Tas Racing: Hobart, Sunday 5th August

Racing returns to Devonport this Sunday with horses a year older and a new season commencing. The first of eight races kicks off at 12:05 with impressive last start winner Speedonova sure to run a short-priced favourite. Classy galloper Fragment returns from a spell in race 4 while race 8 is arguably the most interesting of the day with promising gallopers Date Night, City Of Dreams and Cimarron’s Hero all set to do battle.

 

Race 1 – 12:05 Barry Diprose Transport BM70 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Tambro’s Game should have no worries taking up her favoured role as pacemaker with only Red Spyder providing any real competition on speed. Horses settling near the lead may be advantaged on that basis.

Major Players

Speedonova (2) is a talented mare and was most impressive first-up over this course a fortnight ago when far too strong for subsequent winner Kool Kash. Did have a perfect run there but draws for a similar run again and may improve further with race fitness. Lack of pressure up front is potentially a query but she has a sharp turn of foot which may overcome a slow tempo. Smart mare who looks an obvious top pick again.

Red Spyder (1) won well fresh in Hobart before costing himself by over racing last time when up to the mile. Should get a more genuine tempo here over the shorter trip which may help him settle and did a good job racing on speed to win at his only start here over 1650m. In well with Voorham’s claim so he appeals as one of the dangers.

Island Pirate (3) was sent out favourite last time off two impressive wins over this course but raced erratically down near the inside in the straight in what was inferior ground to out wider. Can forgive that effort but goes up in grade again here. The blinkers come off and after drawing inside in recent runs he now gets an outside draw. Needs to improve on last time but has the scope to be in the mix with the right run.

Tambro’s Game (7) always gives her all around this course and was very game in running 2nd here last week. Stepping above BM64 company has found her out this preparation but she is rarely too far away and looks set to control this race in front. What you see is what you get with this mare and she has each way claims on that basis again.

Catalyst Fire (6) has always shown plenty of talent but her recent racing has been below par. Tailed the field in when resuming in Hobart behind Boart but she has been unplaced at all three first-up runs. Gets to a more suitable distance this time and did place behind Speedonova last prep but this is her first look at this track. Very capable at her best but need to see a sharp form reversal here.

Next best Flash Missile (4) (stayer resuming with blinkers off, won impressively only start here over 1880m, probably needs this but has trialled so may show up).

Verdict

Hard to go past Speedonova (2) and she deserves to be a clear favourite. Tambro’s Game (7) and Red Spyder (1) do look like getting their chance near the lead.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Speedonova (2) for 6 units.

Race 2 – 12:45 RJ Print and Signs Class 2 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Son Of A Fling may cross this field from his wide draw but there are a number of on-pacers looking for a position, namely George’s Gambol, Balestrand and potentially Life Of Waldo and Dothraki Princess. All of these can race in the forward half when necessary so the tempo should be genuine.

Major Players

Somerset (2) is a promising mare who didn’t have a lot of luck at her first look at this track when 4th behind subsequent winner Century Arrow first-up. Better suited by the longer trip but may have to drift back in the field from a tricky draw. Clearly the most promising horse in the race and did enough fresh to suggest she will be hard to hold out at the finish.

Dothraki Princess (6) has been good at both runs for Adam Trinder after having been taught to settle off the speed and finish off her races. Found the line nicely last time after bombing the start and finished alongside Somerset. This extra distance has never looked like what she wants but her last run suggests it may be within her scope now. Still an obvious query but stays down in the weights and one of the better hopes if she runs the trip strongly.

Life Of Waldo (1) has her first run in the state after racing in Victoria for Glenn Thornton. First-up run on the Geelong Synthetic reads well for this grade and extra distance is suitable. Steph Thornton is down to ride which suggests he will be spot on for this and he draws ideally. Hard to line him up but he definitely looks capable of winning this.

Balestrand (3) has been racing well in this distance range with three Hobart placings following his breakthrough win over this course in C1 company. Break between runs looks ideal to get over some tough heavy track runs and he is capable of rolling forward here from a nice draw for Voorham. Is yet to run a bad race in the state over these shorter trips so has very solid each way claims again.

Son Of A Fling (5) is a renowned wet tracker who had been going ok in harder grade before tiring in his first try at 1400m last start. Should be better for that run and in theory this course will suit his front-running style. Only run here was fair when a beaten favourite early in his career. Needs to improve but may get his chance if able to cross the field and lead.

Next best George’s Gambol (4) (nicely drawn and goes well here but been up a long time and somewhat off the boil at his past couple, chance if gets back to his best).

Verdict

Somerset (2) should be better for the look at this track last time and looks hardest to beat. Life Of Waldo (1) is an obvious query runner.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Somerset (2) for 4 units.

Race 3 – 13:25 Thai Imperial Latrobe Maiden (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Stablemates Emsgem and Husson Park should ensure a good tempo with Slick Virtue also capable of vying for the lead. Many of these can settle in the forward half so those racing off speed should get their chance.

Major Players

Emsgem (7) has been very good at both runs for Vern Poke since arriving in the state last month. Showed lots of speed over this course before being run down by subsequent winner Magic Waler and then kept working to the line last time when back to 1000m behind Prince Of Virtue. This looks easier and getting back to 1150m will be ideal. Stays down in the weights with Patis keeping the ride and only has to reproduce her current form to be hardest to beat here.

Araya Hope (6) also resumes from a long spell, having last raced in October and hasn’t trialled since December. First two career runs were at this track and she finished close-up on both occasions in arguably stronger races than this. Forgive her last run where she pulled up lame and she gets winkers on for the first time. Definite chance if fit enough so watch the market.

Husson Park (8) is another runner from the Vern Poke yard who makes her Tasmanian debut here after doing most of her racing in Victoria with Mark Webb. Has plenty of speed which will help her take advantage of gate 1 and has placed twice on the Geelong Synthetic when well in the market. Her provincial form reads very well for this but did have respiratory issues after her last run back in October which is a concern. Darmanin is a positive booking so must respect.

Slick Virtue (12) gave a sight in front over this course on her debut and then dropped back to 1000m last time when finishing near the tail behind Prince Of Virtue. Back up in trip looks more suitable and expect her to comfortably find a spot near the lead. Gets in with no weight after Smith’s claim and is on the quick back-up from last week so a much better run this time wouldn’t surprise.

Tara’s Design (10) made a solid start to her career but her past couple on heavy ground in Hobart have been disappointing. Had excuses at her only start here when caught wide on speed in a stronger race. Not sure she has the speed to overcome the wide draw so will need luck in running but capable of a better showing.

Next best Aquietword (1) (has placed here over further so may sprint well fresh) and Words In Motion (5) (first-up run better than it reads so may have a sneaky hope at big odds).

Verdict

Emsgem (7) has been very good in both Tasmanian runs and looks suited here. Stablemate Husson Park (8) is an obvious watch runner, while Araya Hope (6) can feature if ready to go.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Emsgem (7) for 4 units.

Race 4 – 14:05 Birdcage Tavern Function Room Benchmark 84 Hcp (1000 METRES)

Speed Map

Small field but genuine speed through Gee Gees Jet, Geegee Trendsetter and O’Lonh Star. This leaves no complaints for the other three taking the trail.

Major Players

Fragment (4) resumes from a spell here without a trial over a shorter trip than he has attempted in the past. Generally races extremely well fresh having won all three of his first-up runs, the most recent back in October when he led and was too good for Nunivak over 1200m. Should appreciate good speed ahead of him here and drawn to get to their outside comfortably to make his run at the finish. Smart galloper and does look very nicely placed.

Gee Gees Jet (1) is a fast horse who resumes with a nice trial under his belt. Has very good 1000m form and his only run here was over this trip when he was too good for the likes of Valiant Warrior and Le Bel Opera. Drawn to lead and in very well with Smith’s 4kg claim. Potentially has some pressure drawn to his outside but is sure to be hard to run down.

Silzoar (6) is a talented horse who gets into good company quite quickly here at only his 8th career start. Began this prep with two narrow but strong wins in easier company before running home only fairly last time when dropping back to this trip. Better suited this time given a break between runs and drawn perfectly to be ridden with a smother and try and nab them late. Harder again but has the scope to be in the finish with the right run.

Geegee Trendsetter (5) is a quick, consistent filly who has won both her 1000m runs in Hobart. Hasn’t seen this track before but the breed generally handle it and it suits her on-pace racing pattern. Rarely far away against the best of her age and won a trial leading in. This is pretty strong but she can give a sight on speed.

O’Lonh Star (2) was well supported first-up to run favourite over 1150m but after having every chance in front he weakened to run last behind Underplay. That is a concern given his best racing has previously been when fresh but is right up to this grade at his best and the market may overlook him for one bad run. Obviously needs sharp improvement but his best is good enough if he turns it around.

Next best Naadam (3) (hasn’t been to this track but always competitive in open grade and could surprise if the pressure goes right on).

Verdict

Fragment (4) flies fresh and looks very well placed here. Gee Gees Jet (1) appeals as the obvious danger off the rails draw.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Fragment (4) for 6 units.

Race 5 – 14:45 Dannebrog Café Bar & Grill Maiden (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field but not much natural pace. Expect Irish Jeff and Aislinn to roll forward while He Swims Well may land closer again. The rest of these generally settle midfield or worse so horses who find a spot on speed could be advantaged.

Major Players

Aislinn (9) has failed twice here over 1880m but in between those runs she worked home for a solid 2nd behind Mississippi Grind over this trip. Can forgive her last run when forward and down on the inside against the pattern. Newitt stays with her and she may work across into a good spot on speed. If she can run up to her run two starts ago she is in the mix here in an even race.

Tough Rubble (8) had support last time when having his first go on this track and he only battled home when 4th behind Mississippi Grind. Enjoyed a nice trail there so hard to predict too much improvement off that effort but he may be better for the run on this surface. Draws in for a cheap run again and the bigger field may result in a more genuine tempo which could suit. Each way hope.

Fontein Ali (10) has found the line nicely in all three runs in the state with his 2nd here last week behind His Nibs her best showing yet. Goes to a mile now off the quick back-up which should suit but from a wide draw she will probably have to settle near the rear again. Racing as well as any of these so a definite winning hope with luck in running.

Shivida (6) is ready for the mile now after three typical runs this prep where he has settled near the rear and found the line behind the placegetters. Hasn’t won in 26 tries so hard to have any real confidence but has placed in tougher races than this. Wasn’t too far behind Fontein Ali last time and he is capable of being in the finish.

He Swims Well (2) has less convictions than many of these and comes through the faster division to Fontein Ali and Shivida from last week. Settled closer in running there which is a good sign and was nearer the inside in the straight. Bred to appreciate the mile and McCoull takes the ride so further improvement is possible.

Next best On Sunshine (12) (flashed home from the back last week, first go at this longer trip and hasn’t won in 48 starts but a similar effort would show up somewhere in the finish in this).

Verdict

Very even race. Aislinn (9) and Tough Rubble (8) have the form at this trip but horses such as Fontein Ali (10) or He Swims Well (2) have more scope coming up in distance. Difficult betting race.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – He Swims Well (2) for 1 unit.

Race 6 – 15:25 Great Northern Benchmark 64 Hcp (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Another race lacking obvious on-pacers so Greenmount Lass, Rougeau and Beautiful Boy should land near the lead and enjoy good runs.

Major Players

Greenmount Lass (10) is rock hard fit and racing very well over this course, recording close 2nds at her past two runs behind Mr America and Scouting Around. Has been settling near the lead and that looks a bonus again in a race of little obvious pressure on paper. Stays right down in the weights but this is arguably easier than what she has been contesting. Gets her chance to break through.

Rougeau (3) got to this trip third-up last time and ran a solid 3rd behind Scouting Around and Greenmount Lass after settling on speed. He can improve again with that run under his belt and his ability to go forward can be an advantage in this. Has the obvious form line and with more scope to improve than Greenmount Lass being earlier in his prep so has very solid each way claims.

Robbo The Bold (1) is a synthetic track specialist who returns here after a good 2nd over the mile at Pakenham last time. Has won twice on this track and his most recent run over this course was a strong 2nd chasing Scouting Around. Used to carrying big weights and rarely runs bad so another with each way claims.

Trusted Warrior (4) has been crying out to win a race on his preferred wet ground in Hobart but can’t crack it for an elusive victory. This is a drop in grade on what he has genuinely been contesting, with his most recent start in this grade an unlucky 4th after being heavily backed to run favourite. This track probably doesn’t suit him quite as well but he did run a very good race here last year over 1350m. Class runner who can win with the right run.

Leconte (8) can mix his form and doesn’t win out of turn but will appreciate returning to this track after failing on heavy ground last time behind Red Spyder. Has had a break between runs which is some concern but two runs ago over this course he ran an excellent 2nd behind Secrets She Has in stronger company. Will need luck in running and is hard to catch but his best is good enough if things go his way.

Next best Epidexios (5) (much harder here but too strong last time here in his first look at the track and potentially suited by the added trip) and Beautiful Boy (6) (up in grade but desperate for the mile and will race near the lead so may stick on into a place).

Verdict

A number of different form lines means this should be a good betting race but happiest to work around the on-pacers proven at this trip in Greenmount Lass (10) and Rougeau (3).

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Greenmount Lass (10) for 4 units.

 BACK (WIN) – Rougeau (3) for 2 units.

Race 7 – 16:00 Simons Design Centre Benchmark 64 (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Kyogle Son can find the lead on the fence pretty comfortably here with Medard the only obvious challenger working forward wider out. Gee Gees Blondie, Gee Gee Sun Valley, Exclusive Saturday and Bunker Star look most likely to settle just behind them but doubt there will be too much pressure up front.

Major Players

Kyogle Son (2) came out running but couldn’t cross Century Arrow here last week over 1000m and that probably proved the difference as he tired late to run 3rd behind that horse. Has won twice at 1150m so extra distance isn’t beyond him and the blinkers come off this time. Gets in very well with the 4kg claim for Patis who has shown she is capable of running them along in front. Should find the lead which gives him his chance. Leading chance.

Concentrate (1) continues to charge home from the back at every run and has a great record over this course which includes three wins. Very competitive in harder grade than this but earns a huge 64kg impost as a result. No doubting he is the class runner of the field but can he give them a start and run them down with the big weight? Too good to discount in this grade.

Gee Gees Blondie (6) blew the start last time here over 1000m and didn’t get into the race behind Century Arrow when in the market. Blinkers come off which may correct her recent habits of being slow away and she will appreciate no weight on her back with Smith’s claim. Was a close 2nd behind Concentrate over this course three starts ago and meets him considerably better at the weights so from an inside draw that form has her in contention in this.

Gee Gees Style (3) has the blinkers go back on after a reasonable midfield finish last time behind Century Arrow. Up in the weights here which has tested him in the past and has a wide gate to contend with so a good ride from Newitt looks a must for him to feature. No doubt he is up to this grade but he will need things to go his way.

Khatun (4) has had a short break to come back in trip after failing to make ground over 1650m when midfield behind Mr America. Hasn’t won over this shorter trip but has placed at both runs this course. Drawn for a nice smother which is probably her go to be winning at this distance in this grade so has a knockout hope on that basis.

Next best Bedrock Dreams (10) (had the right run last time and flashed late to win in easier grade over this course, will need everything made to order again to be winning this).

Verdict

Kyogle Son (2) should have no issues finding the front and gets his chance here.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Kyogle Son (2) for 4 units.

Race 8 – 16:35 Sky Racing Class 2 Hcp (1000 METRES)

Speed Map

Date Night might try and hold the lead off the inside after showing good speed last time. City Of Dreams is quick and will be right there while the likes of Ain’t The Whisky, Cimarron’s Hero, Gee Gees Queenie and even possibly Ex Words can be in the firing line early.

Major Players

Date Night (1) is a former Hong Kong galloper like last week’s impressive winner Braccenby and has showed plenty of ability in his two outings since joining the Hamer stable. His first-up run over 1150m was a bold 3rd in good company behind Spihro and Willby Rules after over racing in front. Kept fresh since that run and showed more than enough speed to be cope with the drop in trip to 1000m this time. Has plenty of weight and the inside gate would be a negative if the track races like last week but looks talented and a leading chance all things being equal.

City Of Dreams (3) resumes from a spell without a trial here after a consistent if slightly disappointing 3yo season where she was competitive against the best of her age but often beaten at short odds. Trained here and bolted in at her only run on this track and does look suited by the shorter distances which she gets here. Gets 5kg off the topweight and has the speed to be right in the firing line so ticks a lot of boxes. Hard to beat.

Cimarron’s Hero (2) is a lightly raced but talented galloper who hasn’t raced since scoring a deserved win back in March in BM62 company. Stormed home to break his maiden status in his only run over this course early last year so no issue on this surface. Has speed but more likely to take a sit off the top two chances and will be strong at the finish. Each way claims.

Gee Gees Queenie (4) resumes from a genuine spell after finishing down the track in the Strutt Stakes over an unsuitable trip. Sprinting form has been very consistent and her only run at this track was a very game 3rd behind Tycoon’s Daughter after racing wide on speed throughout. Finds a tough race to kick off in but expect her to be around the mark like she generally is.

Gee Gee Royal Miss (6) has a fitness edge over most of these as she has been racing consistently here for the past few months. Has been settling back in her races which has made things difficult but worth noting her best run here this prep was in the smallest field she has contested, an 8 horse race where she flashed home to run a close 2nd behind Silzoar. Some smart horses in this to give a big start to and run down but she will be running on as always.

Next best Ain’t The Whisky (5) (has had two trials leading into this and won by a space at her most recent, will find this tough but has speed and likes this surface).

Verdict

Date Night (1) and City Of Dreams (3) both look better than this class and should fight the race out.

Staking Strategy

 BACK (WIN) – Date Night (1) for 2 units.


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