Racing returns to Hobart on Monday with an 8 race program set to kick off at 12:22pm. Promising stayer Double You Tee looks set to go around the shortest price favourite on the card in race 2 while race 7 sees the clash of two very promising fillies in Banca Bet and Quick Quill.

Race 1 – 18:50 National Jockeys Association Benchmark 58 Hcp (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Weight In Gold and A Matter Of Time should look for the lead out wide here ahead of Word Is If, Those Red Colours and Pincent Van Gogh.

Major Players

Weight In Gold (6) has her first run in Tasmania here for Team Wells after racing in provincial grade in Victoria for Ellerton & Zahra. Very speedy type who hasn’t been beaten far in her three runs this prep when well in the market at every start. Suited by the 1000m trip and should lead from her wider draw. Watch betting but suggest she should be hard to run down on her Victorian performances.

Pincent Van Gogh (3) is also making his Tasmanian debut after racing in Victoria for Henry Dwyer. Hasn’t had a lot of luck at both runs and wasn’t too far away on both occasions when right in the market. Should appreciate the inside draw to settle just behind the speed and should be strong at the end of the 1000m. First up without a trial so watch the market but he looks a leading chance if he is ready to go.

Copperhead Road (2) did a lot wrong in his only preparation as a 2yo but showed reasonable talent and an ability to find the line late. Comes here first-up for nearly a year but won a recent trial in fair time. Can lose his race in the early stages but if he can begin a bit better he will be strong late and is a knockout chance.

Word Is If (7) trialled nicely before her first race start where she showed good speed but knocked up behind Bosporus here over 1100m. Given a short spell since and comes in here without a trial this time. Nicely bred filly who clearly has some ability and will be suited by the 1000m. Has a chance and respect any positive market moves.

Next best Those Red Colours (5) (on debut here, has blinkers first time and Newitt aboard so while he finds quite a competitive race he looks ready to go on the back of three trials leading in, watch betting).

Verdict

Might prove to be a good quality maiden this. Weight In Gold (6) has good Victorian form and looks top pick over this trip but Pincent Van Gogh (3), Copperhead Road (2) and Word Is If (7) have all shown good ability and can make a race of it if ready.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 4 units to win on Weight In Gold (6).

Race 2 – 12:52 Sky Racing Maiden/Class 1 (2100 METRES)

Speed Map

No obvious speed here so Kandahar and Mag Wheels get their chance to roll forward. Miss Artorious can also go forward if she begins well while Sudden Shock and Double You Tee can be thereabouts in the run. Could end up being a very muddling tempo.

Major Players

Double You Tee (2) was arguably the state’s best staying 3yo over the carnival, placing in the Tasmanian and Hobart Guineas before finishing 4th in the Derby. Dropped back to the mile last start but couldn’t run down Datuk Zadragon who won again on Wednesday night. Back up in trip looks ideal and has in-form Jason Maskiell back aboard. Very deep into his prep now which is the main concern but he looks too good for these.

Kandahar (3) also went through a 3yo staying preparation but did things wrong in the Hobart Guineas and was well beaten. Did nothing back to the mile last time but looks suited back up to 2100m. Does a lot wrong and is quite one-paced but has a positive jockey change to Newitt and has won over this trip in this grade three starts ago. May improve sharply with the right run on speed.

Mag Wheels (4) is a consistent mare who hasn’t been far away in recent runs over the mile and is ready for this trip now. Her only win came over 2200m at Pakenham and she has the ability to roll forward over this longer trip. Ticking over well and has each way claims here.

Sudden Shock (1) has been better when getting to 2100m with two solid runs in benchmark company. This is much easier and draws for a soft run from an inside gate. One-paced type so needs the right run but going well enough to to be somewhere in the finish.

Miss Artorious (5) has had four runs over this trip since coming down from NSW with her last three all being very credible. Worked home well last time into 2nd behind Kalalo and that horse has run well enough in benchmark grade. Wasn’t far behind Kandahar three runs back so her form ties in well enough to be at least a solid place chance.

Next best Hell Baby (7) (can mix her form but her best runs have been alright, some hope of getting into a place).

Verdict

Just about impossible to go past Double You Tee (2) but he will probably be very short odds. Maybe Kandahar (3) will be value for a place with improvement back up to this trip.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 2 units to place on Kandahar (3).

Race 3 – 13:27 Hazell Brothers Benchmark 64 Hcp (2100 METRES)

Speed Map

It’s A Battle might take up the running in a race with many on-pacers but no obvious leader. Kalalo, Sentry Duty, White Hawk and Biscay Barb can all go forward and take up the running if desired.

Major Players

Wyuna (5) is a promising staying mare who has had nearly a month off since running 2nd in the Night Cup behind Bidirectional, narrowly beating home It’s A Battle. Her three runs over this course have all been very good, including a win here three starts ago and a very respectable 6th in the Brighton Cup behind Eastender. Gets up in the weights a bit and generally needs luck from back in the field but only has to go on from her last run to be very hard to beat here.

It’s A Battle (4) is a very consistent galloper and has thrived getting out to 2100m with two placings and a last start win from his three tries so far. Always puts himself in a good position on speed and he gets in pretty well with Graham’s claim after winning with 59kg last time. A firm track should suit him as he tends to roll back to the inside and while this is his first run in Hobart it doesn’t present any obvious issues. Bit one-paced and potentially losing some zip now at his 4th run this trip but looks one of the obvious chances again.

Matiano (7) cruised up to the lead last time and looked the winner but didn’t go past It’s A Battle and ended up going under to him narrowly. That is his main concern as a betting proposition as he has only won twice in 30 starts but has thirteen second placings to his credit. Booking a strong rider like Newitt may be what he needs to put his head in front at the finish and there is no doubting his ability. If he wants to he can win but at the very least he represents a very good place betting option.

Biscay Barb (3) finally gets out to 2100m after a long prep which has seen him have 10 runs since October. Was quite good when out to 2100m as a 3yo and scored a dominant win over this trip last February. Racing like he wants the trip again and may settle a bit closer in running with the slower tempo. Going well and has a definite winning chance here in an even race.

Next best Kalalo (6) (not bad when back to a mile on Wednesday night, suited by quick back-up and rise in trip but this is harder) and White Hawk (8) (battled on well enough last time behind It’s A Battle, improving with racing).

Verdict

Handy bunch of stayers with not much between them. Wyuna (5) and It’s A Battle (4) have the right form in better grade so will be hard to beat while Biscay Barb (3) appeals as an improver out to the staying trip. Matiano (7) isn’t the most genuine when it comes to winning but he is always good enough to put himself into the finish and a bet on him to place might be the safest option, especially if the race stays at 8 runners without any further scratchings.

Staking Strategy

BACK (WIN) – 4 units to place on Matiano (7).

Race 4 – 14:02 Elwick Functions & Events Maiden (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Beenagem, La Superba and Pinkeyes Pride have all led at their previous start and should ensure a good tempo ahead of The Last Godfather. Expect a genuine tempo to give them all their chance.

Major Players

The Last Godfather (4) has run well in both Tasmanian runs and may have won both with a little more luck. Very game 2nd last time over 1400m when he lifted late after dropping the bit on turning but he was narrowly beaten by Kathonious. Drawn ideally and can take up a position on speed so he should get every chance in the run and looks hardest to beat.

Seize Them All (3) was a sharp improver here second-up when he flashed home late into 3rd behind Kathonious. Enjoyed a nice trail back on the inside before he hooked out in the straight to run on and might get a similar run again from gate 1. Clearly doesn’t have to go much better to remain competitive with The Last Godfather so he is right in the mix.

Gee Gees Liberty (11) was disappointing last time Newitt tried to ride her off the speed and found trouble once she was back there. Goes to 1400m for the first time which looks a definite concern and the wide draw won’t make things any easier. Her best form is up to these but will need to improve on her recent run.

Levissi (8) ran a solid 2nd over this course three runs ago and then hasn’t been far away at her past couple when had excuses. Wasn’t far behind The Last Godfather at her past two runs so has the right form to be competitive and gets in lighter this time with Graham’s claim. Ran favourite two starts ago so capable of being around the mark once again.

Next best Lucille (12) (doesn’t have a whole lot of form but ran well this course and in light with Voorham’s claim, best roughie).

Verdict

The Last Godfather (4) is racing very well and looks ready to win.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 4 units to win on The Last Godfather (4).

Race 5 – 14:37 trchobart.com.au 2YO Maiden (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Gee Gee Queen Bee should have little trouble leading from her outside gate if they ride her for speed again. Many of these can race handy with a number of debutants showing speed at the trials so the pace should be on regardless.

Major Players

Gee Gee Ladybird (8) was well backed on debut and worked home well here over 1000m when a narrow 2nd behind stablemate Gee Gees Wild One. That race experience may prove invaluable in a race with many debutants and Newitt sticks with her for this. Looks suited drawn the middle of the line and appeals as one of the hardest to beat.

Aspirate (1) is a very big gelding who wasn’t disgraced on debut in the Alfa Bowl when 4th behind smart 2yos Mystic Journey, Gee Gee Secondover and Our Long Sali. Trialled well since and has winkers on for the first time here. Still has plenty to learn but heading in the right direction and will be strong at the finish.

Gee Gees Magic Man (2) did a bit wrong on debut and wasn’t too bad when midfield behind Gee Gee Mr Paul in Launceston. Has a near side blinker on this time which may stop him laying in and should be fitter for that run over 1200m. Draws nicely for a soft run in behind them and no surprise to see him improve sharply in this.

Gee Gee Queen Bee (9) is an incredibly quick filly and for that reason has already been beaten a couple of times at short odds. Opened them right up over 1000m last time but was very soft late to finish a well held 3rd. Has a number of gear changes here which may help her finish off better but also has to step up to 1100m. Has the ability but the finish is a big query.

Best of the debutants look to be Sources (6) (nicely bred gelding who trialled well enough and may be near the lead from his inside draw), Ochanda (10) (has trialled nicely twice, has winkers on and in light for Voorham) and Special Moment (11) (trialled quite well against older horses and debuts in blinkers) and they all look very capable of winning if fancied.

Verdict

Extremely tricky race. Gee Gee Ladybird (8) looks best of the raced brigade but Aspirate (1) and Gee Gees Magic Man (2) look capable of sharp improvement. The first-starters look a nice bunch of horses so respect any positive market moves, especially from Sources (6), Ochanda (10) and Special Moment (11).

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 2 units to win on Gee Gee Ladybird (8).

Race 6 – 15:12 Schweppes Class 3 Hcp (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Geegee Trendsetter (2) should hold the lead off the inside draw but Laddieandtherocket and Sunday Cider can keep her honest. West On Broadway and Ruthless Lover will come across from wider out looking for a good run on speed. Should be a quick tempo.

Major Players

Geegee Trendsetter (2) is a very fast filly who got the lead on her terms in Launceston and never looked like losing in this grade. Only goes up 1kg for that win and returns to her home track where she has won twice and she was a close-up 4th in the Carbine Club 3yo over this course two starts ago. Maybe better over 1200m where the tempo is a little softer but drawn to lead and if she isn’t attacked in front she will be very hard to run down again.

West On Broadway (4) was well supported last time out on Launceston Cup day when he was beaten right on the line by stablemate Love Magic over 1200m. Had blinkers on for the first time there and wanted to over race behind the leaders so might settle a bit better after having that experience wearing them. Should be near the lead again and will be strong at the finish so he appeals as a major danger.

Shining Star (5) has raced very consistently since joining the Sarah Cotton stable and broke through for a deserved win last time over this course, beating Galeocerdo with West On Broadway back in 4th. Did find the right part of the track there and now comes up with a wide draw which will make her job a bit tougher but if horses are getting wide in the straight she would be advantaged. Needs luck in running but very capable of winning again.

Bedrock Dreams (7) has been racing well without luck in slightly easier benchmark grade and now drops back to 1100m with a recent trial under her belt. Very unlucky last time when couldn’t get clear and had to settle for 3rd behind Steel Dan who ran well since in higher grade. Drawn nicely and in light with Graham’s claim and will appreciate a strong tempo. Has only won 2 from 27 but has a definite knockout chance flashing late.

Laddieandtherocket (3) resumes from a spell here without trialling. Won on debut and won second-up last time in so comes to hand pretty quickly and booking of Newitt suggests he will be ready to go. Doubt he can take up his favourite role in the lead with Geegees Trendsetter drawn inside him but if he gets a good run near the lead he can be somewhere in the finish.

Next best Ruthless Lover (10) (racing well in easier grade and won well enough last time, this is considerably harder but can be thereabouts with the right run).

Verdict

Geegee Trendsetter (2) looks hard to run down again but West On Broadway (4) will be on her hammer and may settle a little better in the blinkers this time.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 3 units to win on West On Broadway (4).

Race 7 – 15:52 Great Northern Super Crisp Class 1 Hcp (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Quick Quill looks set to lead here with Gee Gee Cats pushing forward on speed from his inside draw. Banca Bet won’t be far away and Berbent may push forward wider out but the rest prefer to settle midfield or worse, giving the on-pacers every chance.

Major Players

Banca Bet (3) did a bit wrong on debut when run down by Treeconi before the winkers went on in Launceston and she bolted in running quick time. Draws inside again which should give her a perfect run near the lead and she has already shown she can really dash under those circumstances. This is clearly harder but looks a very promising filly and is a top chance to win again.

Quick Quill (4) won well here on debut back in November and five horses finishing behind her have won since so the form looks strong. Went quickly to lead again in C1 grade but pulled up shin sore and spelled since. Trialled super leading into this and shouldn’t have many issues landing in the first couple here. Very nice filly who is a genuine danger.

Gee Gee Cats (5) was quite plain at his first two runs this prep but was much better last time when 2nd behind Lyonesse. This looks harder with a couple of promising fillies coming through but drawn to get a great run near the lead and in well with Voorham’s claim. Can mix his form but an each way chance on his best.

Geegees Cash Cow (6) won her maiden nicely over this course three starts ago before two solid runs in C1 company here and in Launceston. Gets back and will be giving a couple of nice types a decent start which is the main concern but can run time at the finish. Will run well and especially suited if the swoopers are starting to feature so is a genuine knockout chance under those circumstances.

Treeconi (2) ran home strongly two starts ago over 1100m to beat Banca Bet and then didn’t make any impression behind Ruthless Lover last time. Suited back to his home track but has a task to get the right run from his outside draw. A win over Banca Bet is enough to suggest he is one of the better chances in this but might find it too difficult to run down the on-pacers if they control the race.

Next best Mansplaining (7) (can forgive last run when wide all the way, fresh run was good enough to show up somewhere but does need to improve).

Verdict

Looks a two horse race between the two fillies Banca Bet (3) and Quick Quill (4). Lean to Banca Bet (3) with the fitness edge but if Quick Quill (4) is much longer in betting it would represent the value.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 6 units to win on Banca Bet (3)

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 4 units to win on Quick Quill (4).

Race 8 – 16:38 CGU Benchmark 62 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field and should be a strong pace with Millmount, Miss Two Pairs, Paterangi and Turtles Nest all capable of leading up. Taramaya, Tough Missile, Little Elsa and Son Of A Fling all like to go forward and settle near the front also.

Major Players

Taramaya (3) returned in good style in Launceston when she flashed late from the back but ran into a dead end over the concluding stages. Up to 1400m suits and she generally improves second-up. Can go forward at this longer trip so should find a nice spot and in well with Voorham’s claim. Proven in this grade and above and finds a nice race here. Top pick.

Somerset (6) is a lightly-raced mare showing plenty of promise with two wins and a second from three starts. Won a weaker race than this very easily last time at short odds and has the scope to handle the rise in grade. Newitt goes on but may have to go back from the wide barrier. On the up and one of the better chances.

Turtles Nest (7) won well here over this course last time when he controlled the race in front and got to the right part of the track in the straight. Not sure he will be able to do that this time with the big field and has a horror draw to contend with but may overcome that with the early speed he shows at this trip. Proven in this grade so with luck getting across he shouldn’t be too far away again.

Tough Missile (9) has been racing in good grade this prep and wasn’t far away last time when 3rd behind Shining Star in a BM72. Failed at 1400m earlier this prep but has run 2nd at her only other two tries at this course. In well with Graham’s claim and all four of her wins have come at this track. Good enough to show up if things go her way in running.

Next best Don Reggio (1) (good fresh then excuses last time, big weight and badly drawn but senior rider this time and well up to this grade at his best) and Son Of A Fling (2) (first go this trip but racing like it might suit now and going well enough in decent races if he can overcome his wide gate).

Verdict

Taramaya (3) is a good mare who looks very well placed here. Somerset (6) is on the up and looks the main danger.

Staking Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) – 3 units to win on Taramaya (3).


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