FEATURE RACE PREVIEW: SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY

You’ll find a full race preview with speed map, historical profiling, tips & more for the Group 1 South Australian Derby at Morphettville right here on the Betfair Hub. Racing tips and betting strategy are provided by leading form analyst Dean Evans of Winning Edge Investments.

Who is our expert betting on in the feature Group 1? Tips for the South Australian Derby are online now.

Click here to view the South Australian Derby market odds on the Betfair Exchange.


SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY | FEATURE RACE PREVIEW WITH DEAN EVANS

Track: Morphettville | Distance: 2500m | Type: Group 1 3YO SW | Rail Position: +3m from 1800m-Winning Post | Condition: Soft 5 | Prizemoney: $502,250

Minimal rain forecast for the rest of the week, so the track should play well and give every runner their chance. Could easily firm to a Good 4.

Recent winners include Zabeelionaire, Delicacy, Qafila, Russian Camelot & Explosive Jack.

Click here to view the South Australian Derby market odds on the Betfair Exchange.


Historical Profiling: Trends from the last 10 years

• 3rd up (1), 4th up (1), 5th up (3), 6th up (1), 7th up (1), 8th up (3)
• 7-day break (4), 14-day break (4), 28–30-day break (2)
• Settled 3rd-4th (2), Settled 6th-8th (3), Settled 10th-12th (4)
• Colt (4), Gelding (4), Filly (2)
• Career Starts 4 (1), 8-16 (9)


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SPEED MAP 

Just an average speed expected here.

Son Of Emperor should lead, with King Of Pharaohs and Claidheamh Mor handy.

Saint Tropez, Phere The Ex, Teewater, Water Into Wine and Alegron should be forward of midfield with decent runs.

The rest get back.


SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY | KEY RUNNERS 

1.    Alegron – Was an excellent, unlucky 2nd in the VRC Derby when raced wide no cover throughout. Ran a strong close 3rd in the Australian Derby, then bolted in to win the VRC St Leger. The one to beat here.

3. Jungle Magnate – Won the Mornington Guineas first up and won the G3 Chairman’s Stakes last start coming from a long way back. That is always a key leadup form reference for this.

5. Harleymoven – Bolted in to win the Listed Port Adelaide Guineas, then finished home strongly for 2nd in the Chairman’s. Rates well

6. Detonator Jack – Has won 3 from 3, trained by the Maher stable and has run impressive closing sectionals in all 3 starts. Can’t discount.

7. The Nephew – Won the Tasmanian Derby, then finished strongly for 2nd behind Detonator Jack two starts back. Can figure

8. Son Of Emperor – Won 2 in a row then went way too quick in front last start. Can forgive that
9. Saint Tropez – Was a strong 3rd in the Chairmans. Not out of it.

10. Water Into Wine – Won over 2255m last start at Sale. Place chance

11. Yaphet – Won at Sale then got a long way back but finished strongly over 2000m at Caulfield for 4th beaten 2.4L. Races like the 2500m will suit.

16. Lady Chant – Won the WA Oaks G3 oer 2400m. Disappointed last start but extra trip suits. Bolter


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DEAN EVANS’ TOP 5 SELECTIONS

3 – Jungle Magnate
1 – Alegron
11 – Yaphet
5 – Harleymoven
6 – Detonator Jack


SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY | BETTING STRATEGY

Jungle Magnate & Alegron rate clearly on top. Yaphet, Harleymoven & Detonator Jack the key dangers.

BACK (WIN) — Jungle Magnate for 1 unit

BACK (WIN) — Alegron for 0.7 unit

BACK (WIN) — Yaphet for 0.3 unit 

Click here to view the South Australian Derby market odds on the Betfair Exchange.


DEAN EVANS’ RESULTS

Units Outlayed: 302.4
Units Returned: 322.4
Profit On Turnover: 6.6%


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