New South Wales vs Queensland

Wednesday June 21st, 8:10pm

Match Winner - New South Wales

It is almost impossible to go past New South Wales after the annihilation they gave the Maroons at Suncorp in the series opener.

The last four times the road team has won the series opener they have wrapped it up on home turf in the second game, an ominous statistic facing Queensland. The Blues will also go in the biggest favourites they have been since 2005.

The Blues have scored 16 points or more in their last three after achieving it just once in their previous 10 so they no longer fear being totally shut down by the vaunted Queensland defence. The Blues pack ran rampant throughout Game 1 and there is nothing to suggest that won’t happen again in Sydney.

Betting Strategy

BACK – New South Wales to Win

Total: Under 32.5

The best bet in State of Origin 2 is taking the under in total points betting. None of the last eight matches played at ANZ has topped 32 points while none of the last five matches where the series has been alive has topped 22 points with two of those clashes landing on 10 points.

Overall 12 of the last 18 Origins have finished short of 32 points. All the Queensland changes should bring plenty of enthusiasm and Billy Slater is a master defensive organiser so this should be a much tighter tussle.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Under 32.5 Points

Man of the Match: Boyd Cordner

Since 2010, the captain of the team that has won the series has won at least one Man of the Match award throughout bar 2012. The selectors also tend to reward players who performed well last game. Cordner ticks both boxes.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Boyd Cordner

related articles

NRL Insights: Round 13 2017

"Canterbury’s attack has been awful this year – second worst in the NRL – but gets every chance to ...

Read More

NRL Insights: Round 12 2017

"The Sydney Roosters are playing as well as any team in the premiership with four wins in their last ...

Read More

NRL Insights: Round 14 2017

"There is no doubt Canterbury were utterly humiliated by Penrith last week – they tend to bounce back from ...

Read More