Racing returns to Hobart on Sunday with a 7 race card kicking off at 1:00pm. The meeting is highlighted by race 6, a 1600m Benchmark82 set to run at 4:00pm where stablemates Beaufort Lad and Zatacla are expected to fight out favouritism after good runs in last month’s Mowbray Stakes.

Race 3 will be an intriguing contest with a couple of smart 3yos from the Scott Brunton yard in Shot Of Irish and Street Tough seemingly destined for bigger things.

Race 1 – 13:00 Fundracing @ the Races Maiden (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

A Matter Of Time is the likely leader here with Bless Me Father and Aquietword capable of going forward wider out. On-pacers should get every chance.

Major Players

6. Those Red Colours: Was slow to begin on debut over 1000m but was hitting the line very well late when an impressive third behind Copperhead Road. Ran very good late sectionals there and the step up to 1200m looks ideal. Newitt stays with him and this looks an easier assignment. Only has to stay in touch early to be very hard to beat.

2: Auietword: Resumes from a break here after a couple of runs in December which saw him show some ability despite being unplaced on both occasions. Has a couple of gear adjustments here and the 1200m should suit fresh. Drawing out may be an advantage if the track receives plenty of rain and suggest he is ready to go with Carr booked. Can improve and shapes as one of the main dangers.

5. Monmouth: Another who showed some talent at his first preparation despite being unplaced in all four runs. Wasn’t far away at his first three runs and was able to make ground in the straight to finish within a couple of lengths. Has winkers for the first time which may sharpen him up so he is one to respect the betting wth.

7. April Baby: Comes to the Adrian Duggan stable after racing in Victoria with Peter Morgan. Has had a reasonable break but ran a good fourth at Seymour first-up last time. Has shown enough in Victoria to suggest she can show up here so watch for any positive market support.

Next best A Matter Of Time (1) (has speed so can give a sight but doesn’t finish off and unplaced in 14 starts).

Verdict

Those Red Colours (6) was very good on debut and looks the winner here with Aquietword (2) the knockout chance.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Those Red Colours for 6 Units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Aquietword for 1 Unit

Race 2 – 13:40 epilepsytasmania.org.au Benchmark 62 Hcp (1000 METRES)

Speed Map

A stack of speed here. Any of Quick Quill, Sunday Cider, City Of Dreams, Laddieandtherocket and Geegee Trendsetter can get to the front if desired, with the rest all very capable of racing near the speed. Expect a fast tempo.

Major Players

4. City Of Dreams: A very handy 3yo who has been competitive with the better ones in her grade this prep. Her only start short of 1200m this prep was a big win in C1 grade so she looks ideally suited by the drop back to 1000m. Can take a sit if the pace is very strong and will appreciate Graham’s claim. Has a lot in her favour and looks hard to beat.

1. Geegee Trendsetter: A speedy filly who bolted in two starts back in Launceston before being worn down late here last time over 1100m when down on the inside. Has won over 1000m but may prefer a little further where she can control the speed a bit easier. Drawn the outside gate so pattern will be vital – this could either be a major obstacle with a stack of speed drawn inside, or a major advantage if jockeys want to be wide down the back. If conditions suit she will be hard to beat in an even race.

2. Laddieandtherocket: Resumed in good style with a strong 2nd here over 1100m behind Shining Star after he raced outside Geegee Trendsetter and beat her home. Has won at 1000m but now goes up to 60kg with the drop in grade. Has plenty of speed to contend with here but Newitt sticks with him and a repeat of his last run has him right in the mix again.

7. Ruthless Lover: Ran a very good fourth in the Shining Star race after being caught wide throughout and then went to Launceston Wednesday night and ran a close-up 4th behind Osborne. Handles soft ground and placed at his only run over this shorter trip. Racing in good form and looks one of the stronger finishes if the on-pacers go too hard.

5. Gee Gee Spitfire: Continues to run game placings and ran Cimarron’s Hero to half a length in Launceston last time. Placed at both 1000m runs and looks suited taking a camp just behind the speed. Drawn out could be a big advantage if wet so while he doesn’t win often he has place claims at the very least if conditions suit.

Next best West On Broadway (3) (disappointed last time but was caught wide throughout, shorter trip may suit so could be good odds if you can forgive one run).

Verdict

In a race of many chances, City Of Dreams (4) looks very well suited to the shorter trip and weight relief and appeals here, especially if the inside draw isn’t a disadvantage.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – City Of Dreams for 2 units

Race 3 – 14:15 TRC Industry Race Day 29 April Class 1 Hcp (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Should be plenty of speed wider out from Shot Of Irish, Street Tough and Gee Gee Cats while Our Artie is capable of going forward if they want to fresh. Mr West won’t be far away either off the inside draw.

Major Players

2. Street Tough: A nicely bred 3yo who was very well supported first-up in Launceston and he did the job in impressive style, defeating subsequent winner Carmina in good time. Stays at 1100m but that should suit if substantial rain arrives and the track is racing wide. Drawn out to find a good spot on speed regardless where the best ground is and gets his first look at his home track. Is a horse with plenty of scope and is a leading chance in a competitive C1.

1. Shot Of Irish: Made a big impression at his only start in July last year when he dominated the race from the front and won his maiden on heavy ground by a widening 8 lengths. Resumes here with a trial under his belt and clearly looks above average but his debut win is difficult to line up, especially if the ground is much firmer here. Definitely advantaged if rain hits having drawn the outside barrier and stablemate of Street Tough so the market may tell the tale.

5. Our Artie: Another horse resuming but comes here without a trial. Very consistent in his first Tasmanian prep and led all the way to break his maiden at his first run down here. Got out to 1400m later on so suggest he can be strong enough at the finish without a trial and he draws out to give him a few options in the run depending how the track is racing. Tough race to kick off but form from last prep is quite strong so is right in the mix.

3. Copperhead Road: Resumed over 1000m where he was able to show a bit more early speed to settle in touch and was too strong for Weight In Gold late. Slightly longer trip suits and soft ground isn’t an issue. 3yo with a bit of promise but runs into a couple of smart ones here. Each way claims.

4. Mr West: Scored an incredibly game win on debut in Devonport over Flikpix when his saddle shifted but went sore at his second start in Launceston and was subsequently spelled. Trialled here last month so expect him to be pretty fit for this first-up but does find a hard race to start in. Inside gate may end up being a major negative but if the fence is alright early he can go forward and be around the mark.

Next best Berbent (6) (improving galloper ticking over alright but this looks tough).

Verdict

Tricky to split the Brunton pair and think betting will be a good guide. Happy to stick with Street Tough (2) with the fitness edge.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Street Tough for 4 units

Race 4 – 14:50 Great Northern Super Crisp Class 1 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

No obvious leader here. Country Way might take up the running but spots on speed are up for grabs, primarily for the likes of Banca Boy, Negreanu, Sunset Party and Lady Casey. Hard to see this being any more than a steady tempo.

Major Players

1. Banca Boy: Was very good here first-up when second behind the smart Manilenya before being beaten by the wide barrier last time in Launceston. Ready for 1400m now and he placed at both runs over this trip last prep. Handles soft ground and wide draw should prove an advantage this time. Looks to have found his race and is clear top pick.

6. Foreeva: Thriving ridden quieter and ran home well into fourth last time in an on-pace dominated race. Ran home strongly in the right part of the track for a good second over this course three starts ago behind promising Somerset and drawn well for a similar run this time. Handles soft ground and has no weight so she appeals as one of the leading dangers.

4. George’s Gambol: Improving as he gets fitter and ran a solid third on Wednesday night behind Lads Curfew. Placed at this track first-up and ready for this longer trip now. Another horse suited drawn out and gets in light with Graham’s claim. Good each way chance.

2. Negreanu: Got to the right part of the track here first-up and ran home well to win a reasonable maiden over 1200m. Stepped up to this trip last time in Launceston but got into all sorts of trouble down the side and that run was no guide. Drawn inside may be a disadvantage but races behind the speed and should be able to get to the right spot if any pattern. Stablemate of the favourite and has some hope but prefer on a place basis.

7. Sunset Party: Had the right run when third behind Dubbo two starts back before dropping back to 1200m in Launceston when a plain midfield effort behind Osborne. Probably better suited back to 1400m on the quick back-up and stays right down in the weights. Has only won once from 31 starts but can find a place with the right run.

Next best Mansplaining (5) (mixing his form since a good first-up run but maybe better suited by softer ground and 1400m).

Verdict

Banca Boy (1) has been very good in two runs back and looks very well placed in this.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Banca Boy for 8 units

Race 5 – 15:25 Schweppes Benchmark 68 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Not a lot of speed here so look for Kelly’s Diva and Amaword to head towards the front with Solomon’s Song and Little Elsa thereabouts. Taramaya can roll forward also but the rest generally like to settle back in the field so those landing in the first half may be advantaged.

Major Players

1. Cheers Chappy: Racing in very good form and has found his niche at this 1400m trip. Last two runs in higher benchmark grade have been very solid, especially last time when coming wide on a pattern suiting horses near the fence. Gate 1 may not suit if the rain comes but he gets back anyway so shouldn’t have too much problem getting to the right ground. Has only won four from 40 but looks well placed.

4. Amaword: Has taken a few runs this time in but showed encouraging early speed two starts back over the mile and then chased home Apriano strongly on Wednesday night. This trip looks just about ideal at this stage of his prep and he is proven in this grade. Loves soft ground and is drawn to advantage if the rain comes so looks just about ready to win if those conditions prevail.

8. Genuine Art: Has run home strongly at both starts since returning to the Brunton yard after racing in Victoria, finishing a close-up third on both occasions. Ready for 1400m now and has won over this course in the past. Newitt takes the ride and drawing out should suit her regardless of the pattern. Starting to show the ability she displayed earlier in her career and she has definite claims with the right run.

5. Taramaya: Stepped up to this trip last time and ran a very solid fourth behind Tough Missile after a good first-up run in Launceston. Can improve again here third-up and is proven on soft ground if the rain comes. Hasn’t won for over a year but going well enough if things go her way in the run. Each way hope.

3. Christopher Mac: Blew his chance at the start last time in Launceston after two impressive wins at this track. Getting back to 1400m is fine as he won over this course back in December beating some handy 3yos in the process. Main concern for him is if the track is genuinely rain-affected as he has failed badly at his last two goes on shifty ground. If the track remains firm he is definitely good enough to win.

Next best Don Reggio (2) (running home well in his races and handles soft ground so has some hope).

Verdict

Competitive race. Can’t deny how well Cheers Chappy (1) is racing but like the last couple of runs from Amaword (4) and think he gets his chance here on the quick back-up if the track is genuinely rain affected.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Amaword for 3 units

Race 6 – 16:00 TasBred Bonus Scheme Benchmark 82 Hcp (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Paterangi likes to run along so might set a solid tempo here in front of Secrets She Has. Geegees Brightstar shouldn’t be far away while the rest of these prefer to settle around midfield. Expecting a genuine speed but little pressure on the on-pacers.

Major Players

1. Beaufort Lad: Scored a very good win over this course two starts ago when able to run down Zatacla from last before going to the Mowbray Stakes and running a game fifth behind Hellova Street. This has proven to be his best trip, having won five of his 10 attempts, and his wet form is very good if significant rain falls. Pretty well treated at the weights and has an in-form McCoull on top. Has obvious claims in a competitive race.

5. Secrets She Has: Got to this trip last time in a quality fillies and mares race in Launceston and gave a good sight controlling the speed but had to settle for second behind Stella Etoile. Should be fitter again for that run and she hit a purple patch last season when she got to this distance range, especially on soft ground when she won twice over this course. Carr sticks with her and she looks set to get a good run near the lead. Looks well placed and will take some running down.

7. Zatacla: Was run down by Beaufort Lad over this course three starts back before beating that horse home in the Mowbray Stakes. Didn’t have much luck in the run last week in Launceston but still won easily and does look to have gone to a new level this prep in his past few runs. Gets some weight relief with the jump in grade, races well over this course and handles soft ground. Ticks a lot of boxes and will take beating again.

6. Red Spyder: Ran two good races here before going to Launceston to finish midfield at a meeting dominated by inside runners. Gets back to his home track here and rises to 1600m for the first time, a distance over which he placed twice at Sandown in midweek grade last prep. Any sting out of the track would suit and Newitt stays with him. Up in grade slightly again but can run well.

4. Minute Repeater: Racing very well and exploded away to win well last time when given a perfect ride by Maskiell. Has won 6 races at this track, likes soft ground and has proven himself to be up to this grade in the past. The major question mark is the increase in distance back to 1600m as he has been unplaced at both tries over this trip. That makes things tough but if he runs it out he will be in the mix.

Next best Geegees Brightstar (2) (has reasonable form against the better chances in this and handles soft ground so should be thereabouts again).

Verdict

Good race this with a bit of depth. Stablemates Beaufort Lad (1) and Zatacla (7) hold definite appeal but happy to give Secrets She Has (5) another go, especially if her preferred wet ground prevails.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Secrets She Has for 3 units

Race 7 – 16:45 Purple Day 26 March Maiden/Class 1 (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field and expect a genuine tempo through the likes of The Grey Crusader, Glory Blaze, Totally Wicked and Pinkeyes Pride. Levissi and The Auditor can go forward also so those racing off speed should get their chance.

Major Players

3. Westwood: Had been racing very well up to a mile this prep before failing over the 2100m in BM62 grade last time. Freshened to come back to the mile should suit and he made up a stack of ground over this course on Hobart Cup day when beaten under a length by Paterangi. Whether he can stay in touch early is his issue but if horses can make ground he will be hard to hold out late.

4. Rusty Devil: Broke his maiden nicely at his first Tasmanian run here over 1400m before getting to this trip in Launceston and running a solid third in this grade behind The Grey Crusader. Should be better for his first look at this distance and back to his home track can help also. Unknown on soft but bred to handle it so he appeals as one of the better chances again.

1. Glory Blaze: Enjoyed a good run outside the leader last time but just failed to run down The Grey Crusader in a photo finish. Another who will appreciate having a run over this distance leading in and gets a bit of weight relief with Voorham’s claim. Inside draw might be sticky by this time of the day but makes his own luck on speed and should be in the finish again.

11. The Auditor: Had a good trail behind the eventual winner in that race won by The Grey Crusader race last time but doubt he was suited having to wait and sprint trailing a stop start tempo. Has since joined the Scott Brunton yard and Newitt is a positive booking. May be better suited back to this track and out and rolling on speed and doesn’t have to improve a lot to catch up to those ahead of him last time. Possible improver and a genuine chance.

10. Boss Cat: Had to make a wide run when he tired for fifth behind The Grey Crusader so there was plenty of merit to the run and then he ran home nicely into 3rd behind Totally Wicked last time in an on-pace dominated race. Might be better suited at this track to have more time to build into the race and drawing out probably suits by this time of the day. Has had a few chances but will be strong at the finish and has each way claims at longer odds.

Next best Lucille (14) (ran home strongly out wide behind Levissi last start over 1400m, mile suits so another with a hope at odds).

Verdict

Very hard race to finish with many winning chances. Happiest to work around Westwood (3) and Rusty Devil (4) but could fall into any of the top 6 chances listed if they are overlooked by the market

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Westwood for 1 unit

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Rusty Devil for 1 unit


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