TASRacing: Hobart, Sunday 10th June 2018

Racing returns to Hobart this Sunday with a quality 9 race program set to kick off at 11:25am. Race 6 sees a number of new 2yos hit the track in one of the more interesting races on the program, while promising 3yos Mandela Effect and Shot Of Irish highlight a strong BM70 to finish the day in race 9.

Race 1 – 11:25 Schweppes Benchmark 84 Hcp (1600 METRES)

Speed Map

No speed at all on paper here so the lead is up for grabs – maybe Col’s Hero, Step The Pedal or Beaufort Lad will take it up.

Major Players

Beaufort Lad (2) won in open grade two starts back in Launceston, beating Blaze Forth and Step The Pedal, before narrowly finishing behind Step The Pedal last time when 3rd to Minute Repeater. Has won five races over the mile so the extra trip is no issue and relishes wet ground. Drawing out suits and he looks hardest to beat.

Step The Pedal (3) looked the winner here a fortnight ago when she cut the corner and hit the front but she went under narrowly to Minute Repeater. Yet to win at the mile but ran an excellent 2nd in the Mowbray Stakes and loves racing here. Suited by the small field and will appreciate wet ground. Very good chance.

Stella Etoile (4) was well backed last time but couldn’t get into the race and had to settle for 5th behind Minute Repeater. Previous run in Launceston behind Beaufort Lad was reasonable but worth noting she defeated Step The Pedal over 1600m quite comfortably back in March. Needs to improve a bit on her last couple but capable.

Next best Up Cups (1) (classy stayer in well with Patis’ claim, up to a mile will help but well beaten last time).

Verdict

Three standout chances here and recent racing has shown there to be not a lot between the three of them. Maybe Beaufort Lad (2) gets his chance again as the strongest one at the 1600m but all three have appeal at the right price.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Beaufort Lad (2) for 2 units.

Race 2 – 12:02 Great Northern Super Crisp Maiden (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Huontegz and Angora Princess look likely to set the tempo but a number of these can push forward, namely Nordic Raider, Riptorn, Stinka and possibly Heza Heart Throb with the blinkers on.

Major Players

Huontegz (3) bounced back from a fair second-up run to run a very solid 2nd behind the well-tried Zuberina last time when wearing blinkers for the first time. Appreciates wet ground and makes her own luck on speed. Beat many of these home last time and looks a leading chace.

His Nibs (2) has had a month between runs since failing over the mile. Previous run over this course when 4th behind Seize Them All was good without a lot of luck, finishing alongside Stinka and beating home Huontegz. Has had a lot of chances and maybe better on firmer ground but his best is as good as any of these and he rates highly for that reason.

Stinka (6) has been racing consistently all preparation, finishing within 2.4L of the winner at all six runs. Worked home solidly last time for 3rd behind Zuberina and does look better placed when racing over 1400m. Inside draw is potentially a disadvantage but if he finds the right part of the track he looks right in the mix once again.

Angora Princess (7) is steadily improving since joining the Tegan Keys stable and her recent 3rd behind Miss Eleanor was quite good when forced to race nearer the inside. Goes to 1400m for the first time which is a definite query but her previous 1200m run was solid enough behind Lesnar. Drawn out suits and will be rolling on speed so she may have the right run to win if she can run out the longer trip.

Festive Day (9) has found the line quite well at both runs for Scott Brunton and caught the eye last time getting home into 4th behind Zuberina. Should be fitter again for that first run over this trip and that form lines up well in this. Potentially has a bit more improvement in her this prep than most of these so might show up at longer odds.

Next best Heza Heart Throb (1) (did enough first-up over 1100m and now goes to 1400m with blinkers on, might need another run but sharp improvement wouldn’t surprise).

Verdict

Even race with many chances. Huontegz (3) looks the obvious if she can reproduce her last start 2nd but His Nibs (2) and Angora Princess (7) bring different form to this. Festive Day (9) and Heza Heart Throb (1) are the potential improvers at odds.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Huontegz (3) for 2 units.

Race 3 – 12:37 Elwick Functions & Events Maiden (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Speed comes from wide out with Swinley Forest while Kel’s Star and Silent Savings may go forward if they begin well. Cascade City and I’m A Lucky Girl might try and spear out wide from their inside gates.

Major Players

Cascade City (1) resumes from a spell here after a promising first preparation where she ran a very good 2nd on debut behind the handy 3yo Bosporus. Can forgive her second start when she was checked at the start and never got going after that. Goes to 1200m for the first time without a trial so she might be a fitness query and her inside draw isn’t ideal if horses are scouting wide. That said, her debut run was as good as any of these have produced and she is one of the top chances.

Gee Gees Liberty (8) has been given a break after a long summer campaign where she ran some good races in pretty reasonable maidens. Fresh run last prep was very good behind Boss Striker and she looks ideally drawn wide on the track. Newitt stays with her and her best form has her right in the mix.

Kel’s Star (11) showed speed at Devonport before tiring behind the smart filly Enzian and then found trouble here last time behind Miss Eleanor. Found the line quite nicely late so can improve this time with better luck early and may be capable of settling near the front. Has shown ability and does hold some appeal if overlooked by the market.

Silent Savings (5) had his first run for Angela Watling a fortnight ago here over 1100m and he found the line reasonably well in the straight after racing on the inside section of the track. Should be fitter for that run and has shown speed in the past which would help him take advantage of his outside barrier. Has had a few chances but did enough last time to suggest he can show up with a favourable pattern here at decent odds.

Swinley Forest (6) was solid enough at his first two Tasmanian runs before going to 1400m last time and failing behind Zuberina. Better suited back to this trip and is another drawn to advantage wider on the track. Has the speed to put himself into the race and he can improve on his last effort. Each way claims.

Next best I’m A Lucky Girl (9) (speedy type resuming without a trial, best form is thereabouts here but inside draw and 1200 first-up may test) and Gee Gee Runaway (12) (2yo who can find the line and wasn’t bad at Devonport but will give them a start and drawn the inside).

Verdict

Cascade City (1) looks hard to beat on her debut run but has an inside draw to overcome. Gee Gees Liberty (8) is an obvious danger, while Kel’s Star (11) and Silent Savings (5) weren’t bad last time and may show up going forward from wide draws.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Silent Savings (5) for 1 unit.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Kel’s Star (11) for 1 unit.

Race 4 – 13:12 trchobart.com.au Benchmark 66 Hcp (2100 METRES)

Speed Map

Country Way and The Grey Crusader can push forward from wide out while Slalom might look to run along near the front again. Taramaya, Kingsclere and Hell Baby can take up forward positions also.

Major Players

Matiano (2) finally broke through last time for a long overdue win when too good in similar grade here over 1600m. Returns to the staying trip which he is yet to win at but has placed 6 of 7 tries so no issue. Outside draw should suit him and he looks well weighted after Graham’s claim. No doubt about his ability and if he liked the feeling of winning last time he could easily do so again in this.

Taramaya (1) scored a game win over this trip a month ago when aided by an aggressive ride early from Carr. Sneaks a bit higher in the weights again and has a less than ideal break between runs but she did beat many of these last time and is still relatively untapped at this longer trip. Likes this track and soft ground so a repeat performance like last time would have her right in the finish again.

Geegees Lillybet (4) is another galloper who doesn’t win often but she is rarely far away over this trip despite being winless from 17 tries. Has finished within a length of Taramaya and Matiano at her past couple in Launceston and all three of her wins have come here on her home track. Always needs luck with her racing pattern but likes soft conditions and is a genuine winning hope.

Another Brother (3) gets to his right trip here after some encouraging showings this prep over shorter distances. Wasn’t bad last time behind Matiano and his two 1400m runs were very good. Soft conditions will help him and he won by nearly 20L in this distance range last prep when on wet ground. Another who needs luck from well back in the field but just about ready to show his best.

Reann’s Diamond (9) was very well backed last time but never got into the race and finished near the rear behind Matiano. Previous couple of tries at 2100m have been full of merit and she generally has a good record racing here on soft conditions. Has a poor winning strike rate but gets right down in the weights and has a knockout hope.

Next best Country Way (7) (gave a bold display last time in front when racing out of his grade, not much harder this time but still unproven at the trip).

Verdict

Matiano (2) may go on now after breaking through last time but there still remains a little doubt over his hunger to win. Taramaya (1) is an obvious danger while Geegees Lillybet (4), Another Brother (3) and Reann’s Diamond (9) are all capable at longer prices.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Matiano (2) for 2 units.

Race 5 – 13:47 Crown Lager Benchmark 84 Hcp (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Life On The Wire and Orange River are the likely speed ahead of Minute Repeater and Punta Norte. Horses on speed look like getting their chance.

Major Players

Life On The Wire (1) is an extremely classy mare given a let-up after failing at Moonee Valley following her dominant Vamos Stakes win. Generally races very well fresh and won first-up in September despite failing to handle the heavy ground. Soft conditions are a query on that basis, especially considering the 62kg she has been asked to carry, but if she steps out here she is clearly the one to beat.

Minute Repeater (3) is a rising 9yo but is racing in some of the best form of his career, winning three races so far this year including a strong win in this grade last time. Hasn’t run a bad race for a long time and is capable at this shorter trip going off his game 2nd over this course behind Blaze Forth three starts ago. Should be thereabouts in the run and can win again.

Love Magic (4) resumes here after a short summer preparation and has turned up with a recent trial. Fresh runs are generally very good and he does have a liking for soft ground. Outside draw looks ideal and he has bolted in both times Darmanin has been in the saddle. Usually carries big weights so won’t know himself with 54.5kg and looks well placed to give this a shake first-up.

Agree To (5) was very solid here fresh when a narrow 2nd behind Apriano before finding open grade a bit strong at his past couple. Better suited in this class and didn’t finish far behind Minute Repeater two starts back. Likes wet ground and has each way claims on his best form.

Orange River (6) is a speedy mare who controlled the race from the front when successful fresh before being brought undone last time by a strong tempo. Given a trial leading into this and both runs here on soft ground have been good. Unproven in this grade but may get every chance in front and has some hope on that basis.

Next best Punta Norte (2) (was in the market at first Tasmanian run in good company but     performed poorly, a bit longer to settle in may help but prefer to see something from him first) and Scrutineer (7) (nice mare but right up in grade here and inside draw no help).

Verdict

Life On The Wire (1) will be hard to beat if she lines up here despite the big impost. Minute Repeater (3) is going well and will be right in the mix again while Love Magic (4) appeals fresh, down in the weights from the wide draw.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Love Magic (4) for 2 units.

Race 6 – 14:22 Hobart Limo Service 2YO Hcp (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Je Ne Sais Quoi looks set to take up the running while Geegees First Lady may return to her usual on-pace pattern this time. Most likely to go forward outside of them are Gee Gee Seemore, Gee Gees Goldlogie, Gee Gee Flicker and The Inevitable but with so many debutants in the race there could be surprises up front.

Major Players

Je Ne Sais Quoi (7) took on older horses at her debut and battled on fairly well behind Miss Eleanor after showing good early speed. Should derive plenty of benefit from that run and should find this a bit easier. Slightly more advanced in her prep than most of these and has the speed to find the right part of the track so expect a big sight in a tricky affair.

Gee Gee Fiorente (1) makes his debut here and caught the eye at the trials when able to overcome interference to win narrowly under a hold. Big strong type of horse who is sure to be better in time but began well and is drawn the right part of the track. Probably suited if the ground is testing and a big market watch.

Geegees First Lady (9) is the most experienced horse in the race and showed some versatility last time at Devonport when able to make ground late after being beaten for early speed. Think she should have an easier time of landing in the first few this time but she might need to use her speed to get wide from her inside draw. Last bit will be the test at this stage of her career but should give a good account of herself on speed.

Clever Charlotte (6) is another debutant and was finding the line well late in her trial when 3rd behind Gee Gee Fiorente. Nicely bred filly who had a trial in Victoria before joining John Luttrell and the booking of Newitt is a positive lead. Inside draw won’t help but did enough at the trials to suggest she can show up here on debut.

The Inevitable (5) finished 2nd in the trial won by Gee Gee Fiorente and also has his first start here. Cost decent money as a yearling and showed enough speed in his trial to suggest he can take advantage of his wide barrier. Keep a close eye on the market.

Next best Oh So Needy (11) (ran some reasonable races at big odds against the better 2yos over the summer, well beaten at the trials but has shown enough).

Verdict

Je Ne Sais Quoi (7) gave a good showing on debut and looks well placed back to her own age. Gee Gee Fiorente (1) might be the pick from the trials but many of these have shown ability making it a very wide race and the betting may tell the tale.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Gee Gee Fiorente (1) for 2 units.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Je Ne Sais Quoi (7) for 2 units.

Race 7 – 14:58 Rosevears Hotel Benchmark 58 Hcp Div 1 (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

My Biddy can sail down the outside fence in the back straight again to set the pace with By The Pound and West On Broadway most likely to work across to challenge her. Owens and the emergencies Ponzi and Jane Of Steel are the others likely to push forward but these ones on speed look like getting every chance.

Speed Map

My Biddy (3) bolted in over this course two starts ago before going to 1200m and higher grade last time and running a game 2nd behind Shot Of Irish. Back to this trip suits and she again comes up with the outside draw to lead in the right part of the track. Her major obstacle looks to be the 60.5kg – a considerable impost for a 3yo filly – but she may cope with this over the short trip and looks the one they have to catch.

By The Pound (1) is a talented horse who raced well last preparation without winning, running three consecutive 2nds before going for a spell. Races well fresh and likes soft ground but did start to develop a nasty habit of missing the start last prep. In well with Patis’ claim and has the speed to get to the right part of the track so if he begins well he will be hard to beat, but if he is slow away he might have his work cut out for him.

West On Broadway (2) is fresh off a short break and has also raced well earlier in the season without winning. Generally contests harder races than this grade and some of his best performances have come here on soft ground. Can mix his form but definitely up to this if he delivers his best.

Qui Samer (5) has only won 2 from 45 but is rarely far away in this type of race. Can forgive his first-up run in much harder grade when run off his feet behind Derasa. Loves wet ground and has only missed a place twice over this course from 8 tries. Has placed in better races than this and while it is hard to have any confidence in him winning he is an obvious place chance.

Kepta (13) got back to last here a fortnight ago before rattling home into 3rd behind Berry Wise Fox in C1 company. This is a considerably tougher affair but she has placed in benchmark company previously and was right in the market first-up when finishing down the track behind My Biddy. Needs all sorts of luck given she is getting a long way back in her races but can run on hard and has at least place claims.

Next best O’Loughlin (15) (knockout chance on his 2nd behind My Biddy two runs back over this course).

Verdict

My Biddy (3) has a big weight but runs well under these conditions and will give them something to chase. By The Pound (1) is the logical danger.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – My Biddy (3) for 4 units.

Race 8 – 15:30 tasracing.com.au Benchmark 58 Hcp Div 2 (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Laddieandtherocket can lead here with Radioactive going forward from wide out and Newts capable of being near the lead also. Emergencies Jane Of Steel and Ponzi can go forward while Gee Gees Can Tell, Jo Anconi and Isere nearer the inside can settle just behind the speed.

Major Players

Newts (3) resumes from a spell here and trialled especially well leading in, holding subsequent winner Savs Finale at bay to win comfortably. The blinkers come off which may help him settle a bit better and he has very solid form last prep around some horses who went through to higher grades. Can do a bit wrong in his races and drawn nearer the inside but has plenty of talent and looks well placed fresh.

Katy Kat (5) also resumes here but hasn’t trialled, which should suit given her propensity to get over a little further later on. Flashed home fresh last time in to finish on the heels of the placegetters and draws the right part of the track here. This looks slightly easier than what she contested last prep so watch betting as she is right in the mix if ready to go.

Laddieandtherocket (2) is a very speedy customer who has been freshened since some below par runs. First run this prep was a very good 2nd over this course behind Shining Star in tougher grade than this. Drawn to speed to the right part of the track and suited this trip so expect him to give a bold sight near the lead.

Copperhead Road (4) has been tried against the state’s best 3yos this prep and appreciated the drop in grade last time to run 2nd behind Savs Finale, albeit beaten by a big margin. Beat the rest comfortably and was able to settle near the lead which was encouraging but this does look a tougher affair. Drawn out and Newitt stays with him so should get his chance in the run so has each way claims.

Bedrock Dreams (13) was beaten a lip two runs back at Devonport before failing at the longer trip last time. Like her back to the 1100m and she has run well here previously in better grade over the sprint distances. Has only won 2 from 32 and needs plenty of luck with her racing style but she shapes as a potential knockout chance.

Next best Jo Anconi (1) (can be a tricky mare to catch and inside draw won’t help but won a recent trial and her best is up to these).

Verdict

Newts (3) finds a nice race to kick off in and will take beating. Katy Kat (5) will be charging late while Laddieandtherocket (2) might give them something to catch.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Newts (3) for 7 units.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Katy Kat (5) for 2 units.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Laddieandtherocket (1) for 1 unit.

Race 9 – 16:10 Carlton Draught Benchmark 70 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Shot Of Irish and Cranbrook look most likely to take up the running with Turtles Nest, Mandela Effect and Osborne also capable of rolling forward. Expect a genuine tempo giving them all their chance.

Major Players

Mandela Effect (3) is a very promising 3yo who scored a strong win here fresh over 1200m before going under by the narrowest of margins behind Banca Bet over this trip in Launceston. Four weeks between runs shouldn’t be an issue staying at this trip and soft ground won’t be a concern. Looks set to get a nice trail and only has to hold his form to take plenty of beating once again.

Shot Of Irish (1) led the 3yo race won by Banca Bet before tiring late to finish 4th. Back to 1200m did the trick last time when a strong finishing winner in the right part of the track and should be fitter to try the 1400m again this time. Inside gate might be tricky but has the speed to take up the running if desired. Clearly loves soft ground and should be very competitive again.

No Money No Honey (6) has always promised a lot and broke through for an overdue win back in April over 1420m in Launceston. Loves this trip and kept up to the mark with a recent trial. Settles back and will need luck on that basis but generally hits the line hard and is a definite winning hope with the right run.

Cranbrook (4) is a very consistent galloper who has won twice this prep, both over shorter trips. Took on this distance range for the first time three starts ago in Devonport when 2nd behind Flying Geepee but wanted to over race there which is some concern. Rolls on speed and doesn’t mind the sting out of the track so if he can settle better he should get his chance and has each way claims.

Trusted Warrior (7) got a mile back here second-up but flashed to the line nearer the inside when 4th behind Shot Of Irish. Loves wet conditions and will appreciate the longer distance this time. Struggles to stay in touch early which makes things difficult when racing against good horses but is a knockout chance if things pan out his way.

Next best Osborne (5) (racing well in easier grade, has never raced here but in the mix on his 2nd behind No Money No Honey two starts back).

Verdict

Mandela Effect (3) is a smart 3yo and will take beating but this is a race with good depth as the top 6 chances are all racing in good form.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – Mandela Effect (3) for 4units.

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