Your Expert Super Rugby Tips

Throughout the Super Rugby season, the Analysts will be providing their Super Rugby Tips for every round.

They’ll give their expert preview on the game, along with providing their best selection, exclusive to the Betfair Hub.

Go where the value is on the Super Rugby and head to the Betfair Exchange.

Brumbies v Reds

The Reds are clearly the play heading into what looks a compelling Super Rugby AU final. The Reds and Brumbies met two weeks back and Brad Thorn’s team were dominant in a 26-7 win. In their first meeting, the Brumbies squeaked home by just two points.

The Reds have certainly been in very strong form with a good win over the Rebels and a 50-point thrashing of the Force. The Brumbies have won just two of their last four and the week off does not look ideal.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Reds +2.5

Reds v Rebels

The Reds won one more game than the Rebels this year but notably had both a stronger defence — particularly in the latter stages of the season — and a stronger attack. Brad Thorn’s team definitely comes in with better form with three straight wins of 16 or more. The Rebels lost two straight before falling in against the Force. The Reds haven’t lost either game against the Rebels and can win this one fairly easily.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Reds -8.5

Rebels v Western Force

It is a long run in for the Western Force, who have severely struggled since returning to the fold. They are winless in seven games and are averaging just 12 points a game. They have dropped four of their last five by 17 or more points. The Rebels have scored at least 25 in five of their last six and will have too much firepower.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Rebels -12.5

Reds v Brumbies

The Brumbies squeaked past the Reds in the first loop of Super Rugby AU. The Brumbies have now won four on the trot against the Reds. The men from the ACT have lost just once this year and are the standard for the competition. They should get the money over a Reds team that were hammered by the Waratahs only a few weeks back.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Brumbies to Win

Rebels v Waratahs

The Rebels rolled the Waratahs 29-10 just five weeks back and the tables are unlikely to be turned here. Both teams are stuck in the middle of the pack but the Rebels have been more consistent. The Rebels have won three of their last four while the Waratahs come off a hammering at the hands of the Brumbies.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Rebels -2.5

Brumbies v Force

The Force’s return to big-time rugby has petered out to a disappointing end. They were thumped 57-5 to the Reds last week and have now lost three of their last four by 20-plus. The Brumbies are 5-1 this year and beat the Force 24-0 when they last met. Off a 27-point win, the Brumbies will be far too strong.

Betting Strategy

BACK — Brumbies -20.5

Force v Reds

This is a very easy play. The reformed Force are winless through five games. They have lost by an average of 13 points. Two of their last three showings have come by margins of 20-plus as the realities of the challenges they face come into stark view.

The Reds were outstanding defensively in a 19-3 win over the Rebels last week in what was a major bounce-back game. Brad Thorn’s team should be too strong.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Reds -11.5

Brumbies v Waratahs

The Waratahs have gotten hot the last few weeks and the hot hand can be ridden here. They have won their last two by 20 and 33 with their 45-12 annihilation of the Reds two weeks back arguably their most impressive showing in two years.

The Brumbies only snuck home in the first meeting 24-23 and the teams appear much closer now.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Waratahs +7.5

Reds v Rebels

The Reds have been extremely disappointing the last two weeks with a loss to the Brumbies followed by a 45-12 destruction at the hands of a mediocre Waratahs outfit.

The Rebels have hit a vein of form with three straight wins and the formlines hold up with a 30-12 win over the Brumbies last week. The Reds have won just one of the last five against the Rebels so more than happy to bet the men from Melbourne.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Rebels -1.5

Blues v Crusaders

The Crusaders are stunningly outsiders in this one and that is absolutely a bet. The Crusaders rolled the Blues 26-15 when the teams met in Christchurch and they lead the league in scoring and defence. Even with the trophy secured, the Crusaders will be keen to finish the season in style. This is a top play.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Crusaders +1.5

Highlanders v Hurricanes

The Hurricanes downed the Highlanders by six at their last meeting and have won four of the last five meetings. The Highlanders have lost their last two by double digits and their only wins this tournament have been against the struggling Chiefs, who went 0-8. The Canes should take care of business for their sixth straight win.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Hurricanes -3.5

Hurricanes v Chiefs

The Chiefs and the Hurricanes have already met twice this year with the Hurricanes winning by three points in March and eight points in July. The Hurricanes are 4-2 this year while the Chiefs are 0-7 but happy to take the big start in this one.

The Canes have not had a single win by more than eight in Super Rugby Aotearoa and in 12 games in 2020 they have just two wins by double digits. The Canes don’t put teams away and the Chiefs haven’t really been put to the sword this year.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Chiefs +6.5

Waratahs v Reds

The Reds ended a long losing streak against the Waratahs with a 32-26 win in the opening round of Super Rugby AU and can put a bigger number on a team heading in the opposite direction. The Waratahs have beaten just the Force. The Reds’ only loss has come against the table-topping Brumbies.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Reds -4.5

Crusaders v Highlanders

The Crusaders thumped the Highlanders by 20 when the teams met five weeks back and by 20 when the teams met in the Super Rugby season proper. In fact the last five meetings between the two South Island teams have seen the Crusaders win by at least 20. The Highlanders’ only two wins in this Super Rugby season have come against the Chiefs.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Crusaders -15.5

Chiefs v Crusaders

This looks a mismatch on paper. The Crusaders sit atop the ladder despite a loss to the Hurricanes last week while the Chiefs are winless in six appearances.

The Chiefs though have been keeping results close. The Crusaders only won by five when these teams last met and only one of their six losses this season have been by more than eight points.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Chiefs +7.5

Brumbies v Reds

Both teams are unbeaten in Super Rugby AU so no concerns with form. The Brumbies opened up with a 31-23 win over the Rebels and then rolled the Waratahs 24-23 on the road.

The Reds have a home win against the Waratahs before a road draw with the Rebels. In the last six meetings, the Reds have won three and have a close loss so happy to take the big number.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Reds +7.5

Highlanders v Blues

The Blues do not have a win by more than five points since Week 2 so not real keen to jump into them as big road favourites. The Highlanders have really toughed it out for most of the season. The Blues won just 27-24 in Auckland last meeting.

The Blues have not won in Dunedin since 2011.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Highlanders +4.5

Crusaders v Hurricanes

The Crusaders are playing at a significantly higher standard than the Hurricanes and they should be able to put the sword to the lads from Wellington. The Crusaders thumped the Hurricanes 39-25 in their last meeting and have conceded just over 18 points per game while averaging nearly 31. The Hurricanes have won three straight but they are no match for Scott Robertson’s team.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Crusaders -9.5

Blues v Chiefs

The Chiefs sit last on the ladder without a win over the first six rounds of Super Rugby Aotearoa but can cover against the Blues. The analytics are not terrible for the Chiefs. Four of their losses have been by 8 or fewer so they have been well in contention in nearly all games. The Blues opened the season with three straight but have lost their last two, conceding 26-plus in each. Happy to take the big start.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Chiefs +7.5

Waratahs v Rebels

Neither the Waratahs nor the Rebels have set Super Rugby AU alight. The Waratahs have two losses to go with an unconvincing win over the Force while the Rebels lost to the Brumbies before drawing with the Reds. The Waratahs went down to the Rebels 24-10 in the Super Rugby proper and won just one of six with all five losses by 14 or more. The Rebels have a win against the Highlanders and are simply a deeper outfit.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Rebels

Hurricanes v Blues

The Blues rolled Hurricanes in Week 1 of Super Rugby Aotearoa and can do so again. The Blues have beaten all bar the Crusaders this year and clearly sit on the second rung. The Hurricanes have been well beaten by the two top teams in this competition and don’t look to be getting a heap better despite two straight wins.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Blues -1.5

Waratahs v Brumbies

The Brumbies absolutely belted the Waratahs in the final round of the Super Rugby season and it is hard to see a turnaround now. The 47-14 demolition made it four straight for the Brumbies over the Waratahs. The Waratahs have just two wins this year – a win at home to the Lions and last week over the re-formed Western Force. The Brumbies have lost just once this year and have won four straight by more than a converted try.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Brumbies -9.5

Chiefs v Highlanders

The Highlanders play the Chiefs particularly well and look a big play as an underdog and with a big plus. The Highlanders won in Week 1 and have not lost any of the last three. The Chiefs only have one win by more than a try in the last five meetings between the two teams. The Highlanders are the play of the week.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Highlanders +5.5

Rebels v Reds

The Rebels launched a late comeback against the Brumbies but were no good in their local season opener while the Reds bested the Waratahs for the first time in nearly a decade. The Reds thrashed the Bulls before the season was stopped and also pushed the Crusaders. The Rebels won their last two before the break. The Rebels won three out of four against the Reds but Queensland are a sneaky hope of winning Super Rugby AU.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Reds +1.5

Crusaders v Blues

An incredible clash between two undefeated teams. The Blues have been super since the New Zealand only season began with wins at home over the Hurricanes and Highlanders and an impressive win on the road to the Chiefs. The Crusaders were dominant against the Hurricanes before finishing strong against the Chiefs and Highlanders. The Blues have now won seven straight and look a super price.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Blues +7.5

Hurricanes v Highlanders

The Hurricanes just 1-2 through their first three games of Super Rugby Aoeteroa while the Highlanders won their opener before pushing the Blues to the brink. The Highlanders have a win and two three-point losses against the Hurricanes in their last three. Not sure the Canes are going well enough to be big favourites.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Highlanders +5.5

Highlanders v Crusaders

The Highlanders seem to be an underrated proposition through three weeks of the NZ Super Rugby. They shocked the Chiefs and then ran the Blues to three points. The Crusaders thrashed the Hurricanes but were well held by the Chiefs. The Crusaders have generally been played close by local teams the last three years.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Highlanders +9.5

Brumbies v Rebels

The 2020 version of the Brumbies looks the best version of the team in a generation. They have won five of six this year with their only loss coming to the Highlanders. They have won five of their last six against Australian teams by 11 or more points. The Rebels went down 39-26 to the Brumbies this year and that is unlikely to be turned around.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Brumbies -7.5

Reds v Waratahs

The Waratahs have played Australian teams twice this season and were roundly thumped in both, going down 24-10 to the hapless Rebels and 47-14 to the Brumbies. They have lost five of six by 14-plus points this season and have conceded 47 or more in their last two. The Reds’ only clash with an Australian opponent was a 27-24 loss to the Brumbies in Week 1. The Waratahs have won 11 straight against the Reds but these two teams are heading in opposite directions.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Reds -3.5

2020 results

Total Units Staked: 55.00

Total Units Returned: 47.05

ROI: -14.45%

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