Twilight racing on a Friday is on again this week, this time with Hobart hosting a competitive 7 race program on a good track. Some of the state’s better sprinters step out in the BM82 1200m in Race 6, highlighted by the smart mare Gee Gee Double Dee and the flying Happy Halloween. Race 4 also sees a BM82 with Chillout looking to break through over the 1400m against the local track specialist Hyperbole.

Race 1 – 16:10 Salamanca Inn 2YO Maiden (1000 METRES)

Speed Map

Number of first starters so hard to have confidence in the likely speed map. Gee Gee Wynett should go forward while Gee Gee Runaway and to a lesser extend Moonlight Escapade showed speed in their trials.

Major Players

5. Gee Gee Wynett: Is a nicely bred filly who showed much better speed on debut than she did in her trials and did enough when third behind Triple Strip in Launceston. On the quick back-up here but now has the winkers go on and has an edge in race experience over most of these. Expecting natural improvement and that should be enough to be one of the better chances in this.

8. Moonlight Escapade: A filly by Fighting Sun who makes her debut here with Newitt in the saddle. Trial behind Triple Strip at Longford was only fair but that horse came out and won at Launceston after missing the start so no knock on that form. Betting will probably tell the tale but doesn’t look a hard race to win.

2. Gee Gee Runaway: Trialled well twice behind Gee Gee Queen Bee and the debut winner Quick Quill before being restrained out of his most recent trial. From a handy family and has shown speed at the trials and now debuts with blinkers on. Wells stable has three in this so betting should be a good guide with his chances.

7. Geegees First Lady: Improved at her second run to finish alongside Gee Gee Wynett in Launceston and now has her third run within a month. That form is all we have to work with so she logically has some hope but the other filly potentially has more scope as she was on debut there. Can finish off into the placings somewhere but a win would surprise.

Verdict

Betting will be as good a guide as any here but Gee Gee Wynett (5) looks as good a chance as any with a run under her belt.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Gee Gee Wynett – 3 units

Race 2 – 16:45 Walter McShane Maiden (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Most of these can roll forward to be handy enough but without any real speedsters the opportunity is there for Gold Phoenix to burn across to the front. Bosporus should push forward into a good spot while debutants Cascade City, Aquietword (to a lesser degree) and Word Is If all look capable of being in the firing line if they begin well.

Major Players

4. Bosporus: Has his first run for Stephen Shaw after a promising 2yo preparation with Brendan McShane. Was placed in the Magic Millions, finished midfield in the Gold Sovereign and then ran fourth in the Sires Produce before a spell. 3yo form has measured up very well this season against the older horses and he always shaped as a type to improve with maturity. Has been gelded and trialled well leading in. Looks well placed fresh.

7. Gold Phoenix: Ran well over this course first-up behind Gee Gees Can Tell from a wide draw before running a slightly disappointing fifth as favourite in Launceston after forced to work from her inside draw. Given a break since that run and comes up with a wide draw which may suit her better as she has speed to come across. Her best form is decent for a race like this and the shorter trip should suit. One of the leading chances.

11. Word Is If: Is a nicely bred filly making her debut for the Scott Brunton yard. Trialled well back in September when she made a long run around the field after blowing the start and Pontypaul came out of that trial and bolted in. Stable rider Pires takes the reins so a big watch on betting.

10. Onnanoko: Had no early speed at all in her debut over this course back in May but found the line really strongly back on the inside despite being well beaten. Looks like the further the better with her but has trialled leading in and showed there was a bit of talent there if she can stay in touch early. Possible blowout hope if the pressure is too much up front.

1. Cascade City: Is a debutant by Matsqui who has had two trials in the month leading into this run. Won her most recent trial after showing speed and has the blinkers on for her first assignment. Carr is a positive booking so watch betting as she can give a sight on speed if fancied.

Next best Pingu (6) (showed speed at only run before fading on heavy ground so has the potential to improve sharply on top of the ground).

Verdict

Think there are three genuine chances here. Lean to Bosporus (4) with the 3yo form coming to the fore this season but very respectful of a major market move for either of the Brunton pair Gold Phoenix (7) or Word Is If (11).

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Bosporus – 2 units

Race 3 – 17:20 Christine Crook Maiden (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Miss Smith should have little trouble landing near the front here although Levissi might try and kick up underneath her for the front. Kalakhani and Monmouth may look to box seat with Nahla and Elwick Eddie capable of kicking up from inside draws which might result in a genuine clip.

Major Players

11. Miss Smith: Has been racing consistently in maiden grade over the shorter trips and now gets to 1400m for the first time. Extra distance is some query but is deep into her prep so has good grounding for it and gets the services of Craig Newitt. This is easier than what she has been contesting but some query with the concussion plates going on with a firm track likely. Still deserves to run favourite but a couple of small question marks there.

8. Kalakhani: Was better second-up in Launceston when caught three wide without cover and battled on behind The Greatness. Has since gone back to the trials and looked alright behind Odessa Lad so no issues with the break between runs. Should work into a nice spot on speed from the middle draw and is one of the main dangers.

4. Monmouth: Ran well at both Hobart starts to kick off his career before battling away OK last time in Launceston to finish alongside Kalakhani. Maybe better suited back to this track and he showed enough early speed last time to suggest he might settle a bit closer than usual with Carr on from an inside draw. Form ties in as well as any outside the favourite and still looks to have plenty of improvement to come. Genuine hope.

2. Elwick Eddie: Has had six trials leading into this – five of them since August – so he should be ready to tackle the 1400m first-up. Debuts with blinkers on and won his most recent trial. Finds a winnable race to kick off in so watch the market as he has each way claims if supported.

12. Levissi: Has shown some speed in all of his runs so far but has struggled to finish off at the end of her races. Jumps to 1400m which doesn’t looks ideal at first glance but might be suited going forward at the softer tempo and trialled over 1400m last week. Has had plenty of gear changes so under different conditions to what he has contested so far she may be capable of improving.

Next best Nahla (9) (hasn’t done much in two runs back this prep but previous form was ok so may improve back on her home track).

Verdict

Miss Smith (11) probably deserves to run top pick but with a few question marks there happy to work with the dangers Kalakhani (8) and Monmouth (4) to try and run her down.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Kalakhani – 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Monmouth – 2 units

Race 4 – 18:00 Signrite Benchmark 82 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Hyperbole, Silver Bolt, Chillout and Valiant Warrior look the four to go forward but in what order is up for grabs. If they settle in their spots quickly they should be able to control the tempo.

Major Players

5. Chillout: Is a smart 4yo who looks well placed here off a solid fourth behind I’m Wesley and then nose second behind Magnasa last time when stepping up to 1400m. Hasn’t raced a lot at this trip so suggest that run under his belt will do him the world of good and he draws nicely for a good run on speed. Clearly has the form on the board and switching to Hobart isn’t a problem. Logical top pick.

7. Hyperbole: Is a Hobart specialist, having won five races and placed 15 times from her 24 runs here. Heavily backed last start but ran into an in-form Box Of Frogs and wasn’t disgraced in running second to him. Loves this course, has performed well in this grade in the past and gets a lovely weight drop down to the minimum. Expect her to be near the lead and is a big danger to the favourite.

4. Silver Bolt: Has taken a bit to get back to his best this prep but after having no favours in the run last time his last bit was very good and indicated he might be just about ready. Hasn’t done a lot of racing at 1400m but did win over this trip last prep and it might be what he is wanting now at this stage of his career. Carr goes on so should be near the front giving them something to chase.

3. Valiant Warrior: Ran a very good third behind Blaze Forth two starts ago when ridden a bit quieter but went forward last time and faded in good company behind Gee Gee Red Prince. Another who hasn’t raced a lot at 1400m but beat Silver Bolt over this trip last time in when able to dictate in front. Can be around the mark.

6. Merrick’s Beauty: Wasn’t far behind Silver Bolt last time when fourth behind Happy Halloween and now drops 7kg with the rise in grade. Has been racing well in good company recently but consistently a length or two off the mark. Unproven at 1400m but going well enough to get into a place.

Verdict

Chillout (5) is the one with most scope and will be hard to beat but likely to be a short price. Hyperbole (7) loves this track and looks ready, while Silver Bolt (4) has a chance off a better run last time.

 Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Hyperbole – 2 units

Race 5 – 18:34 Hobart Cup 11th February 2018 Benchmark 62 Hcp (1400 METRES)

Speed Map

Not much genuine speed here and think the front is Lady Jane’s if she wants it. Turtles Nest may kick up from the inside, while Goodbye Lonesome will be in the first few. Solomon’s Song and maybe Country Way can push forward from wider out.

Major Players

4. Goodbye Lonesome: Is a promising galloper who has put together three good runs in a row in Launceston. Dominant winner two starts back before finding Earl Da Vinci too strong last time. Looks set to get a lovely run from his good draw and this is his right trip. Ticks all the boxes so deserves to run favourite and will take some beating.

3. Solomon’s Song: Has been very good at both runs back from a spell, running home nicely on both occasions after looking a bit one-paced last preparation. Up to 1400m looks ideal third-up and can roll forward which would help Pires overcome the tricky draw. Proven in higher grades and has run well with big weights in the past so he looks a major danger in this.

5. Lady Jane: Won exceptionally well here first-up over 1000m before finding it impossible to chase down the airborne Galeocerdo at her past two. Has run some good races over 1400m so looks well placed getting to this trip now. No reason she can’t control the tempo in front and if she gets that opportunity she be very hard to run down.

9. Turtles Nest: Ran well over this course when a narrow second behind Our Shanakee before scoring a long overdue win two starts ago in Launceston over 1200m. Had some excuses for last start midfield effort and should be right to step back up in trip after plenty of recent racing. Can roll forward to take advantage of the inside draw and should give a big sight on speed.

7. Piped Aboard: Has run well at both Tasmanian starts so far, following a fast finishing 3rd behind smart 3yo City Of Dreams with a breakthrough win over a fortnight ago. Flashed home from the back so the outside draw here might not be as bad as it would be for others. Up in grade and speed might not be as hot this time but up in trip seems OK. Will be running home.

Next best Flying Geepee (12) (had plenty of chances but last run when finished alongside Goodbye Lonesome was good and has to be respected off that) and Livermore (2) (the Livermore of old would crush these but struggling to find form so have to take on trust).

Verdict

Goodbye Lonesome (4) deserves to run favourite here and no real knock but think Solomon’s Song (3) is going just as well and presents better value.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Solomon’s Song – 4 units

Race 6 – 19:04 Hazell Brothers Benchmark 82 Hcp (1200 METRES)

Speed Map

Happy Halloween and Teriki look the speed from out wide while Gee Gees Jet can kick up in the middle.

Major Players

5. Gee Gee Double Dee: Is racing in tremendous form since tackling open grade as a 4yo, with her second in the Goodwood here followed by a close-up fifth in the Newmarket. Arguably unlucky last time when held up on the turn and just failed to run down Gee Gee Red Prince. Think 1100m is her ideal trip but drawn for a nice smother and has the strongest form in the race so appeals as top pick.

4. Happy Halloween: Has been flying in Launceston with fast victories at her past two starts under big weights. Ran well enough in the Newmarket after being beaten for early speed. This is his pet trip but interestingly he hasn’t been placed in three runs at this track. Nice weight drop with Ismadi’s claim to tackle the harder grade and if he can transfer his form to this track he is a leading chance.

7. Teriki: Lost her chance at the start last time when inconvenienced and forced to settle at the rear. Ran home alright considering in a race dominated by those on speed. From the outside draw she should be able to get across right on the speed and her form lines up well enough against these. Can improve and has genuine claims.

6. Naadam: Found the 1400m too far last time so he looks suited back to this trip. Races well enough here but the key to him is a genuinely firm surface as he doesn’t go on shifting ground. Suited by the likely tempo and nicely drawn for the right trail. Has never been able to break through for a win in this grade but has a winning chance at longer odds.

1. Geegees Doublejay: Can be forgiven for his last run over 1400m when nothing really went right for him. Much better back to 1200m and this grade but gets the big weight as a result. Has been doing things wrong for quite a while now but Newmarket 4th and first-up 2nd show hes still got the goods if his mind is in the right place. Class horse of the field and can’t write him off.

Next best Gee Gees Jet (2) (can forgive last run when three wide without cover, in alright weights and well drawn so has to be respected) and Harvey Bay (3) (relatively untried in this grade and best form is over slightly further but races well fresh and drawn inside).

Verdict

Even race. Gee Gee Double Dee (5) should appreciate the genuine tempo and inside draw so appeals as top pick but may be a little soft at the end of this trip. Think Teriki (7) and Naadam (6) hold some appeal at odds for those looking for value.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Gee Gee Double Dee – 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Teriki – 1 unit

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Naadam – 1 unit

Race 7 – 19:34 Cascade Brewery Christmas Party Class 1 Hcp (1100 METRES)

Speed Map

Sidestreet Lad and Pontypaul look the likely leaders here with Newts potentially fired up with the blinkers back on. Remigny should get a nice trail while Foreeva might try and push on from an outside draw.

Major Players

2. Sidestreet Lad: Was heavily backed at his first Tasmanian run in July when winning narrowly as an odds-on favourite on soft ground. Spelled immediately and now comes here off a quiet trial last week. Drawn nicely if the inside is holding up and expect him to be in the first couple in the run. Up in grade and has to prove himself on firm ground but looks top pick in a handy field.

9. Remigny: Has been freshened since her good first-up win where she sat behind recent Devonport winner Jurisdiction and beat him on his merits. Looks set to box seat again from the inside gate and Newitt sticks with her. This is harder but was heavily backed last time, her winning time was solid enough and subsequent winners Clean Acheeva and The Greatness have also come out of that race. Looks a nice each way chance.

3. Newts: Has been racing reasonably well with excuses at his past few runs. Good effort in BM62 grade last time after being slow to begin and now get the blinkers back on. Awkwardly drawn but has shown a lot of speed when wearing the blinkers so no surprise to see him get across. Did race fiercely with the blinkers on so will need to settle better this time around but he is a genuine winning chance if he improves his manners.

8. Pontypaul: Bolted in here on debut on heavy ground but runs since haven’t been to that level. Latest run in the 3yo Cup was very respectable having raced three wide without cover and she was less than six lengths behind the winner Mister Songman. Firmer ground has been an issue but gets back to her home track and should land on speed if she begins well enough. Knockout chance.

4. Odessa Lad: Resumes after a consistent campaign where his only failure came over 1400m. Has form around the main chances here and has done a lot of racing at the harder BM62 level. Suited by the drop in distance and finished third behind Sidestreet Lad at his winning Tasmanian debut. Prefer a place but some chance.

Next best Gee Gees Can Tell (10) (racing well this prep in handy races so can feature in the finish, especially if horses making ground down the middle are suited by this stage of the day).

Verdict

Very competitive race to finish. Betting might tell the tale with Sidestreet Lad (2) and he will be hard to beat if fancied, but value may lie with Remigny (9) with a gun run from her inside draw.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Remigny – 3 units


Related Articles

Race Assessment: Hobart Cup

"The likely winning standard of this race at the weights to be carried will be at least 96 and ...

Read More

TASRacing: Hobart, Sunday 11th February 2018

Hobart hosts its biggest meeting of the year on Sunday with a very competitive field set to do battle ...

Read More

TASRacing: Hobart, Sunday 18th June 2017

Thoroughbred racing on Sunday is in Hobart with an 8 race program kicking off at 12:10pm. The rail returns ...

Read More