’s Rushin’: Is coming through a different prep to the rest of these, having come back from 2150m to place over 1600m last time and now comes back in trip again. Was able to box seat on a slow tempo last time so not sure where he ends up from a wider draw here. Improving type who is getting the hang of things and Newitt stays with him so has to be a chance again.

12. Lucille: Has been running home well in her races, the latest when a close-up fourth over this course behind Beenagem. Has a big finish when things go her way but always needs luck racing at the rear of the field. Should run well and is a knockout chance if things go her way.

Next best Perun (6) (first run for Alana Fulton after racing in NSW for Chris Waller, drawn badly and might want further but respect any positive betting support).

Verdict

Sh’bourne Star (10) is ready to win and this might be her day.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Sh’bourne Star for 6 units

Race 3 – 13:32 Australian Trainers Association Maiden (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Stinka led last time but the blinkers come off so he may be ridden quieter. Kateland, Princess Of York, Gee Gees Luckygirl, Bernarcee and Nahla can all go forward so expect the leader to come from them.

Major Players

2. His Nibs: Has had a short break since failing here over 1600m but tuned up with a 700m trial on Thursday. Best races have come over this trip and he has placed here twice this prep. Has been contending with wide barriers all prep but finally draws inside here and that gives him his chance. Definite hope.

9. Princess Of York: Has been showing better early speed at her past couple and could have led here last time at her first run at 1400m. Had no luck in the straight and should have finished much closer so her form is better than it reads. Didn’t really get a guide to her at this trip last time but well drawn again and should get her chance.

8. Nahla: Ran a very good 2nd behind Carmina here two starts ago over 1200m before getting to this trip and only battling behind Beenagem. Did place behind Go For It over this course earlier in her prep so can get this distance with the right run and should be able to roll forward into a decent spot. Has been up a while so last run is a concern but has her usual each way claims.

3. Seize Them All: Was a very good third over this course three starts ago and has run reasonably well since. Probably suited back to this trip after a tough mile run last time but does have a tricky draw here after some good draws previously. Like a lot of these he is going well enough to be in the finish with the right run.

Next best Stinka (6) (blinkers come off after fading last time after leading, first-up run was solid) and Monmouth (5) (did enough first-up and now has blinkers first time).

Verdict

Very even race. The 2yo Aspirate (10) will be hard to beat if he gets the right run but happy to try His Nibs (2) who finally draws a barrier and that might be enough to change his luck.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – His Nibs for 2 units

Race 4 – 14:07 Deloraine Community Cup 13th May Benchmark 64 Handicap (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Expect the front to be contested by Orange River, Cimarron’s Hero and Owens. They should get good runs if they settle down quickly ahead of Sentimental Dream and Jupiter’s Hero, with Boart trying to slot in from the outside draw.

Major Players

2. Orange River: Resumes here and looks ready to go off two recent trials. Made a good impression at her first Tasmanian preparation, winning twice in four runs over a slightly longer trip. Can get a good run on speed here and in well with Graham’s claim so looks a leading hope in a race with a few chances.

3. Cimarron’s Hero: Is coming through easier grade but won well fresh last time in BM62 company. Had the right run on speed there but no reason he won’t get a great run again from gate 1 and Newitt sticks with him. Harder again here but is the one with scope and he can step up to be in the finish again.

1. Sentimental Dream: Was a very talented young horse and is now starting to deliver on the potential he showed earlier in his career after a long break. Bolted in over this course two starts back before going to 1400m and winning well again thanks to a perfect McCoull ride. Not sure the drop in trip is exactly what he wants now and he has plenty of weight but he is flying and can win again.

8. Owens: Has found some form this prep, running a close 2nd behind Osborne before finishing second last time when he had every chance behind Gee Gee Spitfire. Should get a gun run again from his good barrier but now rises in grade and this is clearly a harder race. Needs to go to a new level but still on the up this prep and has each way claims.

5. Jupiter’s Moon: Is racing well at 1400m and ran a good third two starts ago behind Sentimental Dream when blocked for a run in the straight. Doubt the drop in distance is a positive and this is slightly harder than what he has been contesting but he does get right down in the weights with Bryan’s claim. Tricky draw makes it hard to get the right run to beat this lot but he should be around the mark again.

Next best Genuine Art (7) (continues to race well but comes back in trip and will settle at the rear so needs plenty of luck as usual).

Verdict

Good little race. Going with Orange River (2) narrowly but obvious respect to Cimarron’s Hero (3) and Sentimental Dream (1).

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Orange River for 2 units

Race 5 – 14:42 The Australian Trainers Trust Maiden / Class 1 (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field so expect a strong tempo. Country Way, Glory Blaze and The Grey Crusader look most likely to push for the lead but many of these can be near the pace, including Banca Boy, Sunset Party, Kent Street and One Way Ticket. Every horse should get their chance.

Major Players

1. Banca Boy: Is crying out to win a race with two seconds and an unlucky fifth at his three runs this prep. Ready for the mile fourth-up after a wet 1400m in Hobart and he was placed at his only previous try at the trip. Has the right form and drawn well enough so he looks top pick again.

4. One Way Ticket: Comes through a BM62 over 1400m where he ran well enough behind Sentimental Dream so that looks very strong form for a race in this grade. Extra distance looks suitable and his only start over this trip was a placing in New Zealand. Wide barrier isn’t ideal but does have early speed and he looks a genuine chance with luck in running.

8. Pelagia: Has been steadily building this preparation and was desperately unlucky last time in BM62 grade when a close-up fifth behind Trophy Legs. May have won had she got clear running in the straight and now gets to the mile where she placed here last prep. Always needs luck from back in the field and has only won once from 21 starts but only has to go on from her last run to be a top chance.

3. Glory Blaze: Had a good run on speed two starts back over this course when a narrow second before going forward on a hot pace and fading last time in Hobart. Should be rock hard fit now and although he has drawn wide he has time from this start to work across into a forward position. Has been well in betting at his past couple and has each way claims.

6. Rusty Devil: Was a solid third over this course two starts back before getting a bit lost last time coming wide in Hobart. Can forgive that run getting back onto firm ground this time and drawn for a soft run back on the inside. Will need luck but is capable of winning with the right run.

Next best Kent Street (12) (good effort last time in an easier race, first go mile but races like he wants it and well drawn).

Verdict

Banca Boy (1) is top pick but getting costly at short prices so happy to spec One Way Ticket (4) and Pelagia (8) coming out of benchmark grade.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – One Way Ticket for 1 unit

 BACK (WIN) – Pelagia for 1 unit

Race 6 – 15:24 Anzac Eve Races 24th April Benchmark 70 Handicap (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Welcome Invader looks set for a comfortable lead here with Taramaya also getting a nice run on speed. The rest of these prefer to settle midfield or worse so horses landing in the first half should be advantaged.

Major Players

1. Stella Etoile: A smart mare who drops in grade here after a dominant win in open company against her own age over this course. Rises extremely sharply in weight as a result and has the big task of carrying 63kg here. On track for a mainland campaign and would be clearly the one to beat under normal conditions but the weight is a huge ask.

3. Welcome Invader: Has won three times over this course from six tries, including two starts ago here on Cup day. May have gone too slow in front last time and wanted to over race so can forgive his fourth behind Toorak Affair. Looks the only leader again so can dictate terms to his liking and he looks a strong each way chance again.

7. Taramaya: Has been very solid at all three runs this time in, finishing within a length or so of the winner on each occasion. Ready for the mile now fourth-up and note she ran 2nd behind Stella Etoile over this trip last year when meeting her considerably worse at the weights. Has won at this course previously and has the speed to go forward in a race without a lot of pressure. Ticks a lot of boxes and looks a definite each way chance.

3. Toorak Affair: Broke through for a long overdue win last time out when forced to sit three wide throughout but was too good anyway. The soft tempo may have made that task easier than usual but there was still plenty of merit to that win and she beat home a couple of her rivals here. Ran fourth at level weights behind Stella Etoile two starts ago and looks an obvious hope again.

2. Red Spyder (2) Was very good at his first two Tasmanian runs before struggling against the pattern two starts ago. Was a bit flat last time on wet ground getting to the mile but can be fitter for that run. Has Victorian metro form over this trip last prep so his best is good enough and the blinkers go on so he can be an improver.

Next best Matiano (10) (usual placings at his past three, comes back from two 2100m runs but no surprise if he is in the placings again).

Verdict

Stella Etoile (1) is the class runner but 63kg might bring her back to these. Going with the on-pacers Taramaya (7) and Welcome Invader (3).

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Taramaya for 3 units

 BACK (WIN) – Welcome Invader for 2 units

Race 7 – 15:58 Fish ‘N’ Chips @ Seaport Class 1 Handicap (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Gold Phoenix looks the leader ahead of Bless Me Father with Our Artie, Mr West and Jack’s Choice capable of being handy. Every horse should get their chance here.

Major Players

5. Our Artie: Resumed from a short break in Hobart with a good second over 1100m behind the smart Street Tough. Has placed at all three runs over this course, including his only win, and has the speed to get into a good spot from his middle draw. Has generally raced in good form races since coming to the state and has the runs on the board to be a deserved favourite in this.

9. Gold Phoenix: Broke her maiden last time over this course at her first run for Royston Carr when able to control the race from the front. Drawn to lead here again but this is a much stronger race. Lightly raced and still on the up so she is capable of making the necessary improvement and should give a bold sight in front.

8. George’s Gambol: Backs up from Devonport Monday where he ran a solid second behind Miss Scandilous over 1350m. Comes back in trip but worth noting this is the same path he followed when he broke his maiden over this course last year. Tricky draw looks against but with luck in running he can be in the finish.

3. Little Pumba: Resumes from a spell without a trial. Ran a good 2nd on debut over this course at only other fresh run but that was on the back of two trials. Raced in some very solid fields in his first prep and drawn for a soft run so he may finish off well late.

4. Mr West: Has had excuses at both runs since winning his debut as a 2yo. Drew the wrong part of the track last time on wet ground and didn’t get into the race. Drawn nicely here and back on firm ground so is potentially a sharp improver. Have to take him on trust but may show up at bigger odds.

Next best Belrock Boy (6) (resumes and was given a trial, ran well first-up last time before no luck last time, can show up fresh).

Verdict

Hard to go past Our Artie (5) off a good first-up run but many of these have some hope.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Our Artie for 2 units

Race 8 – 16:44 Kevin Sharkie Class 2 Handicap (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Good speed here with Acronym coming across from out wide and Lads Curfew and West On Broadway looking to race near the front also. Schillie Billie can be in the first few but if these on-pacers settle into their spots quickly they shouldn’t get too much pressure from the others.

Major Players

3. West On Broadway: Had excuses when three wide throughout two runs ago before finding trouble at the start and working home into 4th behind Geegee Trendsetter last time over 1000m. Steps up to 1400m for the first time in his career here but is deep enough into his prep that he should be fit enough. Drawn perfectly and while the fact he can pull is a concern out to this trip there is good speed here which may help. One of the better chances in an even race.

1. Gone Girl: A filly with a touch of quality coming through a long prep where she placed in the Tasmanian Oaks. Dropped back to the mile against some good mares last time and was outclassed but not disgraced. Back in trip again is some concern but has had a few weeks between runs to freshen up. Gets up in the weights and probably gets right back from her wide draw but her class puts her right in this.

11. Acronym: Had been freshened since things went wrong after missing the start when ninth behind Jupiter’s Moon. Loves this trip with both her wins coming over this course and has rarely been far away this prep in solid races. Outside draw means she might have to do some work early with some pace drawn inside her but if she gets across she can give a big sight from the front again.

5. Lads Curfew: Improved sharply second-up when able to sit outside the leader and prove too strong for Breathtaking here over 1200m. Step up to 1400m looks fine on his second last time in over this course behind Trusted Warrior. This is a harder affair but makes his own luck on speed and has each way claims.

8. Geegees Gran Lodge: Ran home nicely last time in BM62 grade to finish a close-up fourth behind Trophy Legs. Has raced well this prep without winning and will be suited if the speed goes on up front. Has run well in some reasonably strong races this prep so while he hasn’t won for a long time he has an each way chance here.

Next best Valerius (7) (ran home well enough first-up and suited by longer trip, has ability) and Mansplaining (9) (strong win last time, likes this trip but has a task from wide gate).

Verdict

Tough race to finish on. West On Broadway (3) has had a few chances but maybe the extra distance might be enough to change his luck.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – West On Broadway for 1 unit


Related Articles

Race Assessment: The Easter Cup

The Rating Bureau previews The Easter Cup and thinks the pace looks to revolve around tactics adopted on Jacquinot ...

Read More

Tri-Light Series: Week 11

The final week of the Tri-Light Series this week as the boys look to go out with a bang. ...

Read More

TASRacing: Launceston, Wednesday 28th March 2018

Night racing is on again in Launceston this Wednesday with a 7 race program highlighted by an Open handicap ...

Read More