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World Cup Final Live: How the Betfair Exchange Reacted to Argentina v France

The eyes of the world were on Lionel Messi’s Argentina and Kylian Mbappe’s France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup Final. Neither player would disappoint, slamming five goals between them in a match that will be remembered as one of, if not the greatest final of all time.

Argentina and France ended regular time deadlocked at 2-2 apiece and, despite further scoring in extra time, were forced into a penalty shootout to decide Argentina as the trophy winners. With La Albiceleste seemingly destined for glory when 2-0 up at half time, the swings in momentum reverberated on the Betfair Exchange, as seen in both the Match Odds and Outright Winner markets.

Here are the key moments in the final – and the Exchange odds to match

23rd minute: Messi penalty puts Argentina 1-0 ahead

Argentina firms into $2.74 at the kick-off and immediately seize momentum, led by Juventus winger Ángel Di María. The dam wall soon bursts for France after a contentious foul sends Lionel Messi to the spot. Argentina scores and subsequently shortens into around $1.50.

36th minute: Di María gets on the end of a wondrous team goal; Argentina 2-0 up

France remain listless, unable to fire a single shot at goal with over a third of regular time elapsed. Argentina capitalises. Messi is directly involved again – this time in an exquisite team goal. Five snap passes, starting from their defensive half, and landing with Di María poking the ball home. Argentina tightens to $1.12 on the Exchange, while The Draw drifts to $13.00 nearing half time.

80th minute: France applies pressure; Mbappe penalty halves the deficit

France have a pulse! It took until 66th minute, but Les Bleus are attacking through Antoine Griezmann, Randal Kolo Muani and Kylian Mbappe. Kolo Muani triggers enough Argentine anxiety to force a penalty, which Mbappe converts (but only just). France are matched at $50.00 on the Exchange’s Outright Winner market right before Mbappe’s goal.


81st minute: Stop everything! Mbappe half-volley ties it up at 2-2

No sooner can either team settle when France turns the screws again. This time, Mbappe prepares a one-touch pass to Marcus Thuram, who floats one in the air back to Mbappe, connecting superbly in the back of Argentina’s net. The Draw (in the Match Odds market) swings from a high of $36.00 into $1.56 favourite in five minutes of playing time.

But the biggest story is Argentina, who had been matched at $1.02 in-play against both Saudi Arabia and the Netherlands at this World Cup. This time, La Albiceleste traded at $1.03, with over $7.5 million matched at odds of $1.20 or less.

90th minute + 7 minutes added time: France shifts the momentum entirely

After touching $50.00 to lift the World Cup around 15 minutes prior, France are now favourites at $1.99 in the Winner market, with Argentina drifting to $2.00. Argentina look shaky in the 8 minutes of added time, but the score remains 2-2 and will end that way at the referee’s whistle.

109th minute: Messi revitalises Argentina, giving them a 3-2 advantage

Kylian Mbappe continues to work Argentina’s defence over, but Argentina remains active. The Winner market agrees, cutting Argentina into $1.88 favourites in the 106th minute. Messi and Lautauro Martínez liven up on offence, with Messi ensuring Martínez’s fierce strike on goal is eventually converted. Messi is matched at a low of $1.03 on the Exchange’s Golden Boot market, until …

118th minute: It’s not over! Mbappe completes famous hat-trick from the spot

France blows out to around $10.50 to win the World Cup with 10 minutes left in extra time. Argentina mollycoddles possession as time counts down. But France are awarded a penalty via Gonzalo Montiel’s handball blocking a Mbappe shot.

The Frenchman scores in imperious fashion and re-takes the lead in the Golden Boot race. Mbappe was matched at a high of $48.00, inflicting more pain on Argentine backers, as Lionel Messi was bet at a low of $1.03. France is cut back to $2.10 to win the World Cup; Argentina now trading at around $1.90.

Full Time: Argentina wins their third FIFA World Cup

Argentina were one of the favourites to win in Qatar, but their chances took a heavy blow after their loss to Saudi Arabia. Their odds to win the World Cup reached a high of $20.00 on the Exchange. Despite the bad beats throughout the tournament, Messi’s men recovered to win when it mattered most.


The FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar is nearing the end with Argentina and France confirming their places in the final early on Monday morning (AEDST). With national pride and the greatest trophy in sports on the line, the FIFA World Cup has a way of yielding some of the most unpredictable of results. And this year’s tournament has clearly spoiled us for choice.

At Betfair there have been several thrilling in-play and outright market stories to tell. Here are a few of the highlights from betting the World Cup on the Exchange.


Argentina entered their opening Group C game against Saudi Arabia on a 36-match unbeaten streak, just one shy of Italy’s all-time international record set between 2018 and 2021. They were a $1.13 pre-play favourite at kick-off – odds which shrunk to as low as $1.02 in-play after Lionel Messi put ‘La Albiceleste’ 1-0 ahead from the penalty spot after 10 minutes.

In a frenetic five-minute rush shortly after the halftime break, Saudi Arabia wiped out the deficit, followed soon after by a stupendous strike from the edge of the box by Salem Al-Dawsari. Saudi backers found themselves claiming an unexpected bounty – with max in-play odds taken at $1,000.00.


Cameroon and Serbia were both eliminated from Group G, no thanks to their six-goal encounter featuring high drama, theatrics, desperation – and a draw. It was arguably the match of the tournament, with none of the three results assured until the referee finally blew his whistle.

The draw was taken in-play at max odds of $55.00. Incidentally, Cameroon – who were trailing 1-3 after the 53rd minute – blew out to as high as $360.00 to win before winding back the margin in the 66th minute. Meanwhile, Serbia backers were left to weep, with minimum odds matched as low as $1.02.


You deserve a medal if you were on the right side of a Japan result in all three Group E games.

The Samurai Blue produced not one, but two remarkable comebacks to beat powerhouse nations Germany and Spain, with max in-play odds taken at $65.00 (vs. Germany) and $32.00 (vs. Spain) respectively.

However, it was Costa Rica giving Japan backers a taste of their own medicine when they forced their own 1-0 upset (max odds taken at $23.00, while Japan was taken at $1.41 in-play).


It would be remiss not to pay our respects to Australia for claiming a somewhat unthinkable win over Denmark – number 10 in FIFA’s world rankings – sending us through to the knockout stage.

The Socceroos ended up as $8.60 underdogs at kickoff and were sluggish in the opening half. Despite the 0-0 deadlock, Australia’s win odds ballooned to $13.50 in-play. Leave it to Mathew Leckie’s heroics in the 60th minute to signal a second-half momentum shift and score a famous victory.


The Netherlands and Argentina brought the heat to a winter World Cup like no other. This quarter-final will be remembered for 18 yellow cards and a 2-goal fightback by the Dutch, which sparked heavy tension and brawling right up to the final minute of an extended stoppage time.

With Betfair’s Match Odds markets settled at the end of regular time, the 2-2 finish meant Argentina backers would lose trading at odds as low as $1.02 in-play. The draw, meanwhile, was the big winner, with max odds taken at $60.00.


This is not Die Mannschaft we have become used to for so many decades. Germany – one of world football’s most storied teams – have now exited from the World Cup’s group stage in consecutive tournaments. This year they watched their knockout stage hopes dissolve in real time.

With Germany winning 4-2 in their final Group E game against Costa Rica, it was up to Spain to confirm Germany’s safe passage through to the Round of 16 by winning over Japan. With the Spanish taking a 1-0 lead in the 11th minute, Germany was punted down to as low as $1.03 in the Group E “To Qualify” market. All hopes were dashed shortly after half-time when Japan scored twice, leading to an improbable victory – and the Germans’ demise.


Can the FIFA World Cup final cause yet more mayhem on the Betfair Exchange? France is a slight favourite to defend their 2018 title at $2.86, with Argentina at $2.98 and the draw marginal underdogs at $3.10.

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